Final Win Prob. pScore
2235%90
90
1665%95
98
ORTG#PossPace
MEM logo Grizzlies
102.38895.7
MIA logo Heat
111.48881.4

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

Win Probability

HeatGrizzliesQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatGrizzliesQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMEMMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA90
98
Q4 - 0:12.0MIAWright REBOUND (Off:5 Def:11)90
98
Q4 - 0:13.0MEMMISS Miller Free Throw 1 of 190
98
Q4 - 0:13.0MEMSUB: Kinsey FOR Jones90
98
Q4 - 0:13.0MIASUB: Williams FOR Kapono90
98
Q4 - 0:13.0MIAKapono S.FOUL (P6.PN)90
98
Q4 - 0:13.0MEMMiller Driving Layup (20 PTS)90
98
Q4 - 0:17.0MIAHaslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)88
98
Q4 - 0:17.0MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)88
97
Q4 - 0:17.0MEMAl. Johnson P.FOUL (P4.PN)88
96
Q4 - 0:26.0MEMWarrick Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)88
96
Q4 - 0:26.0MEMGrizzlies Rebound87
96
Q4 - 0:26.0MEMMISS Warrick Free Throw 1 of 287
96
Q4 - 0:26.0MIAKapono S.FOUL (P5.PN)87
96
Q4 - 0:28.0MEMMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)87
96
Q4 - 0:30.0MIAMISS Posey 25' 3PT Jump Shot87
96
Q4 - 0:45.0MEMWarrick Dunk (19 PTS) (Miller 8 AST)87
96
Q4 - 0:56.0MEMAl. Johnson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)85
96
Q4 - 0:59.0MIAMISS Posey 24' 3PT Jump Shot85
96
Q4 - 1:07MEMJones P.FOUL (P5.T2)85
96
Q4 - 1:19MIAWright REBOUND (Off:5 Def:10)85
96
Q4 - 1:22MEMMISS Al. Johnson Free Throw 2 of 285
96
Q4 - 1:22MEMAl. Johnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)85
96
Q4 - 1:22MIAWade S.FOUL (P2.T4)84
96
Q4 - 1:27MIAKapono Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T18)84
96
Q4 - 1:39MEMJones 21' Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Miller 7 AST)84
96
Q4 - 2:03MIAPosey 5' Running Jump Shot (5 PTS)82
96
Q4 - 2:23MIAWright REBOUND (Off:5 Def:9)82
94
Q4 - 2:27MIAMISS Haslem 6' Running Hook Shot82
94
Q4 - 2:4982
94
Q4 - 2:49MEMMiller Foul Turnover (P3.T13)82
94
Q4 - 2:49MEMMiller OFF.Foul (P2)82
94
Q4 - 2:57MEMJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)82
94
Q4 - 2:59MIAMISS Kapono 26' 3PT Jump Shot82
94
Q4 - 3:07MEMWade STEAL (5 STL)82
94
Q4 - 3:19MEMAl. Johnson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)82
94
Q4 - 3:22MIAMISS Wade 15' Jump Shot82
94
Q4 - 3:48MEMJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)82
94
Q4 - 3:48MEMGrizzlies Rebound81
94
Q4 - 3:48MEMMISS Jones Free Throw 1 of 281
94
Q4 - 3:48MEMSUB: Jones FOR Atkins81
94
Q4 - 3:48MIAPosey S.FOUL (P3.T3)81
94
Q4 - 3:55MEMAl. Johnson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)81
94
Q4 - 3:57MIAMISS Wade 20' Jump Shot81
94
Q4 - 4:15MEMAl. Johnson 5' Hook Shot (8 PTS) (Atkins 3 AST)81
94
Q4 - 4:37MIAWade 17' Jump Shot (41 PTS) (Wright 3 AST)79
94
Q4 - 4:40MIASUB: Kapono FOR Walker79
92
Q4 - 4:40MIAHEAT Rebound79
92
Q4 - 4:41MIAMISS Walker Layup79
92
Q4 - 4:42MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)79
92
Q4 - 4:43MIAMISS Haslem 14' Jump Shot79
92
Q4 - 4:52MEMJones Violation:Kicked Ball79
92
Q4 - 4:59MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)79
92
Q4 - 5:01MEMMISS Al. Johnson 6' Jump Shot79
92
Q4 - 5:08MIAWalker P.FOUL (P1.T2)79
92
Q4 - 5:18MEMSUB: Miller FOR Jones79
92
Q4 - 5:18MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P7.T17)79
92
Q4 - 5:32MEMWarrick Dunk (17 PTS) (Al. Johnson 3 AST)79
92
Q4 - 5:45MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 1 (39 PTS)77
92
