Final Win Prob. pScore
2327%91
77
1173%99
99
ORTG#PossPace
TOR logo Raptors
79.497102.6
MIA logo Heat
102.19792.0

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatRaptorsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatRaptorsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventTORMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA77
0%
99
100%
Q4 - 0:11.0MIAHEAT Rebound77
0%
99
100%
Q4 - 0:12.0MIAMISS Barron 18' Jump Shot77
0%
99
100%
Q4 - 0:31.0MIAKapono REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)77
0%
99
100%
Q4 - 0:33.0TORMISS Calderon 20' Jump Shot77
0%
99
100%
Q4 - 0:43.0TORHumphries REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)77
0%
99
100%
Q4 - 0:47.0MIAMISS Hite 26' 3PT Jump Shot77
0%
99
100%
Q4 - 1:03MIAHEAT Rebound77
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 1:03TORMISS Graham 24' 3PT Jump Shot77
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 1:15MIAHite 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Quinn 1 AST)77
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 1:26TORQuinn STEAL (1 STL)77
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 1:43TORSUB: Humphries FOR Bargnani77
97
Q4 - 1:43TORRaptors Rebound77
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 1:44MIAMISS Quinn 25' 3PT Jump Shot77
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 1:55MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)77
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 1:57TORMISS Bargnani 26' 3PT Jump Shot77
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 2:08MIASUB: Hite FOR Posey77
97
Q4 - 2:08TORSUB: Martin FOR Ford77
97
Q4 - 2:17TORSUB: Tucker FOR Peterson77
97
Q4 - 2:17TORSUB: Calderon FOR Parker77
97
Q4 - 2:17MIASUB: Quinn FOR Wade77
97
Q4 - 2:17MIASUB: Barron FOR Haslem77
97
Q4 - 2:17MIAKapono Traveling Turnover (P2.T19)77
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 2:37MIAKapono REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)77
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 2:40TORMISS Peterson 25' 3PT Jump Shot77
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 2:45TORBargnani REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)77
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 2:47MIAMISS Wade 24' 3PT Jump Shot77
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 3:02TORKapono STEAL (1 STL)77
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 3:26MIAWade Driving Layup (37 PTS)77
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 3:39MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)77
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 3:41TORMISS Ford 15' Fadeaway Jumper77
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 3:48TORGraham REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)77
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 3:49MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 277
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 3:49MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (35 PTS)77
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 3:49TORSUB: Graham FOR Garbajosa77
94
Q4 - 3:49TORPeterson P.FOUL (P3.PN)77
94
Q4 - 4:02TORFord L.B.FOUL (P3.T4)77
94
Q4 - 4:02MIAHEAT Rebound77
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 4:04TORMISS Parker 25' 3PT Jump Shot77
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 4:18MIAPosey P.FOUL (P4.T3)77
94
Q4 - 4:31MIAWade Reverse Layup (34 PTS)77
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 4:45MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)77
0.2%
92
99.8%
Q4 - 4:47TORMISS Ford Free Throw 1 of 177
0.2%
92
99.8%
Q4 - 4:47MIAPosey S.FOUL (P3.T2)77
92
Q4 - 4:47TORFord Driving Layup (10 PTS)77
92
Q4 - 4:51TORGarbajosa REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)75
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 4:53MIAMISS Haslem 19' Jump Shot75
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 5:16MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)75
0.2%
92
99.8%
Q4 - 5:18TORMISS Bargnani 14' Jump Shot75
0.2%
92
99.8%
Q4 - 5:27MIAWalker P.FOUL (P2.T1)75
