FinalWin Prob.pScore
655%94
90
1745%92
101
ORTG#PossPace
DET logo DET
107.18491.2
IND logo IND
117.48679.7

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

PacersPistonsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

PacersPistonsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventDETIND
Q4 - 0:00.0DET90
0%
101
100%
Q4 - 0:18.0INDGranger 13' Fadeaway Jumper (13 PTS)90
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 0:40.0INDTinsley REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)90
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 0:41.0INDMISS Tinsley 12' Jump Shot90
0.2%
99
99.8%
Q4 - 0:50.0DETMurray 17' Turnaround Jump Shot (7 PTS)90
0.2%
99
99.8%
Q4 - 0:58.0INDPACERS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#12)88
0.2%
99
99.8%
Q4 - 1:22INDTinsley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)88
0.2%
99
99.8%
Q4 - 1:23DETO'Neal BLOCK (1 BLK)88
0.3%
99
99.7%
Q4 - 1:27INDO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 1 (26 PTS)88
0.5%
99
99.5%
Q4 - 1:33INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:3 Def:11)88
1.5%
96
98.5%
Q4 - 1:34DETMISS Murray Free Throw 2 of 288
1.6%
96
98.4%
Q4 - 1:34DETMurray Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)88
2.2%
96
97.8%
Q4 - 1:39DETPistons Rebound87
1.7%
96
98.3%
Q4 - 1:40INDMISS Jackson 5' Jump Shot87
1.5%
96
98.5%
Q4 - 2:01INDHarrington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)87
1.3%
96
98.7%
Q4 - 2:03DETMISS Billups 26' 3PT Jump Shot87
1.6%
96
98.4%
Q4 - 2:16INDO'Neal 7' Turnaround Jump Shot (23 PTS)87
2.7%
96
97.3%
Q4 - 2:36DETPrince REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)87
3.3%
94
96.7%
Q4 - 2:36DETPrince 2' Tip Shot (11 PTS)87
3.3%
94
96.7%
Q4 - 2:37DETMISS Billups 4' Jump Shot85
1.6%
94
98.4%
Q4 - 2:56DETBillups REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)85
3.3%
94
96.7%
Q4 - 2:58INDMISS Jackson 25' 3PT Jump Shot85
2.8%
94
97.2%
Q4 - 3:20INDJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)85
1.9%
94
98.1%
Q4 - 3:21DETJackson BLOCK (2 BLK)85
2.2%
94
97.8%
Q4 - 3:45INDO'Neal 2' Layup (21 PTS)85
5.1%
94
94.9%
Q4 - 3:46INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:3 Def:10)85
7.1%
92
92.9%
Q4 - 3:48INDMISS O'Neal 3' Jump Shot85
9.0%
92
91.0%
Q4 - 3:59DETHamilton Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)85
6.9%
92
93.1%
Q4 - 3:59DETMISS Hamilton Free Throw 1 of 284
6.6%
92
93.4%
Q4 - 4:09INDO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)84
6.9%
92
93.1%
Q4 - 4:09INDO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)84
7.5%
91
92.5%
Q4 - 4:22DETWallace 13' Jump Bank Shot (14 PTS) (Hamilton 5 AST)84
9.4%
90
90.6%
Q4 - 4:37INDO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 1 (17 PTS)82
6.7%
90
93.3%
Q4 - 4:52INDHarrington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)82
13.0%
87
87.0%
Q4 - 4:53DETMISS Billups 19' Jump Shot82
14.4%
87
85.6%
Q4 - 5:05INDO'Neal 3 Second Violation Turnover (P3.T11)82
21.8%
87
78.2%
Q4 - 5:36DETDelfino Foul Turnover (P1.T11)82
16.3%
87
83.7%
Q4 - 5:40DETDelfino REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)82
21.6%
87
78.4%
Q4 - 5:42INDMISS O'Neal 11' Jump Shot82
19.8%
87
80.2%
Q4 - 5:53DETO'Neal STEAL (2 STL)82
16.2%
87
83.8%
Q4 - 6:17INDTinsley 14' Jump Shot (21 PTS)82
24.7%
87
75.3%
Q4 - 6:39DETMcDyess 4' Slam Dunk (6 PTS) (Hamilton 4 AST)82
29.7%
85
70.3%
Q4 - 7:00INDTinsley 15' Jump Shot (19 PTS)80
24.5%
85
75.5%
Q4 - 7:12INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:10)80
