FinalWin Prob.pScore
1234%97
107
766%103
123
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
110.39788.0
DEN logo DEN
128.196107.0

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

NuggetsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

NuggetsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIADEN
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA107
0%
123
100%
Q4 - 0:15.0DENJohnson 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS)107
0%
123
100%
Q4 - 0:32.0MIAPosey Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)107
0.1%
121
99.9%
Q4 - 0:32.0MIAPosey Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)106
0.1%
121
99.9%
Q4 - 0:43.0MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)105
0.1%
121
99.9%
Q4 - 0:46.0DENMISS Diawara 24' 3PT Jump Shot105
0.1%
121
99.9%
Q4 - 1:01DENJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)105
0.1%
121
99.9%
Q4 - 1:04MIAMISS Quinn 8' Running Jump Shot105
0.1%
121
99.9%
Q4 - 1:14DENMiller Foul Turnover (P3.T14)105
0.1%
121
99.9%
Q4 - 1:21MIAQuinn 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS)105
0.1%
121
99.9%
Q4 - 1:29MIAWright REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)102
0.1%
121
99.9%
Q4 - 1:33DENMISS Kleiza Free Throw 2 of 2102
0.1%
121
99.9%
Q4 - 1:33DENKleiza Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)102
0.1%
121
99.9%
Q4 - 1:42DENKleiza REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)102
0.1%
120
99.9%
Q4 - 1:45DENMISS Smith 26' 3PT Jump Shot102
0.1%
120
99.9%
Q4 - 1:59MIABarron Layup (7 PTS) (Hite 1 AST)102
0.1%
120
99.9%
Q4 - 2:13DENJohnson Driving Finger Roll (2 PTS)100
0.1%
120
99.9%
Q4 - 2:30MIABarron REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)100
0.1%
118
99.9%
Q4 - 2:30MIABarron Tip Shot (5 PTS)100
0.1%
118
99.9%
Q4 - 2:32MIAMISS Quinn Free Throw 2 of 298
0.1%
118
99.9%
Q4 - 2:32MIAQuinn Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)98
0.1%
118
99.9%
Q4 - 2:46DENKleiza Driving Dunk (14 PTS) (Miller 20 AST)97
0.1%
118
99.9%
Q4 - 3:02MIABarron Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)97
0.1%
116
99.9%
Q4 - 3:02MIAMISS Barron Free Throw 1 of 296
0.1%
116
99.9%
Q4 - 3:17DENKleiza Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)96
0.1%
116
99.9%
Q4 - 3:17DENKleiza Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)96
0.1%
115
99.9%
Q4 - 3:21MIADiawara STEAL (2 STL)96
0.1%
114
99.9%
Q4 - 3:24DENSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (37 PTS)96
0.1%
114
99.9%
Q4 - 3:24DENSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (36 PTS)96
0.1%
113
99.9%
Q4 - 3:28MIANajera STEAL (2 STL)96
0.1%
112
99.9%
Q4 - 3:31MIAHeat Rebound96
0.2%
112
99.8%
Q4 - 3:31MIANajera BLOCK (3 BLK)96
0.2%
112
99.8%
Q4 - 3:32MIABarron REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)96
0.2%
112
99.8%
Q4 - 3:34MIAMISS Quinn 27' 3PT Jump Shot96
0.2%
112
99.8%
Q4 - 3:41MIAHite REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)96
0.2%
112
99.8%
Q4 - 3:43DENMISS Miller 18' Jump Shot96
0.2%
112
99.8%
Q4 - 4:01DENSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)96
0.1%
112
99.9%
Q4 - 4:05MIAMISS Barron 7' Jump Hook Shot96
0.1%
112
99.9%
Q4 - 4:21DENNUGGETS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#13)96
0.2%
112
99.8%
Q4 - 4:47MIAQuinn 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Posey 1 AST)96
0.1%
112
99.9%
Q4 - 5:13MIAHeat Rebound94
0.2%
112
99.8%
Q4 - 5:13DENMISS Boykins Layup94
0.2%
112
99.8%
Q4 - 5:18MIABoykins STEAL (1 STL)94
0.1%
112
99.9%
Q4 - 5:26DENMiller Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T12)94
0.2%
112
99.8%
Q4 - 5:28DENMiller REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)94
0.1%
112
99.9%
Q4 - 5:30MIAMISS Hite 25' 3PT Jump Shot94
0.1%
112
