| ORTG | #Poss | Pace | |
|---|---|---|---|
 TOR | 79.4 | 97 | 102.6 |
 MIA | 102.1 | 97 | 92.0 |
Scoring Opportunities
TOR
79
+5
-18
84
MIA
79
+10
-18
89
Base
ORB
TOV
Scoring Efficiency
TOR
0.92 45.8%
MIA
1.10 55.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %
WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS
Win Probability
Scoring Margin
Play-by-Play
| Score / WinProb | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clock | Team | Event | TOR | MIA |
| Q4 - 0:00.0 | MIA | 77 0% | 99 100% | |
| Q4 - 0:11.0 | MIA | HEAT Rebound | 77 0% | 99 100% |
| Q4 - 0:12.0 | MIA | MISS Barron 18' Jump Shot | 77 0% | 99 100% |
| Q4 - 0:31.0 | MIA | Kapono REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8) | 77 0% | 99 100% |
| Q4 - 0:33.0 | TOR | MISS Calderon 20' Jump Shot | 77 0% | 99 100% |
| Q4 - 0:43.0 | TOR | Humphries REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4) | 77 0% | 99 100% |
| Q4 - 0:47.0 | MIA | MISS Hite 26' 3PT Jump Shot | 77 0% | 99 100% |
| Q4 - 1:03 | MIA | HEAT Rebound | 77 0.1% | 99 99.9% |
| Q4 - 1:03 | TOR | MISS Graham 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 77 0.1% | 99 99.9% |
| Q4 - 1:15 | MIA | Hite 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Quinn 1 AST) | 77 0.1% | 99 99.9% |
| Q4 - 1:26 | TOR | Quinn STEAL (1 STL) | 77 0.1% | 97 99.9% |
| Q4 - 1:43 | TOR | Raptors Rebound | 77 0.1% | 97 99.9% |
| Q4 - 1:44 | MIA | MISS Quinn 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 77 0.1% | 97 99.9% |
| Q4 - 1:55 | MIA | Walker REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2) | 77 0.1% | 97 99.9% |
| Q4 - 1:57 | TOR | MISS Bargnani 26' 3PT Jump Shot | 77 0.1% | 97 99.9% |
| Q4 - 2:17 | MIA | Kapono Traveling Turnover (P2.T19) | 77 0.1% | 97 99.9% |
| Q4 - 2:37 | MIA | Kapono REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7) | 77 0.1% | 97 99.9% |
| Q4 - 2:40 | TOR | MISS Peterson 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 77 0.1% | 97 99.9% |
| Q4 - 2:45 | TOR | Bargnani REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 77 0.1% | 97 99.9% |
| Q4 - 2:47 | MIA | MISS Wade 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 77 0.1% | 97 99.9% |
| Q4 - 3:02 | TOR | Kapono STEAL (1 STL) | 77 0.1% | 97 99.9% |
| Q4 - 3:26 | MIA | Wade Driving Layup (37 PTS) | 77 0.1% | 97 99.9% |
| Q4 - 3:39 | MIA | Wade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4) | 77 0.1% | 95 99.9% |
| Q4 - 3:41 | TOR | MISS Ford 15' Fadeaway Jumper | 77 0.1% | 95 99.9% |
| Q4 - 3:48 | TOR | Graham REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3) | 77 0.1% | 95 99.9% |
| Q4 - 3:49 | MIA | MISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 2 | 77 0.1% | 95 99.9% |
| Q4 - 3:49 | MIA | Wade Free Throw 1 of 2 (35 PTS) | 77 0.1% | 95 99.9% |
| Q4 - 4:02 | MIA | HEAT Rebound | 77 0.1% | 94 99.9% |
| Q4 - 4:04 | TOR | MISS Parker 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 77 0.1% | 94 99.9% |
| Q4 - 4:31 | MIA | Wade Reverse Layup (34 PTS) | 77 0.1% | 94 99.9% |
| Q4 - 4:45 | MIA | Haslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7) | 77 0.1% | 92 99.9% |
| Q4 - 4:47 | TOR | MISS Ford Free Throw 1 of 1 | 77 0.1% | 92 99.9% |
| Q4 - 4:51 | TOR | Garbajosa REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6) | 75 0.1% | 92 99.9% |
| Q4 - 4:53 | MIA | MISS Haslem 19' Jump Shot | 75 0.1% | 92 99.9% |
| Q4 - 5:16 | MIA | Posey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7) | 75 0.1% | 92 99.9% |
| Q4 - 5:18 | TOR | MISS Bargnani 14' Jump Shot | 75 0.1% | 92 99.9% |
| Q4 - 5:36 | TOR | Peterson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5) | 75 0.2% | 92 99.8% |
| Q4 - 5:37 | MIA | MISS Wade 18' Jump Shot | 75 0.2% | 92 99.8% |
| Q4 - 5:52 | TOR | Bargnani Reverse Layup (10 PTS) (Ford 12 AST) | 75 0.1% | 92 99.9% |
| Q4 - 5:58 | TOR | Peterson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4) | 73 0.1% | 92 99.9% |
| Q4 - 6:00 | MIA | MISS Walker 14' Jump Shot | 73 0.1% | 92 99.9% |
| Q4 - 6:22 | MIA | Posey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6) | 73 0.1% | 92 99.9% |
| Q4 - 6:24 | TOR | MISS Ford 17' Jump Shot | 73 0.1% | 92 99.9% |
