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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
December 15, 2006
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
16Bucks27%96111
5Bulls73%104117
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Michael Redd
G · 6'6" 215 · 27.3
38.6
36.4
32
57%
4
1
3
1
0
0
0
4
5-9
56%
9-17
6-12
53%
47%
3-7
43%
Ruben Patterson
F · 6'5" 223 · 31.4
36.9
34.2
21
49%
13
7
2
1
0
0
7
6
3-10
30%
9-17
6-11
53%
52%
0-0
-
Mo Williams
G · 6'1" 198 · 24.0
31.8
35.1
18
58%
5
5
2
1
0
6
2
3
1-1
100%
7-13
5-11
54%
46%
1-2
50%
Andrew Bogut
C · 7'0" 260 · 22.0
29.3
32.4
4
40%
6
2
0
1
0
0
1
5
0-0
-
2-5
4-8
40%
52%
0-0
-
Charlie Villanueva
F · 6'11" 232 · 22.3
22.1
30.2
4
29%
6
1
0
1
0
3
2
4
0-2
0%
2-5
5-10
40%
50%
0-1
0%
Charlie Bell
G · 6'3" 200 · 27.8
34.0
24.4
13
66%
1
5
6
1
1
1
0
1
2-2
100%
1-4
2-5
25%
44%
3-5
60%
Steve Blake
G · 6'3" 172 · 26.8
14.6
15.9
12
77%
0
1
0
0
1
2
0
0
2-4
50%
2-3
1-2
67%
42%
2-3
67%
Dan Gadzuric
C · 6'11" 240 · 28.9
14.3
10.2
4
53%
3
0
1
0
0
2
2
1
2-4
50%
1-2
2-3
50%
51%
0-0
-
David Noel
F-G · 6'6" 230 · 22.8
11.1
8.7
1
57%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
1-2
50%
0-0
1-1
-
43%
0-0
-
Brian Skinner
F-C · 6'9" 255 · 30.6
7.5
7.1
2
20%
3
0
0
0
1
1
1
2
0-0
-
1-5
1-1
20%
48%
0-0
-
Ersan Ilyasova
F · 6'9" 235 · 19.6
3.9
0
0-1
43%
Damir Markota
F · 6'10" 225 · 21.0
1.0
0
0-0
42%
Chris McCray
G · 6'5" 192 · 22.6
Lynn Greer
G · 6'2" 175 · 27.1
Bobby Simmons
F · 6'6" 235 · 26.5
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Ben Wallace
F-C · 6'9" 240 · 32.3
47.9
35.3
10
63%
27
6
3
2
3
1
9
18
0-0
-
5-8
3-6
63%
50%
0-0
-
Kirk Hinrich
G · 6'4" 190 · 25.9
42.3
34.4
21
63%
2
3
0
1
0
2
0
2
6-6
100%
3-8
4-8
38%
47%
3-6
50%
Chris Duhon
G · 6'1" 190 · 24.3
32.3
31.4
19
74%
5
8
1
1
0
2
4
1
2-2
100%
4-6
1-3
67%
47%
3-6
50%
Luol Deng
F · 6'9" 220 · 21.7
25.0
36.2
8
37%
2
2
0
1
1
2
0
2
4-4
100%
2-9
7-13
22%
53%
0-0
-
Andres Nocioni
· 6'7" 225 · 27.0
22.3
29.9
12
47%
4
3
0
1
0
2
0
4
2-2
100%
2-5
4-8
40%
51%
2-7
29%
Ben Gordon
G · 6'3" 205 · 23.7
24.0
30.6
18
44%
2
1
1
1
0
4
0
2
12-12
100%
3-10
4-10
30%
46%
0-5
0%
Tyrus Thomas
F · 6'10" 225 · 20.3
22.6
4.8
14
53%
10
1
0
0
4
1
5
5
6-12
50%
4-8
1-1
50%
52%
0-0
-
Adrian Griffin
G-F · 6'5" 230 · 32.4
8.6
3.1
7
79%
3
0
1
0
0
0
1
2
1-1
100%
3-4
0-1
75%
49%
0-0
-
Thabo Sefolosha
F · 6'7" 220 · 22.6
7.3
8.5
4
50%
1
0
1
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
2-3
1-2
67%
51%
0-1
0%
Michael Sweetney
F · 6'8" 270 · 24.1
5.4
4.7
4
106%
3
0
0
0
0
1
1
2
2-2
100%
1-1
1-1
100%
49%
0-0
-
Malik Allen
F · 6'10" 255 · 28.5
2.4
7.2
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
48%
0-0
-
Viktor Khryapa
· 6'9" 210 · 24.4
4.1
0
0-1
48%
P.J. Brown
F-C · 6'11" 239 · 37.2
Andre Barrett
G · 5'10" 173 · 24.8
Martynas Andriuskevicius
C · 7'2" 240 · 20.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.