92
Q4 - 5:36TORPeterson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)75
0.2%
92
99.8%
Q4 - 5:37MIAMISS Wade 18' Jump Shot75
0.2%
92
99.8%
Q4 - 5:52TORBargnani Reverse Layup (10 PTS) (Ford 12 AST)75
0.2%
92
99.8%
Q4 - 5:58TORPeterson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)73
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 6:00MIAMISS Walker 14' Jump Shot73
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 6:22MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)73
0.2%
92
99.8%
Q4 - 6:24TORMISS Ford 17' Jump Shot73
0.2%
92
99.8%
Q4 - 6:36MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 1 (32 PTS)73
0.2%
92
99.8%
Q4 - 6:36TORRaptors Timeout: Regular (Reg.4 Short 0)73
91
Q4 - 6:36TORParker S.FOUL (P3.T3)73
91
Q4 - 6:36MIAWade Driving Layup (31 PTS)73
91
Q4 - 6:42MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)73
0.4%
89
99.6%
Q4 - 6:44TORMISS Garbajosa 24' 3PT Jump Shot73
0.4%
89
99.6%
Q4 - 6:57MIAWade 19' Jump Shot (29 PTS)73
0.6%
89
99.4%
Q4 - 7:18MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 4 Short 1)73
87
Q4 - 7:19TORParker 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Ford 11 AST)73
1.0%
87
99.0%
Q4 - 7:27MIAWade Palming Turnover (P5.T18)70
0.6%
87
99.4%
Q4 - 7:40MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)70
0.4%
87
99.6%
Q4 - 7:42TORMISS Ford 3PT Jump Shot70
0.5%
87
99.5%
Q4 - 8:10MIAWalker Tip Shot (10 PTS)70
0.8%
87
99.2%
Q4 - 8:12MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)70
1.0%
85
99.0%
Q4 - 8:14MIAMISS Kapono 19' Jump Shot70
1.2%
85
98.8%
Q4 - 8:31TORFord 15' Jump Shot (8 PTS)70
1.0%
85
99.0%
Q4 - 8:37MIAWalker Lost Ball Turnover (P5.T17)68
0.8%
85
99.2%
Q4 - 8:46MIASUB: Wade FOR Doleac68
85
Q4 - 8:46MIASUB: Haslem FOR Williams68
85
Q4 - 8:4668
85
Q4 - 8:46TORGarbajosa Violation:Kicked Ball68
85
Q4 - 8:46MIAHEAT Rebound68
0.6%
85
99.4%
Q4 - 8:48MIAMISS Williams 5' Jump Shot68
0.7%
85
99.3%
Q4 - 8:53TORWilliams STEAL (2 STL)68
0.6%
85
99.4%
Q4 - 9:06MIAPosey 19' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Williams 6 AST)68
1.0%
85
99.0%
Q4 - 9:23TORPeterson 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Ford 10 AST)68
1.3%
83
98.7%
Q4 - 9:40MIADoleac Driving Layup (6 PTS)65
0.8%
83
99.2%
Q4 - 10:06TORGarbajosa 21' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Peterson 1 AST)65
1.3%
81
98.7%
Q4 - 10:29MIAWilliams Foul Turnover (P1.T16)63
1.0%
81
99.0%
Q4 - 10:29MIAWilliams OFF.Foul (P2)63
81
Q4 - 10:38TORPeterson 26' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Ford 9 AST)63
0.8%
81
99.2%
Q4 - 10:57MIAPosey Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)60
0.5%
81
99.5%
Q4 - 10:57MIAPosey Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)60
0.5%
80
99.5%
Q4 - 10:57TORSUB: Ford FOR Calderon60
79
Q4 - 10:57TORSUB: Garbajosa FOR Humphries60
79
Q4 - 10:57TORSUB: Parker FOR Jones60
79
Q4 - 10:57TORJones S.FOUL (P3.T2)60
79
Q4 - 11:01MIADoleac REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)60
0.8%
79
99.2%
Q4 - 11:03TORMISS Jones 19' Jump Shot60
0.9%
79
99.1%
Q4 - 11:14MIAWalker Driving Layup (8 PTS) (Kapono 2 AST)60
1.0%
79
99.0%
Q4 - 11:24TORPeterson P.FOUL (P2.T1)60
77
Q4 - 11:34TORCalderon Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T15)60
1.2%
77
98.8%
Q4 - 11:45MIAKapono 19' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Walker 3 AST)60
1.5%
77
98.5%
Q4 - 12:0060
75
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA60
1.9%
75
98.1%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIADoleac REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)60
1.9%
75
98.1%
Q3 - 0:00.0TORMISS Peterson 25' 3PT Jump Shot60
2.0%
75
98.0%
Q3 - 0:18.0MIADoleac 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Williams 5 AST)60
2.6%
75
97.4%
Q3 - 0:33.0MIAKapono REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)60
3.2%
73
96.8%
Q3 - 0:35.0TORMISS Humphries 10' Jump Shot60
3.4%
73
96.6%
Q3 - 0:50.0TORHumphries REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)60
3.8%
73
96.2%
Q3 - 0:52.0MIAMISS Williams 19' Jump Shot60
3.6%
73
96.4%
Q3 - 0:59.0TORWalker STEAL (1 STL)60
3.2%
73
