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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
December 17, 2006
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
25SuperSonics34%9393
13Pistons66%9897
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Chris Wilcox
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 24.3
43.8
28.1
21
69%
5
0
2
1
1
2
1
4
1-3
33%
10-14
4-8
71%
54%
0-0
-
Rashard Lewis
F · 6'10" 235 · 27.4
42.6
32.8
25
67%
11
5
0
1
0
1
2
9
6-6
100%
5-10
4-8
50%
51%
3-6
50%
Luke Ridnour
G · 6'2" 175 · 25.8
33.6
30.7
15
66%
5
5
1
1
0
3
2
3
3-3
100%
6-10
4-9
60%
46%
0-0
-
Damien Wilkins
· 6'6" 225 · 26.9
27.8
34.4
13
57%
2
2
2
2
1
3
1
1
3-3
100%
5-10
4-9
50%
47%
0-0
-
Nick Collison
F · 6'10" 255 · 26.1
17.1
24.9
4
40%
2
0
0
0
1
1
1
1
0-0
-
2-5
4-7
40%
49%
0-0
-
Johan Petro
C · 7'0" 247 · 20.9
24.4
21.8
2
33%
3
1
1
1
1
0
0
3
0-0
-
1-3
3-6
33%
52%
0-0
-
Mickael Gelabale
F · 6'7" 215 · 23.6
21.0
24.6
6
61%
2
1
0
1
1
1
0
2
2-2
100%
2-3
2-4
67%
47%
0-1
0%
Earl Watson
G · 6'1" 199 · 27.5
19.1
18.6
6
33%
1
4
0
1
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
3-7
2-4
43%
44%
0-2
0%
Andreas Glyniadakis
C · 7'1" 280 · 25.3
10.6
4.8
1
13%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
1-2
50%
0-3
0-1
0%
50%
0-0
-
Mike Wilks
G · 5'10" 180 · 27.6
7.7
0
1-2
40%
Desmon Farmer
G · 6'5" 220 · 25.2
4.1
0
0-1
44%
Mouhamed Sene
C · 6'11" 230 · 20.6
1.5
0
0-0
48%
Danny Fortson
C-F · 6'8" 260 · 30.7
Ray Allen
G · 6'5" 205 · 31.4
Robert Swift
C · 7'1" 270 · 21.0
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Chauncey Billups
G · 6'3" 210 · 30.2
36.8
35.8
21
59%
3
8
2
1
1
3
0
3
4-4
100%
4-11
3-7
36%
46%
3-5
60%
Tayshaun Prince
F · 6'9" 212 · 26.8
36.1
35.2
11
37%
8
0
0
1
0
1
2
6
0-0
-
4-12
5-10
33%
49%
1-3
33%
Richard Hamilton
G · 6'7" 193 · 28.8
35.5
36.9
24
55%
3
5
0
1
1
2
2
1
6-6
100%
9-19
7-14
47%
48%
0-0
-
Nazr Mohammed
C · 6'10" 250 · 29.3
22.1
15.9
9
65%
8
0
2
0
0
1
4
4
1-2
50%
4-6
2-4
67%
51%
0-0
-
Antonio McDyess
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 32.3
19.1
24.5
0
0%
3
0
0
1
1
1
1
2
0-0
-
0-5
3-7
0%
50%
0-0
-
Jason Maxiell
F · 6'7" 260 · 23.8
32.2
15.3
17
57%
12
2
2
0
0
2
8
4
7-11
64%
5-10
2-5
50%
50%
0-0
-
Dale Davis
C-F · 6'11" 252 · 37.7
22.5
18.9
6
32%
13
0
0
0
1
0
8
5
0-1
0%
3-9
1-3
33%
47%
0-0
-
Flip Murray
G · 6'3" 200 · 27.4
12.2
17.8
7
44%
3
0
0
1
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
2-7
2-4
29%
45%
1-1
100%
Carlos Delfino
G-F · 6'6" 230 · 24.3
12.0
15.1
2
33%
1
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
1-2
33%
45%
0-0
-
Will Blalock
G · 6'0" 205 · 23.3
11.6
8.8
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
45%
0-2
0%
Amir Johnson
C-F · 6'9" 240 · 19.6
3.1
0
0-1
53%
Ronald Dupree
F · 6'7" 209 · 25.9
1.0
0
0-0
48%
Lindsey Hunter
G · 6'2" 195 · 36.0
Rasheed Wallace
F-C · 6'11" 230 · 32.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.