Q4 - 5:45MEMWarrick S.FOUL (P4.T1)77
91
Q4 - 5:45MIAWade 8' Running Jump Shot (38 PTS)77
91
Q4 - 5:49MIASUB: Wade FOR Williams77
89
Q4 - 5:49MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 4 Short 0)77
89
Q4 - 5:57MEMAl. Johnson Driving Finger Roll (6 PTS)77
89
Q4 - 6:17MIAWalker Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T16)75
89
Q4 - 6:45MEMWarrick Dunk (15 PTS) (Jones 3 AST)75
89
Q4 - 6:54MEMSUB: Atkins FOR Miller73
89
Q4 - 7:08MIASUB: Haslem FOR Mourning73
89
Q4 - 7:08MIAMourning 3 Second Violation Turnover (P3.T15)73
89
Q4 - 7:26MIAWright REBOUND (Off:4 Def:9)73
89
Q4 - 7:28MEMMISS Al. Johnson Free Throw 2 of 273
89
Q4 - 7:28MEMGrizzlies Rebound73
89
Q4 - 7:28MEMMISS Al. Johnson Free Throw 1 of 273
89
Q4 - 7:28MIAWright S.FOUL (P4.T1)73
89
Q4 - 7:40MEMSUB: Warrick FOR Gasol73
89
Q4 - 7:40MIAWright Foul Turnover (P1.T14)73
89
Q4 - 7:40MIAWright OFF.Foul (P3)73
89
Q4 - 8:05MEMJones Foul Turnover (P2.T11)73
89
Q4 - 8:05MEMJones OFF.Foul (P4)73
89
Q4 - 8:28MIAMourning 6' Hook Shot (11 PTS)73
89
Q4 - 8:53MEMGasol Layup (11 PTS) (Miller 6 AST)73
87
Q4 - 9:07MEMGrizzlies Rebound71
87
Q4 - 9:08MEMMISS Miller Layup71
87
Q4 - 9:20MEMMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)71
87
Q4 - 9:22MIAMISS Walker 7' Running Hook Shot71
87
Q4 - 9:43MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)71
87
Q4 - 9:46MEMMISS Miller 22' Jump Shot71
87
Q4 - 9:59MEMSUB: Al. Johnson FOR Gay71
87
Q4 - 9:59MIASUB: Williams FOR Doleac71
87
Q4 - 9:59MIASUB: Mourning FOR Wade71
87
Q4 - 9:59MEMGrizzlies Timeout: Regular (Reg.4 Short 0)71
87
Q4 - 9:59MIAWade Layup (36 PTS)71
87
Q4 - 10:00MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)71
85
Q4 - 10:01MIAMISS Walker 3' Hook Shot71
85
Q4 - 10:02MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)71
85
Q4 - 10:04MIAMISS Doleac 19' Jump Shot71
85
Q4 - 10:21MEMWalker STEAL (1 STL)71
85
Q4 - 10:38MIAWade Running Layup (34 PTS)71
85
Q4 - 11:02MEMJones Follow Up Dunk (12 PTS)71
83
Q4 - 11:04MEMJones REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)69
83
Q4 - 11:07MEMMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot69
83
Q4 - 11:37MIAPosey 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS)69
83
Q4 - 11:39MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)69
80
Q4 - 11:42MIAMISS Wade 22' Jump Shot69
80
Q4 - 12:0069
80
Q3 - 0:00.0MEM69
80
Q3 - 0:00.0MEMGrizzlies Rebound69
80
Q3 - 0:00.0MEMMISS Warrick 41' 3PT Jump Shot69
80
Q3 - 0:01.0MIAWade Lost Ball Turnover (P6.T13)69
80
Q3 - 0:04.0MIAWright REBOUND (Off:4 Def:8)69
80
Q3 - 0:05.0MEMMISS Miller 25' 3PT Jump Shot69
80
Q3 - 0:27.0MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 1 (32 PTS)69
80
Q3 - 0:27.0MEMWarrick S.FOUL (P3.PN)69
79
Q3 - 0:27.0MIAWade 11' Jump Bank Shot (31 PTS)69
79
Q3 - 0:38.0MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)69
77
Q3 - 0:41.0MEMMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot69
77
Q3 - 1:04MEMMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)69
77
Q3 - 1:05MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 269
77
Q3 - 1:05MIASUB: Wright FOR Kapono69
77
Q3 - 1:05MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (29 PTS)69
77
Q3 - 1:05MEMGay S.FOUL (P1.PN)69
76
Q3 - 1:13MIADoleac REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)69
76
Q3 - 1:15MEMWade BLOCK (1 BLK)69
76
Q3 - 1:35MIAKapono Layup (13 PTS) (Posey 2 AST)69
76
Q3 - 1:37MEMSUB: Gay FOR Tsakalidis69
74
Q3 - 1:37MIAHEAT Rebound69
74
Q3 - 1:37MIAMISS Posey 25' 3PT Jump Shot69
