| ORTG | #Poss | Pace | |
|---|---|---|---|
 MIA | 105.6 | 90 | 84.0 |
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Scoring Opportunities
MIA
74
+21
-16
95
WAS
77
+15
-12
92
Base
ORB
TOV
Scoring Efficiency
MIA
1.00 50.0%
WAS
1.15 57.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %
WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS
Win Probability
Scoring Margin
Play-by-Play
| Score / WinProb | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clock | Team | Event | MIA | WAS |
| Q4 - 0:00.0 | MIA | 95 0% | 106 100% | |
| Q4 - 0:06.0 | MIA | Hite REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1) | 95 0.1% | 106 99.9% |
| Q4 - 0:08.0 | WAS | MISS Mason Jr. 26' 3PT Jump Shot | 95 0.1% | 106 99.9% |
| Q4 - 0:27.0 | MIA | Walker 26' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Quinn 5 AST) | 95 0.1% | 106 99.9% |
| Q4 - 0:37.0 | MIA | Barron REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 92 0.1% | 106 99.9% |
| Q4 - 0:39.0 | WAS | MISS Taylor 27' 3PT Jump Shot | 92 0.1% | 106 99.9% |
| Q4 - 0:59.0 | WAS | Arenas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5) | 92 0.1% | 106 99.9% |
| Q4 - 0:59.0 | MIA | MISS Posey 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 92 0.1% | 106 99.9% |
| Q4 - 1:04 | MIA | Posey REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4) | 92 0.1% | 106 99.9% |
| Q4 - 1:05 | MIA | MISS Quinn 26' 3PT Jump Shot | 92 0.1% | 106 99.9% |
| Q4 - 1:08 | MIA | Haslem REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4) | 92 0.1% | 106 99.9% |
| Q4 - 1:12 | MIA | MISS Posey 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 92 0.1% | 106 99.9% |
| Q4 - 1:28 | WAS | Daniels Driving Layup (5 PTS) | 92 0.1% | 106 99.9% |
| Q4 - 1:34 | WAS | Daniels REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 92 0.1% | 104 99.9% |
| Q4 - 1:36 | MIA | MISS Haslem 3' Layup | 92 0.1% | 104 99.9% |
| Q4 - 1:38 | MIA | Haslem REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4) | 92 0.2% | 104 99.8% |
| Q4 - 1:41 | MIA | Jamison BLOCK (5 BLK) | 92 0.1% | 104 99.9% |
| Q4 - 1:42 | MIA | Haslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4) | 92 0.2% | 104 99.8% |
| Q4 - 1:45 | MIA | Jamison BLOCK (4 BLK) | 92 0.1% | 104 99.9% |
| Q4 - 1:58 | MIA | Posey REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4) | 92 0.2% | 104 99.8% |
| Q4 - 2:00 | WAS | MISS Arenas 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 92 0.2% | 104 99.8% |
| Q4 - 2:18 | MIA | Hite Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS) | 92 0.1% | 104 99.9% |
| Q4 - 2:18 | MIA | Hite Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS) | 91 0.1% | 104 99.9% |
| Q4 - 2:25 | MIA | Quinn REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 90 0.1% | 104 99.9% |
| Q4 - 2:27 | WAS | MISS Butler 16' Jump Shot | 90 0.1% | 104 99.9% |
| Q4 - 2:35 | WAS | Butler REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6) | 90 0.1% | 104 99.9% |
| Q4 - 2:37 | MIA | MISS Hite 26' 3PT Jump Shot | 90 0.1% | 104 99.9% |
| Q4 - 2:58 | WAS | Jamison 19' Jump Shot (22 PTS) (Arenas 6 AST) | 90 0.2% | 104 99.8% |
| Q4 - 3:11 | WAS | WIZARDS Rebound | 90 0.2% | 102 99.8% |
| Q4 - 3:12 | MIA | MISS Kapono 26' 3PT Jump Shot | 90 0.3% | 102 99.7% |
| Q4 - 3:29 | WAS | Butler 16' Jump Shot (30 PTS) | 90 0.4% | 102 99.6% |
| Q4 - 3:46 | MIA | Mourning Foul Turnover (P2.T16) | 90 1.1% | 100 98.9% |
| Q4 - 3:54 | WAS | Arenas Free Throw 2 of 2 (27 PTS) | 90 1.6% | 100 98.4% |
| Q4 - 3:54 | WAS | Arenas Free Throw 1 of 2 (26 PTS) | 90 1.7% | 99 98.3% |
| Q4 - 4:06 | MIA | Walker Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS) | 90 2.2% | 98 97.8% |
| Q4 - 4:06 | MIA | MISS Walker Free Throw 1 of 2 | 89 1.9% | 98 98.1% |
| Q4 - 4:25 | WAS | Jamison 8' Running Finger Roll (20 PTS) | 89 2.2% | 98 97.8% |
| Q4 - 4:40 | MIA | Walker Traveling Turnover (P1.T15) | 89 3.0% | 96 97.0% |
| Q4 - 4:51 | MIA | Mourning REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4) | 89 4.4% | 96 95.6% |
| Q4 - 4:52 | MIA | MISS Kapono 27' 3PT Jump Shot | 89 3.4% | 96 96.6% |
| Q4 - 5:10 | WAS | Jamison 10' Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Butler 4 AST) | 89 5.6% | 96 94.4% |
| Q4 - 5:24 | WAS | Stevenson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1) | 89 7.5% | 94 92.5% |
