FinalWin Prob.pScore
2235%90
90
1665%95
98
ORTG#PossPace
MEM logo MEM
102.38895.7
MIA logo MIA
111.48881.4

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatGrizzliesQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatGrizzliesQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMEMMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA90
0%
98
100%
Q4 - 0:12.0MIAWright REBOUND (Off:5 Def:11)90
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 0:13.0MEMMISS Miller Free Throw 1 of 190
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 0:17.0MIAHaslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)88
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 0:17.0MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)88
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 0:26.0MEMWarrick Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)88
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 0:26.0MEMMISS Warrick Free Throw 1 of 287
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 0:28.0MEMMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)87
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 0:30.0MIAMISS Posey 25' 3PT Jump Shot87
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 0:45.0MEMWarrick Dunk (19 PTS) (Miller 8 AST)87
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 0:56.0MEMAl. Johnson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)85
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 0:59.0MIAMISS Posey 24' 3PT Jump Shot85
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 1:19MIAWright REBOUND (Off:5 Def:10)85
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 1:22MEMMISS Al. Johnson Free Throw 2 of 285
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 1:22MEMAl. Johnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)85
0.2%
96
99.8%
Q4 - 1:27MIAKapono Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T18)84
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 1:39MEMJones 21' Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Miller 7 AST)84
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 2:03MIAPosey 5' Running Jump Shot (5 PTS)82
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 2:23MIAWright REBOUND (Off:5 Def:9)82
0.2%
94
99.8%
Q4 - 2:27MIAMISS Haslem 6' Running Hook Shot82
0.3%
94
99.7%
Q4 - 2:49MEMMiller Foul Turnover (P3.T13)82
0.2%
94
99.8%
Q4 - 2:57MEMJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)82
0.5%
94
99.5%
Q4 - 2:59MIAMISS Kapono 26' 3PT Jump Shot82
0.4%
94
99.6%
Q4 - 3:07MEMWade STEAL (5 STL)82
0.3%
94
99.7%
Q4 - 3:19MEMAl. Johnson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)82
0.5%
94
99.5%
Q4 - 3:22MIAMISS Wade 15' Jump Shot82
0.4%
94
99.6%
Q4 - 3:48MEMJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)82
0.6%
94
99.4%
Q4 - 3:48MEMMISS Jones Free Throw 1 of 281
0.6%
94
99.4%
Q4 - 3:55MEMAl. Johnson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)81
0.6%
94
99.4%
Q4 - 3:57MIAMISS Wade 20' Jump Shot81
0.5%
94
99.5%
Q4 - 4:15MEMAl. Johnson 5' Hook Shot (8 PTS) (Atkins 3 AST)81
0.4%
94
99.6%
Q4 - 4:37MIAWade 17' Jump Shot (41 PTS) (Wright 3 AST)79
0.3%
94
99.7%
Q4 - 4:40MIAHEAT Rebound79
0.4%
92
99.6%
Q4 - 4:41MIAMISS Walker Layup79
0.5%
92
99.5%
Q4 - 4:42MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)79
0.4%
92
99.6%
Q4 - 4:43MIAMISS Haslem 14' Jump Shot79
0.5%
92
99.5%
