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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
December 11, 2006
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
23Raptors27%9177
11Heat73%9999
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
T.J. Ford
G · 6'0" 165 · 23.7
33.3
31.1
10
48%
3
12
2
1
0
7
1
2
0-1
0%
5-9
5-11
56%
45%
0-1
0%
Jorge Garbajosa
F · 6'9" 245 · 29.0
32.4
37.0
12
46%
6
2
2
1
1
2
0
6
0-0
-
6-11
4-8
55%
49%
0-2
0%
Anthony Parker
G · 6'6" 210 · 31.5
32.3
27.2
18
64%
1
2
1
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
6-9
3-6
67%
47%
2-5
40%
Joey Graham
F · 6'7" 230 · 24.5
19.5
10.5
6
50%
4
1
0
0
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
3-5
1-3
60%
48%
0-1
0%
Rasho Nesterovic
C · 7'0" 255 · 30.5
17.7
16.5
6
60%
6
2
0
0
0
1
0
6
0-0
-
3-5
2-4
60%
48%
0-0
-
Andrea Bargnani
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 21.1
31.0
25.9
10
39%
2
0
0
1
0
3
0
2
2-2
100%
4-8
4-7
50%
49%
0-4
0%
Morris Peterson
G · 6'7" 220 · 29.3
22.1
24.7
10
56%
5
1
1
1
0
0
0
5
0-0
-
2-2
2-5
100%
46%
2-7
29%
Fred Jones
G · 6'2" 225 · 27.8
19.6
25.1
2
20%
2
1
0
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-4
2-4
25%
45%
0-1
0%
Jose Calderon
G · 6'3" 200 · 25.2
14.9
16.6
0
0%
1
1
1
1
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
2-4
0%
49%
0-0
-
Kris Humphries
F · 6'9" 235 · 21.8
12.8
7.4
3
26%
7
0
0
0
0
0
3
4
1-2
50%
1-5
1-2
20%
42%
0-0
-
PJ Tucker
F · 6'6" 245 · 21.6
2.3
3.1
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
44%
0-0
-
Darrick Martin
G · 5'11" 170 · 35.8
2.1
2.6
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
39%
0-0
-
Pape Sow
F · 6'10" 250 · 25.1
Chris Bosh
F · 6'11" 235 · 22.7
Uros Slokar
F · 6'10" 238 · 23.6
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 24.9
37.4
36.1
37
69%
4
5
1
2
1
5
0
4
11-13
85%
13-20
9-17
65%
51%
0-1
0%
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 26.5
33.3
33.3
0
0%
7
3
1
1
1
3
0
7
0-0
-
0-4
5-9
0%
53%
0-0
-
Jason Williams
G · 6'1" 180 · 31.1
29.3
24.4
11
45%
1
6
2
1
0
1
0
1
5-5
100%
3-7
2-4
43%
49%
0-3
0%
Alonzo Mourning
C · 6'10" 261 · 36.8
22.1
27.0
12
65%
6
1
0
0
1
1
1
5
2-5
40%
5-7
4-6
71%
57%
0-0
-
Dorell Wright
F-G · 6'9" 205 · 21.0
12.8
27.1
2
20%
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-5
3-6
20%
50%
0-0
-
Jason Kapono
F · 6'8" 215 · 25.9
34.2
22.0
7
50%
8
2
1
0
0
2
0
8
0-0
-
2-5
2-4
40%
45%
1-2
50%
James Posey
F · 6'8" 217 · 29.9
28.4
23.8
12
76%
7
0
1
1
0
0
0
7
2-2
100%
2-3
1-2
67%
46%
2-4
50%
Antoine Walker
F · 6'9" 245 · 30.3
27.0
15.5
10
63%
4
3
1
0
0
5
2
2
0-2
0%
5-7
2-3
71%
49%
0-0
-
Michael Doleac
C · 6'11" 262 · 29.5
8.8
6.3
6
100%
4
0
0
0
0
1
0
4
0-0
-
3-3
1-1
100%
45%
0-0
-
Earl Barron
F-C · 7'0" 250 · 25.3
2.3
7.7
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
2-3
0%
51%
0-0
-
Chris Quinn
G · 6'2" 175 · 23.2
2.3
5.6
0
0%
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
44%
0-1
0%
Robert Hite
G · 6'2" 184 · 22.9
2.1
7.7
2
50%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
44%
0-1
0%
Gary Payton
G · 6'4" 190 · 38.4
Wayne Simien
F · 6'9" 250 · 23.8
Shaquille O'Neal
C · 7'1" 325 · 34.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.