| Q4 - 6:36 | MIA | Wade Free Throw 1 of 1 (32 PTS) | 73 0.2% | 92 99.8% |
| Q4 - 6:42 | MIA | Posey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5) | 73 0.3% | 89 99.7% |
| Q4 - 6:44 | TOR | MISS Garbajosa 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 73 0.3% | 89 99.7% |
| Q4 - 6:57 | MIA | Wade 19' Jump Shot (29 PTS) | 73 0.4% | 89 99.6% |
| Q4 - 7:19 | TOR | Parker 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Ford 11 AST) | 73 0.8% | 87 99.2% |
| Q4 - 7:27 | MIA | Wade Palming Turnover (P5.T18) | 70 0.5% | 87 99.5% |
| Q4 - 7:40 | MIA | Haslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6) | 70 0.3% | 87 99.7% |
| Q4 - 7:42 | TOR | MISS Ford 3PT Jump Shot | 70 0.4% | 87 99.6% |
| Q4 - 8:10 | MIA | Walker Tip Shot (10 PTS) | 70 0.6% | 87 99.4% |
| Q4 - 8:12 | MIA | Walker REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1) | 70 0.8% | 85 99.2% |
| Q4 - 8:14 | MIA | MISS Kapono 19' Jump Shot | 70 1.0% | 85 99.0% |
| Q4 - 8:31 | TOR | Ford 15' Jump Shot (8 PTS) | 70 0.8% | 85 99.2% |
| Q4 - 8:37 | MIA | Walker Lost Ball Turnover (P5.T17) | 68 0.6% | 85 99.4% |
| Q4 - 8:46 | MIA | HEAT Rebound | 68 0.5% | 85 99.5% |
| Q4 - 8:48 | MIA | MISS Williams 5' Jump Shot | 68 0.6% | 85 99.4% |
| Q4 - 8:53 | TOR | Williams STEAL (2 STL) | 68 0.5% | 85 99.5% |
| Q4 - 9:06 | MIA | Posey 19' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Williams 6 AST) | 68 0.8% | 85 99.2% |
| Q4 - 9:23 | TOR | Peterson 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Ford 10 AST) | 68 1.0% | 83 99.0% |
| Q4 - 9:40 | MIA | Doleac Driving Layup (6 PTS) | 65 0.6% | 83 99.4% |
| Q4 - 10:06 | TOR | Garbajosa 21' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Peterson 1 AST) | 65 0.9% | 81 99.1% |
| Q4 - 10:29 | MIA | Williams Foul Turnover (P1.T16) | 63 0.8% | 81 99.2% |
| Q4 - 10:38 | TOR | Peterson 26' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Ford 9 AST) | 63 0.6% | 81 99.4% |
| Q4 - 10:57 | MIA | Posey Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS) | 60 0.4% | 81 99.6% |
| Q4 - 10:57 | MIA | Posey Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS) | 60 0.4% | 80 99.6% |
| Q4 - 11:01 | MIA | Doleac REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4) | 60 0.6% | 79 99.4% |
| Q4 - 11:03 | TOR | MISS Jones 19' Jump Shot | 60 0.6% | 79 99.4% |
| Q4 - 11:14 | MIA | Walker Driving Layup (8 PTS) (Kapono 2 AST) | 60 0.7% | 79 99.3% |
| Q4 - 11:34 | TOR | Calderon Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T15) | 60 0.9% | 77 99.1% |
| Q4 - 11:45 | MIA | Kapono 19' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Walker 3 AST) | 60 1.1% | 77 98.9% |
| Q3 - 0:00.0 | MIA | 60 1.4% | 75 98.6% | |
| Q3 - 0:00.0 | MIA | Doleac REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 60 1.4% | 75 98.6% |
| Q3 - 0:00.0 | TOR | MISS Peterson 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 60 1.5% | 75 98.5% |
| Q3 - 0:18.0 | MIA | Doleac 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Williams 5 AST) | 60 2.0% | 75 98.0% |
| Q3 - 0:33.0 | MIA | Kapono REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6) | 60 2.4% | 73 97.6% |
| Q3 - 0:35.0 | TOR | MISS Humphries 10' Jump Shot | 60 2.6% | 73 97.4% |
| Q3 - 0:50.0 | TOR | Humphries REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3) | 60 3.0% | 73 97.0% |
| Q3 - 0:52.0 | MIA | MISS Williams 19' Jump Shot | 60 2.8% | 73 97.2% |
| Q3 - 0:59.0 | TOR | Walker STEAL (1 STL) | 60 2.4% | 73 97.6% |
| Q3 - 1:16 | MIA | Doleac Foul Turnover (P1.T15) | 60 3.3% | 73 96.7% |
| Q3 - 1:24 | TOR | Bargnani Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS) | 60 2.7% | 73 97.3% |
| Q3 - 1:24 | TOR | Bargnani Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS) | 59 2.6% | 73 97.4% |
| Q3 - 1:41 | MIA | Wade Driving Layup (27 PTS) | 58 2.2% | 73 97.8% |
| Q3 - 1:49 | MIA | Wade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 58 2.7% | 71 97.3% |
| Q3 - 1:50 | TOR | MISS Humphries Layup | 58 2.9% | 71 97.1% |
| Q3 - 1:55 | TOR | Jones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 58 3.3% | 71 96.7% |
| Q3 - 1:57 | MIA | MISS Posey 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 58 3.1% | 71 96.9% |
