Final Win Prob. pScore
1234%97
107
766%103
123
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo Heat
110.39788.0
DEN logo Nuggets
128.196107.0

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

Win Probability

NuggetsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

NuggetsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIADEN
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA107
123
Q4 - 0:15.0DENJohnson 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS)107
123
Q4 - 0:32.0MIAPosey Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)107
121
Q4 - 0:32.0MIAPosey Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)106
121
Q4 - 0:32.0DENDiawara P.FOUL (P5.PN)105
121
Q4 - 0:43.0MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)105
121
Q4 - 0:46.0DENMISS Diawara 24' 3PT Jump Shot105
121
Q4 - 1:01DENJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)105
121
Q4 - 1:04MIAMISS Quinn 8' Running Jump Shot105
121
Q4 - 1:14DENMiller Foul Turnover (P3.T14)105
121
Q4 - 1:14DENMiller OFF.Foul (P3)105
121
Q4 - 1:21MIAQuinn 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS)105
121
Q4 - 1:29MIAWright REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)102
121
Q4 - 1:33DENMISS Kleiza Free Throw 2 of 2102
121
Q4 - 1:33DENKleiza Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)102
121
Q4 - 1:33MIAPosey P.FOUL (P2.PN)102
120
Q4 - 1:37DENSUB: Sampson FOR Smith102
120
Q4 - 1:42DENKleiza REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)102
120
Q4 - 1:45DENMISS Smith 26' 3PT Jump Shot102
120
Q4 - 1:59MIABarron Layup (7 PTS) (Hite 1 AST)102
120
Q4 - 2:13DENJohnson Driving Finger Roll (2 PTS)100
120
Q4 - 2:30MIABarron REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)100
118
Q4 - 2:30MIABarron Tip Shot (5 PTS)100
118
Q4 - 2:32MIAMISS Quinn Free Throw 2 of 298
118
Q4 - 2:32MIAQuinn Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)98
118
Q4 - 2:32DENNUGGETS Timeout: Regular (Full 5 Short 0)97
118
Q4 - 2:32DENDiawara P.FOUL (P4.PN)97
118
Q4 - 2:46DENKleiza Driving Dunk (14 PTS) (Miller 20 AST)97
118
Q4 - 3:02MIABarron Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)97
116
Q4 - 3:02MIAHeat Rebound96
116
Q4 - 3:02MIAMISS Barron Free Throw 1 of 296
116
Q4 - 3:02DENKleiza S.FOUL (P5.T4)96
116
Q4 - 3:17DENKleiza Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)96
116
Q4 - 3:17DENSUB: Johnson FOR Anthony96
115
Q4 - 3:17DENKleiza Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)96
115
Q4 - 3:17MIABarron S.FOUL (P2.PN)96
114
Q4 - 3:21MIADiawara STEAL (2 STL)96
114
Q4 - 3:24DENSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (37 PTS)96
114
Q4 - 3:24DENSUB: Kleiza FOR Najera96
113
Q4 - 3:24DENSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (36 PTS)96
113
Q4 - 3:24MIAPosey S.FOUL (P1.T4)96
112
Q4 - 3:28MIANajera STEAL (2 STL)96
112
Q4 - 3:31MIAHeat Rebound96
112
Q4 - 3:31MIANajera BLOCK (3 BLK)96
112
Q4 - 3:32MIABarron REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)96
112
Q4 - 3:34MIAMISS Quinn 27' 3PT Jump Shot96
112
Q4 - 3:41MIAHite REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)96
112
Q4 - 3:43DENMISS Miller 18' Jump Shot96
112
Q4 - 4:00MIAHite P.FOUL (P2.T3)96
112
Q4 - 4:01DENSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)96
112
Q4 - 4:05MIAMISS Barron 7' Jump Hook Shot96
112
Q4 - 4:21DENSUB: Smith FOR Boykins96
112
Q4 - 4:21DENNUGGETS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#13)96
112
Q4 - 4:47MIAQuinn 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Posey 1 AST)96
112
Q4 - 5:13MIAHeat Rebound94
112
Q4 - 5:13DENMISS Boykins Layup94
112
Q4 - 5:18MIABoykins STEAL (1 STL)94
112
Q4 - 5:26DENMiller Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T12)94
112
Q4 - 5:28DENMiller REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)94
112
Q4 - 5:30MIAMISS Hite 25' 3PT Jump Shot94
112
Q4 - 5:51MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)94
112