Q4 - 4:59MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)79
0.4%
92
99.6%
Q4 - 5:01MEMMISS Al. Johnson 6' Jump Shot79
0.7%
92
99.3%
Q4 - 5:18MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P7.T17)79
0.9%
92
99.1%
Q4 - 5:32MEMWarrick Dunk (17 PTS) (Al. Johnson 3 AST)79
0.7%
92
99.3%
Q4 - 5:45MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 1 (39 PTS)77
0.5%
92
99.5%
Q4 - 5:57MEMAl. Johnson Driving Finger Roll (6 PTS)77
0.9%
89
99.1%
Q4 - 6:17MIAWalker Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T16)75
1.0%
89
99.0%
Q4 - 6:45MEMWarrick Dunk (15 PTS) (Jones 3 AST)75
0.7%
89
99.3%
Q4 - 7:08MIAMourning 3 Second Violation Turnover (P3.T15)73
0.8%
89
99.2%
Q4 - 7:26MIAWright REBOUND (Off:4 Def:9)73
0.6%
89
99.4%
Q4 - 7:28MEMMISS Al. Johnson Free Throw 2 of 273
0.6%
89
99.4%
Q4 - 7:28MEMMISS Al. Johnson Free Throw 1 of 273
0.7%
89
99.3%
Q4 - 7:40MIAWright Foul Turnover (P1.T14)73
0.8%
89
99.2%
Q4 - 8:05MEMJones Foul Turnover (P2.T11)73
0.8%
89
99.2%
Q4 - 8:28MIAMourning 6' Hook Shot (11 PTS)73
1.1%
89
98.9%
Q4 - 8:53MEMGasol Layup (11 PTS) (Miller 6 AST)73
1.4%
87
98.6%
Q4 - 9:07MEMGrizzlies Rebound71
1.4%
87
98.6%
Q4 - 9:08MEMMISS Miller Layup71
1.1%
87
98.9%
Q4 - 9:20MEMMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)71
1.3%
87
98.7%
Q4 - 9:22MIAMISS Walker 7' Running Hook Shot71
1.2%
87
98.8%
Q4 - 9:43MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)71
1.0%
87
99.0%
Q4 - 9:46MEMMISS Miller 22' Jump Shot71
1.1%
87
98.9%
Q4 - 9:59MIAWade Layup (36 PTS)71
1.3%
87
98.7%
Q4 - 10:00MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)71
1.7%
85
98.3%
Q4 - 10:01MIAMISS Walker 3' Hook Shot71
2.4%
85
97.6%
Q4 - 10:02MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)71
2.0%
85
98.0%
Q4 - 10:04MIAMISS Doleac 19' Jump Shot71
2.4%
85
97.6%
Q4 - 10:21MEMWalker STEAL (1 STL)71
2.0%
85
98.0%
Q4 - 10:38MIAWade Running Layup (34 PTS)71
2.5%
85
97.5%
Q4 - 11:02MEMJones Follow Up Dunk (12 PTS)71
3.6%
83
96.4%
Q4 - 11:04MEMJones REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)69
2.9%
83
97.1%
Q4 - 11:07MEMMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot69
2.5%
83
97.5%
Q4 - 11:37MIAPosey 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS)69
2.9%
83
97.1%
Q4 - 11:39MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)69
4.4%
80
95.6%
Q4 - 11:42MIAMISS Wade 22' Jump Shot69
5.1%
80
94.9%
Q3 - 0:00.0MEM69
4.3%
80
95.7%
Q3 - 0:00.0MEMGrizzlies Rebound69
5.4%
80
94.6%
Q3 - 0:00.0MEMMISS Warrick 41' 3PT Jump Shot69
4.6%
80
95.4%
Q3 - 0:01.0MIAWade Lost Ball Turnover (P6.T13)69
6.0%
80
94.0%
Q3 - 0:04.0MIAWright REBOUND (Off:4 Def:8)69
4.9%
80
95.1%
Q3 - 0:05.0MEMMISS Miller 25' 3PT Jump Shot69
5.2%
80
94.8%
Q3 - 0:27.0MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 1 (32 PTS)69
6.0%
80
94.0%
Q3 - 0:38.0MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)69
8.7%
77
91.3%
Q3 - 0:41.0MEMMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot69
9.2%
77
90.8%
Q3 - 1:04MEMMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)69
11.2%
77
88.8%
Q3 - 1:05MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 269
10.9%
77
89.1%
Q3 - 1:05MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (29 PTS)69
9.7%
77
90.3%
Q3 - 1:13MIADoleac REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)69
11.1%
76
88.9%
Q3 - 1:15MEMWade BLOCK (1 BLK)69
11.7%
76
88.3%
Q3 - 1:35MIAKapono Layup (13 PTS) (Posey 2 AST)69
