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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
December 11, 2006
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
9Cavaliers62%9289
28Hornets38%8895
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
LeBron James
F-G · 6'8" 250 · 21.9
41.6
34.8
15
41%
7
6
4
1
0
3
3
4
1-1
100%
7-15
7-14
47%
51%
0-3
0%
Anderson Varejao
F · 6'11" 260 · 24.2
38.5
25.5
17
72%
8
1
0
1
0
0
3
5
3-4
75%
7-10
3-6
70%
53%
0-0
-
Daniel Gibson
G · 6'2" 200 · 20.8
32.6
23.9
14
68%
2
0
0
1
0
3
2
0
1-3
33%
2-3
1-3
67%
43%
3-6
50%
Zydrunas Ilgauskas
C · 7'3" 260 · 31.5
29.5
23.9
15
53%
12
1
1
0
0
1
6
6
5-5
100%
5-12
4-8
42%
48%
0-0
-
Eric Snow
G · 6'3" 205 · 33.6
25.2
26.7
4
33%
4
7
0
1
0
1
2
2
0-0
-
2-6
2-6
33%
43%
0-0
-
Donyell Marshall
F · 6'9" 245 · 33.6
28.0
28.0
8
44%
5
0
0
1
0
0
2
3
0-0
-
1-4
2-5
25%
48%
2-5
40%
Larry Hughes
G · 6'5" 185 · 27.9
22.9
26.1
9
45%
2
1
0
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
3-8
3-6
38%
44%
1-2
50%
Damon Jones
G · 6'3" 195 · 30.3
21.7
28.3
7
35%
1
3
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
2-5
1-3
40%
47%
1-5
20%
Shannon Brown
G · 6'3" 215 · 21.0
10.8
0
1-2
43%
Sasha Pavlovic
G-F · 6'7" 235 · 23.1
9.7
0
1-2
43%
Scot Pollard
C-F · 6'11" 278 · 31.8
3.4
0
0-1
45%
David Wesley
G · 6'1" 203 · 36.1
2.7
0
0-0
43%
Ira Newble
G-F · 6'7" 220 · 31.9
Drew Gooden
F · 6'10" 250 · 25.2
Dwayne Jones
F-C · 6'11" 248 · 23.5
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Chris Paul
G · 6'0" 175 · 21.6
45.6
36.8
30
75%
5
11
2
2
0
1
0
5
8-9
89%
11-14
6-12
79%
48%
0-2
0%
Desmond Mason
G · 6'5" 222 · 29.2
44.0
34.6
12
44%
4
5
0
1
0
2
0
4
2-4
50%
5-12
5-11
42%
44%
0-0
-
Tyson Chandler
C · 7'1" 240 · 24.2
37.9
31.0
4
69%
10
1
0
1
4
0
2
8
0-2
0%
2-2
2-4
100%
55%
0-0
-
Cedric Simmons
F · 6'9" 235 · 20.9
19.9
21.8
5
51%
3
0
0
0
1
0
0
3
1-2
50%
2-4
2-5
50%
46%
0-0
-
Rasual Butler
F · 6'7" 215 · 27.6
18.9
36.9
3
25%
2
0
1
1
0
2
1
1
0-0
-
0-2
3-7
0%
42%
1-4
25%
Jannero Pargo
G · 6'1" 185 · 27.1
35.5
32.3
15
46%
7
3
1
1
0
1
0
7
1-1
100%
7-10
4-9
70%
40%
0-6
0%
Marc Jackson
F · 6'10" 253 · 31.9
24.5
12.5
14
64%
1
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
7-11
2-5
64%
44%
0-0
-
Hilton Armstrong
F-C · 6'11" 235 · 22.0
13.7
13.1
12
87%
4
0
1
0
0
1
4
0
2-2
100%
5-6
2-3
83%
50%
0-0
-
Bobby Jackson
G · 6'1" 185 · 33.7
5.8
0
1-2
44%
Marcus Vinicius
F · 6'8" 225 · 22.5
5.1
0
0-1
45%
Linton Johnson
F · 6'8" 205 · 26.5
4.6
0
0-1
43%
Brandon Bass
F · 6'8" 250 · 21.6
3.3
0
0-1
45%
David West
F · 6'9" 250 · 26.3
Peja Stojakovic
F · 6'10" 229 · 29.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.