| Q4 - 5:26 | MIA | MISS Kapono 27' 3PT Jump Shot | 89 8.2% | 94 91.8% |
| Q4 - 5:35 | WAS | Butler Foul Turnover (P3.T12) | 89 10.2% | 94 89.8% |
| Q4 - 5:38 | WAS | Jamison REBOUND (Off:0 Def:10) | 89 7.4% | 94 92.6% |
| Q4 - 5:40 | MIA | Butler BLOCK (2 BLK) | 89 8.2% | 94 91.8% |
| Q4 - 5:55 | WAS | Stevenson Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T11) | 89 10.2% | 94 89.8% |
| Q4 - 6:00 | WAS | Stevenson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0) | 89 7.4% | 94 92.6% |
| Q4 - 6:02 | WAS | MISS Arenas 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 89 10.4% | 94 89.6% |
| Q4 - 6:19 | MIA | Payton 4' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Doleac 1 AST) | 89 8.3% | 94 91.7% |
| Q4 - 6:21 | MIA | Doleac REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3) | 87 6.5% | 94 93.5% |
| Q4 - 6:23 | MIA | MISS Payton 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 87 5.2% | 94 94.8% |
| Q4 - 6:35 | MIA | Wright REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4) | 87 6.5% | 94 93.5% |
| Q4 - 6:37 | MIA | MISS Payton 27' 3PT Jump Shot | 87 5.2% | 94 94.8% |
| Q4 - 6:55 | MIA | Wright REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4) | 87 6.5% | 94 93.5% |
| Q4 - 6:56 | WAS | MISS Arenas 19' Jump Shot | 87 5.9% | 94 94.1% |
| Q4 - 7:22 | MIA | Payton 1' Reverse Layup (5 PTS) | 87 5.6% | 94 94.4% |
| Q4 - 7:35 | WAS | Butler 19' Jump Shot (28 PTS) (Stevenson 4 AST) | 85 4.4% | 94 95.6% |
| Q4 - 7:59 | MIA | Walker 6' Running Jump Shot (8 PTS) | 85 5.6% | 92 94.4% |
| Q4 - 8:12 | WAS | Hayes 3 Second Violation Turnover (P2.T10) | 83 5.2% | 92 94.8% |
| Q4 - 8:20 | MIA | Butler STEAL (4 STL) | 83 4.0% | 92 96.0% |
| Q4 - 8:39 | WAS | Hayes 1' Layup (8 PTS) (Jamison 3 AST) | 83 5.1% | 92 94.9% |
| Q4 - 8:48 | WAS | Arenas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4) | 83 6.5% | 90 93.5% |
| Q4 - 8:50 | MIA | MISS Doleac 19' Jump Shot | 83 7.0% | 90 93.0% |
| Q4 - 9:07 | MIA | Posey REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3) | 83 9.0% | 90 91.0% |
| Q4 - 9:08 | WAS | MISS Arenas 2' Layup | 83 8.4% | 90 91.6% |
| Q4 - 9:21 | MIA | Doleac 6' Turnaround Jump Shot (6 PTS) | 83 7.1% | 90 92.9% |
| Q4 - 9:47 | WAS | Arenas 26' 3PT Jump Shot (25 PTS) (Butler 3 AST) | 81 5.7% | 90 94.3% |
| Q4 - 10:08 | MIA | Payton 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Posey 3 AST) | 81 9.5% | 87 90.5% |
| Q4 - 10:27 | WAS | Butler 18' Jump Shot (26 PTS) | 78 6.3% | 87 93.7% |
| Q4 - 10:45 | MIA | Walker 3' Jump Shot (6 PTS) | 78 7.7% | 85 92.3% |
| Q4 - 10:47 | MIA | Walker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3) | 76 6.3% | 85 93.7% |
| Q4 - 10:48 | MIA | MISS Wright 2' Layup | 76 5.4% | 85 94.6% |
| Q4 - 11:05 | WAS | Jamison 10' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Hayes 1 AST) | 76 6.9% | 85 93.1% |
| Q4 - 11:15 | WAS | Jamison REBOUND (Off:0 Def:9) | 76 8.3% | 83 91.7% |
| Q4 - 11:17 | MIA | MISS Wright 18' Jump Shot | 76 8.9% | 83 91.1% |
| Q4 - 11:36 | MIA | Wright REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3) | 76 10.2% | 83 89.8% |
| Q4 - 11:38 | WAS | MISS Hayes 7' Jump Shot | 76 9.6% | 83 90.4% |
| Q3 - 0:00.0 | WAS | 76 8.3% | 83 91.7% | |
| Q3 - 0:00.0 | WAS | WIZARDS Rebound | 76 8.3% | 83 91.7% |
| Q3 - 0:00.0 | WAS | MISS Stevenson 38' 3PT Jump Shot | 76 9.6% | 83 90.4% |
| Q3 - 0:02.0 | WAS | Jamison REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8) | 76 8.9% | 83 91.1% |
| Q3 - 0:04.0 | MIA | MISS Walker 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 76 9.4% | 83 90.6% |
| Q3 - 0:22.0 | MIA | Heat Rebound | 76 10.7% | 83 89.3% |
| Q3 - 0:22.0 | MIA | Jamison BLOCK (3 BLK) | 76 9.4% | 83 90.6% |
| Q3 - 0:26.0 | WAS | Butler Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T9) | 76 10.7% | 83 89.3% |
| Q3 - 0:42.0 | MIA | Walker 1' Layup (4 PTS) (Wright 2 AST) | 76 8.9% | 83 91.1% |
| Q3 - 1:12 | WAS | Butler 7' Running Jump Shot (24 PTS) | 74 7.9% | 83 92.1% |
| Q3 - 1:16 | MIA | Doleac Layup (4 PTS) | 74 9.4% | 81 90.6% |
| Q3 - 1:18 | MIA | Doleac REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3) | 72 7.9% | 81 92.1% |
| Q3 - 1:20 | MIA | MISS Wright 16' Jump Shot | 72 6.9% | 81 93.1% |
| Q3 - 1:43 | WAS | Haywood Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS) | 72 7.8% | 81 92.2% |