74
Q3 - 1:56MEMMiller 6' Jump Hook Shot (18 PTS)69
74
Q3 - 2:05MIAKapono P.FOUL (P4.T4)67
74
Q3 - 2:12MIADoleac 18' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Wade 7 AST)67
74
Q3 - 2:24MEMMiller Free Throw 1 of 1 (16 PTS)67
72
Q3 - 2:24MIADoleac S.FOUL (P2.T3)66
72
Q3 - 2:24MEMMiller Driving Layup (15 PTS)66
72
Q3 - 2:36MEMGrizzlies Rebound64
72
Q3 - 2:39MIAMISS Wade 16' Fadeaway Jumper64
72
Q3 - 2:49MIASUB: Posey FOR Wright64
72
Q3 - 2:49MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 3 Short 0)64
72
Q3 - 2:49MEMJones P.FOUL (P2.T4)64
72
Q3 - 2:55MIADoleac REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)64
72
Q3 - 2:57MEMMISS Warrick Dunk64
72
Q3 - 3:17MIADoleac 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Wade 6 AST)64
72
Q3 - 3:36MEMMiller 24' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS)64
70
Q3 - 3:53MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (28 PTS)61
70
Q3 - 3:53MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (27 PTS)61
69
Q3 - 3:53MEMWarrick S.FOUL (P2.T3)61
68
Q3 - 4:09MIASUB: Kapono FOR Williams61
68
Q3 - 4:09MEMMiller Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T9)61
68
Q3 - 4:11MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P5.T12)61
68
Q3 - 4:16MEMWade STEAL (4 STL)61
68
Q3 - 4:32MEMSUB: Jones FOR Jones61
68
Q3 - 4:32MIADoleac Foul Turnover (P1.T11)61
68
Q3 - 4:32MIADoleac OFF.Foul (P1)61
68
Q3 - 4:47MEMJones 18' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Miller 5 AST)61
68
Q3 - 5:03MEMTsakalidis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)59
68
Q3 - 5:05MIAMISS Wade 26' 3PT Jump Shot59
68
Q3 - 5:19MEMTsakalidis P.FOUL (P1.T2)59
68
Q3 - 5:20MIAWright REBOUND (Off:4 Def:7)59
68
Q3 - 5:22MIAMISS Wright Tip Shot59
68
Q3 - 5:23MIAWright REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)59
68
Q3 - 5:24MIAMISS Walker 7' Jump Shot59
68
Q3 - 5:41MEMTsakalidis Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)59
68
Q3 - 5:41MEMTsakalidis Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)58
68
Q3 - 5:41MIAWade S.FOUL (P1.T2)57
68
Q3 - 5:50MIADoleac Layup (4 PTS)57
68
Q3 - 5:53MIADoleac REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)57
66
Q3 - 5:56MIAMISS Wright 27' 3PT Jump Shot57
66
Q3 - 6:23MEMWarrick Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)57
66
Q3 - 6:23MEMSUB: Tsakalidis FOR Al. Johnson56
66
Q3 - 6:23MIASUB: Walker FOR Haslem56
66
Q3 - 6:23MEMWarrick Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)56
66
Q3 - 6:23MIASUB: Doleac FOR Mourning55
66
Q3 - 6:23MIAHaslem S.FOUL (P4.T1)55
66
Q3 - 6:33MIAWright Layup (10 PTS) (Williams 7 AST)55
66
Q3 - 6:37MIAWright REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)55
64
Q3 - 6:40MEMMourning BLOCK (5 BLK)55
64
Q3 - 6:44MEMJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)55
64
Q3 - 6:46MEMMISS Atkins 20' Jump Shot55
64
Q3 - 6:51MIAWilliams Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T10)55
64
Q3 - 7:09MEMWarrick Dunk (11 PTS) (Al. Johnson 2 AST)55
64
Q3 - 7:11MEMAl. Johnson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)53
64
Q3 - 7:16MEMMourning BLOCK (4 BLK)53
64
Q3 - 7:34MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (26 PTS)53
64
Q3 - 7:34MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (25 PTS)53
63
Q3 - 7:34MEMJones S.FOUL (P3.T1)53
62
Q3 - 7:52MEMMiller 20' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Atkins 2 AST)53
62
Q3 - 7:57MEMWarrick REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)51