32.5%
83
67.5%
Q4 - 7:13DETMISS Murray 1' Layup80
34.6%
83
65.4%
Q4 - 7:29DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)80
39.6%
83
60.4%
Q4 - 7:31INDMISS Granger 2' Layup80
37.3%
83
62.7%
Q4 - 7:45INDTinsley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)80
32.3%
83
67.7%
Q4 - 7:47DETMISS Wallace 26' 3PT Jump Shot80
34.5%
83
65.5%
Q4 - 7:55INDFoster Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T10)80
39.5%
83
60.5%
Q4 - 8:11DETHamilton 8' Jump Shot (17 PTS) (McDyess 2 AST)80
34.3%
83
65.7%
Q4 - 8:23DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)78
28.9%
83
71.1%
Q4 - 8:25INDMISS Tinsley 24' 3PT Jump Shot78
27.3%
83
72.7%
Q4 - 8:50DETWallace 26' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Murray 1 AST)78
23.8%
83
76.2%
Q4 - 9:04DETWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)75
17.8%
83
82.2%
Q4 - 9:06INDMISS Jackson 24' 3PT Jump Shot75
16.7%
83
83.3%
Q4 - 9:32INDFoster REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)75
14.3%
83
85.7%
Q4 - 9:33DETMISS Murray Free Throw 1 of 175
14.7%
83
85.3%
Q4 - 9:35INDJasikevicius Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T9)73
11.7%
83
88.3%
Q4 - 9:45DETDelfino Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)73
9.3%
83
90.7%
Q4 - 9:45DETDelfino Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)72
8.8%
83
91.2%
Q4 - 10:04INDBaston 3' Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Jasikevicius 4 AST)71
8.7%
83
91.3%
Q4 - 10:14INDFoster REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)71
10.5%
81
89.5%
Q4 - 10:15DETMISS Delfino 26' 3PT Jump Shot71
11.2%
81
88.8%
Q4 - 10:34INDGranger Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)71
13.0%
81
87.0%
Q4 - 10:34INDGranger Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)71
13.5%
80
86.5%
Q4 - 10:37INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9)71
15.5%
79
84.5%
Q4 - 10:38DETMISS Billups 14' Jump Shot71
16.5%
79
83.5%
Q4 - 10:54INDGranger Free Throw 1 of 1 (9 PTS)71
19.0%
79
81.0%
Q4 - 11:01INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)71
27.7%
76
72.3%
Q4 - 11:03DETMISS Hamilton 15' Jump Shot71
29.1%
76
70.9%
Q4 - 11:18DETDavis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)71
32.4%
76
67.6%
Q4 - 11:20INDMISS O'Neal 17' Jump Shot71
30.9%
76
69.1%
Q4 - 11:30INDPACERS Rebound71
27.6%
76
72.4%
Q4 - 11:32INDMISS Shaw. Williams 3PT Jump Shot71
30.9%
76
69.1%
Q4 - 11:36INDGranger REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)71
27.6%
76
72.4%
Q4 - 11:37INDMISS Granger 26' 3PT Jump Shot71
30.9%
76
69.1%
Q3 - 0:00.0IND71
27.6%
76
72.4%
Q3 - 0:00.0DETWallace 24' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS)71
27.6%
76
72.4%
Q3 - 0:17.0DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)68
21.5%
76
78.5%
Q3 - 0:19.0INDMISS O'Neal 19' Jump Shot68
20.5%
76
79.5%
Q3 - 0:35.0DETBillups 26' 3PT Jump Shot (22 PTS)68
18.2%
76
81.8%
Q3 - 0:43.0INDTinsley 19' Jump Shot (17 PTS)65
12.8%
76
87.2%
Q3 - 1:09DETDavis 2' Layup (2 PTS) (McDyess 1 AST)65
16.8%
74
83.2%
Q3 - 1:22INDPACERS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#8)63
14.3%
74
85.7%
Q3 - 1:22INDPACERS Rebound63
12.0%
74
88.0%
Q3 - 1:22INDMISS Granger 20' Jump Shot63
13.6%
74
86.4%
Q3 - 1:46INDTinsley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)63
12.0%
74
88.0%
Q3 - 1:48DETMISS Hamilton 3PT Jump Shot63
12.6%
74
87.4%
Q3 - 2:04INDHarrington Foul Turnover (P3.T7)63
15.5%
74
84.5%
Q3 - 2:14DETBillups 3' Finger Roll (19 PTS)63
13.0%
74
87.0%