13.2%
76
86.8%
Q3 - 1:37MIAHEAT Rebound69
15.6%
74
84.4%
Q3 - 1:37MIAMISS Posey 25' 3PT Jump Shot69
17.5%
74
82.5%
Q3 - 1:56MEMMiller 6' Jump Hook Shot (18 PTS)69
15.6%
74
84.4%
Q3 - 2:12MIADoleac 18' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Wade 7 AST)67
13.7%
74
86.3%
Q3 - 2:24MEMMiller Free Throw 1 of 1 (16 PTS)67
15.8%
72
84.2%
Q3 - 2:36MEMGrizzlies Rebound64
11.6%
72
88.4%
Q3 - 2:39MIAMISS Wade 16' Fadeaway Jumper64
11.0%
72
89.0%
Q3 - 2:55MIADoleac REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)64
9.7%
72
90.3%
Q3 - 2:57MEMMISS Warrick Dunk64
10.2%
72
89.8%
Q3 - 3:17MIADoleac 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Wade 6 AST)64
12.2%
72
87.8%
Q3 - 3:36MEMMiller 24' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS)64
14.1%
70
85.9%
Q3 - 3:53MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (28 PTS)61
10.3%
70
89.7%
Q3 - 3:53MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (27 PTS)61
10.6%
69
89.4%
Q3 - 4:09MEMMiller Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T9)61
12.3%
68
87.7%
Q3 - 4:11MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P5.T12)61
14.6%
68
85.4%
Q3 - 4:16MEMWade STEAL (4 STL)61
12.3%
68
87.7%
Q3 - 4:32MIADoleac Foul Turnover (P1.T11)61
14.6%
68
85.4%
Q3 - 4:47MEMJones 18' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Miller 5 AST)61
12.3%
68
87.7%
Q3 - 5:03MEMTsakalidis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)59
11.2%
68
88.8%
Q3 - 5:05MIAMISS Wade 26' 3PT Jump Shot59
10.7%
68
89.3%
Q3 - 5:20MIAWright REBOUND (Off:4 Def:7)59
9.5%
68
90.5%
Q3 - 5:22MIAMISS Wright Tip Shot59
10.7%
68
89.3%
Q3 - 5:23MIAWright REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)59
9.5%
68
90.5%
Q3 - 5:24MIAMISS Walker 7' Jump Shot59
10.7%
68
89.3%
Q3 - 5:41MEMTsakalidis Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)59
9.5%
68
90.5%
Q3 - 5:41MEMTsakalidis Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)58
9.1%
68
90.9%
Q3 - 5:50MIADoleac Layup (4 PTS)57
8.3%
68
91.7%
Q3 - 5:53MIADoleac REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)57
9.5%
66
90.5%
Q3 - 5:56MIAMISS Wright 27' 3PT Jump Shot57
10.6%
66
89.4%
Q3 - 6:23MEMWarrick Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)57
9.9%
66
90.1%
Q3 - 6:23MEMWarrick Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)56
9.6%
66
90.4%
Q3 - 6:33MIAWright Layup (10 PTS) (Williams 7 AST)55
8.7%
66
91.3%
Q3 - 6:37MIAWright REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)55
9.9%
64
90.1%
Q3 - 6:40MEMMourning BLOCK (5 BLK)55
10.4%
64
89.6%
Q3 - 6:44MEMJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)55
11.6%
64
88.4%
Q3 - 6:46MEMMISS Atkins 20' Jump Shot55
10.4%
64
89.6%
Q3 - 6:51MIAWilliams Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T10)55
11.6%
64
88.4%
Q3 - 7:09MEMWarrick Dunk (11 PTS) (Al. Johnson 2 AST)55
10.2%
64
89.8%
Q3 - 7:11MEMAl. Johnson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)53
9.1%
64
90.9%
Q3 - 7:16MEMMourning BLOCK (4 BLK)53
8.1%
64
91.9%
Q3 - 7:34MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (26 PTS)53
9.0%
64
91.0%
Q3 - 7:34MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (25 PTS)53
9.3%
63
90.7%
Q3 - 7:52MEMMiller 20' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Atkins 2 AST)53
10.2%
62
89.8%
Q3 - 7:57MEMWarrick REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)51
9.0%
62
91.0%