Q4 - 5:53DENMISS Najera Free Throw 1 of 194
112
Q4 - 5:53MIASUB: Barron FOR Mourning94
112
Q4 - 5:5394
112
Q4 - 5:53MIAHite S.FOUL (P1.T2)94
112
Q4 - 5:53DENNajera Layup (11 PTS) (Miller 19 AST)94
112
Q4 - 6:07DENDiawara REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)94
110
Q4 - 6:09MIAMISS Quinn 12' Jump Shot94
110
Q4 - 6:20MIAHeat Rebound94
110
Q4 - 6:20DENMISS Boykins 11' Jump Shot94
110
Q4 - 6:32MIAMourning 3 Second Violation Turnover (P2.T12)94
110
Q4 - 6:45MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)94
110
Q4 - 6:47DENMISS Anthony Driving Layup94
110
Q4 - 6:52DENNajera REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)94
110
Q4 - 6:54DENMISS Diawara 26' 3PT Jump Shot94
110
Q4 - 7:09DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)94
110
Q4 - 7:12MIAMISS Hite Free Throw 2 of 294
110
Q4 - 7:12MIAHite Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)94
110
Q4 - 7:12DENSUB: Anthony FOR Kleiza93
110
Q4 - 7:12DENDiawara S.FOUL (P3.T3)93
110
Q4 - 7:16MIAQuinn REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)93
110
Q4 - 7:18DENMISS Najera Reverse Layup93
110
Q4 - 7:22DENMiller REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)93
110
Q4 - 7:25MIAMISS Posey 24' 3PT Jump Shot93
110
Q4 - 7:42MIASUB: Quinn FOR Kapono93
110
Q4 - 7:42DENKleiza L.B.FOUL (P4.T2)93
110
Q4 - 7:42MIAHeat Rebound93
110
Q4 - 7:42DENMISS Kleiza 6' Jump Hook Shot93
110
Q4 - 7:43DENKleiza REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)93
110
Q4 - 7:45DENMISS Boykins 17' Turnaround Jump Shot93
110
Q4 - 7:52DENDiawara REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)93
110
Q4 - 7:54MIAMISS Wright 21' Jump Shot93
110
Q4 - 8:01MIAWright REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)93
110
Q4 - 8:04MIAMISS Wright 15' Jump Bank Shot93
110
Q4 - 8:21MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)93
110
Q4 - 8:25DENMISS Miller 13' Turnaround Jump Shot93
110
Q4 - 8:58MIAKapono Layup (19 PTS)93
110
Q4 - 8:59MIAKapono REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)91
110
Q4 - 9:00MIAMiller BLOCK (2 BLK)91
110
Q4 - 9:01MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:5 Def:2)91
110
Q4 - 9:03MIANajera BLOCK (2 BLK)91
110
Q4 - 9:15DENKleiza L.B.FOUL (P3.T1)91
110
Q4 - 9:15MIAHeat Rebound91
110
Q4 - 9:15MIAMISS Hite 21' Jump Shot91
110
Q4 - 9:19DENJump Ball Najera vs. Posey: Tip to Hite91
110
Q4 - 9:34MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)91
110
Q4 - 9:38DENMISS Najera Free Throw 1 of 191
110
Q4 - 9:38MIAMourning AWAY.FROM.PLAY.FOUL (P3.T1)91
110
Q4 - 9:38DENBoykins 19' Jump Shot (8 PTS)91
110
Q4 - 9:40DENDiawara REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)91
108
Q4 - 9:43MIAMISS Hite 15' Running Jump Shot91
108
Q4 - 10:01MIASUB: Wright FOR Barron91
108
Q4 - 10:01MIASUB: Posey FOR Wade91
108
Q4 - 10:01MIASUB: Mourning FOR Haslem91
108
Q4 - 10:01MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.4 Short 0)91
108
Q4 - 10:08DENDiawara 17' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Miller 18 AST)91
108
Q4 - 10:18DENMiller REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)91
106
Q4 - 10:20MIAMISS Haslem 17' Jump Shot91
106
Q4 - 10:37MIAHeat Rebound91
106
Q4 - 10:39MIAMISS Kapono 24' 3PT Jump Shot91
106
Q4 - 10:47DENKleiza 8' Running Jump Shot (10 PTS)91
106
Q4 - 10:56DENNUGGETS Rebound91
104
Q4 - 10:57DENMISS Boykins 11' Turnaround Jump Shot91
104
Q4 - 11:09MIASUB: Hite FOR Wright91
104
Q4 - 11:09DENNUGGETS Rebound91
104
Q4 - 11:10DENMISS Miller Driving Layup91
104
Q4 - 11:15MIANajera STEAL (1 STL)91
104
Q4 - 11:32DENNajera Layup (9 PTS) (Miller 17 AST)91
104
Q4 - 11:47MIAHaslem 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T10)91
102
Q4 - 12:0091
102
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA91
102
Q3 - 0:01.0DENKleiza Traveling Turnover (P1.T11)91
102
Q3 - 0:23.0MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 1 (21 PTS)91
102
Q3 - 0:23.0DENKleiza S.FOUL (P2.PN)90
102