62
Q3 - 7:59MIAMISS Wright 18' Jump Shot51
62
Q3 - 8:04MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)51
62
Q3 - 8:06MEMMISS Warrick Dunk51
62
Q3 - 8:19MEMSUB: Warrick FOR Gasol51
62
Q3 - 8:19MEMGrizzlies Timeout: Regular (Reg.3 Short 0)51
62
Q3 - 8:19MIAHaslem Layup (4 PTS) (Wade 5 AST)51
62
Q3 - 8:26MEMHaslem STEAL (1 STL)51
60
Q3 - 8:47MIAWade Reverse Layup (24 PTS) (Williams 6 AST)51
60
Q3 - 8:57MIAWright REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)51
58
Q3 - 8:59MEMMourning BLOCK (3 BLK)51
58
Q3 - 9:20MIAHaslem 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Wright 2 AST)51
58
Q3 - 9:48MEMAl. Johnson Alley Oop Layup (4 PTS) (Gasol 2 AST)51
56
Q3 - 9:58MEMAl. Johnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)49
56
Q3 - 10:00MIAMISS Haslem 20' Jump Shot49
56
Q3 - 10:17MEMJones 14' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Atkins 1 AST)49
56
Q3 - 10:23MEMAtkins REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)47
56
Q3 - 10:25MIAMISS Mourning 14' Jump Shot47
56
Q3 - 10:43MIAWright REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)47
56
Q3 - 10:45MEMMISS Al. Johnson 14' Jump Shot47
56
Q3 - 11:07MIAWade 18' Jump Shot (22 PTS) (Haslem 1 AST)47
56
Q3 - 11:24MEMWade STEAL (3 STL)47
54
Q3 - 11:37MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T9)47
54
Q3 - 11:43MIAWright REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)47
54
Q3 - 11:45MEMWright BLOCK (2 BLK)47
54
Q3 - 12:0047
54
Q2 - 0:00.0MEM47
54
Q2 - 0:00.0MEMGrizzlies Rebound47
54
Q2 - 0:00.0MEMMISS Atkins 40' 3PT Jump Shot47
54
Q2 - 0:01.0MIAWade Dunk (20 PTS)47
54
Q2 - 0:04.0MEMWade STEAL (2 STL)47
52
Q2 - 0:12.0MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)47
52
Q2 - 0:12.0MIAHEAT Rebound47
51
Q2 - 0:12.0MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 247
51
Q2 - 0:12.0MEMAtkins S.FOUL (P1.T4)47
51
Q2 - 0:29.0MEMAtkins Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)47
51
Q2 - 0:29.0MIASUB: Williams FOR Kapono46
51
Q2 - 0:29.0MEMAtkins Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)46
51
Q2 - 0:29.0MEMSUB: Kinsey FOR Jones45
51
Q2 - 0:29.0MIAKapono S.FOUL (P3.PN)45
51
Q2 - 0:44.0MEMTsakalidis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)45
51
Q2 - 0:47.0MEMMISS Atkins 25' 3PT Jump Shot45
51
Q2 - 1:01MIAKapono 25' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)45
51
Q2 - 1:11MEMSUB: Tsakalidis FOR Al. Johnson45
48
Q2 - 1:11MEMAl. Johnson Foul Turnover (P1.T4)45
48
Q2 - 1:11MEMAl. Johnson OFF.Foul (P3)45
48
Q2 - 1:28MIAKapono Layup (8 PTS)45
48
Q2 - 1:46MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)45
46
Q2 - 1:48MEMMISS Miller 26' 3PT Jump Shot45
46
Q2 - 1:56MEMAl. Johnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)45
46
Q2 - 1:59MIAMISS Posey 26' 3PT Jump Shot45
46
Q2 - 2:15MEMJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)45
46
Q2 - 2:15MIASUB: Doleac FOR Mourning44
46
Q2 - 2:15MEMJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)44
46
Q2 - 2:15MIAKapono P.FOUL (P2.PN)43
46
Q2 - 2:16MIAKapono Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T8)43
46
Q2 - 2:20MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)43
46
Q2 - 2:22MEMMourning BLOCK (2 BLK)43
46
Q2 - 2:39MIAWade 20' Jump Shot (17 PTS)43
46
Q2 - 2:49MIAJump Ball Mourning vs. Al. Johnson: Tip to Wright43
44
Q2 - 2:49MEMGrizzlies Timeout: Regular (Reg.2 Short 0)43
44
Q2 - 2:57MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)43
44
Q2 - 3:00MEMMourning BLOCK (1 BLK)43