Q3 - 7:59MIAMISS Wright 18' Jump Shot51
8.6%
62
91.4%
Q3 - 8:04MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)51
8.0%
62
92.0%
Q3 - 8:06MEMMISS Warrick Dunk51
8.4%
62
91.6%
Q3 - 8:19MIAHaslem Layup (4 PTS) (Wade 5 AST)51
9.3%
62
90.7%
Q3 - 8:26MEMHaslem STEAL (1 STL)51
10.5%
60
89.5%
Q3 - 8:47MIAWade Reverse Layup (24 PTS) (Williams 6 AST)51
12.2%
60
87.8%
Q3 - 8:57MIAWright REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)51
13.7%
58
86.3%
Q3 - 8:59MEMMourning BLOCK (3 BLK)51
14.3%
58
85.7%
Q3 - 9:20MIAHaslem 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Wright 2 AST)51
15.9%
58
84.1%
Q3 - 9:48MEMAl. Johnson Alley Oop Layup (4 PTS) (Gasol 2 AST)51
17.8%
56
82.2%
Q3 - 9:58MEMAl. Johnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)49
15.9%
56
84.1%
Q3 - 10:00MIAMISS Haslem 20' Jump Shot49
15.3%
56
84.7%
Q3 - 10:17MEMJones 14' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Atkins 1 AST)49
14.1%
56
85.9%
Q3 - 10:23MEMAtkins REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)47
12.6%
56
87.4%
Q3 - 10:25MIAMISS Mourning 14' Jump Shot47
12.1%
56
87.9%
Q3 - 10:43MIAWright REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)47
11.0%
56
89.0%
Q3 - 10:45MEMMISS Al. Johnson 14' Jump Shot47
11.5%
56
88.5%
Q3 - 11:07MIAWade 18' Jump Shot (22 PTS) (Haslem 1 AST)47
12.8%
56
87.2%
Q3 - 11:24MEMWade STEAL (3 STL)47
14.3%
54
85.7%
Q3 - 11:37MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T9)47
16.2%
54
83.8%
Q3 - 11:43MIAWright REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)47
14.3%
54
85.7%
Q3 - 11:45MEMWright BLOCK (2 BLK)47
14.9%
54
85.1%
Q2 - 0:00.0MEM47
16.2%
54
83.8%
Q2 - 0:00.0MEMGrizzlies Rebound47
16.2%
54
83.8%
Q2 - 0:00.0MEMMISS Atkins 40' 3PT Jump Shot47
14.9%
54
85.1%
Q2 - 0:01.0MIAWade Dunk (20 PTS)47
16.4%
54
83.6%
Q2 - 0:04.0MEMWade STEAL (2 STL)47
18.9%
52
81.1%
Q2 - 0:12.0MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)47
20.4%
52
79.6%
Q2 - 0:12.0MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 247
20.8%
51
79.2%
Q2 - 0:29.0MEMAtkins Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)47
21.0%
51
79.0%
Q2 - 0:29.0MEMAtkins Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)46
20.6%
51
79.4%
Q2 - 0:44.0MEMTsakalidis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)45
18.3%
51
81.7%
Q2 - 0:47.0MEMMISS Atkins 25' 3PT Jump Shot45
17.3%
51
82.7%
Q2 - 1:01MIAKapono 25' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)45
18.5%
51
81.5%
Q2 - 1:11MEMAl. Johnson Foul Turnover (P1.T4)45
23.8%
48
76.2%
Q2 - 1:28MIAKapono Layup (8 PTS)45
25.0%
48
75.0%
Q2 - 1:46MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)45
28.7%
46
71.3%
Q2 - 1:48MEMMISS Miller 26' 3PT Jump Shot45
29.2%
46
70.8%
Q2 - 1:56MEMAl. Johnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)45
30.1%
46
69.9%
Q2 - 1:59MIAMISS Posey 26' 3PT Jump Shot45
29.7%
46
70.3%
Q2 - 2:15MEMJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)45
28.2%
46
71.8%
Q2 - 2:15MEMJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)44
27.6%
46
72.4%
Q2 - 2:16MIAKapono Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T8)43
25.6%
46
74.4%
Q2 - 2:20MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)43
23.4%
46
76.6%
Q2 - 2:22MEMMourning BLOCK (2 BLK)43
24.1%
46
75.9%
Q2 - 2:39MIAWade 20' Jump Shot (17 PTS)43
25.5%
46
74.5%
Q2 - 2:57MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)43
28.3%
44
71.7%