99.9%
Q4 - 5:51MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)94
0.2%
112
99.8%
Q4 - 5:53DENMISS Najera Free Throw 1 of 194
0.2%
112
99.8%
Q4 - 6:07DENDiawara REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)94
0.4%
110
99.6%
Q4 - 6:09MIAMISS Quinn 12' Jump Shot94
0.4%
110
99.6%
Q4 - 6:20MIAHeat Rebound94
0.5%
110
99.5%
Q4 - 6:20DENMISS Boykins 11' Jump Shot94
0.5%
110
99.5%
Q4 - 6:32MIAMourning 3 Second Violation Turnover (P2.T12)94
0.4%
110
99.6%
Q4 - 6:45MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)94
0.5%
110
99.5%
Q4 - 6:47DENMISS Anthony Driving Layup94
0.5%
110
99.5%
Q4 - 6:52DENNajera REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)94
0.4%
110
99.6%
Q4 - 6:54DENMISS Diawara 26' 3PT Jump Shot94
0.5%
110
99.5%
Q4 - 7:09DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)94
0.6%
110
99.4%
Q4 - 7:12MIAMISS Hite Free Throw 2 of 294
0.6%
110
99.4%
Q4 - 7:12MIAHite Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)94
0.7%
110
99.3%
Q4 - 7:16MIAQuinn REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)93
0.6%
110
99.4%
Q4 - 7:18DENMISS Najera Reverse Layup93
0.5%
110
99.5%
Q4 - 7:22DENMiller REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)93
0.4%
110
99.6%
Q4 - 7:25MIAMISS Posey 24' 3PT Jump Shot93
0.5%
110
99.5%
Q4 - 7:42MIAHeat Rebound93
0.6%
110
99.4%
Q4 - 7:42DENMISS Kleiza 6' Jump Hook Shot93
0.5%
110
99.5%
Q4 - 7:43DENKleiza REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)93
0.4%
110
99.6%
Q4 - 7:45DENMISS Boykins 17' Turnaround Jump Shot93
0.5%
110
99.5%
Q4 - 7:52DENDiawara REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)93
0.4%
110
99.6%
Q4 - 7:54MIAMISS Wright 21' Jump Shot93
0.5%
110
99.5%
Q4 - 8:01MIAWright REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)93
0.8%
110
99.2%
Q4 - 8:04MIAMISS Wright 15' Jump Bank Shot93
0.7%
110
99.3%
Q4 - 8:21MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)93
0.8%
110
99.2%
Q4 - 8:25DENMISS Miller 13' Turnaround Jump Shot93
0.7%
110
99.3%
Q4 - 8:58MIAKapono Layup (19 PTS)93
0.6%
110
99.4%
Q4 - 8:59MIAKapono REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)91
0.5%
110
99.5%
Q4 - 9:00MIAMiller BLOCK (2 BLK)91
0.4%
110
99.6%
Q4 - 9:01MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:5 Def:2)91
0.6%
110
99.4%
Q4 - 9:03MIANajera BLOCK (2 BLK)91
0.5%
110
99.5%
Q4 - 9:15MIAHeat Rebound91
0.6%
110
99.4%
Q4 - 9:15MIAMISS Hite 21' Jump Shot91
0.5%
110
99.5%
Q4 - 9:34MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)91
0.6%
110
99.4%
Q4 - 9:38DENMISS Najera Free Throw 1 of 191
0.6%
110
99.4%
Q4 - 9:40DENDiawara REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)91
0.8%
108
99.2%
Q4 - 9:43MIAMISS Hite 15' Running Jump Shot91
0.8%
108
99.2%
Q4 - 10:08DENDiawara 17' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Miller 18 AST)91
1.3%
108
98.7%
Q4 - 10:18DENMiller REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)91
1.5%
106
98.5%
Q4 - 10:20MIAMISS Haslem 17' Jump Shot91
1.6%
106
98.4%
Q4 - 10:37MIAHeat Rebound91
1.9%
106
98.1%
Q4 - 10:39MIAMISS Kapono 24' 3PT Jump Shot91
1.6%
106
98.4%
Q4 - 10:47DENKleiza 8' Running Jump Shot (10 PTS)91
1.9%
106
98.1%
Q4 - 10:56DENNUGGETS Rebound91
2.4%
104
97.6%
Q4 - 10:57DENMISS Boykins 11' Turnaround Jump Shot91
2.8%
104
97.2%
Q4 - 11:09DENNUGGETS Rebound91
2.8%
104
97.2%
Q4 - 11:10DENMISS Miller Driving Layup91
3.2%
104
96.8%
Q4 - 11:15MIANajera STEAL (1 STL)91
2.8%
104
97.2%
Q4 - 11:32DENNajera Layup (9 PTS) (Miller 17 AST)91
3.4%
104
96.6%
Q4 - 11:47MIAHaslem 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T10)91
4.2%
102
95.8%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA91
5.2%
102
94.8%
Q3 - 0:01.0DENKleiza Traveling Turnover (P1.T11)91
5.7%
102
94.3%
