FinalWin Prob.pScore
2930%87
99
1470%93
101
ORTG#PossPace
NOK
113.88793.9
MIA logo MIA
116.18781.1

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatHornetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatHornetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventNOKMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0NOK99
0%
101
100%
Q4 - 0:00.0NOKHornets Rebound99
3.5%
101
96.5%
Q4 - 0:00.0NOKMISS Pargo 31' 3PT Jump Shot99
0.7%
101
99.3%
Q4 - 0:01.0MIAWade 18' Jump Bank Shot (29 PTS)99
3.5%
101
96.5%
Q4 - 0:18.0NOKPaul Driving Layup (26 PTS)99
27.1%
99
72.9%
Q4 - 0:25.0MIAPosey Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)97
15.8%
99
84.2%
Q4 - 0:25.0MIAMISS Posey Free Throw 1 of 297
17.8%
98
82.2%
Q4 - 0:27.0MIAKapono REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)97
13.6%
98
86.4%
Q4 - 0:29.0NOKMourning BLOCK (7 BLK)97
18.0%
98
82.0%
Q4 - 0:50.0MIAMourning Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)97
32.4%
98
67.6%
Q4 - 0:50.0MIAMISS Mourning Free Throw 1 of 297
37.6%
97
62.4%
Q4 - 0:50.0MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)97
30.9%
97
69.1%
Q4 - 0:52.0NOKMISS Butler 24' 3PT Jump Shot97
35.7%
97
64.3%
Q4 - 0:58.0MIAWade Lost Ball Turnover (P5.T13)97
47.0%
97
53.0%
Q4 - 1:13NOKHornets Turnover: Shot Clock (T#18)97
29.7%
97
70.3%
Q4 - 1:13NOKHornets Rebound97
44.9%
97
55.1%
Q4 - 1:14NOKMISS Paul 19' Jump Shot97
34.0%
97
66.0%
Q4 - 1:41MIAWade Driving Layup (27 PTS)97
42.6%
97
57.4%
Q4 - 1:54NOKHornets Turnover: Shot Clock (T#17)97
53.5%
95
46.5%
Q4 - 1:54NOKHornets Rebound97
65.9%
95
34.1%
Q4 - 1:55NOKMISS Pargo 17' Turnaround Jump Shot97
57.4%
95
42.6%
Q4 - 2:21MIAKapono 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Wade 9 AST)97
66.4%
95
33.6%
Q4 - 2:29MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)97
79.9%
92
20.1%
Q4 - 2:31NOKMISS Paul 19' Jump Shot97
83.2%
92
16.8%
Q4 - 2:52NOKPargo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)97
86.1%
92
13.9%
Q4 - 2:54MIAMISS Wade 25' 3PT Jump Shot97
83.9%
92
16.1%
Q4 - 3:05MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)97
77.6%
92
22.4%
Q4 - 3:07MIAMISS Kapono 26' 3PT Jump Shot97
84.1%
92
15.9%
Q4 - 3:21NOKPaul Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T16)97
77.4%
92
22.6%
Q4 - 3:42NOKPaul REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)97
80.3%
92
19.7%
Q4 - 3:44MIAMISS Wade 18' Jump Shot97
78.5%
92
21.5%
Q4 - 3:57NOKHornets Turnover: Shot Clock (T#15)97
74.0%
92
26.0%
Q4 - 3:57NOKHornets Rebound97
80.8%
92
19.2%
Q4 - 3:58NOKMourning BLOCK (6 BLK)97
76.3%
92
23.7%
Q4 - 4:20NOKChandler REBOUND (Off:6 Def:2)97
81.2%
92
18.8%
Q4 - 4:22NOKMISS Butler 26' 3PT Jump Shot97
76.7%
92
23.3%
Q4 - 4:44MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 1 (25 PTS)97
81.5%
92
18.5%
Q4 - 4:44MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)97
90.1%
89
9.9%
Q4 - 4:47MIAMISS Kapono 21' Jump Shot97
92.3%
89
7.7%
Q4 - 5:00NOKPaul Foul Turnover (P3.T14)97
90.2%
89
9.8%
Q4 - 5:17NOKButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)97
89.7%
89
10.3%
Q4 - 5:19MIAMISS Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot97
88.7%
89
11.3%
Q4 - 5:26MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)97
86.2%
89
13.8%
Q4 - 5:28NOKMISS Mason Layup97
87.4%
89
12.6%
Q4 - 5:43NOKChandler REBOUND (Off:5 Def:2)97
89.9%
89
10.1%
Q4 - 5:45MIAMISS Mourning Free Throw 2 of 297
89.5%
89
10.5%
Q4 - 5:45MIAMourning Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)97
87.7%
89
12.3%
Q4 - 6:02NOKButler 3PT Jump Shot (21 PTS) (Paul 8 AST)97
86.0%
88
14.0%
Q4 - 6:08NOKPaul REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)94
78.0%
88
22.0%
Q4 - 6:10MIAMISS Kapono 25' 3PT Jump Shot94
76.1%
88
23.9%
Q4 - 6:24NOKChandler Foul Turnover (P2.T13)94
71.6%
88
28.4%
Q4 - 6:42MIAPosey 24' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Williams 5 AST)94
78.3%
88
21.7%
Q4 - 6:56MIAHEAT Rebound94
86.4%
85
13.6%
Q4 - 6:57MIAMISS Wade 8' Jump Shot94