Q2 - 3:00MEMMourning BLOCK (1 BLK)43
28.9%
44
71.1%
Q2 - 3:18MIAWade 19' Fadeaway Jumper (15 PTS)43
30.6%
44
69.4%
Q2 - 3:32MEMWarrick Free Throw 1 of 1 (9 PTS)43
32.9%
42
67.1%
Q2 - 3:50MIAMourning Dunk (9 PTS) (Wright 1 AST)40
28.2%
42
71.8%
Q2 - 3:53MIAWright REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)40
30.4%
40
69.6%
Q2 - 3:54MIAMISS Kapono 25' 3PT Jump Shot40
32.4%
40
67.6%
Q2 - 4:05MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)40
30.2%
40
69.8%
Q2 - 4:08MEMMISS Gay 18' Jump Shot40
31.0%
40
69.0%
Q2 - 4:32MEMAtkins REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)40
32.7%
40
67.3%
Q2 - 4:34MIAMISS Mourning Free Throw 2 of 240
32.4%
40
67.6%
Q2 - 4:34MIAMourning Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)40
31.1%
40
68.9%
Q2 - 4:48MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)40
32.7%
39
67.3%
Q2 - 4:51MEMMISS Al. Johnson 3' Layup40
33.5%
39
66.5%
Q2 - 5:05MEMJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)40
35.2%
39
64.8%
Q2 - 5:07MIAMISS Haslem 16' Jump Shot40
34.3%
39
65.7%
Q2 - 5:20MEMJones 19' Jump Shot (7 PTS)40
32.4%
39
67.6%
Q2 - 5:36MEMAl. Johnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)38
30.2%
39
69.8%
Q2 - 5:38MIAMISS Mourning Free Throw 2 of 238
29.9%
39
70.1%
Q2 - 5:38MIAMourning Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)38
28.6%
39
71.4%
Q2 - 5:41MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)38
30.0%
38
70.0%
Q2 - 5:43MEMMISS Gasol 13' Jump Shot38
30.8%
38
69.2%
Q2 - 6:02MIAKapono 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Williams 5 AST)38
32.7%
38
67.3%
Q2 - 6:15MIAWright REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)38
37.1%
35
62.9%
Q2 - 6:17MEMMISS Gay Free Throw 2 of 238
37.6%
35
62.4%
Q2 - 6:17MEMGay Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)38
39.0%
35
61.0%
Q2 - 6:18MEMGay REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)37
37.7%
35
62.3%
Q2 - 6:19MEMMISS Jones 14' Jump Shot37
35.5%
35
64.5%
Q2 - 6:24MIAHaslem Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7)37
37.7%
35
62.3%
Q2 - 6:42MEMGasol Layup (9 PTS) (Gay 1 AST)37
34.6%
35
65.4%
Q2 - 7:05MIAKapono 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Williams 4 AST)35
32.4%
35
67.6%
Q2 - 7:11MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)35
37.0%
32
63.0%
Q2 - 7:13MEMMISS Jones 19' Jump Shot35
37.8%
32
62.2%
Q2 - 7:23MEMMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)35
39.7%
32
60.3%
Q2 - 7:25MIAMISS Haslem 19' Jump Shot35
38.9%
32
61.1%
Q2 - 7:37MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)35
37.0%
32
63.0%
Q2 - 7:39MEMMISS Gasol 8' Jump Shot35
37.9%
32
62.1%
Q2 - 8:03MIAWilliams Traveling Turnover (P1.T6)35
39.5%
32
60.5%
Q2 - 8:22MEMGasol 22' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Miller 4 AST)35
36.7%
32
63.3%
Q2 - 8:29MEMJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)33
34.6%
32
65.4%
Q2 - 8:31MIAMISS Kapono 19' Jump Shot33
33.8%
32
66.2%
Q2 - 8:45MEMJones Finger Roll (5 PTS) (Miller 3 AST)33
32.0%
32
68.0%
Q2 - 8:50MEMGasol REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)31
30.1%
32
69.9%
Q2 - 8:53MIAMISS Kapono 19' Jump Shot31
29.4%
32
70.6%
Q2 - 9:00MIAHEAT Rebound31
27.7%
32
72.3%
Q2 - 9:01MIAMISS Doleac 20' Jump Shot31
29.2%
32
70.8%
Q2 - 9:08MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)31
27.6%
32
72.4%
Q2 - 9:10MEMMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot31
