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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
December 16, 2006
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
3Mavericks70%9590
29Hornets30%8879
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 28.5
40.7
37.9
20
48%
10
5
0
1
0
2
2
8
1-2
50%
8-18
7-14
44%
49%
1-2
50%
Jason Terry
G · 6'2" 185 · 29.3
39.2
34.9
12
36%
7
6
0
1
0
1
1
6
2-2
100%
5-13
4-8
38%
49%
0-3
0%
Josh Howard
F-G · 6'7" 210 · 26.6
38.7
36.3
23
69%
8
2
1
1
3
2
3
5
6-6
100%
4-9
5-11
44%
47%
3-5
60%
Devin Harris
G · 6'3" 185 · 23.8
31.9
26.5
13
57%
3
4
1
1
0
3
1
2
1-1
100%
6-11
3-7
55%
49%
0-0
-
Erick Dampier
C · 6'11" 265 · 31.4
28.0
26.6
8
57%
9
1
0
0
0
1
1
8
0-0
-
4-7
3-5
57%
54%
0-0
-
DeSagana Diop
C · 7'0" 280 · 24.9
19.7
15.5
2
25%
7
0
0
0
1
0
2
5
0-0
-
1-4
1-2
25%
45%
0-0
-
Jerry Stackhouse
F · 6'6" 218 · 32.1
18.0
20.7
3
21%
3
1
1
1
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
0-4
3-6
0%
43%
1-3
33%
Devean George
F · 6'8" 235 · 29.3
15.2
21.8
5
50%
3
0
0
1
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
41%
1-3
33%
Greg Buckner
G · 6'4" 210 · 30.2
8.4
21.9
4
67%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
2-3
1-3
67%
51%
0-0
-
Maurice Ager
F-G · 6'5" 202 · 22.9
0.3
3.4
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
44%
0-0
-
Austin Croshere
F · 6'10" 240 · 31.6
3.2
0
0-0
43%
DJ Mbenga
C · 7'0" 255 · 26.0
2.9
0
0-1
49%
Anthony Johnson
G · 6'3" 195 · 32.2
Pops Mensah-Bonsu
F · 6'9" 235 · 23.3
J.J. Barea
G · 6'0" 185 · 22.5
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Chris Paul
G · 6'0" 175 · 21.6
48.0
37.2
30
62%
12
8
0
2
0
2
0
12
1-3
33%
13-22
6-12
59%
49%
1-1
100%
Desmond Mason
G · 6'5" 222 · 29.2
40.3
33.9
6
31%
3
3
1
1
0
1
0
3
2-4
50%
2-8
5-10
25%
44%
0-0
-
Rasual Butler
F · 6'7" 215 · 27.6
39.5
30.2
19
43%
4
0
3
1
2
0
1
3
2-2
100%
7-18
3-6
39%
43%
1-3
33%
Tyson Chandler
C · 7'1" 240 · 24.2
32.8
19.8
4
82%
6
0
0
0
1
1
0
6
0-1
0%
2-2
1-2
100%
55%
0-0
-
Cedric Simmons
F · 6'9" 235 · 20.9
17.1
18.3
2
17%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-6
2-5
17%
47%
0-0
-
Jannero Pargo
G · 6'1" 185 · 27.2
29.5
31.5
5
25%
5
3
1
1
0
1
1
4
0-0
-
1-4
4-9
25%
41%
1-6
17%
Marc Jackson
F · 6'10" 253 · 31.9
18.4
21.3
13
57%
5
1
0
0
1
1
3
2
3-3
100%
5-10
4-8
50%
45%
0-0
-
Linton Johnson
F · 6'8" 205 · 26.5
14.3
13.1
0
0%
4
1
1
0
0
1
0
4
0-0
-
0-3
1-3
0%
45%
0-0
-
Hilton Armstrong
F-C · 6'11" 235 · 22.1
18.1
0
2-5
50%
Brandon Bass
F · 6'8" 250 · 21.6
7.1
0
1-2
46%
Bobby Jackson
G · 6'1" 185 · 33.8
5.6
0
1-2
45%
Marcus Vinicius
F · 6'8" 225 · 22.5
5.2
0
0-1
45%
Peja Stojakovic
F · 6'10" 229 · 29.5
David West
F · 6'9" 250 · 26.3
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.