Q3 - 0:23.0MIAWade 14' Running Jump Shot (20 PTS)90
102
Q3 - 0:32.0DENMiller Driving Finger Roll (5 PTS)88
102
Q3 - 0:46.0MIAKapono Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)88
100
Q3 - 0:46.0MIAKapono Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)87
100
Q3 - 0:46.0DENBoykins P.FOUL (P2.PN)86
100
Q3 - 0:59.0DENSUB: Miller FOR Anthony86
100
Q3 - 0:59.0DENAnthony Foul Turnover (P4.T10)86
100
Q3 - 0:59.0DENAnthony OFF.Foul (P4)86
100
Q3 - 1:15MIAHeat Turnover: Shot Clock (T#9)86
100
Q3 - 1:23MIAWright REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)86
100
Q3 - 1:24MIAAnthony BLOCK (1 BLK)86
100
Q3 - 1:43DENBoykins 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS)86
100
Q3 - 1:59MIAKapono 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Wade 14 AST)86
98
Q3 - 2:25DENAnthony 20' Fadeaway Jumper (32 PTS)83
98
Q3 - 2:45DENAnthony Violation:Defensive Goaltending83
96
Q3 - 2:45MIABarron 7' Jump Hook Shot (2 PTS)83
96
Q3 - 2:59DENBoykins Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)81
96
Q3 - 2:59DENBoykins Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)81
95
Q3 - 2:59MIAWright P.FOUL (P3.PN)81
94
Q3 - 3:15DENSUB: Boykins FOR Miller81
94
Q3 - 3:15DENNUGGETS Timeout: Regular (Full 4 Short 0)81
94
Q3 - 3:19MIAHaslem Layup (21 PTS) (Wade 13 AST)81
94
Q3 - 3:25DENDiawara Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T9)79
94
Q3 - 3:36MIAWright Layup (11 PTS)79
94
Q3 - 3:38MIAWright REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)77
94
Q3 - 3:41MIAMISS Kapono 24' 3PT Jump Shot77
94
Q3 - 3:45MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)77
94
Q3 - 3:48DENMISS Smith 16' Jump Bank Shot77
94
Q3 - 3:57MIAKapono 19' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Wade 12 AST)77
94
Q3 - 4:12DENAnthony Free Throw 2 of 2 (30 PTS)75
94
Q3 - 4:12DENNUGGETS Rebound75
93
Q3 - 4:12DENMISS Anthony Free Throw 1 of 275
93
Q3 - 4:12MIABarron S.FOUL (P1.T4)75
93
Q3 - 4:20MIAWade P.FOUL (P3.T3)75
93
Q3 - 4:25DENKleiza REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)75
93
Q3 - 4:27MIAMISS Kapono 18' Jump Shot75
93
Q3 - 4:35MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)75
93
Q3 - 4:38DENMISS Kleiza 16' Jump Shot75
93
Q3 - 4:51DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)75
93
Q3 - 4:52MIAMISS Haslem Free Throw 1 of 175
93
Q3 - 4:52DENSUB: Kleiza FOR Nene75
93
Q3 - 4:52DENNene S.FOUL (P2.PN)75
93
Q3 - 4:52MIAHaslem 4' Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Wade 11 AST)75
93
Q3 - 5:04DENAnthony Dunk (29 PTS) (Miller 16 AST)73
93
Q3 - 5:18MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 1 (17 PTS)73
91
Q3 - 5:18DENMiller S.FOUL (P2.T4)72
91
Q3 - 5:18MIAHaslem Layup (16 PTS) (Wright 2 AST)72
91
Q3 - 5:31DENNUGGETS Timeout: Regular (Full 3 Short 0)70
91
Q3 - 5:31DENAnthony Foul Turnover (P3.T8)70
91
Q3 - 5:31DENAnthony OFF.Foul (P3)70
91
Q3 - 5:38MIAWade 20' Jump Shot (18 PTS)70
91
Q3 - 5:54DENSmith Foul Turnover (P2.T7)68
91
Q3 - 5:54DENSmith OFF.Foul (P3)68
91
Q3 - 6:01DENNene REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)68
91
Q3 - 6:02MIABarron REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)68
91
Q3 - 6:02MIAMISS Barron Layup68
91
Q3 - 6:05MIAMISS Kapono Driving Layup68
91
Q3 - 6:12MIASUB: Barron FOR Mourning68
91
Q3 - 6:12DENMiller P.FOUL (P1.T3)68
91
Q3 - 6:13DENMiller Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)68
91
Q3 - 6:18DENNene REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)68
91
Q3 - 6:20MIAMISS Wade 17' Jump Shot68
91
Q3 - 6:42DENSmith Alley Oop Dunk (35 PTS) (Anthony 5 AST)68
91
Q3 - 6:47DENDiawara REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)68
89
Q3 - 6:50MIAMISS Wright Alley Oop Layup68
89
Q3 - 6:54MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)68
89
Q3 - 6:58DENMISS Smith Driving Layup68
89
Q3 - 7:07DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)68
89
Q3 - 7:09MIANene BLOCK (2 BLK)68
89