Q3 - 0:23.0MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 1 (21 PTS)91
4.7%
102
95.3%
Q3 - 0:32.0DENMiller Driving Finger Roll (5 PTS)88
3.2%
102
96.8%
Q3 - 0:46.0MIAKapono Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)88
3.8%
100
96.2%
Q3 - 0:46.0MIAKapono Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)87
3.7%
100
96.3%
Q3 - 0:59.0DENAnthony Foul Turnover (P4.T10)86
3.1%
100
96.9%
Q3 - 1:15MIAHeat Turnover: Shot Clock (T#9)86
2.9%
100
97.1%
Q3 - 1:23MIAWright REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)86
3.6%
100
96.4%
Q3 - 1:24MIAAnthony BLOCK (1 BLK)86
3.1%
100
96.9%
Q3 - 1:43DENBoykins 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS)86
3.6%
100
96.4%
Q3 - 1:59MIAKapono 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Wade 14 AST)86
4.3%
98
95.7%
Q3 - 2:25DENAnthony 20' Fadeaway Jumper (32 PTS)83
3.3%
98
96.7%
Q3 - 2:45MIABarron 7' Jump Hook Shot (2 PTS)83
3.9%
96
96.1%
Q3 - 2:59DENBoykins Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)81
3.3%
96
96.7%
Q3 - 2:59DENBoykins Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)81
3.3%
95
96.7%
Q3 - 3:19MIAHaslem Layup (21 PTS) (Wade 13 AST)81
4.3%
94
95.7%
Q3 - 3:25DENDiawara Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T9)79
3.6%
94
96.4%
Q3 - 3:36MIAWright Layup (11 PTS)79
3.0%
94
97.0%
Q3 - 3:38MIAWright REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)77
2.5%
94
97.5%
Q3 - 3:41MIAMISS Kapono 24' 3PT Jump Shot77
2.2%
94
97.8%
Q3 - 3:45MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)77
2.5%
94
97.5%
Q3 - 3:48DENMISS Smith 16' Jump Bank Shot77
2.4%
94
97.6%
Q3 - 3:57MIAKapono 19' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Wade 12 AST)77
2.1%
94
97.9%
Q3 - 4:12DENAnthony Free Throw 2 of 2 (30 PTS)75
2.0%
94
98.0%
Q3 - 4:12DENMISS Anthony Free Throw 1 of 275
2.1%
93
97.9%
Q3 - 4:25DENKleiza REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)75
1.9%
93
98.1%
Q3 - 4:27MIAMISS Kapono 18' Jump Shot75
2.1%
93
97.9%
Q3 - 4:35MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)75
2.4%
93
97.6%
Q3 - 4:38DENMISS Kleiza 16' Jump Shot75
2.2%
93
97.8%
Q3 - 4:51DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)75
1.9%
93
98.1%
Q3 - 4:52MIAMISS Haslem Free Throw 1 of 175
2.0%
93
98.0%
Q3 - 5:04DENAnthony Dunk (29 PTS) (Miller 16 AST)73
1.9%
93
98.1%
Q3 - 5:18MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 1 (17 PTS)73
2.2%
91
97.8%
Q3 - 5:31DENAnthony Foul Turnover (P3.T8)70
1.6%
91
98.4%
Q3 - 5:38MIAWade 20' Jump Shot (18 PTS)70
1.3%
91
98.7%
Q3 - 5:54DENSmith Foul Turnover (P2.T7)68
1.1%
91
98.9%
Q3 - 6:01DENNene REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)68
1.1%
91
98.9%
Q3 - 6:02MIABarron REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)68
1.3%
91
98.7%
Q3 - 6:02MIAMISS Barron Layup68
1.2%
91
98.8%
Q3 - 6:05MIAMISS Kapono Driving Layup68
1.2%
91
98.8%
Q3 - 6:13DENMiller Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)68
1.3%
91
98.7%
Q3 - 6:18DENNene REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)68
1.1%
91
98.9%
Q3 - 6:20MIAMISS Wade 17' Jump Shot68
1.2%
91
98.8%
Q3 - 6:42DENSmith Alley Oop Dunk (35 PTS) (Anthony 5 AST)68
1.3%
91
98.7%
Q3 - 6:47DENDiawara REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)68
1.5%
89
98.5%
Q3 - 6:50MIAMISS Wright Alley Oop Layup68
1.6%
89
98.4%
Q3 - 6:54MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)68
1.8%
89
98.2%
Q3 - 6:58DENMISS Smith Driving Layup68
1.7%
89
98.3%
Q3 - 7:07DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)68
1.7%
89
98.3%
Q3 - 7:09MIANene BLOCK (2 BLK)68
1.7%
89
98.3%
Q3 - 7:24MIAWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)68
2.0%
89
98.0%
Q3 - 7:26DENMISS Nene Free Throw 2 of 268
1.9%
89
98.1%
Q3 - 7:26DENMISS Nene Free Throw 1 of 268
