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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
December 13, 2006
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
18SuperSonics21%9284
4Bulls79%10299
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Damien Wilkins
· 6'6" 225 · 26.9
44.5
35.9
16
56%
8
7
1
2
1
8
1
7
5-5
100%
4-10
5-10
40%
46%
1-2
50%
Rashard Lewis
F · 6'10" 235 · 27.3
36.3
38.9
18
63%
13
2
1
1
2
1
4
9
3-3
100%
6-11
5-10
55%
49%
1-2
50%
Luke Ridnour
G · 6'2" 175 · 25.8
35.8
33.7
11
37%
3
2
1
1
0
2
1
2
2-2
100%
3-10
5-10
30%
44%
1-4
25%
Chris Wilcox
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 24.3
16.1
34.7
4
29%
3
0
0
1
1
2
1
2
0-0
-
2-7
5-9
29%
52%
0-0
-
Nick Collison
F · 6'10" 255 · 26.1
9.9
31.5
5
43%
1
0
0
1
1
1
1
0
1-2
50%
2-5
4-9
40%
48%
0-0
-
Mickael Gelabale
F · 6'7" 215 · 23.6
31.9
17.3
10
45%
4
0
1
0
0
1
2
2
2-5
40%
4-9
1-2
44%
43%
0-0
-
Johan Petro
C · 7'0" 247 · 20.9
30.1
14.8
16
67%
10
0
1
0
1
1
1
9
0-0
-
8-12
2-4
67%
50%
0-0
-
Mike Wilks
G · 5'10" 180 · 27.6
24.2
2.5
4
33%
6
6
1
0
0
1
2
4
0-0
-
2-5
0-1
40%
37%
0-1
0%
Desmon Farmer
G · 6'5" 220 · 25.2
11.2
1.1
0
0%
0
4
1
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
0-0
0%
40%
0-1
0%
Earl Watson
G · 6'1" 199 · 27.5
19.4
1
2-4
43%
Andreas Glyniadakis
C · 7'1" 280 · 25.3
1.9
0
0-0
46%
Mouhamed Sene
C · 6'11" 230 · 20.6
1.5
0
0-0
43%
Robert Swift
C · 7'1" 270 · 21.0
Danny Fortson
C-F · 6'8" 260 · 30.7
Ray Allen
G · 6'5" 205 · 31.4
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kirk Hinrich
G · 6'4" 190 · 25.9
39.0
32.2
14
50%
4
8
4
1
0
2
1
3
2-2
100%
3-7
4-8
43%
47%
2-6
33%
Ben Wallace
F-C · 6'9" 240 · 32.3
38.7
34.4
15
58%
20
2
2
2
5
4
8
12
1-2
50%
7-12
3-5
58%
50%
0-0
-
Luol Deng
F · 6'9" 220 · 21.7
35.2
37.5
13
39%
6
3
1
1
0
2
3
3
1-2
50%
6-15
7-14
40%
53%
0-1
0%
Chris Duhon
G · 6'1" 190 · 24.3
34.4
30.0
5
36%
2
7
1
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
47%
1-5
20%
Andres Nocioni
· 6'7" 225 · 27.0
29.3
30.7
20
63%
6
2
0
1
1
0
0
6
0-0
-
7-11
4-8
64%
51%
2-5
40%
Ben Gordon
G · 6'3" 205 · 23.7
32.3
29.8
27
66%
4
6
3
1
0
2
1
3
7-8
88%
4-9
4-9
44%
46%
4-8
50%
Thabo Sefolosha
F · 6'7" 220 · 22.6
14.4
4.6
2
33%
2
2
2
0
0
0
2
0
0-0
-
1-3
1-1
33%
51%
0-0
-
Malik Allen
F · 6'10" 255 · 28.5
9.3
5.6
2
20%
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-5
1-2
20%
48%
0-0
-
Viktor Khryapa
· 6'9" 210 · 24.4
5.7
2.9
1
17%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1-2
50%
0-2
0-1
0%
49%
0-0
-
Tyrus Thomas
F · 6'10" 225 · 20.3
1.6
6.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
52%
0-0
-
Michael Sweetney
F · 6'8" 270 · 24.1
6.7
0
1-2
49%
Adrian Griffin
G-F · 6'5" 230 · 32.4
4.2
0
0-1
49%
P.J. Brown
F-C · 6'11" 239 · 37.2
Martynas Andriuskevicius
C · 7'2" 240 · 20.8
Andre Barrett
G · 5'10" 173 · 24.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.