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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
December 15, 2006
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
9Kings34%9798
4Jazz66%10297
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Mike Bibby
G · 6'2" 195 · 28.6
32.7
32.3
19
49%
8
5
0
1
0
2
1
7
2-3
67%
7-14
4-8
50%
45%
1-4
25%
Kevin Martin
G · 6'7" 199 · 23.9
31.9
35.1
13
41%
4
2
2
1
0
2
1
3
9-9
100%
2-10
5-9
20%
52%
0-2
0%
Metta World Peace
F · 6'7" 260 · 27.1
30.9
33.8
11
49%
6
4
1
2
0
1
3
3
4-5
80%
2-5
4-10
40%
44%
1-4
25%
Brad Miller
C-F · 7'0" 261 · 30.7
24.1
26.1
10
45%
3
2
1
1
0
3
1
2
0-0
-
5-11
3-6
45%
49%
0-0
-
Kenny Thomas
C-F · 6'7" 245 · 29.4
15.6
20.6
2
36%
4
1
1
1
1
2
0
4
2-4
50%
0-1
2-4
0%
49%
0-0
-
Shareef Abdur-Rahim
F · 6'9" 245 · 30.0
30.5
22.9
21
91%
8
2
2
1
0
3
5
3
8-8
100%
5-7
4-7
71%
50%
1-1
100%
John Salmons
F · 6'6" 210 · 27.0
23.0
31.5
2
23%
2
1
0
1
1
0
0
2
0-1
0%
1-4
3-7
25%
45%
0-0
-
Corliss Williamson
F · 6'7" 245 · 33.0
20.4
9.6
6
50%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
3-6
1-3
50%
47%
0-0
-
Francisco Garcia
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 25.0
15.3
12.6
9
77%
2
0
1
0
0
0
1
1
2-2
100%
2-3
1-2
67%
48%
1-2
50%
Ronnie Price
G · 6'2" 190 · 23.5
12.0
9.1
5
43%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
0-3
1-2
0%
46%
1-2
50%
Jason Hart
G · 6'3" 180 · 28.6
3.6
12.2
0
0%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
44%
0-0
-
Maurice Taylor
F-C · 6'9" 265 · 30.1
1.5
0
0-0
45%
Quincy Douby
G · 6'3" 175 · 22.6
Vitaly Potapenko
C-F · 6'10" 285 · 31.7
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Carlos Boozer
F · 6'9" 258 · 25.1
39.6
39.8
14
46%
11
3
1
1
2
5
3
8
4-7
57%
5-12
10-18
42%
55%
0-0
-
Deron Williams
G · 6'3" 200 · 22.5
36.9
37.7
15
51%
6
9
0
1
0
1
2
4
4-4
100%
4-6
5-11
67%
49%
1-7
14%
Derek Fisher
G · 6'1" 210 · 32.4
35.4
25.8
8
45%
1
4
1
1
0
3
0
1
2-2
100%
3-5
3-6
60%
43%
0-3
0%
Andrei Kirilenko
F · 6'9" 235 · 25.8
30.9
36.4
11
66%
11
3
1
1
3
2
3
8
3-3
100%
4-6
3-6
67%
51%
0-1
0%
Mehmet Okur
C · 6'11" 260 · 27.6
29.3
30.8
17
61%
4
2
1
1
0
1
0
4
2-2
100%
3-7
4-7
43%
50%
3-6
50%
Gordan Giricek
G · 6'6" 220 · 29.5
18.0
4.1
12
89%
1
1
1
0
0
2
0
1
3-4
75%
3-4
1-1
75%
46%
1-1
100%
Matt Harpring
F · 6'7" 230 · 30.5
17.1
23.8
6
44%
3
0
1
1
0
1
2
1
2-4
50%
2-4
4-7
50%
50%
0-1
0%
Jarron Collins
C · 6'11" 249 · 28.0
16.7
12.6
6
75%
4
1
0
0
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
3-4
1-2
75%
47%
0-0
-
Paul Millsap
F · 6'8" 246 · 21.8
10.4
12.1
5
37%
3
2
0
0
4
0
1
2
3-4
75%
1-5
2-3
20%
52%
0-0
-
Dee Brown
G · 6'0" 185 · 22.3
5.7
7.5
3
104%
0
2
0
0
0
1
0
0
1-1
100%
1-1
1-1
100%
42%
0-0
-
Ronnie Brewer
F · 6'7" 235 · 21.7
5.8
0
1-2
50%
CJ Miles
G · 6'6" 220 · 19.7
2.4
0
0-1
46%
Roger Powell
F · 6'6" 220 · 23.9
Rafael Araujo
C · 6'11" 270 · 26.3
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.