44
Q2 - 3:10MIAKapono P.FOUL (P1.T4)43
44
Q2 - 3:18MIAWade 19' Fadeaway Jumper (15 PTS)43
44
Q2 - 3:32MEMWarrick Free Throw 1 of 1 (9 PTS)43
42
Q2 - 3:32MIASUB: Posey FOR Haslem42
42
Q2 - 3:32MEMSUB: Jones FOR Gay42
42
Q2 - 3:32MIAHaslem S.FOUL (P3.T3)42
42
Q2 - 3:32MEMWarrick 16' Turnaround Jump Shot (8 PTS)42
42
Q2 - 3:50MIAMourning Dunk (9 PTS) (Wright 1 AST)40
42
Q2 - 3:53MIAWright REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)40
40
Q2 - 3:54MIAMISS Kapono 25' 3PT Jump Shot40
40
Q2 - 4:05MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)40
40
Q2 - 4:08MEMMISS Gay 18' Jump Shot40
40
Q2 - 4:32MEMAtkins REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)40
40
Q2 - 4:34MIAMISS Mourning Free Throw 2 of 240
40
Q2 - 4:34MIAMourning Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)40
40
Q2 - 4:34MEMAl. Johnson S.FOUL (P2.T3)40
39
Q2 - 4:42MEMSUB: Atkins FOR Jones40
39
Q2 - 4:42MEMSUB: Warrick FOR Gasol40
39
Q2 - 4:42MEMJones P.FOUL (P1.T2)40
39
Q2 - 4:42MIASUB: Wade FOR Williams40
39
Q2 - 4:42MEMJones Violation:Kicked Ball40
39
Q2 - 4:48MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)40
39
Q2 - 4:51MEMMISS Al. Johnson 3' Layup40
39
Q2 - 5:05MEMJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)40
39
Q2 - 5:07MIAMISS Haslem 16' Jump Shot40
39
Q2 - 5:20MEMJones 19' Jump Shot (7 PTS)40
39
Q2 - 5:36MEMAl. Johnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)38
39
Q2 - 5:38MIAMISS Mourning Free Throw 2 of 238
39
Q2 - 5:38MIAMourning Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)38
39
Q2 - 5:38MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 2 Short 0)38
38
Q2 - 5:38MEMGasol S.FOUL (P2.T1)38
38
Q2 - 5:41MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)38
38
Q2 - 5:43MEMMISS Gasol 13' Jump Shot38
38
Q2 - 6:02MIAKapono 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Williams 5 AST)38
38
Q2 - 6:15MIAWright REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)38
35
Q2 - 6:17MEMMISS Gay Free Throw 2 of 238
35
Q2 - 6:17MEMSUB: Al. Johnson FOR Jones38
35
Q2 - 6:17MEMGay Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)38
35
Q2 - 6:17MIASUB: Wright FOR Posey37
35
Q2 - 6:17MIAPosey S.FOUL (P2.T2)37
35
Q2 - 6:18MEMGay REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)37
35
Q2 - 6:19MEMMISS Jones 14' Jump Shot37
35
Q2 - 6:24MIAHaslem Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7)37
35
Q2 - 6:42MEMGasol Layup (9 PTS) (Gay 1 AST)37
35
Q2 - 7:05MIAKapono 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Williams 4 AST)35
35
Q2 - 7:11MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)35
32
Q2 - 7:13MEMMISS Jones 19' Jump Shot35
32
Q2 - 7:23MEMMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)35
32
Q2 - 7:25MIAMISS Haslem 19' Jump Shot35
32
Q2 - 7:37MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)35
32
Q2 - 7:39MEMMISS Gasol 8' Jump Shot35
32
Q2 - 8:03MIASUB: Mourning FOR Walker35
32
Q2 - 8:0335
32
Q2 - 8:03MIAWilliams Traveling Turnover (P1.T6)35
32
Q2 - 8:22MEMGasol 22' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Miller 4 AST)35
32
Q2 - 8:29MEMJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)33
32
Q2 - 8:31MIAMISS Kapono 19' Jump Shot33
32
Q2 - 8:45MEMJones Finger Roll (5 PTS) (Miller 3 AST)33
32
Q2 - 8:50MEMGasol REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)31
32
Q2 - 8:53MIAMISS Kapono 19' Jump Shot31
32
Q2 - 9:00MEMSUB: Gasol FOR Warrick31
32
Q2 - 9:00MIASUB: Haslem FOR Doleac31
32