28.3%
32
71.7%
Q2 - 9:36MIAWade Reverse Layup (13 PTS)31
29.9%
32
70.1%
Q2 - 9:42MIADoleac REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)31
31.8%
30
68.2%
Q2 - 9:44MEMMISS Gay 6' Jump Shot31
32.6%
30
67.4%
Q2 - 9:55MEMJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)31
34.3%
30
65.7%
Q2 - 9:56MIAMISS Walker 6' Jump Shot31
33.6%
30
66.4%
Q2 - 10:05MIADoleac REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)31
31.8%
30
68.2%
Q2 - 10:08MIAMISS Doleac 9' Jump Shot31
33.5%
30
66.5%
Q2 - 10:29MEMWarrick Dunk (6 PTS) (Miller 2 AST)31
31.8%
30
68.2%
Q2 - 10:44MIADoleac 5' Hook Shot (2 PTS)29
29.9%
30
70.1%
Q2 - 10:58MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)29
31.8%
28
68.2%
Q2 - 11:00MEMMISS Gay 18' Jump Shot29
32.5%
28
67.5%
Q2 - 11:18MIAWade Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T5)29
33.6%
28
66.4%
Q2 - 11:36MEMJones 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Jones 2 AST)29
31.5%
28
68.5%
Q1 - 0:00.0MEM26
27.5%
28
72.5%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAWalker 5' Jump Shot (4 PTS)26
27.5%
28
72.5%
Q1 - 0:01.0MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)26
29.6%
26
70.4%
Q1 - 0:02.0MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 226
30.9%
26
69.1%
Q1 - 0:02.0MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)26
29.5%
26
70.5%
Q1 - 0:08.0MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)26
31.6%
25
68.4%
Q1 - 0:10.0MEMMISS Jones 20' Jump Shot26
32.1%
25
67.9%
Q1 - 0:29.0MIAWade Driving Layup (10 PTS)26
33.2%
25
66.8%
Q1 - 0:44.0MEMGay Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)26
35.8%
23
64.2%
Q1 - 0:44.0MEMGay Free Throw 1 of 2 (2 PTS)25
35.2%
23
64.8%
Q1 - 0:57.0MIAWade Driving Layup (8 PTS)24
33.2%
23
66.8%
Q1 - 1:13MEMJones 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Jones 2 AST)24
35.8%
21
64.2%
Q1 - 1:30MEMJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
33.2%
21
66.8%
Q1 - 1:32MIAMISS Wade 6' Hook Shot22
32.7%
21
67.3%
Q1 - 1:45MEMGay Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)22
31.6%
21
68.4%
Q1 - 1:45MEMMISS Gay Free Throw 1 of 221
31.0%
21
69.0%
Q1 - 1:59MIAWalker Layup (2 PTS) (Posey 1 AST)21
31.1%
21
68.9%
Q1 - 2:19MEMWade STEAL (1 STL)21
33.5%
19
66.5%
Q1 - 2:40MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)21
35.5%
19
64.5%
Q1 - 2:40MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)21
35.9%
18
64.1%
Q1 - 3:01MEMWarrick Dunk (4 PTS) (Al. Johnson 1 AST)21
37.0%
17
63.0%
Q1 - 3:09MEMMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)19
35.2%
17
64.8%
Q1 - 3:11MIAMISS Wade 20' Jump Shot19
34.5%
17
65.5%
Q1 - 3:19MEMMiller 24' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)19
33.0%
17
67.0%
Q1 - 3:39MIAWright Finger Roll (8 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)16
29.3%
17
70.7%
Q1 - 3:59MEMMiller 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Warrick 1 AST)16
31.0%
15
69.0%
Q1 - 4:17MEMMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)13
27.4%
15
72.6%
Q1 - 4:20MIAMISS Walker Layup13
26.7%
15
73.3%
Q1 - 4:25MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)13
25.3%
15
74.7%
Q1 - 4:28MEMMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot13
25.9%
15
74.1%
Q1 - 4:52MIAWade Driving Layup (4 PTS)13
27.4%
15
72.6%
Q1 - 5:08MEMWarrick 14' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)13
