FinalWin Prob.pScore
173%105
99
2327%97
89
ORTG#PossPace
PHX logo PHX
110.09088.8
MIA logo MIA
100.08990.3

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatSunsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatSunsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventPHXMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0PHX99
100%
89
0%
Q4 - 0:17.0MIAPosey Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)99
99.9%
89
0.1%
Q4 - 0:17.0MIAMISS Posey Free Throw 1 of 299
99.9%
88
0.1%
Q4 - 0:17.0MIAKapono REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)99
99.9%
88
0.1%
Q4 - 0:18.0MIAMISS Quinn 25' 3PT Jump Shot99
99.9%
88
0.1%
Q4 - 0:25.0PHXNash Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)99
99.9%
88
0.1%
Q4 - 0:25.0PHXNash Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)98
99.9%
88
0.1%
Q4 - 0:26.0PHXDiaw REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9)97
99.9%
88
0.1%
Q4 - 0:31.0PHXMISS Marion Free Throw 2 of 297
99.9%
88
0.1%
Q4 - 0:31.0PHXMarion Free Throw 1 of 2 (23 PTS)97
99.9%
88
0.1%
Q4 - 0:32.0PHXDiaw REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)96
99.9%
88
0.1%
Q4 - 0:34.0MIAMISS Hite Driving Layup96
99.9%
88
0.1%
Q4 - 0:42.0PHXDiaw Driving Layup (13 PTS) (Marion 2 AST)96
99.7%
88
0.3%
Q4 - 1:05PHXMarion REBOUND (Off:1 Def:12)94
98.9%
88
1.1%
Q4 - 1:07MIAMISS Posey 25' 3PT Jump Shot94
98.6%
88
1.4%
Q4 - 1:20PHXNash Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T16)94
97.5%
88
2.5%
Q4 - 1:32MIAQuinn 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS)94
98.4%
88
1.6%
Q4 - 1:45PHXDiaw Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T15)94
98.8%
86
1.2%
Q4 - 1:57PHXNash Free Throw Technical (16 PTS)94
99.3%
86
0.7%
Q4 - 2:08MIAHite Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)93
98.8%
86
1.2%
Q4 - 2:08MIAMISS Hite Free Throw 1 of 293
98.9%
85
1.1%
Q4 - 2:19PHXNash 25' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS)93
98.6%
85
1.4%
Q4 - 2:38MIAKapono 26' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Hite 1 AST)90
97.1%
85
2.9%
Q4 - 2:47MIADoleac REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)90
98.6%
82
1.4%
Q4 - 2:49MIAMISS Quinn Free Throw 1 of 190
99.2%
82
0.8%
Q4 - 2:51MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)90
99.1%
80
0.9%
Q4 - 2:52PHXMISS Marion 15' Jump Shot90
99.3%
80
0.7%
Q4 - 3:14PHXMarion REBOUND (Off:1 Def:11)90
99.5%
80
0.5%
Q4 - 3:15MIAMISS Doleac Tip Shot90
99.4%
80
0.6%
Q4 - 3:16MIADoleac REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)90
99.2%
80
0.8%
Q4 - 3:17MIAMISS Quinn Driving Layup90
99.4%
80
0.6%
Q4 - 3:39PHXBarbosa Layup (10 PTS) (Nash 11 AST)90
98.6%
80
1.4%
Q4 - 3:42PHXNash REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)88
98.1%
80
1.9%
Q4 - 3:44MIAMISS Quinn 26' 3PT Jump Shot88
97.8%
80
2.2%
Q4 - 4:02MIADoleac REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)88
97.3%
80
2.7%
Q4 - 4:04PHXMISS Barbosa 25' 3PT Jump Shot88
97.6%
80
2.4%
Q4 - 4:21MIAHite 25' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Quinn 2 AST)88
98.2%
80
1.8%
Q4 - 4:27MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)88
99.1%
77
0.9%
Q4 - 4:29MIAMISS Quinn 21' Jump Shot88
99.3%
77
0.7%
Q4 - 4:39MIAHite REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)88
99.1%
77
0.9%
Q4 - 4:41PHXMISS Rose 15' Jump Shot88
99.2%
77
0.8%
Q4 - 5:02MIAKapono Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)88
99.1%
77
0.9%
Q4 - 5:02MIAKapono Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)88
