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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
December 17, 2006
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
5Jazz55%99104
18Pacers45%9794
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Mehmet Okur
C · 6'11" 260 · 27.6
36.3
29.8
17
72%
7
1
0
1
0
1
3
4
2-2
100%
3-7
3-7
43%
49%
3-4
75%
Carlos Boozer
F · 6'9" 258 · 25.1
35.8
39.0
18
51%
11
3
1
1
1
4
5
6
4-6
67%
7-15
9-17
47%
54%
0-0
-
Derek Fisher
G · 6'1" 210 · 32.4
30.8
29.3
15
48%
3
3
1
1
0
2
1
2
3-4
75%
6-12
3-6
50%
43%
0-2
0%
Andrei Kirilenko
F · 6'9" 235 · 25.8
30.1
33.6
7
52%
6
6
0
1
6
3
1
5
3-4
75%
2-4
3-6
50%
50%
0-1
0%
Deron Williams
G · 6'3" 200 · 22.5
26.7
36.7
17
88%
3
5
1
1
0
5
1
2
5-6
83%
3-4
5-10
75%
48%
2-3
67%
Matt Harpring
F · 6'7" 230 · 30.5
21.8
20.8
12
56%
3
0
0
1
0
1
1
2
2-4
50%
5-9
3-6
56%
49%
0-0
-
Dee Brown
G · 6'0" 185 · 22.3
21.3
6.7
6
35%
2
2
2
0
0
1
0
2
4-6
67%
1-5
1-1
20%
42%
0-1
0%
Paul Millsap
F · 6'8" 246 · 21.8
16.1
11.4
8
68%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
2-2
100%
3-5
2-3
60%
50%
0-0
-
Gordan Giricek
G · 6'6" 220 · 29.5
11.9
10.8
2
20%
4
0
0
0
0
2
1
3
0-0
-
1-4
1-3
25%
46%
0-1
0%
Jarron Collins
C · 6'11" 249 · 28.0
9.2
14.4
2
29%
0
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-1
0%
1-3
1-3
33%
47%
0-0
-
Ronnie Brewer
F · 6'7" 235 · 21.7
4.1
0
1-1
49%
Rafael Araujo
C · 6'11" 270 · 26.3
1.4
0
0-0
41%
CJ Miles
G · 6'6" 220 · 19.8
Roger Powell
F · 6'6" 220 · 23.9
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jermaine O'Neal
C-F · 6'11" 255 · 28.2
41.1
32.4
31
63%
9
4
0
1
3
2
3
6
11-13
85%
10-19
6-13
53%
47%
0-0
-
Stephen Jackson
G-F · 6'8" 220 · 28.7
41.0
29.3
16
57%
7
4
1
1
0
2
2
5
8-9
89%
1-5
3-7
20%
45%
2-5
40%
Jamaal Tinsley
G · 6'3" 188 · 28.8
29.3
30.4
9
23%
4
4
3
2
0
3
1
3
3-4
75%
3-15
4-9
20%
45%
0-3
0%
Al Harrington
F · 6'9" 245 · 26.8
23.5
27.9
0
0%
6
0
0
1
0
3
0
6
0-0
-
0-2
4-9
0%
48%
0-1
0%
Jeff Foster
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 29.9
18.4
29.3
3
32%
6
0
0
1
0
1
5
1
3-4
75%
0-3
3-5
0%
52%
0-0
-
Danny Granger
F-G · 6'9" 222 · 23.7
30.6
29.2
12
79%
2
1
3
1
2
1
2
0
5-6
83%
2-2
3-5
100%
51%
1-3
33%
Darrell Armstrong
G · 6'1" 180 · 38.5
24.5
10.7
10
46%
3
2
2
1
0
1
0
3
1-2
50%
3-4
1-1
75%
44%
1-6
17%
Sarunas Jasikevicius
· 6'4" 197 · 30.8
21.3
20.3
12
102%
2
3
2
0
0
4
1
1
2-2
100%
2-2
2-4
100%
43%
2-3
67%
Marquis Daniels
F · 6'6" 200 · 25.9
7.5
8.9
1
27%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1-2
50%
0-1
1-2
0%
47%
0-0
-
Josh Powell
F · 6'9" 240 · 23.9
2.8
6.3
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
45%
0-0
-
Orien Greene
G · 6'4" 208 · 24.9
0.2
4.4
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
43%
0-0
-
Shawne Williams
F · 6'10" 230 · 20.8
10.9
0
1-3
49%
Rawle Marshall
G-F · 6'7" 190 · 24.8
Maceo Baston
F · 6'10" 230 · 30.6
David Harrison
C · 7'0" 280 · 24.3
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.