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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
December 12, 2006
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
17SuperSonics40%10293
16Bucks60%10594
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Damien Wilkins
· 6'6" 225 · 26.9
43.3
31.6
15
67%
2
2
2
2
0
5
1
1
5-5
100%
5-9
4-9
56%
48%
0-0
-
Chris Wilcox
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 24.3
39.6
31.7
16
65%
8
1
3
1
1
1
1
7
2-3
67%
7-11
4-8
64%
55%
0-0
-
Rashard Lewis
F · 6'10" 235 · 27.3
38.8
39.6
26
61%
5
4
0
1
0
1
1
4
3-3
100%
10-15
5-9
67%
51%
1-5
20%
Luke Ridnour
G · 6'2" 175 · 25.8
36.7
32.0
12
43%
4
8
0
1
1
6
1
3
0-0
-
6-13
4-9
46%
47%
0-1
0%
Nick Collison
F · 6'10" 255 · 26.1
33.1
30.8
12
41%
6
2
2
1
0
3
2
4
2-4
50%
5-13
4-9
38%
50%
0-0
-
Mickael Gelabale
F · 6'7" 215 · 23.6
22.4
13.4
0
0%
5
0
1
0
2
1
3
2
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
48%
0-0
-
Johan Petro
C · 7'0" 247 · 20.9
12.4
16.1
12
100%
9
2
1
0
1
0
4
5
0-0
-
6-6
2-4
100%
52%
0-0
-
Earl Watson
G · 6'1" 199 · 27.5
9.3
27.2
0
0%
1
5
0
1
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
0-3
3-6
0%
45%
0-0
-
Andreas Glyniadakis
C · 7'1" 280 · 25.3
2.3
1.1
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
50%
0-0
-
Mike Wilks
G · 5'10" 180 · 27.6
2.0
2.7
0
0%
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-2
0%
0-1
0-1
0%
41%
0-0
-
Mouhamed Sene
C · 6'11" 230 · 20.6
1.7
0
0-0
50%
Desmon Farmer
G · 6'5" 220 · 25.2
1.4
0
0-0
47%
Robert Swift
C · 7'1" 270 · 21.0
Danny Fortson
C-F · 6'8" 260 · 30.7
Ray Allen
G · 6'5" 205 · 31.4
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Michael Redd
G · 6'6" 215 · 27.3
39.1
37.1
22
54%
1
0
0
1
0
4
0
1
10-10
100%
6-14
6-13
43%
50%
0-2
0%
Andrew Bogut
C · 7'0" 260 · 22.0
38.5
25.6
16
86%
9
6
0
1
0
2
3
6
2-3
67%
7-8
4-7
88%
54%
0-0
-
Ruben Patterson
F · 6'5" 223 · 31.4
38.1
27.6
21
86%
4
4
4
1
0
2
1
3
4-5
80%
7-9
5-9
78%
55%
1-1
100%
Charlie Villanueva
F · 6'11" 232 · 22.3
33.9
21.5
15
52%
6
0
1
1
0
4
1
5
3-3
100%
6-11
4-7
55%
52%
0-2
0%
Mo Williams
G · 6'1" 198 · 24.0
31.6
36.2
12
61%
5
9
3
1
0
4
1
4
2-2
100%
5-8
6-12
63%
48%
0-1
0%
Charlie Bell
G · 6'3" 200 · 27.8
20.6
32.2
2
13%
2
3
1
1
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
1-3
3-6
33%
48%
0-5
0%
Steve Blake
G · 6'3" 172 · 26.8
16.4
21.9
0
0%
1
2
1
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
45%
0-1
0%
Brian Skinner
F-C · 6'9" 255 · 30.6
7.5
8.8
4
50%
3
1
0
0
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
2-4
1-2
50%
51%
0-0
-
Dan Gadzuric
C · 6'11" 240 · 28.9
7.5
15.8
2
53%
1
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
2-2
100%
0-1
2-5
0%
54%
0-0
-
David Noel
F-G · 6'6" 230 · 22.8
6.7
11.3
0
0%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
49%
0-1
0%
Ersan Ilyasova
F · 6'9" 235 · 19.6
6.8
0
1-1
48%
Damir Markota
F · 6'10" 225 · 21.0
1.1
0
0-0
50%
Chris McCray
G · 6'5" 192 · 22.5
Lynn Greer
G · 6'2" 175 · 27.1
Bobby Simmons
F · 6'6" 235 · 26.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.