99.1%
76
0.9%
Q4 - 5:03MIAKapono REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)88
99.3%
75
0.7%
Q4 - 5:05MIAMISS Posey 24' 3PT Jump Shot88
99.5%
75
0.5%
Q4 - 5:10MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)88
99.3%
75
0.7%
Q4 - 5:12PHXMISS Banks 20' Jump Shot88
99.4%
75
0.6%
Q4 - 5:26PHXMarion REBOUND (Off:1 Def:10)88
99.5%
75
0.5%
Q4 - 5:28MIAMISS Kapono 25' 3PT Jump Shot88
99.5%
75
0.5%
Q4 - 5:46MIADoleac REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)88
99.3%
75
0.7%
Q4 - 5:47PHXMISS Rose 24' 3PT Jump Shot88
99.4%
75
0.6%
Q4 - 6:05MIAPosey Driving Layup (5 PTS)88
99.3%
75
0.7%
Q4 - 6:24PHXPosey STEAL (2 STL)88
99.5%
73
0.5%
Q4 - 6:38PHXStoudemire REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)88
99.6%
73
0.4%
Q4 - 6:40MIAMISS Quinn 25' 3PT Jump Shot88
99.6%
73
0.4%
Q4 - 6:53MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)88
99.5%
73
0.5%
Q4 - 6:55PHXMISS Marion 12' Jump Shot88
99.5%
73
0.5%
Q4 - 7:18MIAHite Driving Layup (7 PTS)88
99.5%
73
0.5%
Q4 - 7:23PHXDoleac STEAL (1 STL)88
99.6%
71
0.4%
Q4 - 7:36MIAHite 21' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Kapono 1 AST)88
99.7%
71
0.3%
Q4 - 7:41MIAKapono REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)88
99.8%
69
0.2%
Q4 - 7:43MIAMISS Kapono 17' Jump Shot88
99.8%
69
0.2%
Q4 - 7:49PHXKapono STEAL (1 STL)88
99.8%
69
0.2%
Q4 - 8:05MIAKapono 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Quinn 1 AST)88
99.7%
69
0.3%
Q4 - 8:17MIAMISS Kapono Free Throw Technical88
99.8%
66
0.2%
Q4 - 8:28MIADoleac REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)88
99.8%
66
0.2%
Q4 - 8:30PHXMISS Rose 24' 3PT Jump Shot88
99.8%
66
0.2%
Q4 - 8:49PHXThomas REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)88
99.9%
66
0.1%
Q4 - 8:50PHXMISS Jones 20' Jump Shot88
99.9%
66
0.1%
Q4 - 9:07MIAKapono 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Posey 2 AST)88
99.8%
66
0.2%
Q4 - 9:09MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)88
99.9%
63
0.1%
Q4 - 9:11MIAMISS Quinn 25' 3PT Jump Shot88
99.9%
63
0.1%
Q4 - 9:18MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)88
99.9%
63
0.1%
Q4 - 9:20PHXMISS Barbosa 26' 3PT Jump Shot88
99.9%
63
0.1%
Q4 - 9:31PHXBarbosa REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)88
99.9%
63
0.1%
Q4 - 9:33MIAMISS Kapono 25' 3PT Jump Shot88
99.9%
63
0.1%
Q4 - 9:52PHXDiaw 12' Hook Shot (11 PTS)88
99.9%
63
0.1%
Q4 - 10:06PHXBarbosa REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)86
99.8%
63
0.2%
Q4 - 10:08MIAMISS Doleac 19' Jump Shot86
99.8%
63
0.2%
Q4 - 10:35PHXJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)86
99.8%
63
0.2%
Q4 - 10:35PHXJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)85
99.8%
63
0.2%
Q4 - 10:50PHXThomas REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)84
99.7%
63
0.3%
Q4 - 10:52PHXMISS Barbosa 24' 3PT Jump Shot84
99.7%
63
0.3%
Q4 - 10:59PHXJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)84
99.7%
63
0.3%
Q4 - 11:01MIAMISS Payton 25' 3PT Jump Shot84
99.6%
63
0.4%
Q4 - 11:15MIAPayton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)84
99.5%
63
0.5%
Q4 - 11:17PHXMISS Jones 21' Jump Shot84
99.6%
63
0.4%
Q4 - 11:34MIAPayton Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T11)84
99.6%
63
0.4%
Q3 - 0:00.0PHX84
99.5%
63
0.5%
Q3 - 0:00.0PHXSuns Rebound84
99.6%
63
0.4%
Q3 - 0:00.0PHXMISS Jones 22' Turnaround Jump Shot84
99.6%
63
0.4%
Q3 - 0:19.0PHXDiaw REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)84
99.5%
63