Q3 - 7:24MIAWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)68
89
Q3 - 7:26DENMISS Nene Free Throw 2 of 268
89
Q3 - 7:26DENNUGGETS Rebound68
89
Q3 - 7:26DENMISS Nene Free Throw 1 of 268
89
Q3 - 7:26MIAMourning S.FOUL (P2.T2)68
89
Q3 - 7:36DENSUB: Diawara FOR Najera68
89
Q3 - 7:36DENNUGGETS Rebound68
89
Q3 - 7:38DENMISS Anthony 26' 3PT Jump Shot68
89
Q3 - 7:55MIAHaslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)68
89
Q3 - 7:55MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)67
89
Q3 - 7:55DENNajera S.FOUL (P4.T2)66
89
Q3 - 8:07DENNene Layup (4 PTS) (Anthony 4 AST)66
89
Q3 - 8:13DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)66
87
Q3 - 8:16MIAMISS Kapono 26' 3PT Jump Shot66
87
Q3 - 8:29DENAnthony Free Throw 2 of 2 (27 PTS)66
87
Q3 - 8:29DENNUGGETS Rebound66
86
Q3 - 8:29DENMISS Anthony Free Throw 1 of 266
86
Q3 - 8:29MIAHaslem S.FOUL (P3.T1)66
86
Q3 - 8:32DENNajera REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)66
86
Q3 - 8:35MIAMISS Wade 21' Jump Shot66
86
Q3 - 8:52DENSmith Layup (33 PTS) (Miller 15 AST)66
86
Q3 - 8:58MIAHaslem Alley Oop Layup (12 PTS) (Wade 10 AST)66
84
Q3 - 9:09MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.3 Short 0)64
84
Q3 - 9:19DENAnthony Layup (26 PTS) (Miller 14 AST)64
84
Q3 - 9:33MIAKapono 25' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Wade 9 AST)64
82
Q3 - 9:39DENSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)61
82
Q3 - 9:39DENSmith Tip Shot (31 PTS)61
82
Q3 - 9:42DENMISS Anthony Alley Oop Layup61
80
Q3 - 9:52MIAMourning Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)61
80
Q3 - 9:52MIAHeat Rebound60
80
Q3 - 9:52MIAMISS Mourning Free Throw 1 of 260
80
Q3 - 9:52DENNene S.FOUL (P1.T1)60
80
Q3 - 9:53MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:4 Def:1)60
80
Q3 - 9:57MIANene BLOCK (1 BLK)60
80
Q3 - 10:09DENAnthony 16' Jump Shot (24 PTS) (Nene 1 AST)60
80
Q3 - 10:14DENNene REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)60
78
Q3 - 10:17DENMISS Anthony 18' Jump Shot60
78
Q3 - 10:28MIAHaslem 17' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Wade 8 AST)60
78
Q3 - 10:43DENAnthony 18' Jump Shot (22 PTS) (Smith 1 AST)58
78
Q3 - 10:52DENSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)58
76
Q3 - 10:55MIAMISS Haslem 15' Jump Shot58
76
Q3 - 11:14DENSmith 22' Jump Shot (29 PTS) (Miller 13 AST)58
76
Q3 - 11:35MIAWright Reverse Layup (9 PTS) (Wade 7 AST)58
74
Q3 - 11:40MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)56
74
Q3 - 11:43DENMISS Anthony Layup56
74
Q3 - 12:0056
74
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA56
74
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Hite 74' 3PT Running Jump Shot56
74
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAHeat Rebound56
74
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAHite REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)56
74
Q2 - 0:02.0DENMISS Miller 18' Jump Shot56
74
Q2 - 0:10.0MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)56
74
Q2 - 0:10.0MIAHeat Rebound55
74
Q2 - 0:10.0MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 255
74
Q2 - 0:10.0DENDiawara P.FOUL (P2.PN)55
74
Q2 - 0:11.0DENKleiza Layup (8 PTS) (Miller 12 AST)55
74
Q2 - 0:14.0MIADiawara STEAL (1 STL)55
72
Q2 - 0:23.0MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)55
72
Q2 - 0:25.0DENMISS Anthony 7' Turnaround Jump Shot55
72
Q2 - 0:43.0MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 1 (15 PTS)55
72
Q2 - 0:43.0DENSUB: Boykins FOR Smith54
72
Q2 - 0:43.0DENAnthony S.FOUL (P2.PN)54
72
Q2 - 0:43.0MIAWade 7' Running Jump Shot (14 PTS)54
72
Q2 - 0:51.0DENAnthony Alley Oop Dunk (20 PTS) (Miller 11 AST)52
72
Q2 - 1:00MIAHeat Violation: Delay of game Violation52
70
Q2 - 1:00MIAWade Driving Finger Roll (12 PTS)52
70
Q2 - 1:10DENSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (27 PTS)50
70
Q2 - 1:10DENSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (26 PTS)50
69
Q2 - 1:10MIAWright P.FOUL (P2.PN)50