| Q3 - 2:18 | MIA | Kapono REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5) | 58 3.0% | 71 97.0% |
| Q3 - 2:20 | TOR | MISS Bargnani 21' Jump Shot | 58 3.1% | 71 96.9% |
| Q3 - 2:37 | TOR | Peterson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 58 3.6% | 71 96.4% |
| Q3 - 2:39 | MIA | MISS Haslem 9' Jump Shot | 58 3.4% | 71 96.6% |
| Q3 - 2:50 | MIA | Doleac REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 58 2.9% | 71 97.1% |
| Q3 - 2:52 | TOR | MISS Jones 12' Jump Shot | 58 3.1% | 71 96.9% |
| Q3 - 3:15 | MIA | Kapono Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T14) | 58 3.9% | 71 96.1% |
| Q3 - 3:34 | MIA | Posey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4) | 58 3.2% | 71 96.8% |
| Q3 - 3:36 | TOR | MISS Parker 20' Jump Shot | 58 3.4% | 71 96.6% |
| Q3 - 3:51 | TOR | Parker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 58 3.9% | 71 96.1% |
| Q3 - 3:53 | MIA | MISS Wade 16' Jump Shot | 58 3.7% | 71 96.3% |
| Q3 - 4:00 | MIA | Kapono REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4) | 58 3.2% | 71 96.8% |
| Q3 - 4:02 | TOR | MISS Graham 20' Jump Shot | 58 3.6% | 71 96.4% |
| Q3 - 4:10 | MIA | Doleac 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Wade 5 AST) | 58 4.1% | 71 95.9% |
| Q3 - 4:19 | MIA | Doleac REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 58 4.7% | 69 95.3% |
| Q3 - 4:21 | TOR | MISS Parker Driving Layup | 58 5.0% | 69 95.0% |
| Q3 - 4:43 | MIA | Wade Layup (25 PTS) | 58 5.7% | 69 94.3% |
| Q3 - 5:00 | MIA | HEAT Rebound | 58 6.6% | 67 93.4% |
| Q3 - 5:01 | MIA | MISS Posey 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 58 7.8% | 67 92.2% |
| Q3 - 5:13 | TOR | Ford Foul Turnover (P7.T13) | 58 7.0% | 67 93.0% |
| Q3 - 5:26 | TOR | Graham REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2) | 58 8.2% | 67 91.8% |
| Q3 - 5:28 | MIA | MISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 1 | 58 8.0% | 67 92.0% |
| Q3 - 5:36 | MIA | HEAT Rebound | 58 9.4% | 65 90.6% |
| Q3 - 5:37 | MIA | MISS Mourning 8' Hook Shot | 58 10.5% | 65 89.5% |
| Q3 - 5:56 | TOR | Graham Slam Dunk (6 PTS) (Ford 8 AST) | 58 9.4% | 65 90.6% |
| Q3 - 6:08 | MIA | Haslem Foul Turnover (P3.T13) | 56 8.5% | 65 91.5% |
| Q3 - 6:30 | TOR | Graham 14' Jump Shot (4 PTS) | 56 7.2% | 65 92.8% |
| Q3 - 6:49 | MIA | Posey 24' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Wade 4 AST) | 54 6.3% | 65 93.7% |
| Q3 - 7:04 | TOR | Garbajosa 20' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Ford 7 AST) | 54 8.6% | 62 91.4% |
| Q3 - 7:12 | TOR | Graham REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1) | 52 7.6% | 62 92.4% |
| Q3 - 7:14 | MIA | MISS Wade 20' Jump Shot | 52 7.2% | 62 92.8% |
| Q3 - 7:29 | TOR | Parker 19' Jump Shot (15 PTS) | 52 6.4% | 62 93.6% |
| Q3 - 7:51 | MIA | Mourning Dunk (12 PTS) (Williams 4 AST) | 50 5.7% | 62 94.3% |
| Q3 - 8:12 | TOR | Parker Layup (13 PTS) | 50 6.6% | 60 93.4% |
| Q3 - 8:16 | MIA | Mourning Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T12) | 48 5.8% | 60 94.2% |
| Q3 - 8:38 | TOR | Ford Reverse Layup (6 PTS) | 48 5.0% | 60 95.0% |
| Q3 - 8:54 | MIA | Wade 21' Jump Shot (21 PTS) | 46 4.4% | 60 95.6% |
| Q3 - 9:01 | MIA | Haslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5) | 46 5.1% | 58 94.9% |
| Q3 - 9:03 | TOR | MISS Nesterovic 19' Jump Shot | 46 5.4% | 58 94.6% |
| Q3 - 9:16 | TOR | Nesterovic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6) | 46 5.9% | 58 94.1% |
| Q3 - 9:18 | MIA | MISS Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 46 5.7% | 58 94.3% |
| Q3 - 9:30 | MIA | Haslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4) | 46 5.1% | 58 94.9% |
| Q3 - 9:32 | TOR | MISS Garbajosa 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 46 5.4% | 58 94.6% |
| Q3 - 9:49 | TOR | Garbajosa REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5) | 46 5.9% | 58 94.1% |
| Q3 - 9:51 | MIA | MISS Mourning 12' Jump Bank Shot | 46 5.7% | 58 94.3% |
| Q3 - 10:15 | TOR | Parker Layup (11 PTS) (Ford 6 AST) | 46 5.2% | 58 94.8% |
| Q3 - 10:19 | TOR | Nesterovic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5) | 44 4.7% | 58 95.3% |
| Q3 - 10:21 | MIA | MISS Wright 20' Jump Shot | 44 4.4% | 58 95.6% |