28.6%
13
71.4%
Q1 - 5:33MEMGrizzlies Rebound11
27.1%
13
72.9%
Q1 - 5:36MIAMISS Wade 21' Jump Shot11
26.5%
13
73.5%
Q1 - 5:50MEMJones Foul Turnover (P1.T2)11
25.3%
13
74.7%
Q1 - 6:08MIAWright Layup (6 PTS)11
26.9%
13
73.1%
Q1 - 6:10MIAWright REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)11
28.5%
11
71.5%
Q1 - 6:13MIAMISS Haslem 18' Jump Shot11
29.7%
11
70.3%
Q1 - 6:31MEMAl. Johnson 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Miller 1 AST)11
28.5%
11
71.5%
Q1 - 6:45MIAMourning Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T4)9
26.9%
11
73.1%
Q1 - 7:05MIAHEAT Rebound9
25.3%
11
74.7%
Q1 - 7:06MEMMISS Atkins 13' Jump Shot9
25.8%
11
74.2%
Q1 - 7:20MIAMourning Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)9
26.9%
11
73.1%
Q1 - 7:23MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)9
29.8%
8
70.2%
Q1 - 7:25MIAMISS Mourning Layup9
31.1%
8
68.9%
Q1 - 7:37MIAWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)9
29.8%
8
70.2%
Q1 - 7:39MEMWright BLOCK (1 BLK)9
30.4%
8
69.6%
Q1 - 8:03MIAMourning Dunk (2 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)9
31.6%
8
68.4%
Q1 - 8:19MEMMiller Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)9
33.0%
6
67.0%
Q1 - 8:19MEMMiller Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)8
32.7%
6
67.3%
Q1 - 8:22MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T3)7
31.6%
6
68.4%
Q1 - 8:35MEMGasol Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)7
29.8%
6
70.2%
Q1 - 8:54MIAWright Slam Dunk (4 PTS) (Williams 2 AST)4
26.9%
6
73.1%
Q1 - 8:57MIAWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
28.2%
4
71.8%
Q1 - 8:59MEMMISS Jones Layup4
28.7%
4
71.3%
Q1 - 9:04MIAMourning Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)4
29.9%
4
70.1%
Q1 - 9:07MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)4
27.9%
4
72.1%
Q1 - 9:10MIAMISS Wade 20' Jump Shot4
29.3%
4
70.7%
Q1 - 9:22MEMJones 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Gasol 1 AST)4
27.9%
4
72.1%
Q1 - 9:31MIAWright Layup (2 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)2
26.8%
4
73.2%
Q1 - 9:37MEMWright STEAL (1 STL)2
27.9%
2
72.1%
Q1 - 9:42MEMGasol REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)2
29.9%
2
70.1%
Q1 - 9:45MEMMISS Al. Johnson 6' Jump Shot2
28.5%
2
71.5%
Q1 - 10:08MIAWade Palming Turnover (P1.T1)2
29.7%
2
70.3%
Q1 - 10:22MEMGasol 11' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS)2
27.9%
2
72.1%
Q1 - 10:33MEMAl. Johnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)0
26.6%
2
73.4%
Q1 - 10:36MEMMISS Jones 15' Jump Shot0
25.5%
2
74.5%
Q1 - 10:54MEMAl. Johnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
26.7%
2
73.3%
Q1 - 10:56MIAMISS Mourning 17' Jump Shot0
26.1%
2
73.9%
Q1 - 11:14MIAWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
25.2%
2
74.8%
Q1 - 11:16MEMMISS Gasol 11' Jump Shot0
25.6%
2
74.4%
Q1 - 11:45MIAWade Dunk (2 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)0
26.5%
2
73.5%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball Mourning vs. Al. Johnson: Tip to Haslem0
28.0%
0
72.0%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MEM
1.05 52.3%
MIA
1.13 56.3%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MEM
15
25
60%
MIA
24
29
83%
Midrange
MEM
14
33
42%
MIA
11
36
31%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MEM
4
6.0
13
31%
46%
MIA
4
6.0
12
33%
50%
Free Throws
MEM
20
28
71%
MIA
16
21
