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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
December 9, 2006
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
21Pacers27%9175
10Cavaliers73%98107
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Al Harrington
F · 6'9" 245 · 26.8
31.6
34.8
8
27%
4
1
0
1
1
3
0
4
1-4
25%
2-11
5-11
18%
46%
1-2
50%
Jamaal Tinsley
G · 6'3" 188 · 28.8
28.1
31.0
11
35%
0
5
2
1
1
2
0
0
9-13
69%
1-8
3-8
13%
44%
0-2
0%
Sarunas Jasikevicius
· 6'4" 197 · 30.8
26.9
22.5
10
48%
1
1
2
0
0
0
0
1
1-1
100%
3-9
2-4
33%
41%
1-1
100%
Jeff Foster
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 29.9
24.8
27.5
4
100%
10
0
2
1
0
1
2
8
0-0
-
2-2
3-5
100%
51%
0-0
-
Stephen Jackson
G-F · 6'8" 220 · 28.7
14.1
32.9
4
29%
1
2
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-7
3-8
29%
44%
0-0
-
Danny Granger
F-G · 6'9" 222 · 23.6
28.5
28.9
12
48%
9
2
0
1
0
2
2
7
1-1
100%
4-8
2-5
50%
48%
1-4
25%
Marquis Daniels
F · 6'6" 200 · 25.9
23.8
11.4
5
25%
2
1
0
0
0
1
1
1
1-2
50%
2-8
1-3
25%
46%
0-1
0%
Orien Greene
G · 6'4" 208 · 24.8
18.3
1.2
2
17%
2
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
1-6
0-0
17%
41%
0-0
-
Maceo Baston
F · 6'10" 230 · 30.5
15.2
14.7
1
27%
2
0
1
0
0
1
1
1
1-2
50%
0-1
1-3
0%
48%
0-0
-
Darrell Armstrong
G · 6'1" 180 · 38.5
13.2
7.6
13
87%
1
1
4
0
0
0
0
1
1-1
100%
3-4
0-1
75%
41%
2-3
67%
David Harrison
C · 7'0" 280 · 24.3
8.3
6.2
2
26%
2
0
0
0
1
2
1
1
0-2
0%
1-3
1-2
33%
50%
0-0
-
Rawle Marshall
G-F · 6'7" 190 · 24.8
7.3
3.0
3
39%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1-2
50%
1-2
0-1
50%
44%
0-1
0%
Shawne Williams
F · 6'10" 230 · 20.8
Jermaine O'Neal
C-F · 6'11" 255 · 28.2
Josh Powell
F · 6'9" 240 · 23.9
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
LeBron James
F · 6'9" 250 · 21.9
31.9
39.0
27
72%
7
6
1
2
1
3
0
7
4-6
67%
10-13
8-16
77%
52%
1-3
33%
Anderson Varejao
F · 6'11" 260 · 24.2
30.2
20.6
13
60%
9
2
0
1
0
1
3
6
3-4
75%
5-9
3-5
56%
55%
0-0
-
Eric Snow
G · 6'3" 205 · 33.6
24.4
30.3
7
45%
5
5
1
1
3
4
0
5
3-4
75%
2-6
3-6
33%
45%
0-0
-
Daniel Gibson
G · 6'2" 200 · 20.8
23.9
25.3
8
106%
5
3
1
1
0
2
1
4
2-4
50%
0-0
2-4
-
45%
2-2
100%
Zydrunas Ilgauskas
C · 7'3" 260 · 31.5
20.3
27.9
15
60%
7
1
0
1
1
0
2
5
1-1
100%
7-12
5-10
58%
49%
0-0
-
Donyell Marshall
F · 6'9" 245 · 33.6
34.2
22.5
11
47%
17
1
0
1
4
4
1
16
4-4
100%
2-6
2-4
33%
50%
1-4
25%
Damon Jones
G · 6'3" 195 · 30.3
29.4
28.0
15
80%
2
3
0
1
0
2
0
2
2-3
67%
2-2
1-3
100%
48%
3-6
50%
Larry Hughes
G · 6'5" 185 · 27.9
24.4
27.4
8
80%
2
4
2
1
0
3
0
2
0-0
-
1-3
3-7
33%
45%
2-2
100%
Shannon Brown
G · 6'3" 215 · 21.0
12.3
8.3
0
0%
1
0
0
0
2
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
46%
0-2
0%
Sasha Pavlovic
G-F · 6'7" 235 · 23.1
8.9
9.9
3
52%
2
1
0
0
0
3
0
2
1-2
50%
1-2
1-2
50%
45%
0-0
-
Drew Gooden
F · 6'10" 250 · 25.2
22.6
1
4-8
51%
David Wesley
G · 6'1" 203 · 36.1
3.4
0
0-0
41%
Ira Newble
G-F · 6'7" 220 · 31.9
Dwayne Jones
F-C · 6'11" 248 · 23.5
Scot Pollard
C-F · 6'11" 278 · 31.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.