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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
December 16, 2006
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
22Grizzlies35%9090
16Heat65%9598
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Mike Miller
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 26.8
44.4
36.6
20
68%
6
8
0
1
0
3
0
6
3-4
75%
4-8
3-6
50%
50%
3-5
60%
Dahntay Jones
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 26.0
37.3
28.6
15
48%
3
2
1
1
0
3
2
1
3-4
75%
6-14
3-7
43%
46%
0-0
-
Chucky Atkins
G · 5'11" 185 · 32.3
32.1
29.3
2
20%
2
3
0
1
0
1
0
2
2-2
100%
0-2
3-7
0%
45%
0-2
0%
Alexander Johnson
F · 6'9" 240 · 23.9
30.0
17.0
9
46%
9
3
2
0
0
1
2
7
1-4
25%
4-8
2-4
50%
47%
0-0
-
Pau Gasol
C · 7'0" 250 · 26.4
16.9
24.8
11
65%
2
2
1
0
2
2
1
1
1-1
100%
5-8
5-10
63%
49%
0-0
-
Hakim Warrick
F · 6'9" 219 · 24.4
31.1
28.0
20
62%
1
1
2
1
0
1
0
1
4-5
80%
8-13
5-10
62%
48%
0-1
0%
Eddie Jones
G-F · 6'6" 200 · 35.2
26.8
11.7
7
50%
4
3
2
1
1
1
0
4
0-0
-
2-2
1-2
100%
45%
1-5
20%
Rudy Gay
F · 6'8" 230 · 20.3
14.8
23.5
4
35%
1
1
1
1
0
1
1
0
4-6
67%
0-3
4-8
0%
45%
0-0
-
Jake Tsakalidis
C · 7'2" 290 · 27.5
6.0
8.9
2
114%
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
2-2
100%
0-0
1-2
-
50%
0-0
-
Tarence Kinsey
G · 6'6" 189 · 22.7
0.7
2.7
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
44%
0-0
-
Damon Stoudamire
G · 5'10" 171 · 33.3
27.8
1
3-6
42%
Brian Cardinal
F · 6'8" 240 · 29.6
7.2
0
1-1
43%
Lawrence Roberts
F · 6'9" 240 · 24.2
Kyle Lowry
G · 6'0" 205 · 20.7
Stromile Swift
F-C · 6'10" 220 · 27.1
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dorell Wright
F-G · 6'9" 205 · 21.0
39.8
25.0
10
63%
16
3
1
1
2
1
5
11
0-0
-
5-7
3-6
71%
47%
0-1
0%
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 24.9
39.5
36.5
41
68%
5
7
5
2
1
7
1
4
11-14
79%
15-23
8-17
65%
51%
0-1
0%
Jason Williams
G · 6'1" 180 · 31.1
26.4
15.9
0
0%
1
7
0
0
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
48%
0-0
-
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 26.5
25.6
28.9
6
34%
1
1
1
1
0
1
0
1
2-2
100%
2-8
4-8
25%
52%
0-0
-
Alonzo Mourning
C · 6'10" 261 · 36.9
21.6
23.5
11
60%
6
0
0
0
5
3
2
4
3-5
60%
4-7
4-6
57%
57%
0-0
-
James Posey
F · 6'8" 217 · 29.9
28.6
28.9
5
42%
5
2
0
1
0
0
1
4
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
46%
1-5
20%
Antoine Walker
F · 6'9" 245 · 30.3
22.3
19.5
4
25%
6
0
1
0
0
1
3
3
0-0
-
2-8
2-4
25%
49%
0-0
-
Jason Kapono
F · 6'8" 215 · 25.9
19.8
22.4
13
72%
0
0
0
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
2-4
2-4
50%
44%
3-5
60%
Michael Doleac
C · 6'11" 262 · 29.5
16.3
14.7
8
57%
5
0
0
0
0
1
2
3
0-0
-
4-7
1-3
57%
44%
0-0
-
Gary Payton
G · 6'4" 190 · 38.4
18.9
1
1-3
49%
Robert Hite
G · 6'2" 184 · 22.9
18.3
1
2-5
43%
Earl Barron
F-C · 7'0" 250 · 25.3
3.3
0
1-1
49%
Chris Quinn
G · 6'2" 175 · 23.2
Wayne Simien
F · 6'9" 250 · 23.8
Shaquille O'Neal
C · 7'1" 325 · 34.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.