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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
December 15, 2006
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
26Heat30%9495
13Wizards70%101106
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 26.5
25.9
31.0
3
26%
8
3
0
1
0
3
4
4
1-2
50%
1-5
4-8
20%
52%
0-0
-
Dorell Wright
F-G · 6'9" 205 · 21.0
23.9
26.1
2
11%
7
2
1
1
0
2
3
4
0-0
-
1-9
3-6
11%
48%
0-0
-
Alonzo Mourning
C · 6'10" 261 · 36.8
23.8
23.3
17
66%
8
0
0
0
3
2
4
4
1-2
50%
8-12
3-6
67%
56%
0-0
-
Gary Payton
G · 6'4" 190 · 38.4
21.9
16.8
7
39%
0
2
1
1
0
3
0
0
0-0
-
2-5
1-2
40%
48%
1-4
25%
Jason Kapono
F · 6'8" 215 · 25.9
15.3
27.6
5
31%
1
1
1
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
2-5
33%
44%
1-5
20%
James Posey
F · 6'8" 217 · 29.9
33.9
25.8
26
98%
7
3
1
1
0
1
3
4
3-3
100%
1-1
1-2
100%
45%
7-11
64%
Chris Quinn
G · 6'2" 175 · 23.2
25.5
7.0
9
45%
2
5
1
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
3-6
1-2
50%
44%
1-4
25%
Antoine Walker
F · 6'9" 245 · 30.3
24.4
15.8
12
87%
4
3
0
0
0
1
1
3
1-2
50%
4-4
2-4
100%
48%
1-2
50%
Robert Hite
G · 6'2" 184 · 22.9
24.1
14.1
8
32%
2
1
0
0
0
1
1
1
3-3
100%
1-6
2-4
17%
44%
1-5
20%
Michael Doleac
C · 6'11" 262 · 29.5
20.4
10.2
6
51%
5
1
0
0
0
2
2
3
2-2
100%
2-5
1-2
40%
44%
0-0
-
Earl Barron
F-C · 7'0" 250 · 25.3
1.0
4.6
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
49%
0-0
-
Jason Williams
G · 6'1" 180 · 31.1
23.7
1
2-4
48%
Shaquille O'Neal
C · 7'1" 325 · 34.8
Wayne Simien
F · 6'9" 250 · 23.8
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 24.9
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Caron Butler
F · 6'7" 228 · 26.8
42.7
38.2
30
69%
9
4
4
2
2
3
3
6
5-6
83%
11-17
6-13
65%
48%
1-2
50%
Antawn Jamison
F · 6'9" 235 · 30.5
40.8
36.6
22
76%
10
3
1
1
5
0
0
10
1-1
100%
6-10
5-10
60%
49%
3-4
75%
Gilbert Arenas
G · 6'4" 215 · 24.9
39.3
38.8
27
53%
6
6
3
2
0
5
1
5
3-6
50%
6-10
6-13
60%
48%
4-13
31%
DeShawn Stevenson
F-G · 6'5" 218 · 25.7
38.9
28.6
6
38%
2
4
0
1
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
3-7
3-7
43%
48%
0-1
0%
Brendan Haywood
C · 7'0" 263 · 27.1
29.9
25.0
8
82%
8
2
1
1
2
0
5
3
2-2
100%
3-4
3-5
75%
53%
0-0
-
Jarvis Hayes
F · 6'8" 228 · 25.3
19.7
16.7
8
40%
1
1
0
1
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
1-4
2-4
25%
43%
2-6
33%
Antonio Daniels
G · 6'4" 205 · 31.7
10.7
20.2
5
75%
2
3
0
1
1
1
0
2
3-3
100%
1-1
2-4
100%
48%
0-1
0%
Andray Blatche
C-F · 6'11" 260 · 20.3
6.2
3.2
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
49%
0-0
-
Calvin Booth
C · 6'11" 230 · 30.6
5.5
5.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
46%
0-0
-
Donell Taylor
G · 6'5" 193 · 24.4
4.4
5.1
0
0%
0
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
45%
0-1
0%
James Lang
C · 6'10" 305 · 23.2
1.0
5.3
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
50%
0-0
-
Roger Mason Jr.
G · 6'5" 205 · 26.3
1.0
5.2
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
42%
0-1
0%
Michael Ruffin
F-C · 6'8" 248 · 29.9
Darius Songaila
F · 6'9" 248 · 28.8
Etan Thomas
C · 6'10" 260 · 28.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.