Q2 - 9:00MIASUB: Williams FOR Wade31
32
Q2 - 9:00MIAHEAT Rebound31
32
Q2 - 9:01MIAMISS Doleac 20' Jump Shot31
32
Q2 - 9:08MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)31
32
Q2 - 9:10MEMMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot31
32
Q2 - 9:36MIAWade Reverse Layup (13 PTS)31
32
Q2 - 9:42MIADoleac REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)31
30
Q2 - 9:44MEMMISS Gay 6' Jump Shot31
30
Q2 - 9:55MEMJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)31
30
Q2 - 9:56MIAMISS Walker 6' Jump Shot31
30
Q2 - 10:05MIADoleac REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)31
30
Q2 - 10:08MIAMISS Doleac 9' Jump Shot31
30
Q2 - 10:29MEMWarrick Dunk (6 PTS) (Miller 2 AST)31
30
Q2 - 10:44MIADoleac 5' Hook Shot (2 PTS)29
30
Q2 - 10:58MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)29
28
Q2 - 11:00MEMMISS Gay 18' Jump Shot29
28
Q2 - 11:14MIAPosey P.FOUL (P1.T1)29
28
Q2 - 11:18MIAWade Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T5)29
28
Q2 - 11:36MEMJones 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Jones 2 AST)29
28
Q2 - 11:42MEMSUB: Miller FOR Atkins26
28
Q2 - 12:0026
28
Q1 - 0:00.0MEM26
28
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAWalker 5' Jump Shot (4 PTS)26
28
Q1 - 0:01.0MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)26
26
Q1 - 0:02.0MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 226
26
Q1 - 0:02.0MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)26
26
Q1 - 0:02.0MEMJones P.FOUL (P2.PN)26
25
Q1 - 0:08.0MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)26
25
Q1 - 0:10.0MEMMISS Jones 20' Jump Shot26
25
Q1 - 0:29.0MIAWade Driving Layup (10 PTS)26
25
Q1 - 0:44.0MEMGay Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)26
23
Q1 - 0:44.0MEMGay Free Throw 1 of 2 (2 PTS)25
23
Q1 - 0:44.0MIASUB: Kapono FOR Wright24
23
Q1 - 0:44.0MIAWright P.FOUL (P2.PN)24
23
Q1 - 0:57.0MIAWade Driving Layup (8 PTS)24
23
Q1 - 1:13MEMJones 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Jones 2 AST)24
21
Q1 - 1:30MEMJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
21
Q1 - 1:32MIAMISS Wade 6' Hook Shot22
21
Q1 - 1:45MEMGay Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)22
21
Q1 - 1:45MEMGrizzlies Rebound21
21
Q1 - 1:45MEMMISS Gay Free Throw 1 of 221
21
Q1 - 1:45MEMSUB: Jones FOR Miller21
21
Q1 - 1:45MIAWright S.FOUL (P1.PN)21
21
Q1 - 1:59MIAWalker Layup (2 PTS) (Posey 1 AST)21
21
Q1 - 2:19MEMWade STEAL (1 STL)21
19
Q1 - 2:40MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)21
19
Q1 - 2:40MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)21
18
Q1 - 2:40MIASUB: Doleac FOR Williams21
17
Q1 - 2:40MEMSUB: Gay FOR Al. Johnson21
17
Q1 - 2:40MEMGrizzlies Timeout: Regular (Reg.1 Short 0)21
17
Q1 - 2:40MEMAl. Johnson S.FOUL (P1.T4)21
17
Q1 - 3:01MEMWarrick Dunk (4 PTS) (Al. Johnson 1 AST)21
17
Q1 - 3:09MEMMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)19
17
Q1 - 3:11MIAMISS Wade 20' Jump Shot19
17
Q1 - 3:19MEMMiller 24' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)19
17
Q1 - 3:39MIAWright Finger Roll (8 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)16
17
Q1 - 3:59MEMMiller 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Warrick 1 AST)16
15
Q1 - 4:17MEMMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)13
15
Q1 - 4:20MIAMISS Walker Layup13
15
Q1 - 4:25MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)13
15
Q1 - 4:28MEMMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot13
15
Q1 - 4:35MIASUB: Posey FOR Haslem13
15