| Q3 - 10:40 | TOR | Nesterovic 16' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Garbajosa 2 AST) | 44 4.0% | 58 96.0% |
| Q3 - 10:52 | MIA | Wade Traveling Turnover (P4.T11) | 42 3.5% | 58 96.5% |
| Q3 - 11:12 | TOR | Ford 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) | 42 3.2% | 58 96.8% |
| Q3 - 11:18 | TOR | Ford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2) | 40 2.8% | 58 97.2% |
| Q3 - 11:20 | MIA | MISS Haslem 20' Jump Shot | 40 2.7% | 58 97.3% |
| Q3 - 11:42 | TOR | Ford 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) | 40 2.4% | 58 97.6% |
| Q2 - 0:00.0 | MIA | 38 2.1% | 58 97.9% | |
| Q2 - 0:00.0 | MIA | HEAT Rebound | 38 1.8% | 58 98.2% |
| Q2 - 0:00.0 | MIA | MISS Williams 43' 3PT Jump Shot | 38 2.0% | 58 98.0% |
| Q2 - 0:01.0 | TOR | Williams STEAL (1 STL) | 38 2.1% | 58 97.9% |
| Q2 - 0:14.0 | TOR | Peterson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 38 2.3% | 58 97.7% |
| Q2 - 0:16.0 | MIA | MISS Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 38 2.3% | 58 97.7% |
| Q2 - 0:37.0 | MIA | Haslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 38 2.1% | 58 97.9% |
| Q2 - 0:38.0 | TOR | MISS Garbajosa 20' Jump Shot | 38 2.2% | 58 97.8% |
| Q2 - 0:50.0 | TOR | Garbajosa REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4) | 38 2.3% | 58 97.7% |
| Q2 - 0:51.0 | MIA | MISS Walker Free Throw 2 of 2 | 38 2.3% | 58 97.7% |
| Q2 - 0:51.0 | MIA | MISS Walker Free Throw 1 of 2 | 38 2.1% | 58 97.9% |
| Q2 - 1:09 | MIA | Williams Free Throw Technical (11 PTS) | 38 2.3% | 58 97.7% |
| Q2 - 1:09 | TOR | Ford Traveling Turnover (P6.T11) | 38 2.6% | 57 97.4% |
| Q2 - 1:13 | MIA | Wade Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T10) | 38 2.8% | 57 97.2% |
| Q2 - 1:30 | TOR | Ford Bad Pass Turnover (P5.T10) | 38 2.6% | 57 97.4% |
| Q2 - 1:43 | MIA | Wade Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS) | 38 2.8% | 57 97.2% |
| Q2 - 1:43 | MIA | Wade Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS) | 38 2.9% | 56 97.1% |
| Q2 - 1:50 | MIA | Haslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 38 3.3% | 55 96.7% |
| Q2 - 1:52 | TOR | MISS Garbajosa 19' Jump Shot | 38 3.4% | 55 96.6% |
| Q2 - 2:05 | MIA | Wade Driving Layup (17 PTS) | 38 3.9% | 55 96.1% |
| Q2 - 2:26 | TOR | Garbajosa 21' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Ford 5 AST) | 38 4.4% | 53 95.6% |
| Q2 - 2:37 | TOR | Ford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1) | 36 3.9% | 53 96.1% |
| Q2 - 2:39 | TOR | MISS Bargnani 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 36 3.6% | 53 96.4% |
| Q2 - 3:00 | MIA | Wade Layup (15 PTS) (Williams 3 AST) | 36 3.9% | 53 96.1% |
| Q2 - 3:10 | TOR | Ford Foul Turnover (P4.T9) | 36 4.7% | 51 95.3% |
| Q2 - 3:14 | TOR | Bargnani REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 36 5.3% | 51 94.7% |
| Q2 - 3:16 | MIA | MISS Kapono 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 36 5.1% | 51 94.9% |
| Q2 - 3:21 | MIA | Kapono REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 36 4.6% | 51 95.4% |
| Q2 - 3:23 | TOR | MISS Parker 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 36 4.8% | 51 95.2% |
| Q2 - 3:40 | MIA | Wade Free Throw 1 of 1 (13 PTS) | 36 5.3% | 51 94.7% |
| Q2 - 3:54 | TOR | Garbajosa Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T8) | 36 6.5% | 48 93.5% |
| Q2 - 4:09 | MIA | Wade Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS) | 36 7.5% | 48 92.5% |
| Q2 - 4:09 | MIA | Wade Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS) | 36 7.7% | 47 92.3% |
| Q2 - 4:24 | TOR | Bargnani 15' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Parker 2 AST) | 36 8.4% | 46 91.6% |
| Q2 - 4:29 | TOR | Humphries REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2) | 34 7.5% | 46 92.5% |
| Q2 - 4:31 | MIA | MISS Wade Driving Layup | 34 7.3% | 46 92.7% |
| Q2 - 4:50 | TOR | Bargnani 15' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Garbajosa 1 AST) | 34 6.8% | 46 93.2% |
| Q2 - 4:58 | MIA | Wade Layup (8 PTS) (Walker 2 AST) | 32 6.1% | 46 93.9% |
| Q2 - 5:22 | TOR | Ford Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T7) | 32 6.8% | 44 93.2% |
