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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
December 15, 2006
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
29Hawks31%8997
20Grizzlies69%9688
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Zaza Pachulia
C · 6'11" 270 · 22.8
41.6
25.9
22
65%
7
1
1
1
2
2
2
5
8-11
73%
7-12
4-8
58%
46%
0-0
-
Speedy Claxton
G · 5'11" 170 · 28.6
39.0
25.9
19
60%
2
11
3
1
0
5
0
2
1-2
50%
9-13
3-7
69%
42%
0-2
0%
Josh Smith
· 6'9" 225 · 21.0
37.2
34.3
16
85%
10
2
2
1
5
1
1
9
1-1
100%
6-7
3-7
86%
46%
1-2
50%
Marvin Williams
F · 6'9" 237 · 20.5
33.2
30.0
13
55%
6
0
1
1
0
3
2
4
3-4
75%
5-10
4-8
50%
45%
0-0
-
Royal Ivey
G · 6'4" 200 · 25.0
18.7
11.3
8
69%
2
1
1
0
0
0
0
2
4-4
100%
2-3
1-3
67%
43%
0-1
0%
Tyronn Lue
G · 6'0" 175 · 29.6
30.3
28.5
13
45%
1
4
1
1
0
5
0
1
1-1
100%
3-9
3-7
33%
47%
2-5
40%
Shelden Williams
C-F · 6'9" 250 · 23.2
11.9
14.6
4
100%
3
0
1
0
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
2-2
2-3
100%
46%
0-0
-
Lorenzen Wright
F-C · 6'11" 255 · 31.1
9.8
13.5
0
0%
2
0
0
0
1
1
1
1
0-2
0%
0-1
1-3
0%
47%
0-0
-
Salim Stoudamire
G · 6'1" 175 · 24.2
9.3
22.9
2
33%
0
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
2-5
50%
43%
0-1
0%
Cedric Bozeman
G · 6'6" 207 · 23.8
8.5
5.8
0
0%
4
0
0
0
0
1
1
3
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
43%
0-1
0%
Matt Freije
F · 6'9" 249 · 25.2
0.4
6.9
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
42%
0-0
-
Solomon Jones
F · 6'10" 235 · 22.4
11.3
0
1-2
47%
Joe Johnson
G-F · 6'7" 240 · 25.5
Josh Childress
F-G · 6'8" 210 · 23.5
Esteban Batista
F-C · 6'10" 268 · 23.3
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Mike Miller
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 26.8
38.4
35.7
11
49%
9
3
4
1
1
4
0
9
5-5
100%
0-2
3-6
0%
52%
2-7
29%
Hakim Warrick
F · 6'9" 219 · 24.4
31.4
25.7
16
55%
6
0
2
1
2
4
4
2
6-6
100%
5-12
5-9
42%
50%
0-0
-
Dahntay Jones
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 26.0
31.1
27.0
5
43%
2
0
1
1
1
2
1
1
3-4
75%
1-4
3-6
25%
48%
0-0
-
Damon Stoudamire
G · 5'10" 171 · 33.3
27.4
28.7
4
25%
3
7
0
1
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
2-4
3-6
50%
43%
0-4
0%
Pau Gasol
C · 7'0" 250 · 26.4
17.2
35.9
4
34%
3
0
0
1
0
3
1
2
2-2
100%
1-5
7-14
20%
50%
0-0
-
Chucky Atkins
G · 5'11" 185 · 32.3
33.0
27.2
18
66%
1
1
2
1
0
2
0
1
6-6
100%
3-5
3-6
60%
46%
2-6
33%
Alexander Johnson
F · 6'9" 240 · 23.8
29.0
9.1
15
71%
4
1
2
0
1
3
0
4
7-8
88%
4-7
1-2
57%
51%
0-0
-
Rudy Gay
F · 6'8" 230 · 20.3
24.7
22.8
13
64%
1
1
0
1
1
0
1
0
5-5
100%
4-8
4-8
50%
47%
0-0
-
Eddie Jones
G-F · 6'6" 200 · 35.2
7.8
13.6
2
53%
0
0
1
1
0
1
0
0
2-2
100%
0-1
1-2
0%
46%
0-0
-
Jake Tsakalidis
C · 7'2" 290 · 27.5
12.8
0
1-3
52%
Brian Cardinal
F · 6'8" 240 · 29.6
10.3
1
1-2
45%
Tarence Kinsey
G · 6'6" 189 · 22.7
3.1
0
0-1
48%
Lawrence Roberts
F · 6'9" 240 · 24.2
Stromile Swift
F-C · 6'10" 220 · 27.1
Kyle Lowry
G · 6'0" 205 · 20.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.