| Q3 - 1:43 | WAS | Haywood Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS) | 72 8.4% | 80 91.6% |
| Q3 - 1:47 | MIA | Wright Traveling Turnover (P2.T13) | 72 9.3% | 79 90.7% |
| Q3 - 1:47 | MIA | Walker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 72 11.2% | 79 88.8% |
| Q3 - 1:49 | WAS | MISS Taylor 18' Jump Shot | 72 10.6% | 79 89.4% |
| Q3 - 2:01 | WAS | Haywood REBOUND (Off:5 Def:3) | 72 9.6% | 79 90.4% |
| Q3 - 2:02 | WAS | MISS Jamison 19' Jump Shot | 72 10.9% | 79 89.1% |
| Q3 - 2:05 | WAS | WIZARDS Rebound | 72 9.6% | 79 90.4% |
| Q3 - 2:05 | WAS | MISS Stevenson 4' Jump Shot | 72 10.9% | 79 89.1% |
| Q3 - 2:19 | WAS | Jamison REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7) | 72 9.6% | 79 90.4% |
| Q3 - 2:21 | MIA | MISS Mourning Free Throw 1 of 1 | 72 9.9% | 79 90.1% |
| Q3 - 2:38 | WAS | Stevenson 18' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Taylor 2 AST) | 70 8.2% | 79 91.8% |
| Q3 - 2:53 | MIA | Payton Discontinue Dribble Turnover (P2.T12) | 70 9.6% | 77 90.4% |
| Q3 - 3:09 | WAS | Jamison 27' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Taylor 1 AST) | 70 12.0% | 77 88.0% |
| Q3 - 3:27 | MIA | Hite Free Throw 1 of 1 (6 PTS) | 70 16.2% | 74 83.8% |
| Q3 - 3:37 | WAS | Haywood 2' Layup (6 PTS) (Butler 2 AST) | 67 12.0% | 74 88.0% |
| Q3 - 3:55 | MIA | Mourning Slam Dunk (15 PTS) (Posey 2 AST) | 67 13.9% | 72 86.1% |
| Q3 - 4:15 | WAS | Jamison Free Throw 1 of 1 (11 PTS) | 65 12.3% | 72 87.7% |
| Q3 - 4:28 | MIA | Posey Free Throw 1 of 1 (26 PTS) | 65 18.6% | 68 81.4% |
| Q3 - 4:28 | MIA | Posey REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2) | 62 14.2% | 68 85.8% |
| Q3 - 4:29 | MIA | MISS Haslem 1' Layup | 62 12.6% | 68 87.4% |
| Q3 - 4:30 | MIA | Haslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4) | 62 14.2% | 68 85.8% |
| Q3 - 4:32 | MIA | MISS Mourning 10' Jump Shot | 62 12.6% | 68 87.4% |
| Q3 - 4:41 | MIA | Haslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4) | 62 14.2% | 68 85.8% |
| Q3 - 4:43 | WAS | MISS Arenas 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 62 13.5% | 68 86.5% |
| Q3 - 5:05 | MIA | Haslem 19' Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Quinn 4 AST) | 62 12.5% | 68 87.5% |
| Q3 - 5:27 | WAS | Arenas 17' Jump Shot (22 PTS) | 60 10.8% | 68 89.2% |
| Q3 - 5:41 | MIA | Mourning 2' Tip Shot (13 PTS) | 60 12.4% | 66 87.6% |
| Q3 - 5:42 | MIA | Mourning REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4) | 58 10.8% | 66 89.2% |
| Q3 - 5:44 | MIA | MISS Quinn 1' Layup | 58 9.7% | 66 90.3% |
| Q3 - 6:03 | WAS | Butler Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS) | 58 11.1% | 66 88.9% |
| Q3 - 6:03 | WAS | Butler Free Throw 1 of 2 (21 PTS) | 58 11.3% | 65 88.7% |
| Q3 - 6:08 | MIA | Haywood STEAL (1 STL) | 58 12.7% | 64 87.3% |
| Q3 - 6:26 | MIA | Heat Rebound | 58 14.7% | 64 85.3% |
| Q3 - 6:27 | WAS | MISS Arenas 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 58 14.1% | 64 85.9% |
| Q3 - 6:43 | MIA | Haslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS) | 58 12.7% | 64 87.3% |
| Q3 - 6:43 | MIA | MISS Haslem Free Throw 1 of 2 | 57 12.3% | 64 87.7% |
| Q3 - 6:56 | MIA | Posey REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2) | 57 12.8% | 64 87.2% |
| Q3 - 6:58 | WAS | MISS Hayes 26' 3PT Jump Shot | 57 12.2% | 64 87.8% |
| Q3 - 7:14 | MIA | Posey Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T10) | 57 11.2% | 64 88.8% |
| Q3 - 7:39 | WAS | Arenas 18' Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Haywood 2 AST) | 57 13.1% | 64 86.9% |
| Q3 - 7:43 | WAS | Haywood REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3) | 57 14.7% | 62 85.3% |
| Q3 - 7:44 | WAS | MISS Hayes 27' 3PT Jump Shot | 57 16.3% | 62 83.7% |
| Q3 - 7:56 | WAS | Butler REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5) | 57 14.7% | 62 85.3% |
| Q3 - 7:57 | MIA | MISS Hite 16' Jump Shot | 57 15.4% | 62 84.6% |
| Q3 - 8:18 | WAS | Butler Layup (20 PTS) (Arenas 4 AST) | 57 17.2% | 62 82.8% |
| Q3 - 8:26 | WAS | Haywood REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3) | 57 19.1% | 60 80.9% |
| Q3 - 8:28 | MIA | MISS Haslem 18' Jump Shot | 57 20.0% | 60 80.0% |
| Q3 - 8:40 | WAS | Arenas Foul Turnover (P5.T8) | 57 21.9% | 60 78.1% |
| Q3 - 8:46 | WAS | MISS Arenas Free Throw Technical | 57 19.1% | 60 80.9% |