0.5%
Q3 - 0:21.0MIAMISS Doleac 17' Jump Shot84
99.5%
63
0.5%
Q3 - 0:44.0MIAPayton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)84
99.4%
63
0.6%
Q3 - 0:46.0PHXMISS Barbosa 26' 3PT Jump Shot84
99.5%
63
0.5%
Q3 - 1:03PHXJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)84
99.4%
63
0.6%
Q3 - 1:05MIAMISS Hite 17' Jump Shot84
99.4%
63
0.6%
Q3 - 1:30PHXThomas Foul Turnover (P1.T11)84
99.3%
63
0.7%
Q3 - 1:33PHXJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)84
99.5%
63
0.5%
Q3 - 1:35MIAMISS Hite Layup84
99.4%
63
0.6%
Q3 - 1:50PHXBarbosa Traveling Turnover (P2.T10)84
99.3%
63
0.7%
Q3 - 1:51PHXThomas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)84
99.5%
63
0.5%
Q3 - 1:53MIAMISS Wright 20' Jump Shot84
99.4%
63
0.6%
Q3 - 2:13PHXMarion 13' Running Jump Shot (22 PTS)84
99.2%
63
0.8%
Q3 - 2:28MIAMourning Foul Turnover (P1.T10)82
99.0%
63
1.0%
Q3 - 2:47PHXThomas 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Nash 10 AST)82
98.8%
63
1.2%
Q3 - 3:03MIAPosey Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)80
98.5%
63
1.5%
Q3 - 3:17PHXMarion Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T9)80
98.9%
60
1.1%
Q3 - 3:28MIAMourning Free Throw 1 of 1 (19 PTS)80
99.1%
60
0.9%
Q3 - 3:30PHXPayton STEAL (1 STL)80
99.4%
57
0.6%
Q3 - 3:36MIAWright Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T9)80
99.5%
57
0.5%
Q3 - 3:47MIAHEAT Rebound80
99.4%
57
0.6%
Q3 - 3:48PHXMISS Barbosa Driving Layup80
99.4%
57
0.6%
Q3 - 3:54MIAWright 20' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Payton 3 AST)80
99.5%
57
0.5%
Q3 - 4:19PHXMarion Alley Oop Dunk (20 PTS) (Nash 9 AST)80
99.5%
55
0.5%
Q3 - 4:23MIAPayton Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T8)78
99.4%
55
0.6%
Q3 - 4:41PHXBarbosa 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Nash 8 AST)78
99.3%
55
0.7%
Q3 - 4:57PHXMarion REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)75
99.0%
55
1.0%
Q3 - 4:59MIAMISS Mourning Free Throw 1 of 175
99.0%
55
1.0%
Q3 - 5:00MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)75
99.1%
53
0.9%
Q3 - 5:02MIAMISS Wright 20' Jump Shot75
99.1%
53
0.9%
Q3 - 5:14PHXThomas Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)75
99.0%
53
1.0%
Q3 - 5:14PHXThomas Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)74
99.0%
53
1.0%
Q3 - 5:30PHXDiaw REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)73
98.9%
53
1.1%
Q3 - 5:32PHXMISS Thomas 19' Jump Shot73
98.7%
53
1.3%
Q3 - 5:43MIAHEAT Turnover: Shot Clock (T#7)73
98.9%
53
1.1%
Q3 - 6:08PHXStoudemire Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)73
98.5%
53
1.5%
Q3 - 6:08PHXStoudemire Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)72
98.4%
53
1.6%
Q3 - 6:17MIAWright 18' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Payton 2 AST)71
98.2%
53
1.8%
Q3 - 6:30MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)71
98.5%
51
1.5%
Q3 - 6:31PHXMISS Bell Free Throw 1 of 171
98.5%
51
1.5%
Q3 - 6:44MIAMourning Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)69
98.3%
51
1.7%
Q3 - 6:44MIAMourning Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)69
98.3%
50
1.7%
Q3 - 6:58PHXStoudemire 6' Hook Shot (10 PTS)69
98.5%
49
1.5%
Q3 - 7:18MIAHaslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)67
98.0%
49
2.0%
Q3 - 7:18MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)67
98.1%
48
1.9%
Q3 - 7:38PHXMarion 13' Jump Shot (18 PTS)67
98.3%
47
1.7%
Q3 - 7:50MIAWright 17' Jump Shot (6 PTS)65
98.1%
47
1.9%
Q3 - 7:57PHXMourning STEAL (1 STL)65
98.3%
45