1.8%
89
98.2%
Q3 - 7:36DENNUGGETS Rebound68
1.6%
89
98.4%
Q3 - 7:38DENMISS Anthony 26' 3PT Jump Shot68
1.9%
89
98.1%
Q3 - 7:55MIAHaslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)68
1.6%
89
98.4%
Q3 - 7:55MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)67
1.6%
89
98.4%
Q3 - 8:07DENNene Layup (4 PTS) (Anthony 4 AST)66
1.6%
89
98.4%
Q3 - 8:13DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)66
1.8%
87
98.2%
Q3 - 8:16MIAMISS Kapono 26' 3PT Jump Shot66
1.9%
87
98.1%
Q3 - 8:29DENAnthony Free Throw 2 of 2 (27 PTS)66
2.1%
87
97.9%
Q3 - 8:29DENMISS Anthony Free Throw 1 of 266
2.2%
86
97.8%
Q3 - 8:32DENNajera REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)66
2.1%
86
97.9%
Q3 - 8:35MIAMISS Wade 21' Jump Shot66
2.2%
86
97.8%
Q3 - 8:52DENSmith Layup (33 PTS) (Miller 15 AST)66
2.4%
86
97.6%
Q3 - 8:58MIAHaslem Alley Oop Layup (12 PTS) (Wade 10 AST)66
2.8%
84
97.2%
Q3 - 9:19DENAnthony Layup (26 PTS) (Miller 14 AST)64
2.6%
84
97.4%
Q3 - 9:33MIAKapono 25' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Wade 9 AST)64
3.0%
82
97.0%
Q3 - 9:39DENSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)61
2.2%
82
97.8%
Q3 - 9:39DENSmith Tip Shot (31 PTS)61
2.2%
82
97.8%
Q3 - 9:42DENMISS Anthony Alley Oop Layup61
2.8%
80
97.2%
Q3 - 9:52MIAMourning Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)61
2.6%
80
97.4%
Q3 - 9:52MIAMISS Mourning Free Throw 1 of 260
2.4%
80
97.6%
Q3 - 9:53MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:4 Def:1)60
2.6%
80
97.4%
Q3 - 9:57MIANene BLOCK (1 BLK)60
2.3%
80
97.7%
Q3 - 10:09DENAnthony 16' Jump Shot (24 PTS) (Nene 1 AST)60
2.8%
80
97.2%
Q3 - 10:14DENNene REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)60
3.2%
78
96.8%
Q3 - 10:17DENMISS Anthony 18' Jump Shot60
3.5%
78
96.5%
Q3 - 10:28MIAHaslem 17' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Wade 8 AST)60
3.1%
78
96.9%
Q3 - 10:43DENAnthony 18' Jump Shot (22 PTS) (Smith 1 AST)58
2.8%
78
97.2%
Q3 - 10:52DENSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)58
3.1%
76
96.9%
Q3 - 10:55MIAMISS Haslem 15' Jump Shot58
3.3%
76
96.7%
Q3 - 11:14DENSmith 22' Jump Shot (29 PTS) (Miller 13 AST)58
3.8%
76
96.2%
Q3 - 11:35MIAWright Reverse Layup (9 PTS) (Wade 7 AST)58
4.4%
74
95.6%
Q3 - 11:40MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)56
3.8%
74
96.2%
Q3 - 11:43DENMISS Anthony Layup56
3.7%
74
96.3%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA56
3.3%
74
96.7%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Hite 74' 3PT Running Jump Shot56
3.5%
74
96.5%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAHite REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)56
3.8%
74
96.2%
Q2 - 0:02.0DENMISS Miller 18' Jump Shot56
4.0%
74
96.0%
Q2 - 0:10.0MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)56
3.8%
74
96.2%
Q2 - 0:10.0MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 255
3.7%
74
96.3%
Q2 - 0:11.0DENKleiza Layup (8 PTS) (Miller 12 AST)55
3.6%
74
96.4%
Q2 - 0:14.0MIADiawara STEAL (1 STL)55
4.3%
72
95.7%
Q2 - 0:23.0MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)55
4.7%
72
95.3%
Q2 - 0:25.0DENMISS Anthony 7' Turnaround Jump Shot55
4.6%
72
95.4%
Q2 - 0:43.0MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 1 (15 PTS)55
4.3%
72
95.7%
Q2 - 0:51.0DENAnthony Alley Oop Dunk (20 PTS) (Miller 11 AST)52
3.2%
72
96.8%
Q2 - 1:00MIAWade Driving Finger Roll (12 PTS)52
3.7%
70
96.3%
Q2 - 1:10DENSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (27 PTS)50
3.4%
70
96.6%
Q2 - 1:10DENSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (26 PTS)50
3.5%
69
96.5%
Q2 - 1:17DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)50
4.1%
68
95.9%
Q2 - 1:19MIAMISS Hite 25' 3PT Jump Shot50
4.2%
68
95.8%