| Q3 - 9:04 | MIA | Posey 27' 3PT Jump Shot (23 PTS) | 57 19.0% | 60 81.0% |
| Q3 - 9:26 | MIA | Heat Rebound | 54 15.0% | 60 85.0% |
| Q3 - 9:27 | WAS | MISS Stevenson 4' Jump Shot | 54 14.4% | 60 85.6% |
| Q3 - 9:48 | MIA | Posey 26' 3PT Jump Shot (20 PTS) | 54 13.2% | 60 86.8% |
| Q3 - 10:07 | MIA | Quinn REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 51 10.4% | 60 89.6% |
| Q3 - 10:09 | WAS | MISS Butler 1' Layup | 51 10.0% | 60 90.0% |
| Q3 - 10:10 | WAS | Butler REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4) | 51 9.0% | 60 91.0% |
| Q3 - 10:13 | WAS | MISS Haywood 5' Jump Shot | 51 10.0% | 60 90.0% |
| Q3 - 10:15 | WAS | Haywood REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2) | 51 9.0% | 60 91.0% |
| Q3 - 10:17 | WAS | MISS Butler 16' Jump Shot | 51 10.0% | 60 90.0% |
| Q3 - 10:21 | WAS | Haywood REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2) | 51 9.0% | 60 91.0% |
| Q3 - 10:23 | WAS | MISS Arenas 19' Jump Shot | 51 10.0% | 60 90.0% |
| Q3 - 10:33 | WAS | WIZARDS Rebound | 51 9.0% | 60 91.0% |
| Q3 - 10:33 | WAS | MISS Jamison 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 51 10.0% | 60 90.0% |
| Q3 - 10:40 | WAS | Butler REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4) | 51 9.0% | 60 91.0% |
| Q3 - 10:43 | MIA | Jamison BLOCK (2 BLK) | 51 9.4% | 60 90.6% |
| Q3 - 10:50 | MIA | Haslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 51 10.4% | 60 89.6% |
| Q3 - 10:51 | WAS | MISS Stevenson 18' Jump Shot | 51 10.0% | 60 90.0% |
| Q3 - 11:08 | MIA | Mourning Dunk (11 PTS) (Haslem 2 AST) | 51 9.2% | 60 90.8% |
| Q3 - 11:21 | MIA | Mourning REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4) | 49 8.2% | 60 91.8% |
| Q3 - 11:23 | WAS | MISS Arenas 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 49 7.8% | 60 92.2% |
| Q3 - 11:39 | WAS | Jamison REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6) | 49 7.1% | 60 92.9% |
| Q3 - 11:40 | MIA | MISS Mourning 4' Jump Shot | 49 7.4% | 60 92.6% |
| Q2 - 0:00.0 | MIA | 49 8.2% | 60 91.8% | |
| Q2 - 0:00.0 | MIA | Kapono REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 49 8.2% | 60 91.8% |
| Q2 - 0:01.0 | WAS | MISS Butler 14' Jump Shot | 49 8.2% | 60 91.8% |
| Q2 - 0:18.0 | WAS | Butler REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3) | 49 7.7% | 60 92.3% |
| Q2 - 0:20.0 | MIA | MISS Kapono 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 49 7.9% | 60 92.1% |
| Q2 - 0:37.0 | MIA | Wright REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2) | 49 8.4% | 60 91.6% |
| Q2 - 0:39.0 | MIA | MISS Wright 6' Jump Shot | 49 7.9% | 60 92.1% |
| Q2 - 0:52.0 | MIA | Mourning REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3) | 49 8.4% | 60 91.6% |
| Q2 - 0:53.0 | WAS | MISS Arenas 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 49 8.2% | 60 91.8% |
| Q2 - 1:06 | MIA | Mourning Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T9) | 49 8.1% | 60 91.9% |
| Q2 - 1:22 | MIA | Mourning REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2) | 49 8.6% | 60 91.4% |
| Q2 - 1:23 | WAS | MISS Arenas Free Throw 1 of 1 | 49 8.6% | 60 91.4% |
| Q2 - 1:34 | MIA | Mourning Free Throw 1 of 1 (9 PTS) | 49 10.3% | 58 89.7% |
| Q2 - 1:50 | WAS | Butler Traveling Turnover (P1.T7) | 46 7.7% | 58 92.3% |
| Q2 - 2:12 | MIA | Quinn 16' Jump Shot (9 PTS) | 46 7.3% | 58 92.7% |
| Q2 - 2:20 | MIA | Wright REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2) | 44 6.5% | 58 93.5% |
| Q2 - 2:22 | MIA | MISS Mourning 19' Jump Shot | 44 6.0% | 58 94.0% |
| Q2 - 2:25 | MIA | Mourning REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1) | 44 6.5% | 58 93.5% |
| Q2 - 2:26 | MIA | MISS Wright 17' Jump Shot | 44 6.0% | 58 94.0% |
| Q2 - 2:48 | WAS | Haywood 2' Layup (4 PTS) | 44 6.4% | 58 93.6% |
| Q2 - 2:51 | WAS | Haywood REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2) | 44 7.3% | 56 92.7% |
| Q2 - 2:52 | WAS | MISS Arenas 19' Jump Shot | 44 7.9% | 56 92.1% |
| Q2 - 2:59 | WAS | Arenas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3) | 44 7.3% | 56 92.7% |
| Q2 - 3:01 | MIA | MISS Posey 28' 3PT Jump Shot | 44 7.9% | 56 92.1% |
| Q2 - 3:22 | MIA | Wright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 44 8.6% | 56 91.4% |
| Q2 - 3:24 | WAS | MISS Arenas Free Throw 2 of 2 | 44 8.4% | 56 91.6% |