Q3 - 2:36INDHarrington 16' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Tinsley 5 AST)61
11.1%
74
88.9%
Q3 - 2:55DETTinsley STEAL (2 STL)61
12.9%
72
87.1%
Q3 - 3:15INDTinsley 12' Running Jump Shot (15 PTS)61
16.5%
72
83.5%
Q3 - 3:35DETPrince 19' Jump Shot (9 PTS)61
18.9%
70
81.1%
Q3 - 3:54DETWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)59
16.4%
70
83.6%
Q3 - 3:54INDMISS Tinsley Free Throw 2 of 259
16.1%
70
83.9%
Q3 - 3:54INDTinsley Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)59
14.6%
70
85.4%
Q3 - 4:00INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)59
16.2%
69
83.8%
Q3 - 4:02DETMISS Billups 17' Jump Shot59
18.1%
69
81.9%
Q3 - 4:04DETPistons Rebound59
20.3%
69
79.7%
Q3 - 4:06DETMISS Prince 1' Layup59
18.1%
69
81.9%
Q3 - 4:11INDO'Neal Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T6)59
20.2%
69
79.8%
Q3 - 4:38DETHamilton 15' Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Billups 5 AST)59
17.2%
69
82.8%
Q3 - 4:44DETWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)57
15.2%
69
84.8%
Q3 - 4:46INDMISS Jackson 24' 3PT Jump Shot57
14.4%
69
85.6%
Q3 - 4:52INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)57
12.8%
69
87.2%
Q3 - 4:53DETMohammed REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)57
15.1%
69
84.9%
Q3 - 4:53DETMISS Mohammed 4' Jump Shot57
13.5%
69
86.5%
Q3 - 4:54DETMISS Prince 6' Jump Shot57
13.5%
69
86.5%
Q3 - 5:16INDJackson 16' Fadeaway Jumper (14 PTS)57
16.1%
69
83.9%
Q3 - 5:33INDFoster REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)57
18.3%
67
81.7%
Q3 - 5:34INDMISS O'Neal 16' Jump Shot57
20.2%
67
79.8%
Q3 - 5:52INDPACERS Rebound57
18.2%
67
81.8%
Q3 - 5:53DETMISS Wallace 9' Jump Shot57
19.1%
67
80.9%
Q3 - 6:14INDJackson 17' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Harrington 3 AST)57
22.2%
67
77.8%
Q3 - 6:18INDHarrington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)57
24.9%
65
75.1%
Q3 - 6:19DETMISS Hamilton 15' Jump Shot57
25.9%
65
74.1%
Q3 - 6:37INDTinsley 17' Jump Shot (12 PTS)57
28.2%
65
71.8%
Q3 - 6:55INDPACERS Rebound57
31.3%
63
68.7%
Q3 - 6:56DETFoster BLOCK (1 BLK)57
32.4%
63
67.6%
Q3 - 7:03DETPrince REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)57
35.6%
63
64.4%
Q3 - 7:05INDMISS O'Neal 15' Jump Shot57
34.3%
63
65.7%
Q3 - 7:29DETHamilton 2' Layup (13 PTS) (Billups 4 AST)57
31.6%
63
68.4%
Q3 - 7:32DETWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)55
28.8%
63
71.2%
Q3 - 7:33INDMISS Foster 1' Layup55
27.7%
63
72.3%
Q3 - 7:34INDFoster REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)55
25.3%
63
74.7%
Q3 - 7:36INDMISS Jackson 19' Jump Shot55
27.7%
63
72.3%
Q3 - 7:49INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)55
25.3%
63
74.7%
Q3 - 7:50DETMISS Prince 10' Jump Shot55
26.3%
63
73.7%
Q3 - 8:06DETMohammed REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)55
29.7%
63
70.3%
Q3 - 8:08INDMISS Harrington 24' 3PT Jump Shot55
28.6%
63
71.4%
Q3 - 8:23INDHarrington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)55
26.1%
63
73.9%
Q3 - 8:24DETMISS Billups 19' Jump Shot55
27.2%
63
72.8%
Q3 - 8:45INDO'Neal 10' Turnaround Jump Shot (14 PTS)55
29.6%
63
70.4%
Q3 - 8:54INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)55
32.3%
61
67.7%
Q3 - 8:56INDMISS Harrington 3PT Jump Shot55
35.0%
61
65.0%
Q3 - 9:15DETBillups Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)55
33.3%
61
66.7%
Q3 - 9:15DETBillups Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)54
33.0%
61
67.0%
Q3 - 9:38INDJackson 3' Driving Layup (10 PTS)53