1.7%
Q3 - 8:13PHXDiaw REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)65
98.5%
45
1.5%
Q3 - 8:15MIAMISS Kapono 25' 3PT Jump Shot65
98.4%
45
1.6%
Q3 - 8:20MIAWright REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)65
98.2%
45
1.8%
Q3 - 8:22MIAMISS Wright Driving Layup65
98.4%
45
1.6%
Q3 - 8:28MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)65
98.2%
45
1.8%
Q3 - 8:30PHXMISS Bell 25' 3PT Jump Shot65
98.3%
45
1.7%
Q3 - 8:47MIAHaslem 9' Jump Bank Shot (12 PTS)65
98.5%
45
1.5%
Q3 - 9:03PHXNash 16' Fadeaway Jumper (12 PTS)65
98.6%
43
1.4%
Q3 - 9:15MIAHEAT Turnover: Shot Clock (T#6)63
98.4%
43
1.6%
Q3 - 9:50PHXDiaw 24' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Nash 7 AST)63
98.1%
43
1.9%
Q3 - 9:59PHXMarion REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)60
97.5%
43
2.5%
Q3 - 10:00MIAMISS Williams 26' 3PT Jump Shot60
97.4%
43
2.6%
Q3 - 10:05MIAKapono REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)60
97.0%
43
3.0%
Q3 - 10:06PHXMourning BLOCK (2 BLK)60
97.1%
43
2.9%
Q3 - 10:26MIAMourning Free Throw 1 of 1 (12 PTS)60
97.4%
43
2.6%
Q3 - 10:37PHXBell Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)60
98.0%
40
2.0%
Q3 - 10:37PHXMISS Bell Free Throw 1 of 259
97.9%
40
2.1%
Q3 - 10:39PHXNash REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)59
98.0%
40
2.0%
Q3 - 10:41MIAMISS Kapono 20' Jump Shot59
97.9%
40
2.1%
Q3 - 10:52MIAWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)59
97.7%
40
2.3%
Q3 - 10:54PHXMISS Bell 20' Jump Shot59
97.8%
40
2.2%
Q3 - 11:06PHXBell REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)59
97.9%
40
2.1%
Q3 - 11:08MIAMISS Mourning 20' Jump Shot59
97.8%
40
2.2%
Q3 - 11:35PHXMarion 26' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Diaw 4 AST)59
97.6%
40
2.4%
Q2 - 0:00.0PHX56
96.9%
40
3.1%
Q2 - 0:00.0PHXSuns Rebound56
96.9%
40
3.1%
Q2 - 0:00.0PHXBarron BLOCK (1 BLK)56
96.6%
40
3.4%
Q2 - 0:01.0PHXBell REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)56
96.6%
40
3.4%
Q2 - 0:03.0PHXMISS Bell 3PT Jump Shot56
96.4%
40
3.6%
Q2 - 0:23.0PHXMarion REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)56
96.6%
40
3.4%
Q2 - 0:25.0MIAMISS Kapono 18' Jump Shot56
96.5%
40
3.5%
Q2 - 0:42.0PHXBell 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Marion 1 AST)56
96.3%
40
3.7%
Q2 - 0:57.0MIAWilliams Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)53
95.0%
40
5.0%
Q2 - 0:57.0MIAWilliams Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)53
95.1%
39
4.9%
Q2 - 1:02MIAHEAT Rebound53
95.6%
38
4.4%
Q2 - 1:03MIAMISS Barron 19' Jump Shot53
95.8%
38
4.2%
Q2 - 1:09MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)53
95.6%
38
4.4%
Q2 - 1:11PHXMISS Bell 24' 3PT Jump Shot53
95.7%
38
4.3%
Q2 - 1:26MIAKapono 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Williams 2 AST)53
95.9%
38
4.1%
Q2 - 1:40PHXMarion Reverse Layup (13 PTS)53
96.6%
36
3.4%
Q2 - 1:51PHXMarion REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)51
95.9%
36
4.1%
Q2 - 1:53MIAMISS Williams 18' Jump Shot51
95.8%
36
4.2%
Q2 - 2:09MIAKapono REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)51
95.2%
36
4.8%
Q2 - 2:11PHXMISS Nash 24' 3PT Jump Shot51
95.4%
36
4.6%
Q2 - 2:35MIAHaslem 8' Hook Shot (10 PTS)51
95.7%
36
4.3%
Q2 - 2:53PHXMarion Layup (11 PTS)51
96.3%
34
3.7%
Q2 - 2:55PHXMarion REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)49
95.8%
34
4.2%
Q2 - 2:57PHXMISS Nash Reverse Layup49
95.4%
34
4.6%
Q2 - 3:10MIAWilliams Driving Layup (6 PTS)49
95.5%
34
4.5%
