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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
December 16, 2006
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
4Bulls63%95106
24Hawks37%91104
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Ben Wallace
F-C · 6'9" 240 · 32.3
49.4
39.5
6
29%
15
8
3
2
3
1
8
7
4-8
50%
1-7
3-7
14%
49%
0-0
-
Luol Deng
F · 6'9" 220 · 21.7
44.7
31.7
19
50%
6
3
1
1
0
1
0
6
1-2
50%
9-18
6-12
50%
51%
0-0
-
Kirk Hinrich
G · 6'4" 190 · 26.0
44.4
37.2
24
75%
2
3
1
1
2
6
0
2
7-9
78%
4-9
4-9
44%
46%
3-3
100%
Andres Nocioni
· 6'7" 225 · 27.0
39.8
26.9
24
60%
8
1
0
1
0
4
1
7
9-11
82%
6-11
4-7
55%
50%
1-4
25%
Adrian Griffin
G-F · 6'5" 230 · 32.5
19.6
5.8
0
0%
1
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
1-1
0%
48%
0-0
-
Ben Gordon
G · 6'3" 205 · 23.7
36.8
27.9
23
53%
8
2
1
1
0
2
1
7
5-6
83%
3-11
4-9
27%
44%
4-8
50%
Malik Allen
F · 6'10" 255 · 28.5
14.8
5.5
8
93%
4
0
0
0
0
0
2
2
2-3
67%
3-3
1-2
100%
47%
0-0
-
Tyrus Thomas
F · 6'10" 225 · 20.3
10.3
12.2
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
0-1
2-4
0%
49%
0-0
-
Andre Barrett
G · 5'10" 173 · 24.8
5.2
6.0
2
100%
0
1
0
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
42%
0-0
-
Thabo Sefolosha
F · 6'7" 220 · 22.6
8.2
0
1-2
48%
Michael Sweetney
F · 6'8" 270 · 24.1
5.4
0
1-2
47%
Viktor Khryapa
· 6'9" 210 · 24.4
3.1
0
0-1
47%
Martynas Andriuskevicius
C · 7'2" 240 · 20.8
Chris Duhon
G · 6'1" 190 · 24.3
P.J. Brown
F-C · 6'11" 239 · 37.2
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Joe Johnson
G-F · 6'7" 240 · 25.5
44.7
41.5
23
53%
2
5
2
1
0
3
0
2
2-2
100%
6-14
7-15
43%
49%
3-7
43%
Josh Smith
· 6'9" 225 · 21.0
44.0
35.2
14
46%
11
6
2
1
1
0
1
10
1-5
20%
5-9
4-8
56%
46%
1-4
25%
Marvin Williams
F · 6'9" 237 · 20.5
42.9
31.0
23
69%
7
0
0
1
2
2
2
5
3-4
75%
7-12
4-9
58%
45%
2-3
67%
Speedy Claxton
G · 5'11" 170 · 28.6
40.7
30.3
10
35%
2
11
4
2
0
4
0
2
2-3
67%
4-12
4-8
33%
42%
0-1
0%
Zaza Pachulia
C · 6'11" 270 · 22.8
27.5
31.5
16
78%
6
1
2
1
0
2
4
2
4-5
80%
6-8
4-10
75%
46%
0-0
-
Salim Stoudamire
G · 6'1" 175 · 24.2
23.2
18.0
7
32%
1
1
1
0
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
2-5
2-4
40%
43%
1-6
17%
Shelden Williams
C-F · 6'9" 250 · 23.2
16.2
13.8
2
26%
4
0
1
0
1
1
2
2
2-2
100%
0-3
2-3
0%
46%
0-0
-
Lorenzen Wright
F-C · 6'11" 255 · 31.1
15.8
12.3
4
67%
5
1
0
0
1
1
4
1
0-0
-
2-3
1-3
67%
47%
0-0
-
Royal Ivey
G · 6'4" 200 · 25.0
10.1
14.2
5
51%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
1-2
50%
2-3
1-3
67%
43%
0-1
0%
Solomon Jones
F · 6'10" 235 · 22.4
7.9
0
1-2
47%
Cedric Bozeman
G · 6'6" 207 · 23.8
7.0
0
0-1
44%
Matt Freije
F · 6'9" 249 · 25.2
4.8
0
0-1
42%
Josh Childress
F-G · 6'8" 210 · 23.5
Tyronn Lue
G · 6'0" 175 · 29.6
Esteban Batista
F-C · 6'10" 268 · 23.3
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.