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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
December 8, 2006
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
12Heat34%97107
7Nuggets66%103123
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dorell Wright
F-G · 6'9" 205 · 21.0
39.4
20.5
11
44%
5
2
0
1
1
0
3
2
1-1
100%
5-12
2-5
42%
47%
0-0
-
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 24.9
33.4
38.2
21
60%
3
14
4
2
1
4
0
3
5-6
83%
8-15
9-18
53%
49%
0-0
-
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 26.5
31.6
34.9
21
71%
3
2
0
1
0
1
0
3
3-4
75%
9-13
5-10
69%
50%
0-0
-
Alonzo Mourning
C · 6'10" 261 · 36.8
24.4
29.1
10
57%
7
0
0
0
4
2
5
2
2-4
50%
4-7
4-7
57%
55%
0-0
-
Gary Payton
G · 6'4" 190 · 38.4
11.3
20.5
0
0%
2
4
0
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
47%
0-2
0%
Jason Kapono
F · 6'8" 215 · 25.8
27.0
19.6
19
72%
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
5-5
100%
4-6
2-4
67%
42%
2-5
40%
James Posey
F · 6'8" 217 · 29.9
24.1
24.2
5
36%
7
1
1
1
0
2
1
6
2-2
100%
0-3
1-2
0%
44%
1-3
33%
Robert Hite
G · 6'2" 184 · 22.9
16.1
2.5
1
7%
3
1
0
0
0
1
0
3
1-2
50%
0-3
0-1
0%
41%
0-3
0%
Earl Barron
F-C · 7'0" 250 · 25.3
14.1
3.5
7
44%
3
0
0
0
0
2
3
0
1-2
50%
3-7
1-1
43%
47%
0-0
-
Antoine Walker
F · 6'9" 245 · 30.3
9.3
19.2
6
50%
3
1
0
0
0
1
3
0
0-0
-
3-5
2-4
60%
47%
0-1
0%
Chris Quinn
G · 6'2" 175 · 23.2
7.7
4.7
6
51%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
1-2
50%
1-3
0-1
33%
41%
1-2
50%
Michael Doleac
C · 6'11" 262 · 29.5
1.6
9.0
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
43%
0-0
-
Jason Williams
G · 6'1" 180 · 31.1
Shaquille O'Neal
C · 7'1" 325 · 34.8
Wayne Simien
F · 6'9" 250 · 23.8
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Andre Miller
G · 6'3" 200 · 30.7
39.5
35.9
5
39%
5
20
0
1
2
3
1
4
1-1
100%
2-6
5-9
33%
49%
0-0
-
Carmelo Anthony
F · 6'8" 240 · 22.5
34.3
35.5
32
52%
9
5
0
1
1
4
2
7
7-9
78%
11-24
10-19
46%
51%
1-3
33%
JR Smith
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 21.2
34.2
26.6
37
90%
4
1
0
1
0
2
1
3
6-6
100%
5-9
3-5
56%
48%
7-9
78%
Eduardo Najera
F · 6'8" 235 · 30.4
24.9
25.4
11
75%
5
1
2
1
3
0
1
4
1-3
33%
5-6
2-5
83%
50%
0-0
-
Marcus Camby
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 32.7
10.0
33.6
2
50%
2
1
0
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
4-9
50%
48%
0-0
-
Yakhouba Diawara
F-G · 6'7" 225 · 24.3
27.4
19.4
5
42%
4
2
2
1
0
1
0
4
0-0
-
1-1
1-3
100%
49%
1-5
20%
Linas Kleiza
F · 6'8" 234 · 21.9
26.8
10.7
15
70%
4
0
0
0
1
1
2
2
5-6
83%
5-8
1-3
63%
48%
0-0
-
Earl Boykins
G · 5'5" 133 · 30.5
23.4
23.0
8
51%
0
2
1
1
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
3-7
3-6
43%
43%
0-0
-
Nene
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 24.2
14.6
14.5
4
52%
5
1
0
1
2
2
3
2
0-2
0%
2-3
2-4
67%
51%
0-0
-
DerMarr Johnson
F-G · 6'9" 210 · 26.6
3.3
3.6
4
100%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-2
0-0
100%
54%
0-0
-
Jamal Sampson
F-C · 6'11" 235 · 23.6
1.6
1.3
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
52%
0-0
-
Reggie Evans
C-F · 6'8" 245 · 26.6
22.1
1
2-4
51%
Julius Hodge
G · 6'7" 220 · 23.1
Joe Smith
F-C · 6'10" 225 · 31.4
Kenyon Martin
F · 6'9" 225 · 28.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.