Q2 - 1:44DENKleiza 17' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Diawara 2 AST)50
4.3%
68
95.7%
Q2 - 2:01MIAWade Discontinue Dribble Turnover (P3.T7)50
5.4%
66
94.6%
Q2 - 2:06MIAHite REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)50
6.0%
66
94.0%
Q2 - 2:07DENMISS Anthony Layup50
5.8%
66
94.2%
Q2 - 2:09DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)50
5.4%
66
94.6%
Q2 - 2:10DENMISS Diawara 24' 3PT Jump Shot50
5.8%
66
94.2%
Q2 - 2:13DENMiller REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)50
5.4%
66
94.6%
Q2 - 2:17MIAMISS Posey 10' Running Jump Shot50
5.6%
66
94.4%
Q2 - 2:45DENAnthony Foul Turnover (P2.T5)50
6.0%
66
94.0%
Q2 - 2:47DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)50
5.4%
66
94.6%
Q2 - 2:50MIAMISS Wright 22' Jump Shot50
5.6%
66
94.4%
Q2 - 3:04DENSmith Foul Turnover (P1.T4)50
6.5%
66
93.5%
Q2 - 3:07DENKleiza REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)50
5.7%
66
94.3%
Q2 - 3:11MIAMISS Wade 14' Running Jump Shot50
6.0%
66
94.0%
Q2 - 3:32DENAnthony Dunk (18 PTS) (Diawara 1 AST)50
6.5%
66
93.5%
Q2 - 3:42MIAWright Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)50
7.1%
64
92.9%
Q2 - 3:46MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)47
5.8%
64
94.2%
Q2 - 3:48DENMISS Anthony 15' Jump Shot47
5.6%
64
94.4%
Q2 - 3:54DENNUGGETS Rebound47
5.1%
64
94.9%
Q2 - 3:54DENMISS Anthony Layup47
5.6%
64
94.4%
Q2 - 4:02DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)47
5.5%
64
94.5%
Q2 - 4:05MIAMiller BLOCK (1 BLK)47
5.6%
64
94.4%
Q2 - 4:22DENKleiza Driving Layup (4 PTS)47
6.1%
64
93.9%
Q2 - 4:30DENNUGGETS Rebound47
6.8%
62
93.2%
Q2 - 4:32DENMISS Smith 16' Fadeaway Jumper47
7.3%
62
92.7%
Q2 - 4:45MIAWade Driving Dunk (10 PTS)47
6.7%
62
93.3%
Q2 - 5:13DENKleiza Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)45
6.3%
62
93.7%
Q2 - 5:13DENKleiza Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)45
6.4%
61
93.6%
Q2 - 5:15DENNajera REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)45
6.9%
60
93.1%
Q2 - 5:20MIAMISS Wade Layup45
7.1%
60
92.9%
Q2 - 5:32DENNajera Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)45
7.7%
60
92.3%
Q2 - 5:47DENSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)45
10.4%
56
89.6%
Q2 - 5:50MIAMISS Posey 26' 3PT Jump Shot45
10.8%
56
89.2%
Q2 - 6:08DENSmith 20' Fadeaway Jumper (22 PTS) (Najera 1 AST)45
12.0%
56
88.0%
Q2 - 6:21MIAWade Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T6)45
12.9%
54
87.1%
Q2 - 6:33DENMiller Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)45
14.5%
54
85.5%
Q2 - 6:38MIAHaslem 17' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Wade 5 AST)45
17.1%
51
82.9%
Q2 - 6:59DENSmith 26' 3PT Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Miller 9 AST)43
15.9%
51
84.1%
Q2 - 7:09MIAPosey 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)43
19.3%
48
80.7%
Q2 - 7:17MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)40
16.3%
48
83.7%
Q2 - 7:21DENMISS Nene 5' Running Hook Shot40
15.8%
48
84.2%
Q2 - 7:42DENNUGGETS Rebound40
14.8%
48
85.2%
Q2 - 7:42MIAMISS Payton 3PT Jump Shot40
15.2%
48
84.8%
Q2 - 8:06DENNene 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Miller 8 AST)40
16.4%
48
83.6%
Q2 - 8:16MIAHeat Turnover: Shot Clock (T#5)40
17.7%
46
82.3%
Q2 - 8:43DENSmith 26' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Miller 7 AST)40
19.5%
46
80.5%
Q2 - 8:56MIAWalker Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T4)40
22.7%
43
77.3%
Q2 - 9:16DENSmith 25' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Miller 6 AST)40
24.7%
43
75.3%
Q2 - 9:25MIAWalker 7' Turnaround Jump Shot (6 PTS)40
28.4%
40
71.6%
Q2 - 9:50DENSmith 26' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Boykins 2 AST)38
26.6%
40
73.4%
