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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
December 9, 2006
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
27Hornets30%9380
18Warriors70%100101
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Rasual Butler
F · 6'7" 215 · 27.5
41.5
35.3
13
38%
4
3
2
1
0
3
0
4
0-0
-
2-8
3-7
25%
42%
3-9
33%
Chris Paul
G · 6'0" 175 · 21.6
36.3
38.3
11
40%
3
5
1
2
0
4
0
3
3-4
75%
4-8
7-14
50%
47%
0-4
0%
Desmond Mason
G · 6'5" 222 · 29.2
34.9
35.7
24
85%
8
1
0
1
0
2
1
7
4-7
57%
10-11
5-12
91%
43%
0-0
-
Tyson Chandler
C · 7'1" 240 · 24.2
32.5
31.0
2
25%
9
1
3
1
0
1
3
6
0-0
-
1-4
2-4
25%
55%
0-0
-
Cedric Simmons
F · 6'9" 235 · 20.9
27.3
18.8
6
43%
1
0
0
0
1
1
1
0
0-0
-
3-7
2-5
43%
47%
0-0
-
Jannero Pargo
G · 6'1" 185 · 27.1
41.0
28.0
15
41%
12
8
1
1
0
5
1
11
6-7
86%
3-10
3-8
30%
40%
1-5
20%
Hilton Armstrong
F-C · 6'11" 235 · 22.0
15.5
12.0
4
60%
1
0
1
0
2
0
1
0
2-3
67%
1-2
2-3
50%
50%
0-0
-
Linton Johnson
F · 6'8" 205 · 26.5
4.9
4.6
1
57%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
1-2
50%
0-0
0-1
-
44%
0-0
-
Marcus Vinicius
F · 6'8" 225 · 22.5
3.6
6.5
2
69%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-1
0%
1-1
1-1
100%
46%
0-0
-
Brandon Bass
F · 6'8" 250 · 21.6
2.5
4.0
2
100%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-1
100%
46%
0-0
-
Marc Jackson
F · 6'10" 253 · 31.9
19.0
0
3-8
44%
Bobby Jackson
G · 6'1" 185 · 33.7
6.5
0
1-2
44%
Peja Stojakovic
F · 6'10" 229 · 29.5
David West
F · 6'9" 250 · 26.3
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Monta Ellis
G · 6'3" 185 · 21.1
42.0
33.5
16
41%
1
7
1
1
0
2
0
1
3-3
100%
5-14
6-11
36%
49%
1-4
25%
Andris Biedrins
C · 7'0" 250 · 20.7
37.6
26.5
17
75%
13
1
0
1
0
1
4
9
1-3
33%
8-10
4-7
80%
61%
0-0
-
Baron Davis
G · 6'3" 212 · 27.7
36.9
29.2
16
52%
9
10
1
1
0
3
1
8
1-1
100%
6-10
5-10
60%
46%
1-5
20%
Mickael Pietrus
F · 6'6" 215 · 24.8
31.7
26.4
22
69%
6
0
1
1
1
3
1
5
0-0
-
5-7
3-6
71%
50%
4-9
44%
Troy Murphy
F-C · 6'11" 245 · 26.6
24.1
25.9
5
36%
5
4
0
1
0
1
2
3
0-0
-
1-2
2-5
50%
47%
1-5
20%
Mike Dunleavy
G-F · 6'9" 230 · 26.2
27.9
23.6
12
68%
4
2
1
1
2
2
0
4
4-4
100%
4-6
3-6
67%
49%
0-1
0%
Matt Barnes
F · 6'7" 226 · 26.8
18.9
15.4
7
58%
2
2
3
1
0
2
1
1
0-0
-
2-3
1-3
67%
52%
1-3
33%
Keith McLeod
G · 6'2" 190 · 27.1
18.4
14.2
4
52%
2
3
2
1
0
1
0
2
2-2
100%
1-2
1-3
50%
39%
0-1
0%
Patrick O'Bryant
C · 7'0" 250 · 20.5
2.5
9.8
2
100%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-3
100%
49%
0-0
-
Anthony Roberson
G · 6'2" 180 · 23.8
19.1
1
2-4
46%
Jason Richardson
G · 6'6" 225 · 25.9
12.4
0
2-3
48%
Adonal Foyle
C · 6'10" 270 · 31.8
10.1
0
1-2
51%
Ike Diogu
F · 6'9" 250 · 23.2
Zarko Cabarkapa
F-C · 6'11" 230 · 25.6
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.