Q2 - 3:25PHXStoudemire Slam Dunk (8 PTS) (Diaw 3 AST)49
96.0%
32
4.0%
Q2 - 3:44PHXBell REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)47
95.5%
32
4.5%
Q2 - 3:46MIAMISS Mourning Layup47
95.4%
32
4.6%
Q2 - 4:03PHXNash Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)47
94.8%
32
5.2%
Q2 - 4:03PHXNash Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)46
94.7%
32
5.3%
Q2 - 4:13PHXDiaw REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)45
94.1%
32
5.9%
Q2 - 4:15MIAMISS Wright 24' 3PT Jump Shot45
94.0%
32
6.0%
Q2 - 4:29MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)45
93.5%
32
6.5%
Q2 - 4:31PHXMISS Marion 24' 3PT Jump Shot45
93.7%
32
6.3%
Q2 - 4:49MIAMourning Free Throw 1 of 1 (9 PTS)45
94.2%
32
5.8%
Q2 - 5:05PHXMarion Alley Oop Dunk (9 PTS) (Diaw 2 AST)45
95.2%
29
4.8%
Q2 - 5:25MIAMourning Slam Dunk (6 PTS) (Wright 1 AST)43
94.7%
29
5.3%
Q2 - 5:32MIAWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)43
95.2%
27
4.8%
Q2 - 5:35PHXMISS Nash 20' Jump Shot43
95.4%
27
4.6%
Q2 - 5:41PHXBell REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)43
95.7%
27
4.3%
Q2 - 5:43PHXMISS Stoudemire 17' Jump Shot43
95.4%
27
4.6%
Q2 - 5:53MIAWright Driving Layup (4 PTS)43
95.7%
27
4.3%
Q2 - 6:05MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)43
96.0%
25
4.0%
Q2 - 6:07PHXMISS Bell 24' 3PT Jump Shot43
96.1%
25
3.9%
Q2 - 6:23MIAHite Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T5)43
96.4%
25
3.6%
Q2 - 6:41PHXStoudemire Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)43
96.0%
25
4.0%
Q2 - 6:41PHXStoudemire Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)42
95.9%
25
4.1%
Q2 - 6:56PHXNash REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)41
95.6%
25
4.4%
Q2 - 6:58MIAMISS Posey 24' 3PT Jump Shot41
95.4%
25
4.6%
Q2 - 7:14PHXJones 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Barbosa 3 AST)41
94.8%
25
5.2%
Q2 - 7:29PHXDiaw REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)38
93.7%
25
6.3%
Q2 - 7:31MIAMISS Payton Driving Layup38
93.5%
25
6.5%
Q2 - 7:55PHXBarbosa 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Jones 2 AST)38
93.0%
25
7.0%
Q2 - 8:01PHXDiaw REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)35
91.3%
25
8.7%
Q2 - 8:03MIAMISS Hite 6' Jump Shot35
91.0%
25
9.0%
Q2 - 8:11PHXJones 19' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Barbosa 2 AST)35
90.3%
25
9.7%
Q2 - 8:31PHXDiaw REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)33
89.5%
25
10.5%
Q2 - 8:33MIAMISS Hite 3PT Jump Shot33
89.2%
25
10.8%
Q2 - 8:51PHXBell Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T6)33
88.4%
25
11.6%
Q2 - 8:55PHXThomas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)33
89.5%
25
10.5%
Q2 - 8:56MIAMISS Walker 9' Jump Bank Shot33
89.2%
25
10.8%
Q2 - 9:21PHXBell 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Barbosa 1 AST)33
88.3%
25
11.7%
Q2 - 9:30PHXJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)30
86.2%
25
13.8%
Q2 - 9:32MIAMISS Haslem 16' Jump Shot30
85.8%
25
14.2%
Q2 - 9:42MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)30
84.8%
25
15.2%
Q2 - 9:44PHXMISS Barbosa 19' Jump Shot30
85.2%
25
14.8%
Q2 - 10:04MIAHaslem 10' Jump Shot (8 PTS)30
85.9%
25
14.1%
Q2 - 10:26PHXDiaw Driving Layup (6 PTS)30
86.9%
23
13.1%
Q2 - 10:47MIAPayton 13' Jump Shot (4 PTS)28
85.9%
23
14.1%
Q2 - 10:58MIAWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)28
87.0%
21
13.0%
Q2 - 11:00PHXMISS Barbosa 25' 3PT Jump Shot28
87.3%
21
12.7%
Q2 - 11:18MIAHite 17' Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Payton 1 AST)28