76%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MEM logo Grizzlies
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
M. Miller2071%10.0 / 14
H. Warrick2063%10.0 / 16
D. Jones1547%7.5 / 16
P. Gasol1169%5.5 / 8
A. Johnson945%4.5 / 10
E. Jones750%3.5 / 7
R. Gay433%2.0 / 6
C. Atkins220%1.0 / 5
J. Tsakalidis2100%1.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Wade4168%20.5 / 30
J. Kapono1372%6.5 / 9
A. Mourning1161%5.5 / 9
D. Wright1063%5.0 / 8
M. Doleac857%4.0 / 7
U. Haslem633%3.0 / 9
J. Posey542%2.5 / 6
A. Walker425%2.0 / 8
J. Williams0-0.0 / 0
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MEM
75
+10
-13
85
MIA
70
+17
-18
87
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MEM
1.05 52.3%
MIA
1.13 56.3%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
106.5
104.2
MEM 102.3
MIA 111.4 +9.1
Pace
94.0
90.1
MEM 95.7 +14.3
MIA 81.4
Avg. Poss. Time
15.1
16.5
MEM 15.0 +2.6
MIA 17.7
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
50.4%
50.6%
MEM 49.3%
MIA 53.2% +3.9%
TO %
16.5%
15.3%
MEM 13.5% +3.8%
MIA 17.3%
ORB %
25.9%
24.9%
MEM 18.4%
MIA 37.8% +19.4%
FTrt
37.4
32.1
MEM 39.4 +12.1
MIA 27.3
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
56.0%
57.6%
MEM 69.7% +18.4%
MIA 51.3%
STL %
7.2%
7.6%
MEM 10.2% +1.1%
MIA 9.1%
BLK %
7.7%
8.8%
MEM 4.6%
MIA 13.8% +9.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
54.1%
52.4%
MEM 52.3%
MIA 56.3% +4.0%
Rim FG%
57.5%
61.8%
MEM 60.0%
MIA 82.8% +22.8%
Mid FG%
41.1%
40.5%
MEM 42.4% +11.8%
MIA 30.6%
3P %
36.7%
34.3%
MEM 30.8%
MIA 33.3% +2.5%
FT %
76.1%
69.0%
MEM 71.4%
MIA 76.2% +4.8%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
38.5%
34.9%
MEM 35.2%
MIA 37.7% +2.5%
Mid Att. %
40.4%
40.7%
MEM 46.5% +0.3%
MIA 46.8%
3P Att. %
21.1%
24.5%
MEM 18.3% +2.7%
MIA 15.6%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.05 and 2.05.
Game TotalsMEMMIA
Possessions8888
Possession Minutes22.125.9
Points9098
Rebounds3045
Assists2320
Steals98
Blocks38
Turnovers (Team)13 (0)18 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)7 (3)14 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)23 (2)31 (1)
Field Goals33-7139-77
At-the-Rim FG15-2524-29
Midrange FG14-3311-36
2-Point FG29-5835-65
3-Point FG4-134-12
Free Throws20-2816-21
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'8" 218 · 27
44.4
20
71%
6
8
0
0
3
2
0
6
3-4
75%
4-8
50%
3-5
60%
G · 6'6" 225 · 26
37.3
15
47%
3
2
1
0
3
5
2
1
3-4
75%
6-14
43%
0-0
-
G · 5'11" 185 · 32
32.1
2
20%
2
3
0
0
1
1
0
2
2-2
100%
0-2
0%
0-2
0%
F · 6'9" 240 · 24
30.0
9
45%
9
3
2
0
1
4
2
7
1-4
25%
4-8
50%
0-0
-
C · 7'0" 250 · 26
16.9
11
69%
2
2
1
2
2
2
1
1
1-1
100%
5-8
63%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 219 · 24
31.1
20
63%
1
1
2
0
1
4
0
1
4-5
80%
8-13
62%
0-1
0%
G-F · 6'6" 200 · 35
26.8
7
50%
4
3
2
1
1
2
0
4
0-0
-
2-2
100%
1-5
20%
F · 6'8" 230 · 20
14.8
4
33%
1
1
1
0
1
1
1
0
4-6
67%
0-3
0%
0-0
-
C · 7'2" 290 · 28
6.0
2
100%
2
0
0
0
0
1
1
1
2-2
100%
0-0
-
0-0
-
G · 6'6" 189 · 23
0.7
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
G · 5'10" 171 · 33
F · 6'8" 240 · 30
#44 · F · 6'9" 240 · 24
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#1 · G · 6'0" 196 · 21
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#4 · F-C · 6'10" 220 · 27
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
90
52%
30
23
9
3
13
0
7
23
20-28
71%
29-58
50%
4-13
31%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.