96.8%
Q3 - 1:16MIADoleac Foul Turnover (P1.T15)60
4.1%
73
95.9%
Q3 - 1:16MIADoleac OFF.Foul (P2)60
73
Q3 - 1:24TORBargnani Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)60
3.5%
73
96.5%
Q3 - 1:24TORBargnani Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)59
3.3%
73
96.7%
Q3 - 1:24MIASUB: Williams FOR Wade58
73
Q3 - 1:24MIASUB: Walker FOR Haslem58
73
Q3 - 1:24MIADoleac S.FOUL (P1.T2)58
73
Q3 - 1:41MIAWade Driving Layup (27 PTS)58
2.8%
73
97.2%
Q3 - 1:49MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)58
3.5%
71
96.5%
Q3 - 1:50TORMISS Humphries Layup58
3.6%
71
96.4%
Q3 - 1:55TORJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)58
4.1%
71
95.9%
Q3 - 1:57MIAMISS Posey 24' 3PT Jump Shot58
3.9%
71
96.1%
Q3 - 2:18MIAKapono REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)58
3.8%
71
96.2%
Q3 - 2:20TORMISS Bargnani 21' Jump Shot58
4.0%
71
96.0%
Q3 - 2:37TORPeterson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)58
4.5%
71
95.5%
Q3 - 2:39MIAMISS Haslem 9' Jump Shot58
4.2%
71
95.8%
Q3 - 2:50MIADoleac REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)58
3.7%
71
96.3%
Q3 - 2:52TORMISS Jones 12' Jump Shot58
4.0%
71
96.0%
Q3 - 3:15TORSUB: Peterson FOR Ford58
71
Q3 - 3:15TORSUB: Jones FOR Parker58
71
Q3 - 3:15TORSUB: Humphries FOR Graham58
71
Q3 - 3:15TORSUB: Calderon FOR Garbajosa58
71
Q3 - 3:15MIAKapono Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T14)58
4.8%
71
95.2%
Q3 - 3:34MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)58
4.0%
71
96.0%
Q3 - 3:36TORMISS Parker 20' Jump Shot58
4.2%
71
95.8%
Q3 - 3:51TORParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)58
4.8%
71
95.2%
Q3 - 3:53MIAMISS Wade 16' Jump Shot58
4.5%
71
95.5%
Q3 - 4:00MIAKapono REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)58
4.0%
71
96.0%
Q3 - 4:02TORMISS Graham 20' Jump Shot58
4.4%
71
95.6%
Q3 - 4:10MIADoleac 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Wade 5 AST)58
5.1%
71
94.9%
Q3 - 4:19MIADoleac REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)58
5.8%
69
94.2%
Q3 - 4:21TORMISS Parker Driving Layup58
6.2%
69
93.8%
Q3 - 4:43MIAWade Layup (25 PTS)58
7.0%
69
93.0%
Q3 - 5:00MIAHEAT Rebound58
8.0%
67
92.0%
Q3 - 5:01MIAMISS Posey 24' 3PT Jump Shot58
9.4%
67
90.6%
Q3 - 5:13TORFord Foul Turnover (P7.T13)58
8.4%
67
91.6%
Q3 - 5:13TORFord OFF.Foul (P2)58
67
Q3 - 5:26TORGraham REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)58
9.9%
67
90.1%
Q3 - 5:28MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 158
9.7%
67
90.3%
Q3 - 5:28TORRaptors Timeout: Regular (Reg.3 Short 0)58
67
Q3 - 5:28TORGraham S.FOUL (P3.T1)58
67
Q3 - 5:28MIAWade Driving Layup (23 PTS)58
67
Q3 - 5:36TORSUB: Bargnani FOR Nesterovic58
65
Q3 - 5:36MIASUB: Doleac FOR Mourning58
65
Q3 - 5:36MIAHEAT Rebound58
11.3%
65
88.7%
Q3 - 5:37MIAMISS Mourning 8' Hook Shot58
12.7%
65
87.3%
Q3 - 5:56TORGraham Slam Dunk (6 PTS) (Ford 8 AST)58
11.3%
65
88.7%
Q3 - 6:08MIASUB: Kapono FOR Williams56
65
Q3 - 6:08MIAHaslem Foul Turnover (P3.T13)56
10.1%
65
89.9%
Q3 - 6:08MIAHaslem OFF.Foul (P2)56
65
Q3 - 6:30TORGraham 14' Jump Shot (4 PTS)56
8.6%
65
91.4%
Q3 - 6:49MIAPosey 24' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)54
7.5%
65
92.5%
Q3 - 7:04TORGarbajosa 20' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Ford 7 AST)54
10.3%
62
89.7%
Q3 - 7:07MIASUB: Posey FOR Wright52
62
Q3 - 7:12TORGraham REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)52
9.0%
62
91.0%
Q3 - 7:14MIAMISS Wade 20' Jump Shot52
8.6%
62
91.4%
Q3 - 7:29TORParker 19' Jump Shot (15 PTS)52
7.8%
62
92.2%
Q3 - 7:51MIAMourning Dunk (12 PTS) (Williams 4 AST)50
6.8%
62
93.2%
Q3 - 8:02MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 3 Short 1)50
60
Q3 - 8:12TORParker Layup (13 PTS)50
7.9%
60
92.1%
Q3 - 8:16MIAMourning Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T12)48
7.0%
60
93.0%
Q3 - 8:38TORFord Reverse Layup (6 PTS)48
6.0%
60
94.0%
Q3 - 8:54MIAWade 21' Jump Shot (21 PTS)46
5.2%
60
94.8%
Q3 - 9:01MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)46
6.2%
58
93.8%
Q3 - 9:03TORMISS Nesterovic 19' Jump Shot46
6.4%
58
93.6%
Q3 - 9:16TORNesterovic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)46