| Q2 - 5:27 | MIA | Wade Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T9) | 32 7.7% | 44 92.3% |
| Q2 - 5:43 | TOR | Garbajosa 8' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Parker 1 AST) | 32 6.8% | 44 93.2% |
| Q2 - 5:54 | MIA | Walker Foul Turnover (P4.T8) | 30 6.2% | 44 93.8% |
| Q2 - 6:00 | MIA | Mourning REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5) | 30 5.5% | 44 94.5% |
| Q2 - 6:01 | MIA | MISS Mourning Free Throw 1 of 1 | 30 6.4% | 44 93.6% |
| Q2 - 6:07 | TOR | Parker 24' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Ford 4 AST) | 30 7.0% | 42 93.0% |
| Q2 - 6:26 | MIA | Kapono 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Walker 1 AST) | 27 5.8% | 42 94.2% |
| Q2 - 6:34 | MIA | Mourning REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5) | 27 7.0% | 39 93.0% |
| Q2 - 6:36 | TOR | MISS Ford 20' Jump Shot | 27 7.2% | 39 92.8% |
| Q2 - 6:58 | TOR | Garbajosa REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 27 7.9% | 39 92.1% |
| Q2 - 6:59 | MIA | MISS Mourning Free Throw 2 of 2 | 27 7.8% | 39 92.2% |
| Q2 - 6:59 | MIA | Mourning Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS) | 27 7.4% | 39 92.6% |
| Q2 - 7:14 | MIA | Posey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 27 8.2% | 38 91.8% |
| Q2 - 7:15 | TOR | MISS Graham Layup | 27 8.4% | 38 91.6% |
| Q2 - 7:17 | TOR | Graham REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0) | 27 9.0% | 38 91.0% |
| Q2 - 7:19 | TOR | MISS Nesterovic 12' Turnaround Jump Shot | 27 8.4% | 38 91.6% |
| Q2 - 7:34 | MIA | Walker Layup (6 PTS) | 27 9.0% | 38 91.0% |
| Q2 - 7:36 | MIA | Walker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1) | 27 9.9% | 36 90.1% |
| Q2 - 7:38 | MIA | MISS Walker Layup | 27 10.6% | 36 89.4% |
| Q2 - 7:44 | MIA | Kapono REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 27 9.9% | 36 90.1% |
| Q2 - 7:45 | TOR | MISS Parker Driving Layup | 27 10.2% | 36 89.8% |
| Q2 - 8:06 | MIA | Posey 26' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Wade 2 AST) | 27 11.0% | 36 89.0% |
| Q2 - 8:22 | TOR | Posey STEAL (1 STL) | 27 13.1% | 33 86.9% |
| Q2 - 8:35 | MIA | Wade Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS) | 27 14.5% | 33 85.5% |
| Q2 - 8:35 | MIA | Wade Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS) | 27 14.7% | 32 85.3% |
| Q2 - 8:37 | MIA | Wade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 27 15.6% | 31 84.4% |
| Q2 - 8:39 | TOR | MISS Parker 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 27 16.1% | 31 83.9% |
| Q2 - 9:00 | TOR | Nesterovic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4) | 27 17.2% | 31 82.8% |
| Q2 - 9:02 | MIA | MISS Posey 20' Fadeaway Jumper | 27 16.7% | 31 83.3% |
| Q2 - 9:27 | TOR | Calderon Foul Turnover (P1.T5) | 27 15.6% | 31 84.4% |
| Q2 - 9:30 | TOR | Nesterovic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 27 17.2% | 31 82.8% |
| Q2 - 9:32 | MIA | MISS Kapono 21' Jump Shot | 27 16.7% | 31 83.3% |
| Q2 - 9:36 | MIA | Williams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 27 15.6% | 31 84.4% |
| Q2 - 9:38 | TOR | MISS Calderon 18' Jump Shot | 27 16.1% | 31 83.9% |
| Q2 - 9:54 | MIA | Posey Reverse Layup (2 PTS) (Mourning 1 AST) | 27 17.2% | 31 82.8% |
| Q2 - 10:11 | TOR | Jones 12' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS) | 27 18.6% | 29 81.4% |
| Q2 - 10:31 | MIA | Williams 19' Jump Shot (10 PTS) | 25 17.3% | 29 82.7% |
| Q2 - 10:37 | MIA | Posey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 25 18.6% | 27 81.4% |
| Q2 - 10:39 | TOR | MISS Bargnani 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 25 19.1% | 27 80.9% |
| Q2 - 10:49 | MIA | Walker Discontinue Dribble Turnover (P3.T7) | 25 20.3% | 27 79.7% |
| Q2 - 10:50 | MIA | Walker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 25 18.6% | 27 81.4% |
| Q2 - 10:52 | TOR | MISS Peterson 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 25 19.1% | 27 80.9% |
| Q2 - 11:05 | TOR | Peterson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 25 19.9% | 27 80.1% |
| Q2 - 11:06 | MIA | MISS Mourning Free Throw 2 of 2 | 25 19.7% | 27 80.3% |
| Q2 - 11:06 | MIA | Mourning Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS) | 25 18.9% | 27 81.1% |