Q1 - 4:35MIAHaslem P.FOUL (P2.T4)13
15
Q1 - 4:39MIASUB: Walker FOR Mourning13
15
Q1 - 4:39MEMSUB: Jones FOR Jones13
15
Q1 - 4:39MIAMourning P.FOUL (P2.T3)13
15
Q1 - 4:52MIAWade Driving Layup (4 PTS)13
15
Q1 - 5:08MEMWarrick 14' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)13
13
Q1 - 5:33MEMGrizzlies Rebound11
13
Q1 - 5:36MIAMISS Wade 21' Jump Shot11
13
Q1 - 5:50MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 1 Short 0)11
13
Q1 - 5:50MEMJones Foul Turnover (P1.T2)11
13
Q1 - 5:50MEMJones OFF.Foul (P1)11
13
Q1 - 6:08MIAWright Layup (6 PTS)11
13
Q1 - 6:10MIAWright REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)11
11
Q1 - 6:13MIAMISS Haslem 18' Jump Shot11
11
Q1 - 6:31MEMAl. Johnson 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Miller 1 AST)11
11
Q1 - 6:45MIAMourning Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T4)9
11
Q1 - 7:05MEMWarrick L.B.FOUL (P1.T3)9
11
Q1 - 7:05MIAHEAT Rebound9
11
Q1 - 7:06MEMMISS Atkins 13' Jump Shot9
11
Q1 - 7:20MIAMourning Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)9
11
Q1 - 7:20MEMMiller S.FOUL (P1.T2)9
10
Q1 - 7:20MIAMourning 6' Hook Shot (4 PTS) (Williams 3 AST)9
10
Q1 - 7:23MEMSUB: Warrick FOR Gasol9
8
Q1 - 7:23MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)9
8
Q1 - 7:25MIAMISS Mourning Layup9
8
Q1 - 7:37MIAWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)9
8
Q1 - 7:39MEMWright BLOCK (1 BLK)9
8
Q1 - 8:03MIAMourning Dunk (2 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)9
8
Q1 - 8:19MEMMiller Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)9
6
Q1 - 8:19MEMMiller Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)8
6
Q1 - 8:19MIAHaslem S.FOUL (P1.T2)7
6
Q1 - 8:22MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T3)7
6
Q1 - 8:35MEMGasol Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)7
6
Q1 - 8:35MIAMourning S.FOUL (P1.T1)6
6
Q1 - 8:35MEMGasol 7' Jump Bank Shot (4 PTS)6
6
Q1 - 8:54MIAWright Slam Dunk (4 PTS) (Williams 2 AST)4
6
Q1 - 8:57MIAWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
4
Q1 - 8:59MEMMISS Jones Layup4
4
Q1 - 9:04MIAMourning Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)4
4
Q1 - 9:07MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)4
4
Q1 - 9:10MIAMISS Wade 20' Jump Shot4
4
Q1 - 9:22MEMJones 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Gasol 1 AST)4
4
Q1 - 9:31MIAWright Layup (2 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)2
4
Q1 - 9:37MEMWright STEAL (1 STL)2
2
Q1 - 9:42MEMGasol REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)2
2
Q1 - 9:45MEMMISS Al. Johnson 6' Jump Shot2
2
Q1 - 10:08MIAWade Palming Turnover (P1.T1)2
2
Q1 - 10:22MEMGasol 11' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS)2
2
Q1 - 10:33MEMAl. Johnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)0
2
Q1 - 10:36MEMMISS Jones 15' Jump Shot0
2
Q1 - 10:54MEMAl. Johnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
2
Q1 - 10:56MIAMISS Mourning 17' Jump Shot0
2
Q1 - 11:14MIAWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
2
Q1 - 11:16MEMMISS Gasol 11' Jump Shot0
2
Q1 - 11:45MIAWade Dunk (2 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)0
2
Q1 - 11:51MEMGasol P.FOUL (P1.T1)0
0
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball Mourning vs. Al. Johnson: Tip to Haslem0
0
Q1 - 12:000
0
ClockTeamEventMEMMIA
Score / WinProb
Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

SHOOTING

Live advanced shooting dashboard requires a premium subscription for some games.