68
Q2 - 1:17DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)50
68
Q2 - 1:19MIAMISS Hite 25' 3PT Jump Shot50
68
Q2 - 1:44DENKleiza 17' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Diawara 2 AST)50
68
Q2 - 2:01MIAWade Discontinue Dribble Turnover (P3.T7)50
66
Q2 - 2:06MIAHite REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)50
66
Q2 - 2:07DENMISS Anthony Layup50
66
Q2 - 2:09DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)50
66
Q2 - 2:10DENMISS Diawara 24' 3PT Jump Shot50
66
Q2 - 2:13DENMiller REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)50
66
Q2 - 2:17MIAMISS Posey 10' Running Jump Shot50
66
Q2 - 2:31DENKleiza P.FOUL (P1.T4)50
66
Q2 - 2:45DENNUGGETS Timeout: Regular (Full 2 Short 0)50
66
Q2 - 2:45DENAnthony Foul Turnover (P2.T5)50
66
Q2 - 2:45DENAnthony OFF.Foul (P1)50
66
Q2 - 2:47DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)50
66
Q2 - 2:50MIAMISS Wright 22' Jump Shot50
66
Q2 - 3:04DENSmith Foul Turnover (P1.T4)50
66
Q2 - 3:04DENSmith OFF.Foul (P2)50
66
Q2 - 3:07DENKleiza REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)50
66
Q2 - 3:11MIAMISS Wade 14' Running Jump Shot50
66
Q2 - 3:32DENAnthony Dunk (18 PTS) (Diawara 1 AST)50
66
Q2 - 3:42MIAWright Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)50
64
Q2 - 3:42DENSmith S.FOUL (P1.T3)49
64
Q2 - 3:42MIAWright Layup (6 PTS) (Wade 6 AST)49
64
Q2 - 3:46MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)47
64
Q2 - 3:48DENMISS Anthony 15' Jump Shot47
64
Q2 - 3:54DENNUGGETS Rebound47
64
Q2 - 3:54DENMISS Anthony Layup47
64
Q2 - 4:01DENSUB: Diawara FOR Boykins47
64
Q2 - 4:02DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)47
64
Q2 - 4:05MIAMiller BLOCK (1 BLK)47
64
Q2 - 4:22DENKleiza Driving Layup (4 PTS)47
64
Q2 - 4:30DENNUGGETS Rebound47
62
Q2 - 4:32DENMISS Smith 16' Fadeaway Jumper47
62
Q2 - 4:45MIAWade Driving Dunk (10 PTS)47
62
Q2 - 4:57MIASUB: Hite FOR Doleac45
62
Q2 - 4:57DENSUB: Anthony FOR Najera45
62
Q2 - 4:57DENNajera P.FOUL (P3.T2)45
62
Q2 - 5:13DENKleiza Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)45
62
Q2 - 5:13DENKleiza Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)45
61
Q2 - 5:13MIADoleac S.FOUL (P1.T4)45
60
Q2 - 5:15DENNajera REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)45
60
Q2 - 5:20MIAMISS Wade Layup45
60
Q2 - 5:32DENNajera Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)45
60
Q2 - 5:32MIAWright AWAY.FROM.PLAY.FOUL (P1.T3)45
59
Q2 - 5:32DENSmith 26' 3PT Jump Shot (25 PTS) (Miller 10 AST)45
59
Q2 - 5:47DENSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)45
56
Q2 - 5:50MIAMISS Posey 26' 3PT Jump Shot45
56
Q2 - 6:01MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.2 Short 0)45
56
Q2 - 6:08DENSmith 20' Fadeaway Jumper (22 PTS) (Najera 1 AST)45
56
Q2 - 6:21MIAWade Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T6)45
54
Q2 - 6:33DENMiller Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)45
54
Q2 - 6:33MIASUB: Doleac FOR Walker45
53
Q2 - 6:33MIASUB: Wright FOR Kapono45
53
Q2 - 6:33DENSUB: Najera FOR Nene45
53
Q2 - 6:33MIAKapono S.FOUL (P3.T2)45
53
Q2 - 6:33DENMiller 6' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS)45
53
Q2 - 6:38MIAHaslem 17' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Wade 5 AST)45
51
Q2 - 6:59DENSmith 26' 3PT Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Miller 9 AST)43
51
Q2 - 7:09MIAPosey 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)43
48
Q2 - 7:17MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)40
48
Q2 - 7:21DENMISS Nene 5' Running Hook Shot40
48
Q2 - 7:42MIASUB: Haslem FOR Mourning40
48
Q2 - 7:42MIASUB: Wade FOR Payton40
48
Q2 - 7:42MIAMourning L.B.FOUL (P1.T1)40
48
Q2 - 7:42DENNUGGETS Rebound40
48
Q2 - 7:42MIAMISS Payton 3PT Jump Shot40
48
Q2 - 8:06DENNene 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Miller 8 AST)40
48
Q2 - 8:16MIAHeat Turnover: Shot Clock (T#5)40
46
Q2 - 8:43DENSmith 26' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Miller 7 AST)40
