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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
December 17, 2006
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
11Wizards33%100147
7Lakers67%106141
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Gilbert Arenas
G · 6'4" 215 · 24.9
49.0
38.5
60
68%
8
8
2
2
0
3
0
8
21-27
78%
12-20
6-13
60%
47%
5-12
42%
Caron Butler
F · 6'7" 228 · 26.8
45.8
39.5
27
66%
2
5
2
2
0
3
0
2
13-15
87%
7-14
6-14
50%
47%
0-0
-
Antawn Jamison
F · 6'9" 235 · 30.5
43.0
37.9
25
63%
13
2
1
1
0
1
2
11
4-4
100%
3-10
5-10
30%
47%
5-8
63%
Brendan Haywood
C · 7'0" 263 · 27.1
36.8
27.0
4
58%
12
2
0
1
2
0
3
9
0-1
0%
2-3
3-5
67%
52%
0-0
-
DeShawn Stevenson
F-G · 6'5" 218 · 25.7
29.4
32.6
15
68%
3
0
0
1
0
2
2
1
5-9
56%
5-7
4-8
71%
46%
0-0
-
Antonio Daniels
G · 6'4" 205 · 31.7
25.8
15.8
7
93%
2
7
0
0
0
0
0
2
4-4
100%
0-1
1-3
0%
47%
1-1
100%
Jarvis Hayes
F · 6'8" 228 · 25.4
16.0
18.0
4
50%
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-4
2-4
50%
41%
0-0
-
James Lang
C · 6'10" 305 · 23.2
10.4
3.3
2
25%
3
0
0
0
0
0
2
1
0-0
-
1-4
0-1
25%
48%
0-0
-
Roger Mason Jr.
G · 6'5" 205 · 26.3
4.0
3.3
3
50%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
0-1
0%
40%
1-1
100%
Andray Blatche
C-F · 6'11" 260 · 20.3
2.5
4.7
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
47%
0-0
-
Calvin Booth
C · 6'11" 230 · 30.6
2.4
5.6
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
43%
0-0
-
Donell Taylor
G · 6'5" 193 · 24.4
5.1
0
1-1
43%
Darius Songaila
F · 6'9" 248 · 28.8
Michael Ruffin
F-C · 6'8" 248 · 29.9
Etan Thomas
C · 6'10" 260 · 28.7
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kobe Bryant
F-G · 6'6" 212 · 28.3
46.8
39.9
45
79%
8
10
1
2
1
4
2
6
8-10
80%
8-13
8-16
62%
51%
7-11
64%
Luke Walton
F · 6'8" 235 · 26.7
42.6
36.5
15
55%
8
11
2
1
0
3
1
7
4-4
100%
4-9
4-8
44%
50%
1-3
33%
Vladimir Radmanovic
F · 6'10" 235 · 26.1
38.5
13.3
27
84%
3
0
1
0
2
0
0
3
0-0
-
6-7
1-3
86%
47%
5-9
56%
Smush Parker
G · 6'4" 190 · 25.5
25.9
29.9
9
31%
2
3
0
1
0
3
1
1
1-1
100%
4-9
3-5
44%
51%
0-5
0%
Kwame Brown
C · 6'11" 290 · 24.8
25.2
30.1
3
39%
6
5
1
1
0
1
2
4
1-2
50%
1-3
4-7
33%
52%
0-0
-
Andrew Bynum
C · 7'0" 285 · 19.1
21.7
13.7
14
71%
5
0
0
0
1
1
2
3
8-11
73%
3-5
2-3
60%
54%
0-0
-
Jordan Farmar
G · 6'2" 180 · 20.0
18.9
17.4
13
72%
2
4
0
1
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
2-3
1-3
67%
53%
3-6
50%
Maurice Evans
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 28.1
17.4
16.5
4
34%
1
3
0
0
1
0
0
1
2-2
100%
1-2
2-4
50%
50%
0-3
0%
Sasha Vujacic
G · 6'7" 195 · 22.8
13.6
5.0
6
43%
3
0
0
0
0
0
2
1
0-0
-
0-2
0-1
0%
39%
2-5
40%
Brian Cook
C-F · 6'9" 250 · 26.0
11.1
18.8
5
50%
6
0
1
1
1
1
1
5
0-0
-
1-3
3-6
33%
51%
1-2
50%
Ronny Turiaf
C · 6'10" 249 · 23.9
3.2
8.2
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
55%
0-0
-
Shammond Williams
G · 6'1" 201 · 31.7
1.5
0
0-0
42%
Chris Mihm
C · 7'0" 265 · 27.4
Aaron McKie
G · 6'5" 209 · 34.2
Lamar Odom
F · 6'10" 230 · 27.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.