| Q2 - 11:12 | MIA | Posey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 25 19.9% | 26 80.1% |
| Q2 - 11:13 | TOR | MISS Peterson 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 25 20.4% | 26 79.6% |
| Q2 - 11:23 | MIA | Walker Layup (4 PTS) (Kapono 1 AST) | 25 21.5% | 26 78.5% |
| Q2 - 11:44 | TOR | Peterson 6' Hook Shot (4 PTS) | 25 23.2% | 24 76.8% |
| Q1 - 0:00.0 | TOR | 23 21.5% | 24 78.5% | |
| Q1 - 0:00.0 | TOR | Humphries REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1) | 23 21.5% | 24 78.5% |
| Q1 - 0:01.0 | MIA | MISS Kapono 18' Jump Shot | 23 20.8% | 24 79.2% |
| Q1 - 0:27.0 | MIA | HEAT Rebound | 23 20.0% | 24 80.0% |
| Q1 - 0:29.0 | TOR | MISS Peterson 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 23 20.4% | 24 79.6% |
| Q1 - 0:39.0 | MIA | Williams Driving Layup (8 PTS) | 23 21.2% | 24 78.8% |
| Q1 - 0:43.0 | MIA | Haslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 23 23.2% | 22 76.8% |
| Q1 - 0:45.0 | TOR | MISS Bargnani 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 23 23.6% | 22 76.4% |
| Q1 - 1:06 | MIA | Williams Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS) | 23 24.5% | 22 75.5% |
| Q1 - 1:06 | MIA | Williams Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS) | 23 24.8% | 21 75.2% |
| Q1 - 1:09 | TOR | Haslem STEAL (1 STL) | 23 26.7% | 20 73.3% |
| Q1 - 1:20 | TOR | Calderon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 23 28.2% | 20 71.8% |
| Q1 - 1:22 | MIA | MISS Wade 18' Jump Shot | 23 27.7% | 20 72.3% |
| Q1 - 1:36 | TOR | Humphries 4' Hook Shot (3 PTS) | 23 26.7% | 20 73.3% |
| Q1 - 1:38 | TOR | Humphries REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0) | 21 24.5% | 20 75.5% |
| Q1 - 1:40 | TOR | Wade BLOCK (1 BLK) | 21 23.6% | 20 76.4% |
| Q1 - 1:55 | MIA | Walker Layup (2 PTS) (Wade 1 AST) | 21 24.5% | 20 75.5% |
| Q1 - 2:09 | TOR | Peterson Layup (2 PTS) (Calderon 1 AST) | 21 26.5% | 18 73.5% |
| Q1 - 2:14 | MIA | Walker Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T6) | 19 24.6% | 18 75.4% |
| Q1 - 2:29 | TOR | Bargnani Palming Turnover (P1.T3) | 19 23.0% | 18 77.0% |
| Q1 - 2:39 | MIA | Walker Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T5) | 19 24.6% | 18 75.4% |
| Q1 - 2:43 | MIA | Kapono REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 19 23.0% | 18 77.0% |
| Q1 - 2:45 | TOR | MISS Bargnani 15' Jump Shot | 19 23.5% | 18 76.5% |
| Q1 - 2:58 | MIA | Kapono Driving Layup (2 PTS) | 19 24.6% | 18 75.4% |
| Q1 - 3:18 | TOR | Humphries Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS) | 19 25.9% | 16 74.1% |
| Q1 - 3:18 | TOR | MISS Humphries Free Throw 1 of 2 | 18 25.2% | 16 74.8% |
| Q1 - 3:18 | TOR | Humphries REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0) | 18 26.1% | 16 73.9% |
| Q1 - 3:19 | TOR | Haslem BLOCK (1 BLK) | 18 24.8% | 16 75.2% |
| Q1 - 3:20 | TOR | Humphries REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0) | 18 26.1% | 16 73.9% |
| Q1 - 3:22 | TOR | MISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 18 24.8% | 16 75.2% |
| Q1 - 3:38 | MIA | Wade Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS) | 18 26.1% | 16 73.9% |
| Q1 - 3:38 | MIA | Wade Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS) | 18 26.5% | 15 73.5% |
| Q1 - 3:56 | TOR | Wade STEAL (1 STL) | 18 27.7% | 14 72.3% |
| Q1 - 4:06 | TOR | Jones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 18 29.3% | 14 70.7% |
| Q1 - 4:08 | MIA | MISS Williams 16' Jump Shot | 18 28.6% | 14 71.4% |
| Q1 - 4:26 | MIA | Wade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 18 27.1% | 14 72.9% |
| Q1 - 4:28 | TOR | MISS Bargnani Driving Layup | 18 27.8% | 14 72.2% |
| Q1 - 4:40 | MIA | Mourning Slam Dunk (6 PTS) (Williams 2 AST) | 18 29.3% | 14 70.7% |
| Q1 - 4:56 | TOR | Garbajosa 22' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Jones 1 AST) | 18 30.8% | 12 69.2% |
| Q1 - 5:03 | TOR | Garbajosa REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 16 28.3% | 12 71.7% |
| Q1 - 5:05 | MIA | MISS Wade Driving Layup | 16 27.7% | 12 72.3% |
| Q1 - 5:21 | TOR | Bargnani 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS) | 16 26.5% | 12 73.5% |