| Q2 - 3:24 | WAS | Arenas Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS) | 44 7.8% | 56 92.2% |
| Q2 - 3:24 | WAS | Arenas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2) | 44 8.5% | 55 91.5% |
| Q2 - 3:24 | WAS | MISS Jamison 16' Jump Shot | 44 9.2% | 55 90.8% |
| Q2 - 3:47 | MIA | Quinn 26' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Posey 1 AST) | 44 8.5% | 55 91.5% |
| Q2 - 3:53 | MIA | Posey REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1) | 41 6.9% | 55 93.1% |
| Q2 - 3:55 | WAS | MISS Butler 19' Jump Shot | 41 6.6% | 55 93.4% |
| Q2 - 4:08 | MIA | Posey 25' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Hite 1 AST) | 41 6.4% | 55 93.6% |
| Q2 - 4:21 | MIA | Mourning REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1) | 38 5.1% | 55 94.9% |
| Q2 - 4:23 | WAS | MISS Arenas 28' 3PT Jump Shot | 38 5.0% | 55 95.0% |
| Q2 - 4:40 | MIA | Posey 25' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Quinn 2 AST) | 38 4.6% | 55 95.4% |
| Q2 - 4:57 | MIA | Haslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 35 3.7% | 55 96.3% |
| Q2 - 4:59 | WAS | MISS Jamison 5' Jump Shot | 35 3.5% | 55 96.5% |
| Q2 - 5:08 | MIA | Butler STEAL (3 STL) | 35 3.4% | 55 96.6% |
| Q2 - 5:19 | MIA | Hite REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0) | 35 3.8% | 55 96.2% |
| Q2 - 5:21 | MIA | MISS Hite 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 35 3.5% | 55 96.5% |
| Q2 - 5:37 | WAS | Arenas 26' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Butler 1 AST) | 35 3.8% | 55 96.2% |
| Q2 - 5:54 | MIA | Hite 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Walker 3 AST) | 35 4.7% | 52 95.3% |
| Q2 - 6:04 | WAS | Jamison 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Stevenson 3 AST) | 32 4.1% | 52 95.9% |
| Q2 - 6:21 | WAS | Jamison REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5) | 32 4.9% | 49 95.1% |
| Q2 - 6:23 | MIA | MISS Posey 26' 3PT Jump Shot | 32 5.1% | 49 94.9% |
| Q2 - 6:42 | WAS | Jamison 11' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Stevenson 2 AST) | 32 5.5% | 49 94.5% |
| Q2 - 6:56 | WAS | Blatche REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1) | 32 6.0% | 47 94.0% |
| Q2 - 6:57 | MIA | MISS Hite 5' Jump Shot | 32 6.2% | 47 93.8% |
| Q2 - 7:13 | WAS | Daniels Discontinue Dribble Turnover (P1.T6) | 32 7.2% | 47 92.8% |
| Q2 - 7:16 | WAS | Jamison REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4) | 32 6.5% | 47 93.5% |
| Q2 - 7:19 | MIA | Jamison BLOCK (1 BLK) | 32 6.7% | 47 93.3% |
| Q2 - 7:28 | MIA | Doleac REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 32 7.2% | 47 92.8% |
| Q2 - 7:30 | WAS | MISS Hayes 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 32 7.0% | 47 93.0% |
| Q2 - 7:55 | MIA | Posey 26' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Quinn 1 AST) | 32 6.4% | 47 93.6% |
| Q2 - 7:58 | MIA | Doleac REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 29 5.3% | 47 94.7% |
| Q2 - 7:59 | WAS | MISS Blatche 1' Layup | 29 5.1% | 47 94.9% |
| Q2 - 8:01 | WAS | Blatche REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0) | 29 4.9% | 47 95.1% |
| Q2 - 8:03 | WAS | MISS Jamison 15' Jump Shot | 29 5.3% | 47 94.7% |
| Q2 - 8:19 | MIA | Quinn 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS) | 29 4.9% | 47 95.1% |
| Q2 - 8:31 | MIA | Walker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 27 4.5% | 47 95.5% |
| Q2 - 8:33 | WAS | MISS Daniels 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 27 4.3% | 47 95.7% |
| Q2 - 8:50 | WAS | WIZARDS Rebound | 27 4.0% | 47 96.0% |
| Q2 - 8:52 | WAS | MISS Hayes 3' Layup | 27 4.3% | 47 95.7% |
| Q2 - 9:03 | WAS | Jamison REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 27 4.2% | 47 95.8% |
| Q2 - 9:04 | MIA | MISS Hite 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 27 4.4% | 47 95.6% |
| Q2 - 9:11 | WAS | Hayes Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5) | 27 4.7% | 47 95.3% |
| Q2 - 9:22 | WAS | Daniels Free Throw Technical (3 PTS) | 27 4.2% | 47 95.8% |
| Q2 - 9:39 | MIA | Posey 26' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Walker 2 AST) | 27 4.6% | 46 95.4% |
| Q2 - 9:47 | MIA | Walker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 24 3.8% | 46 96.2% |
| Q2 - 9:48 | WAS | MISS Hayes 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 24 3.7% | 46 96.3% |
