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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
December 10, 2006
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
3Spurs56%9799
11Lakers44%95106
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Bruce Bowen
F · 6'7" 200 · 35.5
38.9
25.9
16
85%
1
2
1
1
0
0
0
1
1-1
100%
3-6
1-2
50%
43%
3-3
100%
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 30.6
38.2
29.0
16
69%
13
5
2
1
1
3
3
10
2-6
33%
7-9
7-13
78%
51%
0-0
-
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 24.6
33.0
29.6
21
56%
4
9
1
1
0
5
1
3
3-6
50%
9-16
6-12
56%
52%
0-0
-
Michael Finley
G-F · 6'7" 225 · 33.8
24.1
22.5
6
30%
4
1
0
0
0
2
0
4
0-0
-
0-4
2-5
0%
44%
2-6
33%
Fabricio Oberto
C · 6'10" 245 · 31.7
12.7
21.1
2
100%
4
0
0
0
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
1-1
2-5
100%
52%
0-0
-
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 29.4
23.8
20.9
23
88%
3
3
2
1
0
6
0
3
7-7
100%
2-5
3-5
40%
50%
4-5
80%
Robert Horry
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 36.3
18.2
18.0
7
70%
1
0
1
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
2-3
1-2
67%
41%
1-2
50%
Brent Barry
G · 6'7" 210 · 34.9
18.0
22.4
6
100%
1
3
1
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
54%
2-2
100%
Francisco Elson
C-F · 7'0" 240 · 30.8
15.0
19.4
2
33%
2
1
0
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-3
2-4
33%
51%
0-0
-
Beno Udrih
G · 6'3" 205 · 24.4
14.9
18.6
0
0%
0
2
1
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
2-5
0%
47%
0-3
0%
Matt Bonner
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 26.7
3.3
6.5
0
0%
0
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
49%
0-2
0%
Eric Williams
G-F · 6'8" 220 · 34.4
8.5
0
1-1
42%
Jackie Butler
C · 6'10" 260 · 21.8
Jacque Vaughn
G · 6'1" 190 · 31.8
James White
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 24.1
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kobe Bryant
F-G · 6'6" 212 · 28.3
39.4
22.1
34
64%
8
1
3
1
0
4
2
6
4-4
100%
9-20
4-8
45%
48%
4-5
80%
Lamar Odom
F · 6'10" 230 · 27.1
39.1
38.1
18
68%
11
9
1
1
0
6
1
10
3-3
100%
3-8
4-8
38%
50%
3-4
75%
Luke Walton
F · 6'8" 235 · 26.7
33.8
33.4
17
54%
3
2
2
1
0
2
1
2
2-2
100%
6-13
3-7
46%
47%
1-2
50%
Kwame Brown
C · 6'11" 290 · 24.8
29.8
28.2
11
52%
5
3
1
1
2
4
5
0
1-6
17%
5-8
3-7
63%
49%
0-0
-
Smush Parker
G · 6'4" 190 · 25.5
28.9
26.3
10
51%
3
2
3
1
0
0
1
2
2-2
100%
4-6
2-5
67%
48%
0-3
0%
Jordan Farmar
G · 6'2" 180 · 20.0
19.1
20.9
2
33%
1
4
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
2-3
100%
47%
0-2
0%
Andrew Bynum
C · 7'0" 285 · 19.1
18.3
13.5
6
75%
8
1
0
0
1
0
1
7
0-0
-
3-4
2-3
75%
49%
0-0
-
Maurice Evans
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 28.1
17.5
26.0
4
33%
1
3
0
1
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
2-5
3-6
40%
48%
0-1
0%
Brian Cook
C-F · 6'9" 250 · 26.0
14.2
2.7
4
33%
2
0
0
0
0
0
2
0
0-0
-
2-5
0-1
40%
48%
0-1
0%
Vladimir Radmanovic
F · 6'10" 235 · 26.1
10.9
0
1-2
43%
Sasha Vujacic
G · 6'7" 195 · 22.8
10.8
0
0-1
36%
Ronny Turiaf
C · 6'10" 249 · 23.9
7.8
0
1-2
51%
Aaron McKie
G · 6'5" 209 · 34.2
Shammond Williams
G · 6'1" 201 · 31.7
Chris Mihm
C · 7'0" 265 · 27.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.