7.1%
58
92.9%
Q3 - 9:18MIAMISS Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot46
6.8%
58
93.2%
Q3 - 9:30MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)46
6.2%
58
93.8%
Q3 - 9:32TORMISS Garbajosa 24' 3PT Jump Shot46
6.4%
58
93.6%
Q3 - 9:40MIAWilliams P.FOUL (P1.T1)46
58
Q3 - 9:49TORGarbajosa REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)46
7.1%
58
92.9%
Q3 - 9:51MIAMISS Mourning 12' Jump Bank Shot46
6.8%
58
93.2%
Q3 - 10:15TORParker Layup (11 PTS) (Ford 6 AST)46
6.4%
58
93.6%
Q3 - 10:19TORNesterovic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)44
5.6%
58
94.4%
Q3 - 10:21MIAMISS Wright 20' Jump Shot44
5.4%
58
94.6%
Q3 - 10:40MIAHEAT Timeout: Short (Full 2 Short 1)44
58
Q3 - 10:40TORNesterovic 16' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Garbajosa 2 AST)44
4.9%
58
95.1%
Q3 - 10:52MIAWade Traveling Turnover (P4.T11)42
4.3%
58
95.7%
Q3 - 11:12TORFord 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS)42
3.9%
58
96.1%
Q3 - 11:18TORFord REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)40
3.4%
58
96.6%
Q3 - 11:20MIAMISS Haslem 20' Jump Shot40
3.3%
58
96.7%
Q3 - 11:42TORFord 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS)40
3.0%
58
97.0%
Q3 - 12:0038
58
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA38
2.6%
58
97.4%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAHEAT Rebound38
2.3%
58
97.7%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Williams 43' 3PT Jump Shot38
2.5%
58
97.5%
Q2 - 0:01.0TORWilliams STEAL (1 STL)38
2.5%
58
97.5%
Q2 - 0:14.0TORPeterson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)38
2.8%
58
97.2%
Q2 - 0:16.0MIAMISS Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot38
2.7%
58
97.3%
Q2 - 0:37.0MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)38
2.5%
58
97.5%
Q2 - 0:38.0TORMISS Garbajosa 20' Jump Shot38
2.6%
58
97.4%
Q2 - 0:50.0TORGarbajosa REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)38
2.8%
58
97.2%
Q2 - 0:51.0MIAMISS Walker Free Throw 2 of 238
2.7%
58
97.3%
Q2 - 0:51.0MIAHEAT Rebound38
58
Q2 - 0:51.0MIAMISS Walker Free Throw 1 of 238
2.5%
58
97.5%
Q2 - 0:51.0TORBargnani P.FOUL (P1.PN)38
58
Q2 - 1:09TORSUB: Calderon FOR Ford38
58
Q2 - 1:09MIAWilliams Free Throw Technical (11 PTS)38
2.6%
58
97.4%
Q2 - 1:09TORFord T.FOUL (P1.PN)38
57
Q2 - 1:09TORFord Traveling Turnover (P6.T11)38
3.0%
57
97.0%
Q2 - 1:13MIAWade Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T10)38
3.3%
57
96.7%
Q2 - 1:30TORFord Bad Pass Turnover (P5.T10)38
3.0%
57
97.0%
Q2 - 1:43MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)38
3.3%
57
96.7%
Q2 - 1:43MIASUB: Walker FOR Posey38
56
Q2 - 1:43MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)38
3.4%
56
96.6%
Q2 - 1:43TORPeterson P.FOUL (P1.PN)38
55
Q2 - 1:50MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)38
3.9%
55
96.1%
Q2 - 1:52TORMISS Garbajosa 19' Jump Shot38
4.0%
55
96.0%
Q2 - 2:05MIAWade Driving Layup (17 PTS)38
4.5%
55
95.5%
Q2 - 2:26TORGarbajosa 21' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Ford 5 AST)38
5.0%
53
95.0%
Q2 - 2:31TORSUB: Peterson FOR Parker36
53
Q2 - 2:31MIAPosey P.FOUL (P2.T2)36
53
Q2 - 2:37TORFord REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)36
4.5%
53
95.5%
Q2 - 2:39TORMISS Bargnani 25' 3PT Jump Shot36
4.1%
53
95.9%
Q2 - 3:00MIAWade Layup (15 PTS) (Williams 3 AST)36
4.4%
53
95.6%
Q2 - 3:10TORFord Foul Turnover (P4.T9)36
5.1%
51
94.9%
Q2 - 3:10TORFord OFF.Foul (P1)36
51
Q2 - 3:14TORBargnani REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)36
5.8%
51
94.2%
Q2 - 3:16MIAMISS Kapono 24' 3PT Jump Shot36
5.6%
51
94.4%
Q2 - 3:21MIAKapono REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)36
5.1%
51
94.9%
Q2 - 3:23TORMISS Parker 25' 3PT Jump Shot36
5.3%
51
94.7%
Q2 - 3:40MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 1 (13 PTS)36
5.8%
51
94.2%
Q2 - 3:40TORParker S.FOUL (P2.PN)36
50
Q2 - 3:40MIAWade 6' Jump Bank Shot (12 PTS)36
50
Q2 - 3:54TORGarbajosa Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T8)36
7.2%
48
92.8%
Q2 - 4:09MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)36
8.4%
48