30.2%
61
69.8%
Q3 - 9:56DETPrince 10' Running Jump Shot (7 PTS)53
33.2%
59
66.8%
Q3 - 10:01DETPrince REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)51
31.4%
59
68.6%
Q3 - 10:02INDMISS O'Neal 15' Jump Shot51
30.3%
59
69.7%
Q3 - 10:17DETMohammed Traveling Turnover (P2.T8)51
28.0%
59
72.0%
Q3 - 10:37INDTinsley 24' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Jackson 2 AST)51
31.3%
59
68.7%
Q3 - 11:01DETBillups 9' Jump Shot (15 PTS)51
38.4%
56
61.6%
Q3 - 11:32INDHarrington 1' Layup (14 PTS) (Tinsley 4 AST)49
35.3%
56
64.7%
Q3 - 11:44INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)49
38.3%
54
61.7%
Q3 - 11:46DETMISS Hamilton 12' Jump Shot49
39.3%
54
60.7%
Q2 - 0:00.0IND49
41.8%
54
58.2%
Q2 - 0:01.0INDBaston REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)49
39.8%
54
60.2%
Q2 - 0:03.0DETMISS Hamilton 18' Jump Shot49
40.5%
54
59.5%
Q2 - 0:25.0DETDavis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)49
42.0%
54
58.0%
Q2 - 0:25.0INDMISS Granger Free Throw 2 of 249
41.7%
54
58.3%
Q2 - 0:25.0INDGranger Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)49
39.5%
54
60.5%
Q2 - 0:34.0DETBillups Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)49
42.9%
53
57.1%
Q2 - 0:34.0DETBillups Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)48
42.6%
53
57.4%
Q2 - 0:42.0INDTinsley Foul Turnover (P1.T5)47
38.8%
53
61.2%
Q2 - 0:50.0DETBillups 26' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS)47
36.5%
53
63.5%
Q2 - 1:02INDJackson 2' Driving Layup (8 PTS)44
30.3%
53
69.7%
Q2 - 1:17DETMohammed 1' Layup (6 PTS)44
34.5%
51
65.5%
Q2 - 1:18DETMohammed REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)42
30.3%
51
69.7%
Q2 - 1:20DETMISS Hamilton 3' Layup42
29.3%
51
70.7%
Q2 - 1:22DETHamilton REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)42
30.3%
51
69.7%
Q2 - 1:23DETMISS Billups 18' Jump Shot42
29.3%
51
70.7%
Q2 - 1:36INDJackson Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)42
30.3%
51
69.7%
Q2 - 1:36INDJackson Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)42
30.8%
50
69.2%
Q2 - 1:58DETPrince 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Billups 3 AST)42
34.5%
49
65.5%
Q2 - 2:14DETMohammed REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)39
29.0%
49
71.0%
Q2 - 2:15INDMISS Tinsley 2' Layup39
28.3%
49
71.7%
Q2 - 2:29INDHarrington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)39
26.7%
49
73.3%
Q2 - 2:31DETMISS Hamilton 24' 3PT Jump Shot39
27.3%
49
72.7%
Q2 - 2:52DETHamilton Free Throw Technical (11 PTS)39
28.9%
49
71.1%
Q2 - 2:53DETBillups REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)38
26.4%
49
73.6%
Q2 - 2:54INDTinsley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)38
24.3%
49
75.7%
Q2 - 2:54INDMISS Tinsley 2' Layup38
25.7%
49
74.3%
Q2 - 2:55INDMISS Foster 3' Layup38
25.7%
49
74.3%
Q2 - 3:13DETMcDyess Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)38
25.4%
49
74.6%
Q2 - 3:13DETMcDyess Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)37
24.6%
49
75.4%
Q2 - 3:36INDTinsley 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (O'Neal 2 AST)36
23.4%
49
76.6%
Q2 - 3:56DETMcDyess Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)36
27.6%
46
72.4%
Q2 - 3:56DETMcDyess Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)35
26.8%
46
73.2%
Q2 - 4:16INDO'Neal 18' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Tinsley 3 AST)34
26.5%
46
73.5%
Q2 - 4:33INDPACERS Rebound34
28.8%
44
71.2%
Q2 - 4:34DETMISS Hamilton 12' Jump Shot34
29.5%
44
70.5%