88.0%
21
12.0%
Q2 - 11:41PHXBarbosa 22' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)28
89.0%
19
11.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA26
88.0%
19
12.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)26
87.0%
19
13.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Payton 9' Hook Shot26
87.7%
19
12.3%
Q1 - 0:15.0MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)26
86.9%
19
13.1%
Q1 - 0:17.0PHXMISS Jones 16' Jump Shot26
87.1%
19
12.9%
Q1 - 0:25.0MIAWalker Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T4)26
87.7%
19
12.3%
Q1 - 0:36.0MIAWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)26
86.9%
19
13.1%
Q1 - 0:38.0PHXMISS Jones Free Throw 2 of 226
87.0%
19
13.0%
Q1 - 0:38.0PHXJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)26
87.8%
19
12.2%
Q1 - 0:50.0PHXThomas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)25
86.7%
19
13.3%
Q1 - 0:52.0MIAMISS Hite Free Throw 2 of 225
86.5%
19
13.5%
Q1 - 0:52.0MIAHite Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)25
85.8%
19
14.2%
Q1 - 1:08MIAHite REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)25
86.9%
18
13.1%
Q1 - 1:09PHXMISS Marion 18' Jump Shot25
87.2%
18
12.8%
Q1 - 1:21MIAJump Ball Walker vs. Diaw: Tip to Marion25
87.7%
18
12.3%
Q1 - 1:21MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)25
86.9%
18
13.1%
Q1 - 1:23MIAMISS Walker 5' Jump Shot25
87.5%
18
12.5%
Q1 - 1:42PHXJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)25
86.9%
18
13.1%
Q1 - 1:42PHXJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)24
86.7%
18
13.3%
Q1 - 2:08MIAHaslem Slam Dunk (6 PTS) (Posey 1 AST)23
85.8%
18
14.2%
Q1 - 2:13PHXPosey STEAL (1 STL)23
86.9%
16
13.1%
Q1 - 2:20PHXThomas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)23
87.9%
16
12.1%
Q1 - 2:22PHXMISS Diaw 25' 3PT Jump Shot23
87.3%
16
12.7%
Q1 - 2:54MIAPayton 8' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS)23
87.9%
16
12.1%
Q1 - 3:04PHXBarbosa Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T4)23
88.6%
14
11.4%
Q1 - 3:28MIAHaslem Driving Layup (4 PTS)23
89.6%
14
10.4%
Q1 - 3:44PHXMarion Traveling Turnover (P1.T3)23
90.3%
12
9.7%
Q1 - 3:58PHXStoudemire REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)23
91.2%
12
8.8%
Q1 - 4:00MIAMISS Walker 9' Hook Shot23
90.9%
12
9.1%
Q1 - 4:12MIAHEAT Rebound23
90.3%
12
9.7%
Q1 - 4:13MIAMISS Williams Driving Layup23
90.9%
12
9.1%
Q1 - 4:27PHXMarion 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Nash 6 AST)23
90.3%
12
9.7%
Q1 - 4:43MIAWilliams Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)20
88.8%
12
11.2%
Q1 - 4:43MIAWilliams Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)20
88.9%
11
11.1%
Q1 - 4:49MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)20
89.4%
10
10.6%
Q1 - 4:51PHXMISS Stoudemire Reverse Layup20
89.8%
10
10.2%
Q1 - 5:03PHXStoudemire REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
90.1%
10
9.9%
Q1 - 5:05MIAMISS Haslem 11' Turnaround Jump Shot20
89.9%
10
10.1%
Q1 - 5:23PHXNash 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS)20
89.3%
10
10.7%
Q1 - 5:29PHXMarion REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)17
87.7%
10
12.3%
Q1 - 5:30MIAMISS Mourning Layup17
87.4%
10
12.6%
Q1 - 5:49PHXNash 19' Jump Shot (5 PTS)17
86.7%
10
13.3%
Q1 - 5:55PHXMarion REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)15
85.8%
10
14.2%
Q1 - 5:56MIAMISS Mourning 18' Jump Shot15
85.4%
10
14.6%
Q1 - 6:10MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)15