91.6%
Q2 - 4:09TORSUB: Jones FOR Humphries36
47
Q2 - 4:09MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)36
8.5%
47
91.5%
Q2 - 4:09TORParker S.FOUL (P1.PN)36
46
Q2 - 4:13MIASUB: Haslem FOR Walker36
46
Q2 - 4:13MIASUB: Williams FOR Mourning36
46
Q2 - 4:13MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 2 Short 0)36
46
Q2 - 4:24TORBargnani 15' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Parker 2 AST)36
9.3%
46
90.7%
Q2 - 4:29TORHumphries REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)34
8.4%
46
91.6%
Q2 - 4:31MIAMISS Wade Driving Layup34
8.1%
46
91.9%
Q2 - 4:50TORBargnani 15' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Garbajosa 1 AST)34
7.4%
46
92.6%
Q2 - 4:58MIAWade Layup (8 PTS) (Walker 2 AST)32
6.7%
46
93.3%
Q2 - 5:22TORFord Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T7)32
7.7%
44
92.3%
Q2 - 5:27MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T9)32
8.5%
44
91.5%
Q2 - 5:43TORGarbajosa 8' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Parker 1 AST)32
7.7%
44
92.3%
Q2 - 5:54TORSUB: Bargnani FOR Graham30
44
Q2 - 5:54MIAWalker Foul Turnover (P4.T8)30
6.9%
44
93.1%
Q2 - 5:54MIAWalker OFF.Foul (P1)30
44
Q2 - 6:00MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)30
6.1%
44
93.9%
Q2 - 6:01MIAMISS Mourning Free Throw 1 of 130
7.1%
44
92.9%
Q2 - 6:01TORSUB: Humphries FOR Nesterovic30
44
Q2 - 6:01TORNesterovic S.FOUL (P2.T4)30
44
Q2 - 6:01MIAMourning Slam Dunk (10 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)30
44
Q2 - 6:07TORParker 24' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Ford 4 AST)30
7.9%
42
92.1%
Q2 - 6:26MIAKapono 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Walker 1 AST)27
6.5%
42
93.5%
Q2 - 6:34MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)27
7.9%
39
92.1%
Q2 - 6:36TORMISS Ford 20' Jump Shot27
8.2%
39
91.8%
Q2 - 6:54MIAPosey P.FOUL (P1.T1)27
39
Q2 - 6:58TORGarbajosa REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)27
8.9%
39
91.1%
Q2 - 6:59MIAMISS Mourning Free Throw 2 of 227
8.7%
39
91.3%
Q2 - 6:59MIAMourning Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)27
8.3%
39
91.7%
Q2 - 6:59TORNesterovic S.FOUL (P1.T3)27
38
Q2 - 7:14MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)27
8.8%
38
91.2%
Q2 - 7:15TORMISS Graham Layup27
9.1%
38
90.9%
Q2 - 7:17TORGraham REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)27
9.8%
38
90.2%
Q2 - 7:19TORMISS Nesterovic 12' Turnaround Jump Shot27
9.1%
38
90.9%
Q2 - 7:30TORRaptors Timeout: Regular (Reg.2 Short 0)27
38
Q2 - 7:34MIAWalker Layup (6 PTS)27
9.8%
38
90.2%
Q2 - 7:36MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)27
10.9%
36
89.1%
Q2 - 7:38MIAMISS Walker Layup27
11.7%
36
88.3%
Q2 - 7:44MIAKapono REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)27
10.9%
36
89.1%
Q2 - 7:45TORMISS Parker Driving Layup27
11.2%
36
88.8%
Q2 - 8:06MIAPosey 26' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)27
12.3%
36
87.7%
Q2 - 8:22TORPosey STEAL (1 STL)27
14.8%
33
85.2%
Q2 - 8:35MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)27
16.2%
33
83.8%
Q2 - 8:35MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)27
16.5%
32
83.5%
Q2 - 8:35TORSUB: Garbajosa FOR Calderon27
31
Q2 - 8:35TORSUB: Graham FOR Bargnani27
31
Q2 - 8:35TORSUB: Ford FOR Jones27
31
Q2 - 8:3527
31
Q2 - 8:35TORJones S.FOUL (P2.T2)27
31
Q2 - 8:37MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)27
17.8%
31
82.2%
Q2 - 8:39TORMISS Parker 24' 3PT Jump Shot27
18.3%
31
81.7%
Q2 - 9:00TORNesterovic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)27
19.4%
31
80.6%
Q2 - 9:02MIAMISS Posey 20' Fadeaway Jumper27
18.8%
31
81.2%
Q2 - 9:27TORSUB: Parker FOR Peterson27
31
Q2 - 9:27MIASUB: Wade FOR Williams27
31
Q2 - 9:27TORCalderon Foul Turnover (P1.T5)27
17.7%
31
82.3%
Q2 - 9:27TORCalderon OFF.Foul (P2)27
31
Q2 - 9:30TORNesterovic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)27
19.3%
31
80.7%
Q2 - 9:32MIAMISS Kapono 21' Jump Shot27
18.8%
31
81.2%
Q2 - 9:36MIAWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)27
17.7%
31
82.3%
Q2 - 9:38TORMISS Calderon 18' Jump Shot27
18.2%
31
81.8%