| Q1 - 5:38 | MIA | Mourning Layup (4 PTS) (Haslem 3 AST) | 14 25.1% | 12 74.9% |
| Q1 - 5:59 | TOR | Parker 18' Jump Bank Shot (6 PTS) (Ford 3 AST) | 14 26.5% | 10 73.5% |
| Q1 - 6:04 | MIA | Haslem Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T4) | 12 24.6% | 10 75.4% |
| Q1 - 6:09 | MIA | Mourning REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4) | 12 23.1% | 10 76.9% |
| Q1 - 6:11 | TOR | MISS Ford 17' Jump Shot | 12 23.5% | 10 76.5% |
| Q1 - 6:24 | MIA | Williams 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS) | 12 24.6% | 10 75.4% |
| Q1 - 6:29 | MIA | Mourning REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 12 26.1% | 8 73.9% |
| Q1 - 6:31 | TOR | Mourning BLOCK (1 BLK) | 12 26.6% | 8 73.4% |
| Q1 - 6:51 | TOR | Garbajosa REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 12 27.7% | 8 72.3% |
| Q1 - 6:53 | MIA | MISS Wright 20' Jump Shot | 12 27.2% | 8 72.8% |
| Q1 - 7:13 | TOR | Ford Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1) | 12 25.4% | 8 74.6% |
| Q1 - 7:29 | MIA | Haslem Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3) | 12 27.0% | 8 73.0% |
| Q1 - 7:45 | MIA | Wright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 12 25.4% | 8 74.6% |
| Q1 - 7:46 | TOR | MISS Garbajosa Driving Finger Roll | 12 25.9% | 8 74.1% |
| Q1 - 7:49 | MIA | Wade Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2) | 12 27.1% | 8 72.9% |
| Q1 - 8:08 | TOR | Garbajosa 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Ford 2 AST) | 12 25.2% | 8 74.8% |
| Q1 - 8:17 | MIA | Wade Layup (2 PTS) (Williams 1 AST) | 10 23.9% | 8 76.1% |
| Q1 - 8:32 | TOR | Parker Driving Finger Roll (4 PTS) | 10 25.2% | 6 74.8% |
| Q1 - 8:44 | MIA | Williams Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS) | 8 23.9% | 6 76.1% |
| Q1 - 8:44 | MIA | Williams Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS) | 8 24.1% | 5 75.9% |
| Q1 - 8:48 | MIA | Mourning REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 8 25.2% | 4 74.8% |
| Q1 - 8:50 | TOR | MISS Garbajosa 21' Jump Shot | 8 25.6% | 4 74.4% |
| Q1 - 9:01 | TOR | Nesterovic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 8 26.7% | 4 73.3% |
| Q1 - 9:03 | MIA | MISS Williams 18' Jump Shot | 8 26.1% | 4 73.9% |
| Q1 - 9:05 | MIA | HEAT Rebound | 8 24.8% | 4 75.2% |
| Q1 - 9:06 | MIA | MISS Wright Reverse Layup | 8 26.1% | 4 73.9% |
| Q1 - 9:27 | TOR | Parker 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Nesterovic 2 AST) | 8 24.9% | 4 75.1% |
| Q1 - 9:34 | TOR | Ford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 6 23.9% | 4 76.1% |
| Q1 - 9:36 | MIA | MISS Wade 16' Jump Shot | 6 23.3% | 4 76.7% |
| Q1 - 9:46 | MIA | Mourning REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 6 22.2% | 4 77.8% |
| Q1 - 9:48 | TOR | MISS Garbajosa 20' Jump Shot | 6 22.7% | 4 77.3% |
| Q1 - 9:59 | TOR | Nesterovic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 6 23.9% | 4 76.1% |
| Q1 - 10:01 | MIA | MISS Wright 8' Running Hook Shot | 6 23.1% | 4 76.9% |
| Q1 - 10:14 | TOR | Nesterovic Layup (4 PTS) (Ford 1 AST) | 6 22.1% | 4 77.9% |
| Q1 - 10:29 | MIA | Wright 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Haslem 2 AST) | 4 21.0% | 4 79.0% |
| Q1 - 10:51 | TOR | Nesterovic 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Graham 1 AST) | 4 22.1% | 2 77.9% |
| Q1 - 11:04 | MIA | HEAT Turnover: Shot Clock (T#1) | 2 20.8% | 2 79.2% |
| Q1 - 11:04 | MIA | HEAT Rebound | 2 19.7% | 2 80.3% |
| Q1 - 11:05 | MIA | MISS Haslem 12' Jump Shot | 2 20.5% | 2 79.5% |
| Q1 - 11:29 | TOR | Graham Layup (2 PTS) (Nesterovic 1 AST) | 2 19.7% | 2 80.3% |
| Q1 - 11:46 | MIA | Mourning Layup (2 PTS) (Haslem 1 AST) | 0 18.5% | 2 81.5% |
| Q1 - 12:00 | MIA | Jump Ball Mourning vs. Nesterovic: Tip to Haslem | 0 19.7% | 0 80.3% |
SHOOTING
Scoring Efficiency
TOR
0.92 45.8%
MIA
1.10 55.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %
Scoring by Shot Type
At the Rim (within 5 feet)
TOR
10
19
53%
MIA
24
29
83%
Midrange
TOR
21
41
51%
MIA
11
34
32%
3PT | Effective 3PT
TOR
4
6.0
21
19%
29%
MIA
3
4.5
12
25%
38%
Free Throws
TOR
3
5
60%
MIA
20
27
74%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency Misses
Bars scaled to point value.