46
Q2 - 8:5640
43
Q2 - 8:56MIAWalker Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T4)40
43
Q2 - 9:16DENSmith 25' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Miller 6 AST)40
43
Q2 - 9:25MIAWalker 7' Turnaround Jump Shot (6 PTS)40
40
Q2 - 9:35DENSUB: Miller FOR Anthony38
40
Q2 - 9:35DENBoykins P.FOUL (P1.T1)38
40
Q2 - 9:50DENSmith 26' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Boykins 2 AST)38
40
Q2 - 10:00MIAKapono 18' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Payton 4 AST)38
37
Q2 - 10:15MIAPayton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)36
37
Q2 - 10:17DENMISS Anthony 25' 3PT Jump Shot36
37
Q2 - 10:30MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)36
37
Q2 - 10:30MIAMourning Tip Shot (9 PTS)36
37
Q2 - 10:33MIAMISS Posey Reverse Layup34
37
Q2 - 10:36MIAKapono REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)34
37
Q2 - 10:40DENMISS Smith 6' Running Jump Shot34
37
Q2 - 10:54MIAPosey Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T3)34
37
Q2 - 11:17DENBoykins 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Anthony 3 AST)34
37
Q2 - 11:31MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)34
35
Q2 - 11:31MIAWalker Layup (4 PTS)34
35
Q2 - 11:33MIAKleiza BLOCK (1 BLK)32
35
Q2 - 11:49DENNene 3 Second Violation Turnover (P2.T3)32
35
Q2 - 12:0032
35
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA32
35
Q1 - 0:02.0MIAKapono Free Throw Technical (5 PTS)32
35
Q1 - 0:02.0DENNene T.FOUL (P0.PN)31
35
Q1 - 0:02.0DENAnthony 25' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Boykins 1 AST)31
35
Q1 - 0:16.0MIASUB: Payton FOR Wade31
32
Q1 - 0:16.0MIAWade Foul Turnover (P1.T2)31
32
Q1 - 0:16.0MIAWade OFF.Foul (P2)31
32
Q1 - 0:28.0MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)31
32
Q1 - 0:31.0MIAMISS Walker 26' 3PT Jump Shot31
32
Q1 - 0:42.0DENAnthony Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)31
32
Q1 - 0:42.0DENAnthony Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)31
31
Q1 - 0:42.0MIAKapono S.FOUL (P2.PN)31
30
Q1 - 0:42.0DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)31
30
Q1 - 0:42.0DENMISS Anthony Driving Layup31
30
Q1 - 0:56.0MIAMourning Traveling Turnover (P1.T1)31
30
Q1 - 1:01MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)31
30
Q1 - 1:03DENMISS Anthony 21' Jump Shot31
30
Q1 - 1:14MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)31
30
Q1 - 1:14MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)30
30
Q1 - 1:14DENDiawara S.FOUL (P1.PN)29
30
Q1 - 1:20DENNene Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)29
30
Q1 - 1:22DENNene REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)29
30
Q1 - 1:24DENMISS Kleiza Layup29
30
Q1 - 1:29DENNene REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)29
30
Q1 - 1:32DENMISS Diawara 25' 3PT Jump Shot29
30
Q1 - 1:45MIAMourning Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)29
30
Q1 - 1:45DENSUB: Kleiza FOR Najera28
30
Q1 - 1:45MIAHeat Rebound28
30
Q1 - 1:45MIAMISS Mourning Free Throw 1 of 228
30
Q1 - 1:45DENNajera S.FOUL (P2.T2)28
30
Q1 - 1:45MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)28
30
Q1 - 1:47MIAMISS Posey Layup28
30
Q1 - 2:02MIAKapono Free Throw Technical (4 PTS)28
30
Q1 - 2:02MIAKapono Free Throw Technical (3 PTS)27
30
Q1 - 2:02MIASUB: Mourning FOR Haslem26
30
Q1 - 2:02MIASUB: Posey FOR Wright26
30
Q1 - 2:02DENSUB: Nene FOR Camby26
30
Q1 - 2:02DENCamby Ejection:Other26
30
Q1 - 2:02DENCamby T.FOUL (P0.T1)26
30
Q1 - 2:02DENMiller T.FOUL (P0.T1)26
30
Q1 - 2:02DENNUGGETS Timeout: Regular (Full 1 Short 0)26
30
Q1 - 2:02DENAnthony Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)26
30
Q1 - 2:12MIAKapono 10' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)26
30
Q1 - 2:32DENDiawara 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Anthony 2 AST)24
30
Q1 - 2:41MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)24
27
Q1 - 2:41MIAWalker Tip Shot (2 PTS)24