Q2 - 9:54MIAPosey Reverse Layup (2 PTS) (Mourning 1 AST)27
19.3%
31
80.7%
Q2 - 10:11TORJones 12' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS)27
21.1%
29
78.9%
Q2 - 10:31MIAWilliams 19' Jump Shot (10 PTS)25
19.5%
29
80.5%
Q2 - 10:37MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)25
21.1%
27
78.9%
Q2 - 10:39TORMISS Bargnani 25' 3PT Jump Shot25
21.7%
27
78.3%
Q2 - 10:49MIAWalker Discontinue Dribble Turnover (P3.T7)25
23.0%
27
77.0%
Q2 - 10:50MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)25
21.1%
27
78.9%
Q2 - 10:52TORMISS Peterson 24' 3PT Jump Shot25
21.7%
27
78.3%
Q2 - 11:05TORPeterson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)25
23.1%
27
76.9%
Q2 - 11:06MIAMISS Mourning Free Throw 2 of 225
22.8%
27
77.2%
Q2 - 11:06TORSUB: Nesterovic FOR Humphries25
27
Q2 - 11:06MIAMourning Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)25
21.9%
27
78.1%
Q2 - 11:06TORHumphries P.FOUL (P2.T1)25
26
Q2 - 11:12MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)25
23.0%
26
77.0%
Q2 - 11:13TORMISS Peterson 25' 3PT Jump Shot25
23.6%
26
76.4%
Q2 - 11:23TORHumphries Violation:Defensive Goaltending25
26
Q2 - 11:23MIAWalker Layup (4 PTS) (Kapono 1 AST)25
24.9%
26
75.1%
Q2 - 11:44TORPeterson 6' Hook Shot (4 PTS)25
26.8%
24
73.2%
Q2 - 12:0023
24
Q1 - 0:00.0TOR23
24.9%
24
75.1%
Q1 - 0:00.0TORHumphries REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)23
24.9%
24
75.1%
Q1 - 0:01.0MIAMISS Kapono 18' Jump Shot23
23.9%
24
76.1%
Q1 - 0:27.0MIAHEAT Rebound23
23.0%
24
77.0%
Q1 - 0:29.0TORMISS Peterson 25' 3PT Jump Shot23
23.4%
24
76.6%
Q1 - 0:39.0MIAWilliams Driving Layup (8 PTS)23
24.4%
24
75.6%
Q1 - 0:43.0MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)23
26.7%
22
73.3%
Q1 - 0:45.0TORMISS Bargnani 24' 3PT Jump Shot23
27.1%
22
72.9%
Q1 - 1:06MIAWilliams Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)23
27.8%
22
72.2%
Q1 - 1:06MIAWilliams Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)23
28.1%
21
71.9%
Q1 - 1:06MIASUB: Posey FOR Wade23
20
Q1 - 1:06TORCalderon S.FOUL (P1.PN)23
20
Q1 - 1:09TORHaslem STEAL (1 STL)23
30.4%
20
69.6%
Q1 - 1:20TORCalderon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)23
31.8%
20
68.2%
Q1 - 1:22MIAMISS Wade 18' Jump Shot23
31.4%
20
68.6%
Q1 - 1:36TORHumphries 4' Hook Shot (3 PTS)23
30.4%
20
69.6%
Q1 - 1:38TORHumphries REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)21
27.8%
20
72.2%
Q1 - 1:40TORWade BLOCK (1 BLK)21
26.9%
20
73.1%
Q1 - 1:55MIAWalker Layup (2 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)21
27.8%
20
72.2%
Q1 - 2:09TORPeterson Layup (2 PTS) (Calderon 1 AST)21
30.1%
18
69.9%
Q1 - 2:14MIAWalker Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T6)19
27.8%
18
72.2%
Q1 - 2:29TORBargnani Palming Turnover (P1.T3)19
26.4%
18
73.6%
Q1 - 2:39TORRaptors Timeout: Regular (Reg.1 Short 0)19
18
Q1 - 2:39MIAWalker Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T5)19
27.8%
18
72.2%
Q1 - 2:43MIAKapono REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
26.4%
18
73.6%
Q1 - 2:45TORMISS Bargnani 15' Jump Shot19
26.8%
18
73.2%
Q1 - 2:58MIAKapono Driving Layup (2 PTS)19
27.8%
18
72.2%
Q1 - 3:18TORHumphries Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)19
29.6%
16
70.4%
Q1 - 3:18TORRaptors Rebound18
16
Q1 - 3:18TORMISS Humphries Free Throw 1 of 218
28.9%
16
71.1%
Q1 - 3:18MIAKapono S.FOUL (P1.T3)18
16
Q1 - 3:18TORHumphries REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)18
29.6%
16
70.4%
Q1 - 3:19TORHaslem BLOCK (1 BLK)18
28.3%
16
71.7%
Q1 - 3:20TORHumphries REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)18
29.6%
16
70.4%
Q1 - 3:22TORMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot18
28.3%
16
71.7%
Q1 - 3:38MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)18
29.6%
16
70.4%
Q1 - 3:38MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)18
30.0%
15
70.0%
Q1 - 3:38TORJones P.FOUL (P1.T4)18
14
Q1 - 3:45TORSUB: Calderon FOR Ford18
14
Q1 - 3:45TORHumphries P.FOUL (P1.T3)18
14
Q1 - 3:56TORWade STEAL (1 STL)18
31.6%
14
68.4%
Q1 - 4:04MIASUB: Kapono FOR Wright18
14
Q1 - 4:04MIASUB: Walker FOR Mourning18
14
Q1 - 4:04TORSUB: Peterson FOR Parker18
14