Total Points
| Raptors| PLAYER | PTS | TS% | TSM / TSA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Parker | 18 | 64% | 9.0 / 14 | |
| J. Garbajosa | 12 | 46% | 6.0 / 13 | |
| T. Ford | 10 | 50% | 5.0 / 10 | |
| A. Bargnani | 10 | 38% | 5.0 / 13 | |
| M. Peterson | 10 | 56% | 5.0 / 9 | |
| J. Graham | 6 | 50% | 3.0 / 6 | |
| R. Nesterovic | 6 | 60% | 3.0 / 5 | |
| K. Humphries | 3 | 25% | 1.5 / 6 | |
| F. Jones | 2 | 20% | 1.0 / 5 | |
| J. Calderon | 0 | - | 0.0 / 2 |
TS Makes
TS Misses
Total Points
| Heat| PLAYER | PTS | TS% | TSM / TSA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Wade | 37 | 71% | 18.5 / 26 | |
| A. Mourning | 12 | 67% | 6.0 / 9 | |
| J. Posey | 12 | 75% | 6.0 / 8 | |
| J. Williams | 11 | 46% | 5.5 / 12 | |
| A. Walker | 10 | 63% | 5.0 / 8 | |
| J. Kapono | 7 | 50% | 3.5 / 7 | |
| M. Doleac | 6 | 100% | 3.0 / 3 | |
| D. Wright | 2 | 20% | 1.0 / 5 | |
| R. Hite | 2 | 50% | 1.0 / 2 | |
| U. Haslem | 0 | - | 0.0 / 4 | |
| E. Barron | 0 | - | 0.0 / 1 | |
| C. Quinn | 0 | - | 0.0 / 1 |
TS Makes
TS Misses
MATCHUP
Scoring Opportunities
TOR
79
+5
-18
84
MIA
79
+10
-18
89
Base
ORB
TOV
Scoring Efficiency
TOR
0.92 45.8%
MIA
1.10 55.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %
Reg Season Avg | Game Stats | |
|---|---|---|
| Efficiency & Pace | This Game | |
| Efficiency | 106.3 104.2 | TOR 79.4 +22.7 MIA 102.1 |
| Pace | 93.3 90.1 | TOR 102.6 +10.5 MIA 92.0 |
| Avg. Poss. Time | 15.3 16.5 | TOR 14.0 +1.6 MIA 15.6 |
| Four Factors | This Game | |
| EFG % | 50.4% 50.6% | TOR 45.7% MIA 52.7% +7.0% |
| TO % | 13.8% 15.3% | TOR 17.8% +0.1% MIA 17.9% |
| ORB % | 22.3% 24.9% | TOR 11.4% +2.8% MIA 8.6% |
| FTrt | 30.3 32.1 | TOR 6.2 MIA 36.0 +29.8 |
| Misc. Stats | This Game | |
| AST % | 60.1% 57.6% | TOR 62.9% +7.6% MIA 55.3% |
| STL % | 7.6% 7.6% | TOR 7.2% MIA 8.2% +1.0% |
| BLK % | 6.3% 8.8% | TOR 1.6% MIA 5.0% +3.4% |
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.09 and 2.09.
Reg Season Avg | Game Stats | |
|---|---|---|
| Shooting Efficiency | This Game | |
| TS% | 53.6% 52.4% | TOR 45.8% MIA 55.0% +9.2% |
| Rim FG% | 59.5% 61.8% | TOR 52.6% MIA 82.8% +30.2% |
| Mid FG% | 42.7% 40.5% | TOR 51.2% +18.8% MIA 32.4% |
| 3P % | 36.3% 34.3% | TOR 19.0% MIA 25.0% +6.0% |
| FT % | 78.8% 69.0% | TOR 60.0% MIA 74.1% +14.1% |
| Shot Distribution | This Game | |
| Rim Att. % | 30.1% 34.9% | TOR 23.5% MIA 38.7% +15.2% |
| Mid Att. % | 47.6% 40.7% | TOR 50.6% MIA 45.3% +5.3% |
| 3P Att. % | 22.4% 24.5% | TOR 25.9% +9.9% MIA 16.0% |
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.05 and 2.05.
| Game Totals | TOR | MIA |
|---|---|---|
| Possessions | 97 | 97 |
| Possession Minutes | 22.7 | 25.3 |
| Points | 77 | 99 |
| Rebounds | 37 | 42 |
| Assists | 22 | 21 |
| Steals | 7 | 8 |
| Blocks | 1 | 3 |
| Turnovers (Team) | 18 (0) | 18 (1) |
| Fouls | ||
| Off. Rebounds (Team) | 5 (0) | 3 (7) |
| Def. Rebounds (Team) | 32 (1) | 39 (3) |
| Field Goals | 35-81 | 38-75 |
| At-the-Rim FG | 10-19 | 24-29 |
| Midrange FG | 21-41 | 11-34 |
| 2-Point FG | 31-60 | 35-63 |
| 3-Point FG | 4-21 | 3-12 |
| Free Throws | 3-5 | 20-27 |
| Fast Break Pts | ||
| 2nd Chance Pts | ||
| Points in Paint | ||
| Pts off Turnovers | ||
| Bench Points | ||
| Biggest Lead |
BOXSCORE
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Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.
Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.
Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.
Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.
Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.