Q2 - 10:00MIAKapono 18' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Payton 4 AST)38
30.5%
37
69.5%
Q2 - 10:15MIAPayton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)36
28.7%
37
71.3%
Q2 - 10:17DENMISS Anthony 25' 3PT Jump Shot36
28.0%
37
72.0%
Q2 - 10:30MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)36
26.5%
37
73.5%
Q2 - 10:30MIAMourning Tip Shot (9 PTS)36
26.5%
37
73.5%
Q2 - 10:33MIAMISS Posey Reverse Layup34
23.4%
37
76.6%
Q2 - 10:36MIAKapono REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)34
24.8%
37
75.2%
Q2 - 10:40DENMISS Smith 6' Running Jump Shot34
24.2%
37
75.8%
Q2 - 10:54MIAPosey Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T3)34
22.8%
37
77.2%
Q2 - 11:17DENBoykins 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Anthony 3 AST)34
24.4%
37
75.6%
Q2 - 11:31MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)34
26.3%
35
73.7%
Q2 - 11:31MIAWalker Layup (4 PTS)34
26.3%
35
73.7%
Q2 - 11:33MIAKleiza BLOCK (1 BLK)32
23.2%
35
76.8%
Q2 - 11:49DENNene 3 Second Violation Turnover (P2.T3)32
24.5%
35
75.5%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA32
22.7%
35
77.3%
Q1 - 0:02.0MIAKapono Free Throw Technical (5 PTS)32
24.2%
35
75.8%
Q1 - 0:02.0DENAnthony 25' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Boykins 1 AST)31
22.5%
35
77.5%
Q1 - 0:16.0MIAWade Foul Turnover (P1.T2)31
26.4%
32
73.6%
Q1 - 0:28.0MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)31
27.9%
32
72.1%
Q1 - 0:31.0MIAMISS Walker 26' 3PT Jump Shot31
26.8%
32
73.2%
Q1 - 0:42.0DENAnthony Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)31
27.9%
32
72.1%
Q1 - 0:42.0DENAnthony Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)31
28.2%
31
71.8%
Q1 - 0:42.0DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)31
30.3%
30
69.7%
Q1 - 0:42.0DENMISS Anthony Driving Layup31
31.4%
30
68.6%
Q1 - 0:56.0MIAMourning Traveling Turnover (P1.T1)31
30.3%
30
69.7%
Q1 - 1:01MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)31
31.8%
30
68.2%
Q1 - 1:03DENMISS Anthony 21' Jump Shot31
31.4%
30
68.6%
Q1 - 1:14MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)31
30.3%
30
69.7%
Q1 - 1:14MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)30
29.9%
30
70.1%
Q1 - 1:20DENNene Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)29
27.9%
30
72.1%
Q1 - 1:22DENNene REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)29
26.4%
30
73.6%
Q1 - 1:24DENMISS Kleiza Layup29
27.4%
30
72.6%
Q1 - 1:29DENNene REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)29
26.4%
30
73.6%
Q1 - 1:32DENMISS Diawara 25' 3PT Jump Shot29
27.4%
30
72.6%
Q1 - 1:45MIAMourning Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)29
26.4%
30
73.6%
Q1 - 1:45MIAMISS Mourning Free Throw 1 of 228
25.8%
30
74.2%
Q1 - 1:45MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)28
26.0%
30
74.0%
Q1 - 1:47MIAMISS Posey Layup28
25.0%
30
75.0%
Q1 - 2:02MIAKapono Free Throw Technical (4 PTS)28
26.2%
30
73.8%
Q1 - 2:02MIAKapono Free Throw Technical (3 PTS)27
24.5%
30
75.5%
Q1 - 2:02DENAnthony Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)26
22.8%
30
77.2%
Q1 - 2:12MIAKapono 10' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)26
21.3%
30
78.7%
Q1 - 2:32DENDiawara 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Anthony 2 AST)24
19.6%
30
80.4%
Q1 - 2:41MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)24
22.9%
27
77.1%
Q1 - 2:41MIAWalker Tip Shot (2 PTS)24
22.9%
27
77.1%
Q1 - 2:43MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)22
21.1%
27
78.9%
Q1 - 2:43MIAMISS Walker Tip Shot22
20.2%
27
79.8%
Q1 - 2:45MIAMISS Wright 18' Jump Shot22
20.2%
27
79.8%
Q1 - 3:12DENAnthony Driving Layup (11 PTS)22
21.4%
27
78.6%
Q1 - 3:30MIAHaslem Dunk (6 PTS) (Walker 1 AST)22
22.7%
25
77.3%