27
Q1 - 2:43MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)22
27
Q1 - 2:43MIAMISS Walker Tip Shot22
27
Q1 - 2:45MIAMISS Wright 18' Jump Shot22
27
Q1 - 3:12DENAnthony Driving Layup (11 PTS)22
27
Q1 - 3:30MIAHaslem Dunk (6 PTS) (Walker 1 AST)22
25
Q1 - 3:49DENAnthony Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)20
25
Q1 - 3:49DENAnthony Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)20
24
Q1 - 3:49DENSUB: Diawara FOR Miller20
23
Q1 - 3:49MIASUB: Walker FOR Mourning20
23
Q1 - 3:49DENSUB: Boykins FOR Smith20
23
Q1 - 3:49MIAKapono P.FOUL (P1.PN)20
23
Q1 - 3:54MIAHaslem Layup (4 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)20
23
Q1 - 4:13DENSmith 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Miller 5 AST)18
23
Q1 - 4:20DENMiller REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)18
20
Q1 - 4:23DENMISS Camby 5' Running Jump Shot18
20
Q1 - 4:29MIAHaslem P.FOUL (P2.T4)18
20
Q1 - 4:45MIAMourning Dunk (6 PTS) (Haslem 2 AST)18
20
Q1 - 4:55MIAHeat Rebound16
20
Q1 - 4:57DENMISS Anthony Driving Layup16
20
Q1 - 5:03MIAMourning Dunk (4 PTS)16
20
Q1 - 5:04MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)14
20
Q1 - 5:07MIANajera BLOCK (1 BLK)14
20
Q1 - 5:14MIASUB: Kapono FOR Payton14
20
Q1 - 5:14MIAHeat Rebound14
20
Q1 - 5:16MIAMISS Wright 17' Jump Shot14
20
Q1 - 5:33DENNajera Reverse Layup (6 PTS) (Anthony 1 AST)14
20
Q1 - 5:53MIAWade Driving Dunk (6 PTS) (Wright 1 AST)14
18
Q1 - 6:08MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.1 Short 0)12
18
Q1 - 6:17DENAnthony Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)12
18
Q1 - 6:17MIAHaslem S.FOUL (P1.T3)12
17
Q1 - 6:17DENAnthony Driving Layup (6 PTS) (Miller 4 AST)12
17
Q1 - 6:27DENCamby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)12
15
Q1 - 6:29MIAMISS Wright 18' Jump Shot12
15
Q1 - 6:51DENNajera Reverse Layup (4 PTS) (Camby 1 AST)12
15
Q1 - 7:05MIAPayton P.FOUL (P1.T2)12
13
Q1 - 7:16MIAWade Layup (4 PTS) (Haslem 1 AST)12
13
Q1 - 7:35DENNajera L.B.FOUL (P1.T1)10
13
Q1 - 7:35MIAHeat Rebound10
13
Q1 - 7:36DENMISS Anthony 17' Jump Shot10
13
Q1 - 7:39DENNajera REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)10
13
Q1 - 7:43MIAMISS Wade Driving Finger Roll10
13
Q1 - 7:56MIAPayton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
13
Q1 - 7:59DENMISS Smith 26' 3PT Jump Shot10
13
Q1 - 8:15MIAWade Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Payton 3 AST)10
13
Q1 - 8:33DENAnthony Driving Finger Roll (4 PTS)8
13
Q1 - 8:39DENNajera REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
11
Q1 - 8:42MIAMISS Wade 20' Jump Shot8
11
Q1 - 8:55DENNajera Reverse Layup (2 PTS) (Miller 3 AST)8
11
Q1 - 9:01MIAWright 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Payton 2 AST)8
9
Q1 - 9:21DENSmith 26' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Miller 2 AST)6
9
Q1 - 9:33MIAMourning 6' Jump Hook Shot (2 PTS)6
6
Q1 - 9:55DENAnthony Driving Dunk (2 PTS)4
6
Q1 - 10:02DENCamby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
4
Q1 - 10:06MIAMISS Mourning 4' Jump Hook Shot4
4
Q1 - 10:24DENCamby 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Miller 1 AST)4
4
Q1 - 10:35MIAWright 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Payton 1 AST)4
2
Q1 - 10:44MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
2
Q1 - 10:46DENMISS Anthony 21' Jump Shot2
2
Q1 - 11:00DENNUGGETS Rebound2
2
Q1 - 11:02MIAMISS Payton 3PT Jump Shot2
2
Q1 - 11:25DENSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)2
2
Q1 - 11:25DENSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)2
1
Q1 - 11:25MIAWade S.FOUL (P1.T1)2
0
Q1 - 11:35MIAHaslem Layup (2 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)2
0
Q1 - 12:00DENJump Ball Camby vs. Mourning: Tip to Haslem0
0
Q1 - 12:000
0
ClockTeamEventMIADEN
Score / WinProb
Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

SHOOTING

Live advanced shooting dashboard requires a premium subscription for some games.

