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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
December 16, 2006
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
10Nuggets57%105123
27Knicks43%102100
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Carmelo Anthony
F · 6'8" 240 · 22.5
42.5
38.8
34
54%
7
4
0
1
0
0
3
4
4-5
80%
15-28
11-22
54%
50%
0-1
0%
JR Smith
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 21.3
35.4
26.5
13
74%
3
3
1
1
0
0
0
3
3-4
75%
2-3
2-5
67%
48%
2-4
50%
Andre Miller
G · 6'3" 200 · 30.7
34.4
34.2
12
61%
5
10
3
1
0
7
2
3
2-2
100%
5-9
4-9
56%
48%
0-0
-
Marcus Camby
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 32.7
32.0
30.2
24
88%
9
3
1
1
7
0
1
8
6-6
100%
9-11
4-9
82%
47%
0-0
-
Nene
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 24.3
17.9
14.8
6
51%
4
3
1
1
2
2
0
4
2-2
100%
2-5
2-4
40%
50%
0-0
-
Eduardo Najera
F · 6'8" 235 · 30.4
23.3
21.3
4
53%
0
1
0
1
0
1
0
0
4-4
100%
0-1
2-4
0%
49%
0-1
0%
Earl Boykins
G · 5'5" 133 · 30.5
21.4
25.4
12
61%
0
2
0
1
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
2-5
3-7
40%
44%
2-4
50%
Reggie Evans
C-F · 6'8" 245 · 26.6
17.7
14.8
8
82%
9
0
0
0
0
3
2
7
2-2
100%
3-4
1-3
75%
50%
0-0
-
Yakhouba Diawara
F-G · 6'7" 225 · 24.3
11.6
21.0
6
150%
1
2
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
49%
2-2
100%
Linas Kleiza
F · 6'8" 234 · 21.9
1.3
10.3
4
106%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1-2
50%
0-0
1-3
-
47%
1-1
100%
Joe Smith
F-C · 6'10" 225 · 31.4
1.3
4.1
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
48%
0-0
-
DerMarr Johnson
F-G · 6'9" 210 · 26.6
1.3
3.7
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
53%
0-0
-
Kenyon Martin
F · 6'9" 225 · 29.0
Julius Hodge
G · 6'7" 220 · 23.1
Jamal Sampson
F-C · 6'11" 235 · 23.6
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Stephon Marbury
G · 6'2" 205 · 29.8
41.5
28.1
31
60%
3
8
1
1
0
2
2
1
2-4
50%
10-16
3-7
63%
48%
3-8
38%
Jared Jeffries
F · 6'11" 240 · 25.1
38.6
27.1
9
53%
6
2
3
1
2
3
5
1
0-1
0%
3-6
3-5
50%
47%
1-2
50%
Jamal Crawford
G · 6'5" 185 · 26.7
28.5
34.9
2
11%
2
7
1
1
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
1-4
4-10
25%
46%
0-5
0%
Eddy Curry
C · 7'0" 295 · 24.0
26.7
32.4
19
64%
3
0
0
0
0
4
1
2
7-11
64%
6-10
7-13
60%
55%
0-0
-
Channing Frye
F · 6'11" 255 · 23.6
26.5
20.8
10
38%
5
0
1
0
4
1
2
3
2-3
67%
4-11
4-8
36%
48%
0-1
0%
David Lee
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 23.6
39.5
28.2
12
60%
15
1
1
1
1
3
7
8
0-0
-
6-10
4-7
60%
60%
0-0
-
Nate Robinson
G · 5'9" 180 · 22.5
29.2
22.0
17
43%
3
3
0
1
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
4-10
3-5
40%
46%
3-10
30%
Malik Rose
F · 6'7" 255 · 32.1
6.5
9.1
0
0%
4
0
0
0
0
1
2
2
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
42%
0-0
-
Renaldo Balkman
F · 6'8" 225 · 22.4
2.1
14.6
0
0%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
2-3
-
49%
0-0
-
Mardy Collins
G · 6'6" 220 · 22.4
0.8
9.6
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
47%
0-0
-
Jerome James
C · 7'1" 285 · 31.1
6.6
0
1-2
49%
Kelvin Cato
C · 6'11" 275 · 32.3
4.6
0
1-1
49%
Quentin Richardson
F · 6'6" 228 · 26.7
Steve Francis
G · 6'3" 210 · 29.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.