84.4%
10
15.6%
Q1 - 6:12MIAMISS Williams 18' Jump Shot15
85.2%
10
14.8%
Q1 - 6:18MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)15
84.4%
10
15.6%
Q1 - 6:20PHXMISS Nash 24' 3PT Jump Shot15
84.8%
10
15.2%
Q1 - 6:42MIAWright Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T2)15
85.5%
10
14.5%
Q1 - 6:59PHXBell Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)15
84.4%
10
15.6%
Q1 - 7:12MIAMourning 5' Hook Shot (4 PTS) (Haslem 1 AST)15
85.4%
10
14.6%
Q1 - 7:36PHXDiaw 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Nash 5 AST)15
86.2%
8
13.8%
Q1 - 7:44MIAMourning Layup (2 PTS)13
85.4%
8
14.6%
Q1 - 7:45MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)13
86.2%
6
13.8%
Q1 - 7:47MIAMISS Wright Driving Layup13
86.9%
6
13.1%
Q1 - 8:01PHXStoudemire Driving Layup (4 PTS) (Nash 4 AST)13
86.6%
6
13.4%
Q1 - 8:09MIAHaslem 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)11
85.8%
6
14.2%
Q1 - 8:15MIAWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)11
86.6%
4
13.4%
Q1 - 8:17PHXMISS Bell 22' Jump Shot11
86.9%
4
13.1%
Q1 - 8:28PHXNash Free Throw Technical (3 PTS)11
87.5%
4
12.5%
Q1 - 8:40MIAWright 9' Jump Bank Shot (2 PTS)10
86.7%
4
13.3%
Q1 - 8:58PHXMarion Layup (4 PTS) (Nash 3 AST)10
87.4%
2
12.6%
Q1 - 9:04MIAWright Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)8
86.7%
2
13.3%
Q1 - 9:19PHXMarion 14' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Nash 2 AST)8
85.6%
2
14.4%
Q1 - 9:33PHXMarion REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)6
84.9%
2
15.1%
Q1 - 9:35MIAMISS Wright 6' Jump Bank Shot6
84.5%
2
15.5%
Q1 - 9:51PHXNash 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Diaw 1 AST)6
83.6%
2
16.4%
Q1 - 9:58PHXMarion REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)4
82.9%
2
17.1%
Q1 - 9:59MIAMISS Haslem 14' Jump Shot4
82.4%
2
17.6%
Q1 - 10:09PHXStoudemire Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)4
81.5%
2
18.5%
Q1 - 10:09PHXStoudemire Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)3
81.2%
2
18.8%
Q1 - 10:12PHXDiaw REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)2
80.5%
2
19.5%
Q1 - 10:14MIAMISS Wright 19' Jump Shot2
80.1%
2
19.9%
Q1 - 10:32PHXDiaw Layup (2 PTS) (Nash 1 AST)2
79.1%
2
20.9%
Q1 - 10:41MIAWilliams Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)0
78.0%
2
22.0%
Q1 - 10:41MIAWilliams Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)0
78.2%
1
21.8%
Q1 - 10:52MIAWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
79.1%
0
20.9%
Q1 - 10:54PHXMISS Bell 24' 3PT Jump Shot0
79.5%
0
20.5%
Q1 - 11:00PHXDiaw REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
80.5%
0
19.5%
Q1 - 11:02MIAMISS Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot0
80.1%
0
19.9%
Q1 - 11:22PHXSuns Turnover: Shot Clock (T#1)0
79.3%
0
20.7%
Q1 - 11:22PHXSuns Rebound0
80.4%
0
19.6%
Q1 - 11:23PHXMourning BLOCK (1 BLK)0
79.7%
0
20.3%
Q1 - 11:45PHXMarion REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
80.4%
0
19.6%
Q1 - 11:47MIAMISS Mourning 7' Hook Shot0
80.1%
0
19.9%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball Mourning vs. Stoudemire: Tip to Williams0
79.3%
0
20.7%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

PHX
1.15 57.6%
MIA
0.94 46.8%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
PHX
10
15
67%
MIA
15
26
58%
Midrange
PHX
14
30
47%
MIA
14
38
37%
3PT | Effective 3PT
PHX
10
15.0
26
38%
58%
MIA
4
6.0
19
21%
32%
Free Throws
PHX
21
25
84%
MIA
19
25
76%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