Q1 - 4:04TORSUB: Humphries FOR Garbajosa18
14
Q1 - 4:04MIAWright P.FOUL (P1.T2)18
14
Q1 - 4:06TORJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
32.4%
14
67.6%
Q1 - 4:08MIAMISS Williams 16' Jump Shot18
31.9%
14
68.1%
Q1 - 4:26MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
30.6%
14
69.4%
Q1 - 4:28TORMISS Bargnani Driving Layup18
31.1%
14
68.9%
Q1 - 4:40MIAMourning Slam Dunk (6 PTS) (Williams 2 AST)18
32.4%
14
67.6%
Q1 - 4:56TORGarbajosa 22' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)18
34.1%
12
65.9%
Q1 - 5:03TORGarbajosa REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)16
32.3%
12
67.7%
Q1 - 5:05MIAMISS Wade Driving Layup16
31.7%
12
68.3%
Q1 - 5:21TORBargnani 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS)16
30.3%
12
69.7%
Q1 - 5:38MIAMourning Layup (4 PTS) (Haslem 3 AST)14
28.9%
12
71.1%
Q1 - 5:47TORSUB: Bargnani FOR Nesterovic14
10
Q1 - 5:47MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 1 Short 0)14
10
Q1 - 5:59TORParker 18' Jump Bank Shot (6 PTS) (Ford 3 AST)14
30.2%
10
69.8%
Q1 - 6:04MIAHaslem Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T4)12
28.3%
10
71.7%
Q1 - 6:09MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)12
26.8%
10
73.2%
Q1 - 6:11TORMISS Ford 17' Jump Shot12
27.2%
10
72.8%
Q1 - 6:24MIAWilliams 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS)12
28.3%
10
71.7%
Q1 - 6:29MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)12
29.7%
8
70.3%
Q1 - 6:31TORMourning BLOCK (1 BLK)12
30.2%
8
69.8%
Q1 - 6:36MIAHaslem P.FOUL (P1.T1)12
8
Q1 - 6:51TORGarbajosa REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
31.3%
8
68.7%
Q1 - 6:53MIAMISS Wright 20' Jump Shot12
30.8%
8
69.2%
Q1 - 7:13TORFord Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)12
29.2%
8
70.8%
Q1 - 7:29MIAHaslem Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)12
30.8%
8
69.2%
Q1 - 7:45TORSUB: Jones FOR Graham12
8
Q1 - 7:45TORGraham P.FOUL (P2.T2)12
8
Q1 - 7:45MIAWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
29.1%
8
70.9%
Q1 - 7:46TORMISS Garbajosa Driving Finger Roll12
29.6%
8
70.4%
Q1 - 7:49MIAWade Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)12
30.6%
8
69.4%
Q1 - 8:08TORGarbajosa 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Ford 2 AST)12
28.9%
8
71.1%
Q1 - 8:17MIAWade Layup (2 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)10
27.6%
8
72.4%
Q1 - 8:32TORParker Driving Finger Roll (4 PTS)10
28.8%
6
71.2%
Q1 - 8:44MIAWilliams Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)8
27.6%
6
72.4%
Q1 - 8:44MIAWilliams Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)8
27.7%
5
72.3%
Q1 - 8:44TORGraham S.FOUL (P1.T1)8
4
Q1 - 8:48MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)8
28.7%
4
71.3%
Q1 - 8:50TORMISS Garbajosa 21' Jump Shot8
29.0%
4
71.0%
Q1 - 9:01TORNesterovic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)8
29.4%
4
70.6%
Q1 - 9:03MIAMISS Williams 18' Jump Shot8
29.1%
4
70.9%
Q1 - 9:05MIAHEAT Rebound8
28.4%
4
71.6%
Q1 - 9:06MIAMISS Wright Reverse Layup8
29.0%
4
71.0%
Q1 - 9:27TORParker 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Nesterovic 2 AST)8
28.3%
4
71.7%
Q1 - 9:34TORFord REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
27.3%
4
72.7%
Q1 - 9:36MIAMISS Wade 16' Jump Shot6
27.0%
4
73.0%
Q1 - 9:46MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
26.5%
4
73.5%
Q1 - 9:48TORMISS Garbajosa 20' Jump Shot6
26.7%
4
73.3%
Q1 - 9:59TORNesterovic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
27.2%
4
72.8%
Q1 - 10:01MIAMISS Wright 8' Running Hook Shot6
26.8%
4
73.2%
Q1 - 10:14TORNesterovic Layup (4 PTS) (Ford 1 AST)6
26.3%
4
73.7%
Q1 - 10:29MIAWright 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Haslem 2 AST)4
25.9%
4
74.1%
Q1 - 10:51TORNesterovic 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Graham 1 AST)4
26.5%
2
73.5%
Q1 - 11:04MIAHEAT Turnover: Shot Clock (T#1)2
26.1%
2
73.9%
Q1 - 11:04MIAHEAT Rebound2
25.7%
2
74.3%
Q1 - 11:05MIAMISS Haslem 12' Jump Shot2
26.0%
2
74.0%
Q1 - 11:29TORGraham Layup (2 PTS) (Nesterovic 1 AST)2
26.2%
2
73.8%
Q1 - 11:46MIAMourning Layup (2 PTS) (Haslem 1 AST)0
26.5%
2