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.01 50.5%
DEN
1.26 62.8%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
21
37
57%
DEN
14
28
50%
Midrange
MIA
16
37
43%
DEN
23
40
57%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
4
6.0
16
25%
38%
DEN
9
13.5
17
53%
79%
Free Throws
MIA
21
28
75%
DEN
22
29
76%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Wade2162%10.5 / 17
U. Haslem2175%10.5 / 14
J. Kapono1979%9.5 / 12
D. Wright1146%5.5 / 12
A. Mourning1063%5.0 / 8
E. Barron744%3.5 / 8
A. Walker650%3.0 / 6
C. Quinn650%3.0 / 6
J. Posey536%2.5 / 7
R. Hite17%0.5 / 7
G. Payton0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
DEN logo Nuggets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Smith3793%18.5 / 20
C. Anthony3252%16.0 / 31
L. Kleiza1568%7.5 / 11
E. Najera1169%5.5 / 8
E. Boykins857%4.0 / 7
A. Miller542%2.5 / 6
Y. Diawara542%2.5 / 6
Nene450%2.0 / 4
D. Johnson4100%2.0 / 2
M. Camby250%1.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
84
+20
-13
104
DEN
83
+15
-13
98
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.01 50.5%
DEN
1.26 62.8%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
104.2
107.9
MIA 110.3
DEN 128.1 +17.8
Pace
90.1
97.2
MIA 88.0
DEN 107.0 +19.0
Avg. Poss. Time
16.5
14.2
MIA 16.4
DEN 13.5 −2.9
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
50.6%
50.1%
MIA 47.8%
DEN 59.4% +11.6%
TO %
15.3%
16.5%
MIA 12.8%
DEN 12.5% −0.3%
ORB %
24.9%
28.9%
MIA 35.6% +5.3%
DEN 30.3%
FTrt
32.1
36.0
MIA 31.1
DEN 34.1 +3.0
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
57.6%
60.7%
MIA 61.0%
DEN 71.7% +10.7%
STL %
7.6%
8.5%
MIA 5.2%
DEN 5.2%
BLK %
8.8%
7.9%
MIA 8.8%
DEN 12.2% +3.4%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.06 and 2.06.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.4%
53.6%
MIA 50.5%
DEN 62.8% +12.3%
Rim FG%
61.8%
60.6%
MIA 56.8% +6.8%
DEN 50.0%
Mid FG%
40.5%
39.1%
MIA 43.2%
DEN 57.5% +14.3%
3P %
34.3%
33.6%
MIA 25.0%
DEN 52.9% +27.9%
FT %
69.0%
74.6%
MIA 75.0%
DEN 75.9% +0.9%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
34.9%
39.9%
MIA 41.1% +8.2%
DEN 32.9%
Mid Att. %
40.7%
39.0%
MIA 41.1% −5.9%
DEN 47.1%
3P Att. %
24.5%
21.2%
MIA 17.8%
DEN 20.0% +2.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.05 and 2.05.
Game TotalsMIADEN
Possessions9796
Possession Minutes26.521.5
Points107123
Rebounds3939
Assists2533
Steals55
Blocks69
Turnovers (Team)13 (2)13 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)16 (4)10 (5)
Def. Rebounds (Team)23 (6)29 (2)
Field Goals41-9046-85
At-the-Rim FG21-3714-28
Midrange FG16-3723-40
2-Point FG37-7437-68
3-Point FG4-169-17
Free Throws21-2822-29
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'9" 205 · 21
39.4
11
46%
5
2
0
1
0
3
3
2
1-1
100%
5-12
42%
0-0
-
G · 6'4" 220 · 25
33.4
21
62%
3
14
4
1
4
3
0
3
5-6
83%
8-15
53%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 235 · 26
31.6
21
75%
3
2
0
0
1
3
0
3
3-4
75%
9-13
69%
0-0
-
C · 6'10" 261 · 37
24.4
10
63%
7
0
0
4
2
3
5
2
2-4
50%
4-7
57%
0-0
-
G · 6'4" 190 · 38
11.3
0
0%
2
4
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-2
0%
F · 6'8" 215 · 26
27.0
19
79%
2
0
0
0
0
3
1
1
5-5
100%
4-6
67%
2-5
40%
F · 6'8" 217 · 30
24.1
5
36%
7
1
1
0
2
2
1
6
2-2
100%
0-3
0%
1-3
33%
G · 6'2" 184 · 23
16.1
1
7%
3
1
0
0
1
2
0
3
1-2
50%
0-3
0%
0-3
0%
F-C · 7'0" 250 · 25
14.1
7
44%
3
0
0
0
2
2
3
0
1-2
50%
3-7
43%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 245 · 30
9.3
6
50%
3
1
0
0
1
0
3
0
0-0
-
3-5
60%
0-1
0%
G · 6'2" 175 · 23
7.7
6
50%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
1-2
50%
1-3
33%
1-2
50%
C · 6'11" 262 · 29
1.6
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
#55 · G · 6'1" 180 · 31
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#32 · C · 7'1" 325 · 35
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#25 · F · 6'9" 250 · 24
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
107
51%
39
25
5
6
13
0
16
23
21-28
75%
37-74
50%
4-16
25%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.