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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
December 18, 2006
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
6Jazz60%10296
26Knicks40%9897
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Deron Williams
G · 6'3" 200 · 22.5
43.5
32.2
23
57%
7
4
3
1
0
0
1
6
2-3
67%
6-13
4-9
46%
49%
3-6
50%
Carlos Boozer
F · 6'9" 258 · 25.1
42.4
37.2
23
51%
10
1
1
1
0
7
5
5
5-6
83%
9-20
9-16
45%
54%
0-0
-
Mehmet Okur
C · 6'11" 260 · 27.6
40.9
32.3
19
42%
9
4
0
1
0
1
3
6
1-4
25%
3-14
4-8
21%
49%
4-7
57%
Andrei Kirilenko
F · 6'9" 235 · 25.8
39.8
32.1
9
60%
11
6
1
1
4
3
4
7
7-8
88%
1-1
3-5
100%
51%
0-3
0%
Derek Fisher
G · 6'1" 210 · 32.4
30.0
29.5
10
49%
2
0
1
1
0
1
0
2
4-5
80%
3-7
3-7
43%
43%
0-1
0%
Matt Harpring
F · 6'7" 230 · 30.5
24.7
21.4
3
26%
4
1
0
1
0
1
0
4
1-2
50%
1-5
3-7
20%
50%
0-0
-
Paul Millsap
F · 6'8" 246 · 21.9
12.6
13.6
4
50%
5
0
0
0
0
3
2
3
0-0
-
2-4
2-4
50%
52%
0-0
-
Jarron Collins
C · 6'11" 249 · 28.0
12.1
12.4
2
114%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
0-0
1-2
-
48%
0-0
-
Gordan Giricek
G · 6'6" 220 · 29.5
9.5
11.7
3
20%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
1-1
100%
1-6
2-4
17%
46%
0-1
0%
Dee Brown
G · 6'0" 185 · 22.3
9.5
13.1
0
0%
1
1
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
43%
0-1
0%
Ronnie Brewer
F · 6'7" 235 · 21.7
3.5
0
0-1
51%
Rafael Araujo
C · 6'11" 270 · 26.3
1.5
0
0-0
43%
CJ Miles
G · 6'6" 220 · 19.8
Roger Powell
F · 6'6" 220 · 23.9
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
David Lee
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 23.6
45.8
31.6
17
66%
20
3
2
1
0
2
7
13
1-2
50%
8-12
5-8
67%
60%
0-0
-
Stephon Marbury
G · 6'2" 205 · 29.8
45.1
32.2
29
56%
5
8
1
1
0
4
1
4
9-13
69%
7-14
4-8
50%
48%
2-6
33%
Channing Frye
F · 6'11" 255 · 23.6
44.0
23.0
10
29%
10
1
0
0
2
1
5
5
0-0
-
5-17
4-9
29%
47%
0-0
-
Jamal Crawford
G · 6'5" 185 · 26.7
44.0
32.2
18
32%
2
4
3
1
1
4
0
2
4-4
100%
4-14
4-8
29%
45%
2-12
17%
Eddy Curry
C · 7'0" 295 · 24.0
22.1
30.0
8
50%
3
0
1
0
0
4
1
2
0-0
-
4-8
6-12
50%
55%
0-0
-
Renaldo Balkman
F · 6'8" 225 · 22.4
31.1
10.1
7
41%
15
0
1
0
2
2
6
9
3-6
50%
2-6
1-2
33%
48%
0-0
-
Kelvin Cato
C · 6'11" 275 · 32.3
16.5
3.1
2
33%
4
0
1
0
4
1
2
2
0-0
-
1-3
0-1
33%
49%
0-0
-
Malik Rose
F · 6'7" 255 · 32.1
16.4
7.9
6
104%
4
1
1
0
0
2
1
3
2-2
100%
2-2
1-2
100%
42%
0-0
-
Jared Jeffries
F · 6'11" 240 · 25.1
30.9
1
3-6
47%
Nate Robinson
G · 5'9" 180 · 22.5
24.1
1
3-6
46%
Mardy Collins
G · 6'6" 220 · 22.4
6.2
0
1-2
46%
Jerome James
C · 7'1" 285 · 31.1
4.4
0
1-1
49%
Steve Francis
G · 6'3" 210 · 29.8
Quentin Richardson
F · 6'6" 228 · 26.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.