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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
December 10, 2006
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
17Warriors42%101115
20SuperSonics58%103117
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Baron Davis
G · 6'3" 212 · 27.7
40.3
32.9
28
63%
9
13
0
2
0
1
2
7
6-7
86%
8-16
5-11
50%
45%
2-3
67%
Monta Ellis
G · 6'3" 185 · 21.1
32.4
37.3
12
61%
1
3
2
1
0
3
1
0
1-2
50%
4-6
6-13
67%
48%
1-3
33%
Mickael Pietrus
F · 6'6" 215 · 24.8
32.2
29.1
13
81%
6
0
0
1
1
2
3
3
0-0
-
2-2
3-6
100%
50%
3-6
50%
Andris Biedrins
C · 7'0" 250 · 20.7
30.3
32.0
10
56%
5
1
0
1
1
1
2
3
0-0
-
5-9
5-8
56%
61%
0-0
-
Troy Murphy
F-C · 6'11" 245 · 26.6
26.6
25.1
11
61%
7
3
0
1
3
2
1
6
0-0
-
4-7
2-5
57%
46%
1-2
50%
Matt Barnes
F · 6'7" 226 · 26.8
36.5
17.7
20
55%
6
3
0
1
1
1
2
4
4-5
80%
2-6
2-3
33%
51%
4-10
40%
Keith McLeod
G · 6'2" 190 · 27.1
20.1
16.4
13
63%
0
1
0
1
0
1
0
0
11-12
92%
1-4
1-4
25%
38%
0-1
0%
Mike Dunleavy
G-F · 6'9" 230 · 26.2
9.8
26.0
4
40%
1
1
0
1
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
2-4
3-6
50%
48%
0-1
0%
Anthony Roberson
G · 6'2" 180 · 23.8
7.7
10.3
2
25%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-4
1-2
25%
46%
0-0
-
Adonal Foyle
C · 6'10" 270 · 31.8
4.2
6.0
2
114%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
0-0
1-1
-
50%
0-0
-
Jason Richardson
G · 6'6" 225 · 25.9
9.9
0
1-3
48%
Patrick O'Bryant
C · 7'0" 250 · 20.5
6.3
0
1-2
50%
Ike Diogu
F · 6'9" 250 · 23.2
Zarko Cabarkapa
F-C · 6'11" 230 · 25.6
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Rashard Lewis
F · 6'10" 235 · 27.3
43.7
37.2
25
64%
8
4
4
1
0
1
2
6
5-6
83%
4-7
5-9
57%
52%
4-10
40%
Damien Wilkins
· 6'6" 225 · 26.9
41.7
24.7
22
64%
9
2
0
1
0
3
5
4
6-7
86%
8-13
3-7
62%
48%
0-1
0%
Luke Ridnour
G · 6'2" 175 · 25.8
35.0
30.0
26
65%
3
9
0
1
0
3
0
3
5-7
71%
6-12
4-9
50%
48%
3-5
60%
Nick Collison
F · 6'10" 255 · 26.1
31.3
31.4
6
80%
8
0
1
1
1
2
1
7
4-4
100%
1-2
5-10
50%
51%
0-0
-
Chris Wilcox
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 24.3
30.3
34.0
10
73%
8
2
0
1
0
1
2
6
2-2
100%
4-6
5-9
67%
55%
0-0
-
Earl Watson
G · 6'1" 199 · 27.5
33.0
23.3
20
45%
3
5
1
1
0
1
1
2
6-7
86%
7-14
2-5
50%
46%
0-5
0%
Johan Petro
C · 7'0" 247 · 20.9
11.4
20.3
6
75%
1
0
1
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
3-4
3-5
75%
53%
0-0
-
Mickael Gelabale
F · 6'7" 215 · 23.6
10.7
16.4
0
0%
3
1
0
0
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
0-4
1-2
0%
50%
0-0
-
Mike Wilks
G · 5'10" 180 · 27.6
3.0
2.4
2
50%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
0-1
50%
42%
0-0
-
Mouhamed Sene
C · 6'11" 230 · 20.6
2.6
0
0-1
49%
Desmon Farmer
G · 6'5" 220 · 25.2
2.3
0
0-1
46%
Andreas Glyniadakis
C · 7'1" 280 · 25.3
1.3
0
0-0
52%
Ray Allen
G · 6'5" 205 · 31.4
Robert Swift
C · 7'1" 270 · 21.0
Danny Fortson
C-F · 6'8" 260 · 30.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.