| Q2 - 10:12 | MIA | Posey 26' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Walker 1 AST) | 24 3.6% | 46 96.4% |
| Q2 - 10:25 | WAS | Hayes 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Daniels 3 AST) | 21 3.0% | 46 97.0% |
| Q2 - 10:45 | MIA | Posey Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS) | 21 3.6% | 43 96.4% |
| Q2 - 10:45 | MIA | Posey Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS) | 20 3.5% | 43 96.5% |
| Q2 - 10:45 | MIA | Posey REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0) | 19 3.3% | 43 96.7% |
| Q2 - 10:45 | MIA | Daniels BLOCK (1 BLK) | 19 3.1% | 43 96.9% |
| Q2 - 10:49 | WAS | Arenas Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T4) | 19 3.3% | 43 96.7% |
| Q2 - 10:58 | WAS | Hayes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 19 3.0% | 43 97.0% |
| Q2 - 11:01 | MIA | MISS Hite 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 19 3.2% | 43 96.8% |
| Q2 - 11:23 | WAS | Hayes 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Daniels 2 AST) | 19 3.4% | 43 96.6% |
| Q2 - 11:36 | WAS | Butler REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2) | 19 4.1% | 40 95.9% |
| Q2 - 11:38 | WAS | MISS Arenas 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 19 4.3% | 40 95.7% |
| Q2 - 11:51 | MIA | Doleac Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS) | 19 4.1% | 40 95.9% |
| Q2 - 11:51 | MIA | Doleac Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS) | 18 4.0% | 40 96.0% |
| Q1 - 0:00.0 | MIA | 17 3.7% | 40 96.3% | |
| Q1 - 0:00.0 | MIA | Heat Rebound | 17 3.7% | 40 96.3% |
| Q1 - 0:00.0 | MIA | MISS Quinn 26' 3PT Jump Shot | 17 3.5% | 40 96.5% |
| Q1 - 0:04.0 | WAS | Daniels Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS) | 17 3.8% | 40 96.2% |
| Q1 - 0:04.0 | WAS | Daniels Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS) | 17 3.9% | 39 96.1% |
| Q1 - 0:04.0 | WAS | WIZARDS Rebound | 17 4.3% | 38 95.7% |
| Q1 - 0:05.0 | MIA | MISS Quinn 27' 3PT Jump Shot | 17 4.4% | 38 95.6% |
| Q1 - 0:14.0 | WAS | Butler Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS) | 17 4.6% | 38 95.4% |
| Q1 - 0:14.0 | WAS | MISS Butler Free Throw 1 of 2 | 17 4.6% | 37 95.4% |
| Q1 - 0:16.0 | MIA | Butler STEAL (2 STL) | 17 4.7% | 37 95.3% |
| Q1 - 0:38.0 | WAS | Arenas 27' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Daniels 1 AST) | 17 5.0% | 37 95.0% |
| Q1 - 0:41.0 | WAS | Daniels REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 17 6.1% | 34 93.9% |
| Q1 - 0:43.0 | MIA | Butler BLOCK (1 BLK) | 17 6.2% | 34 93.8% |
| Q1 - 1:01 | WAS | Butler 17' Jump Shot (17 PTS) | 17 6.6% | 34 93.4% |
| Q1 - 1:07 | WAS | Butler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2) | 17 7.3% | 32 92.7% |
| Q1 - 1:08 | MIA | MISS Doleac 18' Jump Shot | 17 7.5% | 32 92.5% |
| Q1 - 1:26 | WAS | Butler 17' Jump Shot (15 PTS) | 17 7.9% | 32 92.1% |
| Q1 - 1:45 | MIA | Quinn 1' Driving Layup (2 PTS) | 17 8.7% | 30 91.3% |
| Q1 - 1:58 | WAS | Butler Reverse Layup (13 PTS) | 15 7.9% | 30 92.1% |
| Q1 - 2:01 | WAS | Butler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1) | 15 8.8% | 28 91.2% |
| Q1 - 2:03 | WAS | MISS Arenas 26' 3PT Jump Shot | 15 9.3% | 28 90.7% |
| Q1 - 2:17 | MIA | Doleac Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6) | 15 8.8% | 28 91.2% |
| Q1 - 2:34 | MIA | Doleac REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 15 9.5% | 28 90.5% |
| Q1 - 2:36 | WAS | MISS Hayes 15' Jump Shot | 15 9.3% | 28 90.7% |
| Q1 - 2:49 | MIA | Walker 3' Layup (2 PTS) (Wright 1 AST) | 15 8.8% | 28 91.2% |
| Q1 - 3:10 | WAS | Arenas 1' Layup (9 PTS) (Jamison 2 AST) | 13 8.4% | 28 91.6% |
| Q1 - 3:24 | WAS | Haywood REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 13 9.0% | 26 91.0% |
| Q1 - 3:26 | MIA | MISS Wright 20' Jump Shot | 13 9.3% | 26 90.7% |
| Q1 - 3:44 | WAS | Arenas Foul Turnover (P3.T3) | 13 9.8% | 26 90.2% |
| Q1 - 3:52 | WAS | Jamison REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 13 9.0% | 26 91.0% |
| Q1 - 3:54 | MIA | MISS Doleac 16' Jump Shot | 13 9.2% | 26 90.8% |
| Q1 - 4:02 | MIA | Heat Rebound | 13 9.9% | 26 90.1% |
| Q1 - 4:03 | MIA | MISS Kapono 11' Jump Shot | 13 9.3% | 26 90.7% |
| Q1 - 4:16 | WAS | Stevenson 14' Fadeaway Jumper (4 PTS) | 13 10.0% | 26 90.0% |
| Q1 - 4:37 | MIA | Wright Layup (2 PTS) (Haslem 1 AST) | 13 10.6% | 24 89.4% |