Q1 - 3:49DENAnthony Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)20
21.4%
25
78.6%
Q1 - 3:49DENAnthony Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)20
21.6%
24
78.4%
Q1 - 3:54MIAHaslem Layup (4 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)20
22.8%
23
77.2%
Q1 - 4:13DENSmith 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Miller 5 AST)18
21.4%
23
78.6%
Q1 - 4:20DENMiller REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)18
24.1%
20
75.9%
Q1 - 4:23DENMISS Camby 5' Running Jump Shot18
25.5%
20
74.5%
Q1 - 4:45MIAMourning Dunk (6 PTS) (Haslem 2 AST)18
24.1%
20
75.9%
Q1 - 4:55MIAHeat Rebound16
22.9%
20
77.1%
Q1 - 4:57DENMISS Anthony Driving Layup16
22.3%
20
77.7%
Q1 - 5:03MIAMourning Dunk (4 PTS)16
21.2%
20
78.8%
Q1 - 5:04MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)14
19.9%
20
80.1%
Q1 - 5:07MIANajera BLOCK (1 BLK)14
18.9%
20
81.1%
Q1 - 5:14MIAHeat Rebound14
19.9%
20
80.1%
Q1 - 5:16MIAMISS Wright 17' Jump Shot14
18.9%
20
81.1%
Q1 - 5:33DENNajera Reverse Layup (6 PTS) (Anthony 1 AST)14
19.9%
20
80.1%
Q1 - 5:53MIAWade Driving Dunk (6 PTS) (Wright 1 AST)14
21.1%
18
78.9%
Q1 - 6:17DENAnthony Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)12
20.0%
18
80.0%
Q1 - 6:27DENCamby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)12
22.7%
15
77.3%
Q1 - 6:29MIAMISS Wright 18' Jump Shot12
23.1%
15
76.9%
Q1 - 6:51DENNajera Reverse Layup (4 PTS) (Camby 1 AST)12
24.2%
15
75.8%
Q1 - 7:16MIAWade Layup (4 PTS) (Haslem 1 AST)12
25.5%
13
74.5%
Q1 - 7:35MIAHeat Rebound10
24.2%
13
75.8%
Q1 - 7:36DENMISS Anthony 17' Jump Shot10
23.8%
13
76.2%
Q1 - 7:39DENNajera REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)10
22.7%
13
77.3%
Q1 - 7:43MIAMISS Wade Driving Finger Roll10
23.2%
13
76.8%
Q1 - 7:56MIAPayton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
24.2%
13
75.8%
Q1 - 7:59DENMISS Smith 26' 3PT Jump Shot10
23.7%
13
76.3%
Q1 - 8:15MIAWade Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Payton 3 AST)10
22.7%
13
77.3%
Q1 - 8:33DENAnthony Driving Finger Roll (4 PTS)8
21.5%
13
78.5%
Q1 - 8:39DENNajera REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
22.7%
11
77.3%
Q1 - 8:42MIAMISS Wade 20' Jump Shot8
23.1%
11
76.9%
Q1 - 8:55DENNajera Reverse Layup (2 PTS) (Miller 3 AST)8
24.2%
11
75.8%
Q1 - 9:01MIAWright 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Payton 2 AST)8
25.1%
9
74.9%
Q1 - 9:21DENSmith 26' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Miller 2 AST)6
24.1%
9
75.9%
Q1 - 9:33MIAMourning 6' Jump Hook Shot (2 PTS)6
26.6%
6
73.4%
Q1 - 9:55DENAnthony Driving Dunk (2 PTS)4
25.5%
6
74.5%
Q1 - 10:02DENCamby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
26.6%
4
73.4%
Q1 - 10:06MIAMISS Mourning 4' Jump Hook Shot4
27.1%
4
72.9%
Q1 - 10:24DENCamby 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Miller 1 AST)4
28.3%
4
71.7%
Q1 - 10:35MIAWright 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Payton 1 AST)4
29.6%
2
70.4%
Q1 - 10:44MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
28.3%
2
71.7%
Q1 - 10:46DENMISS Anthony 21' Jump Shot2
27.8%
2
72.2%
Q1 - 11:00DENNUGGETS Rebound2
26.6%
2
73.4%
Q1 - 11:02MIAMISS Payton 3PT Jump Shot2
27.1%
2
72.9%
Q1 - 11:25DENSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)2
28.1%
2
71.9%
Q1 - 11:25DENSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)2
28.3%
1
71.7%
Q1 - 11:35MIAHaslem Layup (2 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)2
29.7%
0
70.3%
Q1 - 12:00DENJump Ball Camby vs. Mourning: Tip to Haslem0
28.1%
0
71.9%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.01 50.5%
DEN
1.26 62.8%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
21
37
57%
DEN
14
28
50%
Midrange
MIA
16
37
43%
DEN
23
40
57%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
4