PHX logo Suns
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
S. Marion2377%11.5 / 15
S. Nash1882%9.0 / 11
B. Diaw1381%6.5 / 8
A. Stoudemire1267%6.0 / 9
L. Barbosa1045%5.0 / 11
J. Jones1056%5.0 / 9
R. Bell938%4.5 / 12
K. Thomas467%2.0 / 3
J. Rose0-0.0 / 3
M. Banks0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
A. Mourning1973%9.5 / 13
U. Haslem1470%7.0 / 10
J. Kapono1359%6.5 / 11
R. Hite1150%5.5 / 11
D. Wright1042%5.0 / 12
J. Williams844%4.0 / 9
J. Posey650%3.0 / 6
G. Payton440%2.0 / 5
C. Quinn425%2.0 / 8
M. Doleac0-0.0 / 3
A. Walker0-0.0 / 3
E. Barron0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

PHX
75
+11
-15
86
MIA
80
+15
-9
95
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

PHX
1.15 57.6%
MIA
0.94 46.8%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
114.1
104.2
PHX 110.0 +10.0
MIA 100.0
Pace
95.5
90.1
PHX 88.8
MIA 90.3 +1.5
Avg. Poss. Time
14.3
16.5
PHX 16.2
MIA 16.0 +0.3
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
55.1%
50.6%
PHX 54.9% +12.7%
MIA 42.2%
TO %
14.5%
15.3%
PHX 16.3%
MIA 10.5% +5.8%
ORB %
22.8%
24.9%
PHX 22.2%
MIA 25.5% +3.3%
FTrt
26.7
32.1
PHX 35.2 +5.1
MIA 30.1
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
62.6%
57.6%
PHX 64.7% +16.2%
MIA 48.5%
STL %
7.0%
7.6%
PHX 6.7%
MIA 6.7%
BLK %
6.9%
8.8%
PHX 7.8% +1.1%
MIA 6.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -3.4 and 3.4.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
57.8%
52.4%
PHX 57.6% +10.8%
MIA 46.8%
Rim FG%
63.5%
61.8%
PHX 66.7% +9.0%
MIA 57.7%
Mid FG%
45.1%
40.5%
PHX 46.7% +9.9%
MIA 36.8%
3P %
39.9%
34.3%
PHX 38.5% +17.4%
MIA 21.1%
FT %
80.8%
69.0%
PHX 84.0% +8.0%
MIA 76.0%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
31.5%
34.9%
PHX 21.1%
MIA 31.3% +10.2%
Mid Att. %
39.8%
40.7%
PHX 42.3% +3.5%
MIA 45.8%
3P Att. %
28.7%
24.5%
PHX 36.6% +13.7%
MIA 22.9%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -3.45 and 3.45.
Game TotalsPHXMIA
Possessions9089
Possession Minutes24.323.7
Points9989
Rebounds4641
Assists2216
Steals66
Blocks53
Turnovers (Team)15 (1)9 (2)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)8 (3)13 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)38 (0)28 (1)
Field Goals34-7133-83
At-the-Rim FG10-1515-26
Midrange FG14-3014-38
2-Point FG24-4529-64
3-Point FG10-264-19
Free Throws21-2519-25
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'8" 250 · 25
37.5
13
81%
11
4
1
2
2
2
2
9
0-0
-
5-6
83%
1-2
50%
F · 6'7" 228 · 29
36.5
23
77%
13
2
2
0
2
3
1
12
1-2
50%
8-11
73%
2-3
67%
G · 6'3" 178 · 33
34.9
18
82%
3
11
1
0
4
1
0
3
6-6
100%
3-5
60%
2-4
50%
G · 6'5" 210 · 30
33.0
9
38%
4
0
1
0
2
2
2
2
1-3
33%
1-4
25%
2-7
29%
C · 6'10" 245 · 24
29.4
12
67%
3
0
0
2
1
3
0
3
6-6
100%
3-6
50%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 194 · 24
26.9
10
45%
2
3
0
0
2
5
0
2
0-0
-
2-4
50%
2-7
29%
F · 6'9" 240 · 34
18.6
4
67%
6
0
1
1
1
4
3
3
2-2
100%
1-2
50%
0-0
-
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 26
15.1
10
56%
4
2
0
0
0
0
0
4
5-6
83%
1-5
20%
1-1
100%
G-F · 6'8" 215 · 34
4.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-2
0%
G · 6'2" 205 · 25
3.8
0
0%
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 230 · 28
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 33
#4 · F-C · 6'10" 250 · 31
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#52 · G-F · 6'7" 215 · 36
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
99
58%
46
22
6
5
15
0
8
38
21-25
84%
24-45
53%
10-26
38%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.