73.5%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball Mourning vs. Nesterovic: Tip to Haslem0
26.9%
0
73.1%
Q1 - 12:000
0
ClockTeamEventTORMIA
Score / WinProb

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

TOR
0.92 45.8%
MIA
1.10 55.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
TOR
10
19
53%
MIA
24
29
83%
Midrange
TOR
21
41
51%
MIA
11
34
32%
3PT | Effective 3PT
TOR
4
6.0
21
19%
29%
MIA
3
4.5
12
25%
38%
Free Throws
TOR
3
5
60%
MIA
20
27
74%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
TOR logo Raptors
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
A. Parker1864%9.0 / 14
J. Garbajosa1246%6.0 / 13
T. Ford1050%5.0 / 10
A. Bargnani1038%5.0 / 13
M. Peterson1056%5.0 / 9
J. Graham650%3.0 / 6
R. Nesterovic660%3.0 / 5
K. Humphries325%1.5 / 6
F. Jones220%1.0 / 5
J. Calderon0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Wade3771%18.5 / 26
A. Mourning1267%6.0 / 9
J. Posey1275%6.0 / 8
J. Williams1146%5.5 / 12
A. Walker1063%5.0 / 8
J. Kapono750%3.5 / 7
M. Doleac6100%3.0 / 3
D. Wright220%1.0 / 5
R. Hite250%1.0 / 2
U. Haslem0-0.0 / 4
E. Barron0-0.0 / 1
C. Quinn0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

TOR
79
+5
-18
84
MIA
79
+10
-18
89
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

TOR
0.92 45.8%
MIA
1.10 55.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
106.3
104.2
TOR 79.4
MIA 102.1 +22.7
Pace
93.3
90.1
TOR 102.6 +10.5
MIA 92.0
Avg. Poss. Time
15.3
16.5
TOR 14.0 −1.6
MIA 15.6
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
50.4%
50.6%
TOR 45.7%
MIA 52.7% +7.0%
TO %
13.8%
15.3%
TOR 17.8% −0.1%
MIA 17.9%
ORB %
22.3%
24.9%
TOR 11.4% +2.8%
MIA 8.6%
FTrt
30.3
32.1
TOR 6.2
MIA 36.0 +29.8
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
60.1%
57.6%
TOR 62.9% +7.6%
MIA 55.3%
STL %
7.6%
7.6%
TOR 7.2%
MIA 8.2% +1.0%
BLK %
6.3%
8.8%
TOR 1.6%
MIA 5.0% +3.4%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.09 and 2.09.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
53.6%
52.4%
TOR 45.8%
MIA 55.0% +9.2%
Rim FG%
59.5%
61.8%
TOR 52.6%
MIA 82.8% +30.2%
Mid FG%
42.7%
40.5%
TOR 51.2% +18.8%
MIA 32.4%
3P %
36.3%
34.3%
TOR 19.0%
MIA 25.0% +6.0%
FT %
78.8%
69.0%
TOR 60.0%
MIA 74.1% +14.1%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
30.1%
34.9%
TOR 23.5%
MIA 38.7% +15.2%
Mid Att. %
47.6%
40.7%
TOR 50.6%
MIA 45.3% −5.3%
3P Att. %
22.4%
24.5%
TOR 25.9% +9.9%
MIA 16.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.05 and 2.05.
Game TotalsTORMIA
Possessions9797
Possession Minutes22.725.3
Points7799
Rebounds3742
Assists2221
Steals78
Blocks13
Turnovers (Team)18 (0)18 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)5 (0)3 (7)
Def. Rebounds (Team)32 (1)39 (3)
Field Goals35-8138-75
At-the-Rim FG10-1924-29
Midrange FG21-4111-34
2-Point FG31-6035-63
3-Point FG4-213-12
Free Throws3-520-27
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'0" 165 · 24
33.3
10
50%
3
12
2
0
7
3
1
2
0-1
0%
5-9
56%
0-1
0%
F · 6'9" 245 · 29
32.4
12
46%
6
2
2
1
2
0
0
6
0-0
-
6-11
55%
0-2
0%
G · 6'6" 210 · 31
32.3
18
64%
1
2
1
0
1
3
0
1
0-0
-
6-9
67%
2-5
40%
F · 6'7" 230 · 25
19.5
6
50%
4
1
0
0
0
3
1
3
0-0
-
3-5
60%
0-1
0%
C · 7'0" 255 · 31
17.7
6
60%
6
2
0
0
1
2
0
6
0-0
-
3-5
60%
0-0
-
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 21
31.0
10
38%
2
0
0
0
3
1
0
2
2-2
100%
4-8
50%
0-4
0%
G · 6'7" 220 · 29
22.1
10
56%
5
1
1
0
0
3
0
5
0-0
-
2-2
100%
2-7
29%
G · 6'2" 225 · 28
19.6
2
20%
2
1
0
0
1
3
0
2
0-0
-
1-4
25%
0-1
0%
G · 6'3" 200 · 25
14.9
0
0%
1
1
1
0
2
2
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
0%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 235 · 22
12.8
3
25%
7
0
0
0
0
2
3
4
1-2
50%
1-5
20%
0-0
-
F · 6'6" 245 · 22
2.3
0
0%
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
G · 5'11" 170 · 36
2.1
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
#9 · F · 6'10" 250 · 25
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#4 · F · 6'11" 235 · 23
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#10 · F · 6'10" 238 · 24
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
77
46%
37
22
7
1
18
0
5
32
3-5
60%
31-60
52%
4-21
19%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.