6.0
16
25%
38%
DEN
9
13.5
17
53%
79%
Free Throws
MIA
21
28
75%
DEN
22
29
76%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Wade2162%10.5 / 17
U. Haslem2175%10.5 / 14
J. Kapono1979%9.5 / 12
D. Wright1146%5.5 / 12
A. Mourning1063%5.0 / 8
E. Barron744%3.5 / 8
A. Walker650%3.0 / 6
C. Quinn650%3.0 / 6
J. Posey536%2.5 / 7
R. Hite17%0.5 / 7
G. Payton0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
DEN logo Nuggets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Smith3793%18.5 / 20
C. Anthony3252%16.0 / 31
L. Kleiza1568%7.5 / 11
E. Najera1169%5.5 / 8
E. Boykins857%4.0 / 7
A. Miller542%2.5 / 6
Y. Diawara542%2.5 / 6
Nene450%2.0 / 4
D. Johnson4100%2.0 / 2
M. Camby250%1.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
84
+20
-13
104
DEN
83
+15
-13
98
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.01 50.5%
DEN
1.26 62.8%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
104.2
107.9
MIA 110.3
DEN 128.1 +17.8
Pace
90.1
97.2
MIA 88.0
DEN 107.0 +19.0
Avg. Poss. Time
16.5
14.2
MIA 16.4
DEN 13.5 +2.9
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
50.6%
50.1%
MIA 47.8%
DEN 59.4% +11.6%
TO %
15.3%
16.5%
MIA 12.8%
DEN 12.5% +0.3%
ORB %
24.9%
28.9%
MIA 35.6% +5.3%
DEN 30.3%
FTrt
32.1
36.0
MIA 31.1
DEN 34.1 +3.0
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
57.6%
60.7%
MIA 61.0%
DEN 71.7% +10.7%
STL %
7.6%
8.5%
MIA 5.2%
DEN 5.2%
BLK %
8.8%
7.9%
MIA 8.8%
DEN 12.2% +3.4%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.06 and 2.06.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.4%
53.6%
MIA 50.5%
DEN 62.8% +12.3%
Rim FG%
61.8%
60.6%
MIA 56.8% +6.8%
DEN 50.0%
Mid FG%
40.5%
39.1%
MIA 43.2%
DEN 57.5% +14.3%
3P %
34.3%
33.6%
MIA 25.0%
DEN 52.9% +27.9%
FT %
69.0%
74.6%
MIA 75.0%
DEN 75.9% +0.9%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
34.9%
39.9%
MIA 41.1% +8.2%
DEN 32.9%
Mid Att. %
40.7%
39.0%
MIA 41.1% +5.9%
DEN 47.1%
3P Att. %
24.5%
21.2%
MIA 17.8%
DEN 20.0% +2.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.05 and 2.05.
Game TotalsMIADEN
Possessions9796
Possession Minutes26.521.5
Points107123
Rebounds3939
Assists2533
Steals55
Blocks69
Turnovers (Team)13 (2)13 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)16 (4)10 (5)
Def. Rebounds (Team)23 (6)29 (2)
Field Goals41-9046-85
At-the-Rim FG21-3714-28
Midrange FG16-3723-40
2-Point FG37-7437-68
3-Point FG4-169-17
Free Throws21-2822-29
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'9" 205 · 21
39.4
11
46%
5
2
0
1
0
3
3
2
1-1
100%
5-12
42%
0-0
-
G · 6'4" 220 · 25
33.4
21
62%
3
14
4
1
4
3
0
3
5-6
83%
8-15
53%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 235 · 26
31.6
21
75%
3
2
0
0
1
3
0
3
3-4
75%
9-13
69%
0-0
-
C · 6'10" 261 · 37
24.4
10
63%
7
0
0
4
2
3
5
2
2-4
50%
4-7
57%
0-0
-
G · 6'4" 190 · 38
11.3
0
0%
2
4
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-2
0%
F · 6'8" 215 · 26
27.0
19
79%
2
0
0
0
0
3
1
1
5-5
100%
4-6
67%
2-5
40%
F · 6'8" 217 · 30
24.1
5
36%
7
1
1
0
2
2
1
6
2-2
100%
0-3
0%
1-3
33%
G · 6'2" 184 · 23
16.1
1
7%
3
1
0
0
1
2
0
3
1-2
50%
0-3
0%
0-3
0%
F-C · 7'0" 250 · 25
14.1
7
44%
3
0
0
0
2
2
3
0
1-2
50%
3-7
43%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 245 · 30
9.3
6
50%
3
1
0
0
1
0
3
0
0-0
-
3-5
60%
0-1
0%
G · 6'2" 175 · 23
7.7
6
50%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
1-2
50%
1-3
33%
1-2
50%
C · 6'11" 262 · 29
1.6
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
#55 · G · 6'1" 180 · 31
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#32 · C · 7'1" 325 · 35
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#25 · F · 6'9" 250 · 24
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
107
51%
39
25
5
6
13
0
16
23
21-28
75%
37-74
50%
4-16
25%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.