Scoring Efficiency

MEM
1.05 52.3%
MIA
1.13 56.3%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MEM
15
25
60%
MIA
24
29
83%
Midrange
MEM
14
33
42%
MIA
11
36
31%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MEM
4
6.0
13
31%
46%
MIA
4
6.0
12
33%
50%
Free Throws
MEM
20
28
71%
MIA
16
21
76%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MEM logo Grizzlies
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
M. Miller2071%10.0 / 14
H. Warrick2063%10.0 / 16
D. Jones1547%7.5 / 16
P. Gasol1169%5.5 / 8
A. Johnson945%4.5 / 10
E. Jones750%3.5 / 7
R. Gay433%2.0 / 6
C. Atkins220%1.0 / 5
J. Tsakalidis2100%1.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Wade4168%20.5 / 30
J. Kapono1372%6.5 / 9
A. Mourning1161%5.5 / 9
D. Wright1063%5.0 / 8
M. Doleac857%4.0 / 7
U. Haslem633%3.0 / 9
J. Posey542%2.5 / 6
A. Walker425%2.0 / 8
J. Williams0-0.0 / 0
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MEM
75
+10
-13
85
MIA
70
+17
-18
87
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MEM
1.05 52.3%
MIA
1.13 56.3%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
106.5
104.2
MEM 102.3
MIA 111.4 +9.1
Pace
94.0
90.1
MEM 95.7 +14.3
MIA 81.4
Avg. Poss. Time
15.1
16.5
MEM 15.0 −2.6
MIA 17.7
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
50.4%
50.6%
MEM 49.3%
MIA 53.2% +3.9%
TO %
16.5%
15.3%
MEM 13.5% −3.8%
MIA 17.3%
ORB %
25.9%
24.9%
MEM 18.4%
MIA 37.8% +19.4%
FTrt
37.4
32.1
MEM 39.4 +12.1
MIA 27.3
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
56.0%
57.6%
MEM 69.7% +18.4%
MIA 51.3%
STL %
7.2%
7.6%
MEM 10.2% +1.1%
MIA 9.1%
BLK %
7.7%
8.8%
MEM 4.6%
MIA 13.8% +9.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
54.1%
52.4%
MEM 52.3%
MIA 56.3% +4.0%
Rim FG%
57.5%
61.8%
MEM 60.0%
MIA 82.8% +22.8%
Mid FG%
41.1%
40.5%
MEM 42.4% +11.8%
MIA 30.6%
3P %
36.7%
34.3%
MEM 30.8%
MIA 33.3% +2.5%
FT %
76.1%
69.0%
MEM 71.4%
MIA 76.2% +4.8%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
38.5%
34.9%
MEM 35.2%
MIA 37.7% +2.5%
Mid Att. %
40.4%
40.7%
MEM 46.5% −0.3%
MIA 46.8%
3P Att. %
21.1%
24.5%
MEM 18.3% +2.7%
MIA 15.6%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.05 and 2.05.
Game TotalsMEMMIA
Possessions8888
Possession Minutes22.125.9
Points9098
Rebounds3045
Assists2320
Steals98
Blocks38
Turnovers (Team)13 (0)18 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)7 (3)14 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)23 (2)31 (1)
Field Goals33-7139-77
At-the-Rim FG15-2524-29
Midrange FG14-3311-36
2-Point FG29-5835-65
3-Point FG4-134-12
Free Throws20-2816-21
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'8" 218 · 27
44.4
20
71%
6
8
0
0
3
2
0
6
3-4
75%
4-8
50%
3-5
60%
G · 6'6" 225 · 26
37.3
15
47%
3
2
1
0
3
5
2
1
3-4
75%
6-14
43%
0-0
-
G · 5'11" 185 · 32
32.1
2
20%
2
3
0
0
1
1
0
2
2-2
100%
0-2
0%
0-2
0%
F · 6'9" 240 · 24
30.0
9
45%
9
3
2
0
1
4
2
7
1-4
25%
4-8
50%
0-0
-
C · 7'0" 250 · 26
16.9
11
69%
2
2
1
2
2
2
1
1
1-1
100%
5-8
63%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 219 · 24
31.1
20
63%
1
1
2
0
1
4
0
1
4-5
80%
8-13
62%
0-1
0%
G-F · 6'6" 200 · 35
26.8
7
50%
4
3
2
1
1
2
0
4
0-0
-
2-2
100%
1-5
20%
F · 6'8" 230 · 20
14.8
4
33%
1
1
1
0
1
1
1
0
4-6
67%
0-3
0%
0-0
-
C · 7'2" 290 · 28
6.0
2
100%
2
0
0
0
0
1
1
1
2-2
100%
0-0
-
0-0
-
G · 6'6" 189 · 23
0.7
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
G · 5'10" 171 · 33
F · 6'8" 240 · 30
#44 · F · 6'9" 240 · 24
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#1 · G · 6'0" 196 · 21
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#4 · F-C · 6'10" 220 · 27
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
90
52%
30
23
9
3
13
0
7
23
20-28
71%
29-58
50%
4-13
31%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.