Q2 - 4:35DETHamilton REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)34
31.2%
44
68.8%
Q2 - 4:36DETGranger BLOCK (1 BLK)34
29.5%
44
70.5%
Q2 - 4:57INDGranger 15' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Tinsley 2 AST)34
31.2%
44
68.8%
Q2 - 5:06INDFoster REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)34
34.2%
42
65.8%
Q2 - 5:07DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)34
37.0%
42
63.0%
Q2 - 5:07DETMISS McDyess 2' Layup34
35.0%
42
65.0%
Q2 - 5:09DETMISS Hamilton 2' Layup34
35.0%
42
65.0%
Q2 - 5:15INDJump Ball O'Neal vs. McDyess: Tip to Hamilton34
37.0%
42
63.0%
Q2 - 5:15INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)34
34.2%
42
65.8%
Q2 - 5:16INDMISS Foster 2' Layup34
36.1%
42
63.9%
Q2 - 5:43DETHamilton 4' Running Jump Shot (10 PTS)34
34.2%
42
65.8%
Q2 - 6:02INDJasikevicius 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Harrington 2 AST)32
32.9%
42
67.1%
Q2 - 6:08INDGranger REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)32
37.3%
39
62.7%
Q2 - 6:09INDMISS Harrington 26' 3PT Jump Shot32
39.5%
39
60.5%
Q2 - 6:29INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)32
37.3%
39
62.7%
Q2 - 6:30DETMISS McDyess 15' Jump Shot32
38.3%
39
61.7%
Q2 - 6:52INDO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)32
40.4%
39
59.6%
Q2 - 6:52INDO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)32
41.0%
38
59.0%
Q2 - 6:59DETHamilton Free Throw 1 of 1 (8 PTS)32
42.6%
37
57.4%
Q2 - 7:05DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)29
38.7%
37
61.3%
Q2 - 7:07DETMISS Delfino 10' Jump Shot29
36.8%
37
63.2%
Q2 - 7:22INDJasikevicius Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)29
38.6%
37
61.4%
Q2 - 7:22INDJasikevicius Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)29
38.9%
36
61.1%
Q2 - 7:32INDGranger REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)29
41.0%
35
59.0%
Q2 - 7:34DETMISS Murray 3PT Jump Shot29
41.8%
35
58.2%
Q2 - 7:51DETDelfino REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)29
43.7%
35
56.3%
Q2 - 7:53INDMISS Jasikevicius 16' Jump Shot29
42.9%
35
57.1%
Q2 - 8:07DETMaxiell 4' Jump Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Hamilton 3 AST)29
41.0%
35
59.0%
Q2 - 8:25INDO'Neal 17' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Jasikevicius 2 AST)27
38.8%
35
61.2%
Q2 - 8:43DETHamilton Foul Turnover (P1.T7)27
41.0%
33
59.0%
Q2 - 8:46DETHamilton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)27
43.9%
33
56.1%
Q2 - 8:48INDMISS Shaw. Williams 22' Jump Shot27
43.0%
33
57.0%
Q2 - 9:10INDPACERS Rebound27
41.5%
33
58.5%
Q2 - 9:12DETMISS McDyess 17' Jump Shot27
42.3%
33
57.7%
Q2 - 9:35INDGranger 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Jasikevicius 1 AST)27
44.2%
33
55.8%
Q2 - 9:49INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)27
48.9%
30
51.1%
Q2 - 9:50DETMISS Murray 12' Jump Shot27
49.8%
30
50.2%
Q2 - 10:02INDO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)27
51.7%
30
48.3%
Q2 - 10:02INDO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)27
52.3%
29
47.7%
Q2 - 10:15DETMurray 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Hamilton 2 AST)27
53.9%
28
46.1%
Q2 - 10:23DETHamilton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)25
51.7%
28
48.3%
Q2 - 10:25DETMISS Delfino 24' 3PT Jump Shot25
49.8%
28
50.2%
Q2 - 10:34DETHamilton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)25
51.7%
28
48.3%
Q2 - 10:35INDMISS O'Neal 10' Jump Shot25
50.9%
28
49.1%
Q2 - 10:47DETPistons Turnover: Shot Clock (T#6)25
48.9%