| Q1 - 4:54 | WAS | Stevenson 1' Slam Dunk (2 PTS) (Arenas 3 AST) | 11 10.0% | 24 90.0% |
| Q1 - 4:58 | MIA | Arenas STEAL (3 STL) | 11 10.6% | 22 89.4% |
| Q1 - 5:13 | WAS | Arenas 26' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Haywood 1 AST) | 11 11.8% | 22 88.2% |
| Q1 - 5:18 | WAS | Haywood REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 11 13.6% | 19 86.4% |
| Q1 - 5:20 | MIA | Haywood BLOCK (2 BLK) | 11 13.9% | 19 86.1% |
| Q1 - 5:39 | WAS | Butler Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS) | 11 14.7% | 19 85.3% |
| Q1 - 5:39 | WAS | Butler Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS) | 11 14.9% | 18 85.1% |
| Q1 - 5:42 | WAS | Arenas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 11 15.7% | 17 84.3% |
| Q1 - 5:44 | MIA | MISS Payton 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 11 16.1% | 17 83.9% |
| Q1 - 5:53 | MIA | Wright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 11 17.0% | 17 83.0% |
| Q1 - 5:55 | WAS | MISS Butler 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 11 16.6% | 17 83.4% |
| Q1 - 6:11 | MIA | Kapono 27' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) | 11 15.9% | 17 84.1% |
| Q1 - 6:43 | WAS | Butler 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Arenas 2 AST) | 8 13.9% | 17 86.1% |
| Q1 - 6:50 | MIA | Mourning 13' Jump Shot (6 PTS) | 8 15.9% | 14 84.1% |
| Q1 - 6:53 | MIA | Mourning REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0) | 6 14.9% | 14 85.1% |
| Q1 - 6:55 | MIA | Haywood BLOCK (1 BLK) | 6 14.1% | 14 85.9% |
| Q1 - 7:12 | MIA | Heat Rebound | 6 15.2% | 14 84.8% |
| Q1 - 7:14 | WAS | MISS Butler 18' Jump Shot | 6 14.9% | 14 85.1% |
| Q1 - 7:33 | MIA | Mourning 9' Jump Shot (4 PTS) | 6 14.1% | 14 85.9% |
| Q1 - 7:58 | WAS | Arenas 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS) | 4 13.3% | 14 86.7% |
| Q1 - 8:03 | WAS | Jamison REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 4 14.1% | 12 85.9% |
| Q1 - 8:05 | MIA | MISS Payton 10' Jump Shot | 4 14.4% | 12 85.6% |
| Q1 - 8:16 | MIA | Haslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 4 15.1% | 12 84.9% |
| Q1 - 8:18 | WAS | MISS Stevenson 19' Jump Shot | 4 14.8% | 12 85.2% |
| Q1 - 8:36 | MIA | Kapono 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Payton 1 AST) | 4 14.1% | 12 85.9% |
| Q1 - 8:50 | WAS | Butler 17' Jump Shot (6 PTS) | 2 13.3% | 12 86.7% |
| Q1 - 8:55 | WAS | Butler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 2 14.1% | 10 85.9% |
| Q1 - 8:57 | MIA | MISS Kapono 19' Jump Shot | 2 14.4% | 10 85.6% |
| Q1 - 9:10 | WAS | Haywood 4' Hook Shot (2 PTS) | 2 15.1% | 10 84.9% |
| Q1 - 9:28 | MIA | Mourning 7' Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Kapono 1 AST) | 2 15.8% | 8 84.2% |
| Q1 - 9:47 | WAS | Jamison 1' Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Arenas 1 AST) | 0 15.1% | 8 84.9% |
| Q1 - 9:52 | MIA | Arenas STEAL (2 STL) | 0 15.8% | 6 84.2% |
| Q1 - 10:09 | WAS | Arenas Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T2) | 0 17.0% | 6 83.0% |
| Q1 - 10:11 | WAS | Arenas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 0 15.9% | 6 84.1% |
| Q1 - 10:13 | MIA | MISS Wright 19' Jump Shot | 0 16.2% | 6 83.8% |
| Q1 - 10:34 | WAS | Butler Driving Dunk (4 PTS) (Stevenson 1 AST) | 0 17.1% | 6 82.9% |
| Q1 - 10:39 | MIA | Butler STEAL (1 STL) | 0 18.0% | 4 82.0% |
| Q1 - 10:56 | WAS | Arenas 2' Dunk (2 PTS) | 0 19.3% | 4 80.7% |
| Q1 - 11:00 | MIA | Arenas STEAL (1 STL) | 0 20.3% | 2 79.7% |
| Q1 - 11:22 | WAS | Arenas Traveling Turnover (P1.T1) | 0 21.6% | 2 78.4% |
| Q1 - 11:25 | MIA | Jamison STEAL (1 STL) | 0 20.4% | 2 79.6% |
| Q1 - 11:41 | WAS | Butler 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Jamison 1 AST) | 0 21.6% | 2 78.4% |
| Q1 - 12:00 | WAS | Jump Ball Haywood vs. Mourning: Tip to Stevenson | 0 22.9% | 0 77.1% |
SHOOTING
Scoring Efficiency
MIA
1.00 50.0%
WAS
1.15 57.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %
Scoring by Shot Type
At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
14
26
54%
WAS
13
21
62%
Midrange
MIA
10
30
33%
WAS
18
34
53%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
12
18.0
31
39%
58%
WAS
10
15.0
29
34%
52%
Free Throws
MIA
11
14
79%
WAS
14
18
78%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency Misses
Bars scaled to point value.
