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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
December 16, 2006
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
8Cavaliers54%9174
23Magic46%9081
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
LeBron James
F · 6'9" 250 · 22.0
41.0
36.4
29
63%
5
5
0
1
1
4
1
4
7-9
78%
8-14
7-14
57%
51%
2-5
40%
Larry Hughes
G · 6'5" 185 · 27.9
38.0
30.7
14
37%
2
1
2
1
0
4
1
1
3-4
75%
4-12
4-8
33%
44%
1-5
20%
Drew Gooden
F · 6'10" 250 · 25.2
37.8
19.5
14
41%
12
1
2
0
1
1
6
6
2-2
100%
6-16
3-7
38%
49%
0-0
-
Zydrunas Ilgauskas
C · 7'3" 260 · 31.5
28.8
25.4
9
51%
8
1
0
0
1
2
2
6
1-2
50%
4-8
4-9
50%
48%
0-0
-
Eric Snow
G · 6'3" 205 · 33.6
25.9
29.3
0
0%
2
2
0
1
1
4
0
2
0-4
0%
0-4
2-6
0%
43%
0-1
0%
Damon Jones
G · 6'3" 195 · 30.3
25.9
21.5
4
41%
1
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
2-2
100%
1-4
1-2
25%
47%
0-0
-
Anderson Varejao
F · 6'11" 260 · 24.2
21.3
31.3
0
0%
6
0
0
1
1
0
1
5
0-0
-
0-3
4-8
0%
53%
0-0
-
Daniel Gibson
G · 6'2" 200 · 20.8
13.2
17.6
4
69%
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
2-2
100%
1-1
1-2
100%
44%
0-1
0%
Donyell Marshall
F · 6'9" 245 · 33.6
7.9
19.2
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
2-3
-
48%
0-1
0%
David Wesley
G · 6'1" 203 · 36.1
0.1
4.4
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
41%
0-0
-
Sasha Pavlovic
G-F · 6'7" 235 · 23.1
6.9
0
1-1
43%
Scot Pollard
C-F · 6'11" 278 · 31.8
1.4
0
0-0
42%
Shannon Brown
G · 6'3" 215 · 21.0
Dwayne Jones
F-C · 6'11" 248 · 23.5
Ira Newble
G-F · 6'7" 220 · 31.9
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dwight Howard
C · 6'11" 265 · 21.0
38.9
33.7
14
51%
16
1
2
1
5
6
4
12
4-6
67%
5-11
6-10
45%
55%
0-0
-
Grant Hill
F · 6'8" 225 · 34.2
34.0
18.6
21
59%
6
1
2
1
0
4
3
3
3-4
75%
9-16
3-6
56%
51%
0-0
-
Trevor Ariza
F-G · 6'8" 215 · 21.5
23.8
26.6
4
37%
3
3
1
1
0
1
1
2
0-1
0%
2-5
3-7
40%
48%
0-0
-
Tony Battie
C · 6'11" 240 · 30.8
20.2
22.1
2
17%
7
0
0
0
0
1
3
4
0-0
-
1-6
2-5
17%
50%
0-0
-
Carlos Arroyo
G · 6'2" 200 · 27.4
19.4
23.3
0
0%
1
1
1
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-4
4-8
0%
46%
0-0
-
Darko Milicic
C · 7'0" 275 · 21.5
32.0
24.3
12
47%
9
1
1
1
0
1
3
6
4-6
67%
4-10
3-7
40%
48%
0-0
-
Travis Diener
G · 6'1" 175 · 24.8
28.6
17.1
11
80%
1
4
0
1
0
1
0
1
1-2
50%
2-2
1-1
100%
42%
2-4
50%
Keyon Dooling
G · 6'3" 195 · 26.6
24.7
29.3
11
54%
4
1
0
1
0
1
0
4
3-5
60%
1-5
4-8
20%
46%
2-3
67%
JJ Redick
G-F · 6'4" 200 · 22.5
14.0
13.2
6
47%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
1-1
100%
1-4
1-3
25%
44%
1-2
50%
Pat Garrity
F · 6'9" 238 · 30.3
4.4
6.2
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
3
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
45%
0-1
0%
Bo Outlaw
F · 6'8" 220 · 35.7
9.4
0
1-1
52%
James Augustine
F · 6'10" 235 · 22.8
3.9
0
0-1
48%
Jameer Nelson
G · 6'0" 190 · 24.8
Keith Bogans
G-F · 6'5" 215 · 26.6
Hedo Turkoglu
F · 6'10" 220 · 27.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.