28
51.1%
Q2 - 10:47DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)25
51.7%
28
48.3%
Q2 - 10:48DETMISS Delfino 25' 3PT Jump Shot25
49.8%
28
50.2%
Q2 - 11:09DETDelfino REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)25
51.7%
28
48.3%
Q2 - 11:10DETDelfino REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)25
51.7%
28
48.3%
Q2 - 11:10DETMISS Delfino 2' Layup25
50.0%
28
50.0%
Q2 - 11:13DETMISS Hamilton 13' Jump Shot25
50.0%
28
50.0%
Q2 - 11:19DETHamilton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)25
51.7%
28
48.3%
Q2 - 11:22INDMISS Granger 11' Jump Shot25
50.9%
28
49.1%
Q2 - 11:43INDJump Ball Baston vs. McDyess: Tip to Granger25
49.2%
28
50.8%
Q2 - 11:45DETMISS McDyess 16' Jump Shot25
50.0%
28
50.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0DET25
51.6%
28
48.4%
Q1 - 0:00.0DETMurray REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)25
51.6%
28
48.4%
Q1 - 0:00.0INDMISS Jackson 1' Layup25
50.9%
28
49.1%
Q1 - 0:08.0INDPACERS Rebound25
49.5%
28
50.5%
Q1 - 0:10.0INDMISS Jackson 24' 3PT Jump Shot25
50.8%
28
49.2%
Q1 - 0:30.0DETBillups Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)25
49.5%
28
50.5%
Q1 - 0:30.0DETBillups Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)24
49.3%
28
50.7%
Q1 - 0:37.0INDHarrington 5' Jump Shot (12 PTS)23
46.6%
28
53.4%
Q1 - 0:52.0DETWallace Foul Turnover (P2.T5)23
49.5%
26
50.5%
Q1 - 1:05INDHarrington 2' Layup (10 PTS)23
51.5%
26
48.5%
Q1 - 1:24DETWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)23
54.4%
24
45.6%
Q1 - 1:24DETWallace 1' Tip Shot (6 PTS)23
54.4%
24
45.6%
Q1 - 1:26DETBaston BLOCK (1 BLK)21
50.2%
24
49.8%
Q1 - 1:46INDHarrington 5' Jump Hook Shot (8 PTS)21
51.5%
24
48.5%
Q1 - 2:01DETBillups 17' Jump Shot (6 PTS)21
54.5%
22
45.5%
Q1 - 2:17INDHarrington Free Throw 1 of 1 (6 PTS)19
52.0%
22
48.0%
Q1 - 2:24INDJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
56.8%
19
43.2%
Q1 - 2:26DETMISS Wallace 24' 3PT Jump Shot19
57.4%
19
42.6%
Q1 - 2:38DETPrince REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)19
58.9%
19
41.1%
Q1 - 2:40INDMISS Harrington 17' Jump Shot19
58.3%
19
41.7%
Q1 - 3:02DETWallace 12' Turnaround Jump Shot (4 PTS)19
56.5%
19
43.5%
Q1 - 3:20INDFoster Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)17
54.6%
19
45.4%
Q1 - 3:20INDFoster Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)17
55.3%
18
44.7%
Q1 - 3:34DETBillups Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)17
56.6%
17
43.4%
Q1 - 3:34DETBillups Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)16
56.3%
17
43.7%
Q1 - 3:36INDJackson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)15
54.6%
17
45.4%
Q1 - 3:58DETWallace Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)15
52.1%
17
47.9%
Q1 - 4:15INDTinsley 11' Running Jump Shot (4 PTS)15
54.9%
17
45.1%
Q1 - 4:37DETHamilton 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Billups 2 AST)15
56.6%
15
43.4%
Q1 - 4:46DETMohammed REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)12
52.7%
15
47.3%
Q1 - 4:47INDMISS Jackson 3' Layup12
51.9%
15
48.1%
Q1 - 4:58DETO'Neal STEAL (1 STL)12
50.0%
15
50.0%
Q1 - 5:13INDHarrington Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T2)12
52.9%
15
47.1%
Q1 - 5:30DETBillups Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)12
50.5%
15
49.5%
Q1 - 5:30DETBillups Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)11
50.3%
15
49.7%
Q1 - 5:46INDFoster 1' Layup (2 PTS)10
48.7%
15
51.3%
Q1 - 5:47INDFoster REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)10