Total Points
| Heat| PLAYER | PTS | TS% | TSM / TSA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Posey | 26 | 100% | 13.0 / 13 | |
| A. Mourning | 17 | 71% | 8.5 / 12 | |
| A. Walker | 12 | 86% | 6.0 / 7 | |
| C. Quinn | 9 | 45% | 4.5 / 10 | |
| R. Hite | 8 | 33% | 4.0 / 12 | |
| G. Payton | 7 | 39% | 3.5 / 9 | |
| M. Doleac | 6 | 50% | 3.0 / 6 | |
| J. Kapono | 5 | 31% | 2.5 / 8 | |
| U. Haslem | 3 | 25% | 1.5 / 6 | |
| D. Wright | 2 | 11% | 1.0 / 9 |
TS Makes
TS Misses
Total Points
| Wizards| PLAYER | PTS | TS% | TSM / TSA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Butler | 30 | 68% | 15.0 / 22 | |
| G. Arenas | 27 | 54% | 13.5 / 25 | |
| A. Jamison | 22 | 79% | 11.0 / 14 | |
| B. Haywood | 8 | 80% | 4.0 / 5 | |
| J. Hayes | 8 | 40% | 4.0 / 10 | |
| D. Stevenson | 6 | 38% | 3.0 / 8 | |
| A. Daniels | 5 | 83% | 2.5 / 3 | |
| A. Blatche | 0 | - | 0.0 / 1 | |
| D. Taylor | 0 | - | 0.0 / 2 | |
| R. Mason Jr. | 0 | - | 0.0 / 1 |
TS Makes
TS Misses
MATCHUP
Scoring Opportunities
MIA
74
+21
-16
95
WAS
77
+15
-12
92
Base
ORB
TOV
Scoring Efficiency
MIA
1.00 50.0%
WAS
1.15 57.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %
Reg Season Avg | Game Stats | |
|---|---|---|
| Efficiency & Pace | This Game | |
| Efficiency | 104.2 109.6 | MIA 105.6 WAS 119.1 +13.5 |
| Pace | 90.1 94.6 | MIA 84.0 WAS 95.8 +11.7 |
| Avg. Poss. Time | 16.5 14.9 | MIA 17.1 WAS 15.0 +2.1 |
| Four Factors | This Game | |
| EFG % | 50.6% 49.1% | MIA 48.3% WAS 54.8% +6.5% |
| TO % | 15.3% 13.9% | MIA 14.7% WAS 11.5% +3.2% |
| ORB % | 24.9% 28.1% | MIA 38.3% +9.4% WAS 28.9% |
| FTrt | 32.1 35.6 | MIA 16.1 WAS 21.4 +5.3 |
| Misc. Stats | This Game | |
| AST % | 57.6% 54.1% | MIA 58.3% WAS 61.0% +2.7% |
| STL % | 7.6% 8.1% | MIA 5.6% WAS 10.1% +4.5% |
| BLK % | 8.8% 7.3% | MIA 5.5% WAS 17.9% +12.4% |
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Reg Season Avg | Game Stats | |
|---|---|---|
| Shooting Efficiency | This Game | |
| TS% | 52.4% 53.1% | MIA 50.0% WAS 57.6% +7.6% |
| Rim FG% | 61.8% 57.8% | MIA 53.8% WAS 61.9% +8.1% |
| Mid FG% | 40.5% 39.9% | MIA 33.3% WAS 52.9% +19.6% |
| 3P % | 34.3% 34.8% | MIA 38.7% +4.2% WAS 34.5% |
| FT % | 69.0% 76.5% | MIA 78.6% +0.8% WAS 77.8% |
| Shot Distribution | This Game | |
| Rim Att. % | 34.9% 35.3% | MIA 29.9% +4.9% WAS 25.0% |
| Mid Att. % | 40.7% 41.0% | MIA 34.5% +6.0% WAS 40.5% |
| 3P Att. % | 24.5% 23.7% | MIA 35.6% +1.1% WAS 34.5% |
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.05 and 2.05.
| Game Totals | MIA | WAS |
|---|---|---|
| Possessions | 90 | 89 |
| Possession Minutes | 25.7 | 22.3 |
| Points | 95 | 106 |
| Rebounds | 45 | 40 |
| Assists | 21 | 25 |
| Steals | 5 | 9 |
| Blocks | 3 | 10 |
| Turnovers (Team) | 16 (0) | 12 (0) |
| Fouls | ||
| Off. Rebounds (Team) | 18 (3) | 11 (4) |
| Def. Rebounds (Team) | 27 (3) | 29 (2) |
| Field Goals | 36-87 | 41-84 |
| At-the-Rim FG | 14-26 | 13-21 |
| Midrange FG | 10-30 | 18-34 |
| 2-Point FG | 24-56 | 31-55 |
| 3-Point FG | 12-31 | 10-29 |
| Free Throws | 11-14 | 14-18 |
| Fast Break Pts | ||
| 2nd Chance Pts | ||
| Points in Paint | ||
| Pts off Turnovers | ||
| Bench Points | ||
| Biggest Lead |
BOXSCORE
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.
Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.
Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.
Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.
Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.