50.5%
13
49.5%
Q1 - 5:48INDMISS Tinsley 4' Jump Shot10
52.2%
13
47.8%
Q1 - 5:56INDFoster REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)10
50.5%
13
49.5%
Q1 - 5:58DETMISS Mohammed 7' Jump Shot10
51.2%
13
48.8%
Q1 - 6:09DETHamilton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
52.9%
13
47.1%
Q1 - 6:10INDMISS O'Neal 17' Jump Shot10
52.3%
13
47.7%
Q1 - 6:32DETMohammed Traveling Turnover (P1.T2)10
50.8%
13
49.2%
Q1 - 6:45INDO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)10
52.9%
13
47.1%
Q1 - 6:45INDO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)10
53.4%
12
46.6%
Q1 - 7:09DETMohammed 2' Slam Dunk (4 PTS) (Hamilton 1 AST)10
55.1%
11
44.9%
Q1 - 7:13DETPrince REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
53.4%
11
46.6%
Q1 - 7:15INDMISS Harrington 2' Layup8
52.7%
11
47.3%
Q1 - 7:19INDFoster REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)8
51.3%
11
48.7%
Q1 - 7:21DETMISS Prince 20' Jump Shot8
51.9%
11
48.1%
Q1 - 7:28DETMohammed REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)8
53.4%
11
46.6%
Q1 - 7:31INDMISS Tinsley 3' Layup8
52.7%
11
47.3%
Q1 - 7:33INDFoster REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)8
51.3%
11
48.7%
Q1 - 7:36DETJackson BLOCK (1 BLK)8
51.9%
11
48.1%
Q1 - 7:58INDTinsley 2' Driving Layup (2 PTS)8
53.3%
11
46.7%
Q1 - 8:07INDPACERS Rebound8
55.5%
9
44.5%
Q1 - 8:07INDMISS Tinsley 2' Layup8
57.0%
9
43.0%
Q1 - 8:12INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
55.5%
9
44.5%
Q1 - 8:13DETMISS Billups 24' 3PT Jump Shot8
56.2%
9
43.8%
Q1 - 8:31INDJackson 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Harrington 1 AST)8
57.6%
9
42.4%
Q1 - 8:48DETPrince 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Billups 1 AST)8
59.2%
7
40.8%
Q1 - 9:05INDHarrington 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Jackson 1 AST)6
57.5%
7
42.5%
Q1 - 9:21DETWallace Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)6
60.7%
4
39.3%
Q1 - 9:21DETWallace Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)5
60.3%
4
39.7%
Q1 - 9:37INDHarrington Traveling Turnover (P1.T1)4
59.4%
4
40.6%
Q1 - 9:44INDFoster REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
57.1%
4
42.9%
Q1 - 9:46DETMISS Prince 18' Jump Shot4
57.8%
4
42.2%
Q1 - 10:05INDO'Neal 10' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS)4
59.2%
4
40.8%
Q1 - 10:20DETHamilton Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)4
60.8%
2
39.2%
Q1 - 10:20DETHamilton Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)3
60.5%
2
39.5%
Q1 - 10:38DETPistons Rebound2
59.2%
2
40.8%
Q1 - 10:39INDMISS Jackson 22' Jump Shot2
58.6%
2
41.4%
Q1 - 10:58DETMohammed 6' Jump Shot (2 PTS)2
57.1%
2
42.9%
Q1 - 11:02DETMohammed REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
55.4%
2
44.6%
Q1 - 11:04DETMISS Hamilton 17' Jump Shot0
54.3%
2
45.7%
Q1 - 11:21DETWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
55.4%
2
44.6%
Q1 - 11:22INDMISS Tinsley 16' Jump Shot0
54.9%
2
45.1%
Q1 - 11:28DETTinsley STEAL (1 STL)0
53.7%
2
46.3%
Q1 - 11:46INDJackson 2' Reverse Layup (2 PTS) (O'Neal 1 AST)0
55.4%
2
44.6%
Q1 - 12:00INDJump Ball O'Neal vs. Mohammed: Tip to0
57.4%
0
42.6%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

DET
0.98 48.9%
IND
1.10 54.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
DET
12
23
52%
IND
15
29
52%
Midrange
DET
12
38
32%
IND
17
34
50%
3PT | Effective 3PT
DET
6
9.0
16
38%
56%
IND
5
7.5
15
33%
50%
Free Throws
DET
24
27
89%
IND
22
24
92%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
DET logo Pistons
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
C. Billups2261%11.0 / 18
R. Hamilton1843%9.0 / 21
R. Wallace1470%7.0 / 10
T. Prince1150%5.5 / 11
R. Murray744%3.5 / 8
N. Mohammed650%3.0 / 6
A. McDyess643%3.0 / 7
D. Davis2100%1.0 / 1
C. Delfino217%1.0 / 6
J. Maxiell2100%1.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
IND logo Pacers
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. O'Neal2662%13.0 / 21
J. Tinsley2158%10.5 / 18
A. Harrington1667%8.0 / 12
S. Jackson1444%7.0 / 16
D. Granger1365%6.5 / 10
S. Jasikevicius583%2.5 / 3
J. Foster440%2.0 / 5
M. Baston2100%1.0 / 1
S. Williams0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

DET
74
+14
-10
88
IND
76
+14
-10
90
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DET
0.98 48.9%
IND
1.10 54.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
108.1
103.0
DET 107.1
IND 117.4 +10.3
Pace
88.0
92.4
DET 91.2 +11.5
IND 79.7
Avg. Poss. Time
17.0
15.7
DET 15.8 +2.3
IND 18.1
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
48.8%
47.4%
DET 42.9%
IND 50.6% +7.7%
TO %
13.2%
17.1%
DET 11.0% +0.9%
IND 11.9%
ORB %
28.3%
28.4%
DET 29.5% +2.5%
IND 27.0%
FTrt
30.7
32.4
DET 35.1 +4.3
IND 30.8
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
60.1%
58.5%
DET 46.7%
IND 48.6% +1.9%
STL %
8.0%
7.9%
DET 6.0% +1.3%
IND 4.7%
BLK %
9.2%
8.5%
DET 9.5%
IND 9.8% +0.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.18 and 2.18.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.2%
51.0%
DET 48.9%
IND 54.9% +6.0%
Rim FG%
58.3%
56.1%
DET 52.2% +0.5%
IND 51.7%
Mid FG%
41.7%
39.0%
DET 31.6%
IND 50.0% +18.4%
3P %
34.4%
34.6%
DET 37.5% +4.2%
IND 33.3%
FT %
77.4%
76.0%
DET 88.9%
IND 91.7% +2.8%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
31.1%
33.3%
DET 29.9%
IND 37.2% +7.3%
Mid Att. %
48.8%
45.5%
DET 49.4%
IND 43.6% +5.8%
3P Att. %
20.1%
21.2%
DET 20.8% +1.5%
IND 19.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsDETIND
Possessions8486
Possession Minutes22.125.9
Points90101
Rebounds4041
Assists1418
Steals54
Blocks66
Turnovers (Team)10 (1)10 (2)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)13 (1)10 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)27 (2)31 (4)
Field Goals30-7737-78
At-the-Rim FG12-2315-29
Midrange FG12-3817-34
2-Point FG24-6132-63
3-Point FG6-165-15
Free Throws24-2722-24
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'7" 193 · 29
45.7
18
43%
7
5
1
1
1
4
3
4
5-6
83%
5-16
31%
1-3
33%
F · 6'11" 230 · 32
36.6
14
70%
6
0
0
2
2
4
1
5
2-2
100%
3-5
60%
2-4
50%
G · 6'3" 210 · 30
35.6
22
61%
2
5
0
1
3
3
0
2
10-10
100%
3-9
33%
2-4
50%
F · 6'9" 212 · 27
33.4
11
50%
5
0
0
0
0
0
1
4
0-0
-
4-10
40%
1-1
100%
C · 6'10" 250 · 29
19.2
6
50%
7
0
1
1
2
3
3
4
0-0
-
3-6
50%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 200 · 27
23.8
7
44%
1
1
1
0
1
0
0
1
1-3
33%
3-6
50%
0-1
0%
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 32
19.0
6
43%
6
2
1
0
0
3
3
3
4-4
100%
1-5
20%
0-0
-
C-F · 6'11" 252 · 38
12.6
2
100%
2
0
0
1
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-0
-
G-F · 6'6" 230 · 24
11.1
2
17%
4
0
1
0
1
2
2
2
2-2
100%
0-2
0%
0-3
0%
F · 6'7" 260 · 24
3.0
2
100%
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-0
-
G · 6'0" 205 · 23
F · 6'7" 209 · 26
#10 · G · 6'2" 195 · 36
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#25 · C-F · 6'9" 240 · 20
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
90
49%
40
14
5
6
10
0
13
27
24-27
89%
24-61
39%
6-16
38%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.