89.0%
85
11.0%
Q4 - 7:08NOKButler Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P4.T12)94
83.0%
85
17.0%
Q4 - 7:38MIAWade Driving Layup (22 PTS)94
87.1%
85
12.9%
Q4 - 8:05NOKJohnson 20' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Paul 7 AST)94
87.3%
83
12.7%
Q4 - 8:28NOKJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)92
84.4%
83
15.6%
Q4 - 8:30MIAMISS Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot92
83.3%
83
16.7%
Q4 - 8:50NOKButler 25' 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Paul 6 AST)92
80.7%
83
19.3%
Q4 - 9:11MIAHaslem Traveling Turnover (P4.T12)89
69.0%
83
31.0%
Q4 - 9:34NOKPargo 16' Jump Shot (14 PTS)89
63.5%
83
36.5%
Q4 - 9:39NOKPargo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)87
58.0%
83
42.0%
Q4 - 9:41MIAMISS Wade 25' 3PT Jump Shot87
56.2%
83
43.8%
Q4 - 9:47MIAWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)87
51.8%
83
48.2%
Q4 - 9:49NOKMISS Butler 24' 3PT Jump Shot87
53.8%
83
46.2%
Q4 - 10:08MIAWade 17' Jump Shot (20 PTS)87
56.3%
83
43.7%
Q4 - 10:25NOKPargo 24' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS)87
61.4%
81
38.6%
Q4 - 10:47MIAWade 17' Jump Shot (18 PTS)84
50.8%
81
49.2%
Q4 - 11:11NOKPaul 12' Jump Shot (24 PTS)84
55.0%
79
45.0%
Q4 - 11:18MIAWilliams Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T11)82
49.8%
79
50.2%
Q4 - 11:25MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)82
44.2%
79
55.8%
Q4 - 11:26NOKMISS Butler 25' 3PT Jump Shot82
45.9%
79
54.1%
Q4 - 11:34NOKJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)82
49.8%
79
50.2%
Q4 - 11:36MIAMISS Payton 24' 3PT Jump Shot82
48.1%
79
51.9%
Q3 - 0:00.0NOK82
44.2%
79
55.8%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAWilliams 19' Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Wade 8 AST)82
49.9%
79
50.1%
Q3 - 0:05.0NOKPaul Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS)82
53.4%
77
46.6%
Q3 - 0:05.0NOKMISS Paul Free Throw 1 of 281
52.7%
77
47.3%
Q3 - 0:12.0MIAPosey Layup (11 PTS)81
53.4%
77
46.6%
Q3 - 0:14.0MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)81
58.5%
75
41.5%
Q3 - 0:15.0MIAMISS Haslem 3' Jump Shot81
61.9%
75
38.1%
Q3 - 0:29.0MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)81
58.6%
75
41.4%
Q3 - 0:31.0MIAMISS Wade Finger Roll81
62.0%
75
38.0%
Q3 - 0:36.0NOKWade STEAL (4 STL)81
58.6%
75
41.4%
Q3 - 0:49.0NOKPargo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)81
63.5%
75
36.5%
Q3 - 0:51.0MIAMISS Posey 25' 3PT Jump Shot81
62.1%
75
37.9%
Q3 - 1:04MIAPayton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)81
56.5%
75
43.5%
Q3 - 1:05NOKMISS Paul Free Throw 2 of 281
57.2%
75
42.8%
Q3 - 1:05NOKPaul Free Throw 1 of 2 (21 PTS)81
60.5%
75
39.5%
Q3 - 1:19MIAPosey Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T10)80
56.7%
75
43.3%
Q3 - 1:40NOKJohnson 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Paul 5 AST)80
51.8%
75
48.2%
Q3 - 1:55NOKHornets Rebound78
47.1%
75
52.9%
Q3 - 1:56MIAMISS Wade 19' Jump Shot78
45.5%
75
54.5%
Q3 - 2:12NOKMason Free Throw 1 of 1 (10 PTS)78
40.6%
75
59.4%
Q3 - 2:32MIAPosey 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Doleac 1 AST)75
32.4%
75
67.6%
Q3 - 2:47MIAPayton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)75
40.7%
72
59.3%
Q3 - 2:49NOKMISS Pargo 16' Jump Shot75
42.2%
72
57.8%
Q3 - 3:04MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T9)75
44.9%
72
55.1%
Q3 - 3:25NOKPaul Free Throw 1 of 1 (20 PTS)75
40.3%
72
59.7%
Q3 - 3:43MIAHaslem 16' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Williams 4 AST)72
32.3%
72
67.7%
Q3 - 3:57MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)72
36.0%
70
64.0%
Q3 - 3:59MIAMISS Williams 26' 3PT Jump Shot72
39.2%
70
60.8%
Q3 - 4:07MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)72
35.0%
70
65.0%
Q3 - 4:09MIAMISS Wade 19' Jump Shot72
38.2%
70
61.8%
Q3 - 4:22NOKPaul Palming Turnover (P2.T10)72
35.1%
70
64.9%
Q3 - 4:28MIAWade 19' Jump Shot (16 PTS)72
39.7%
70
60.3%
Q3 - 4:46NOKChandler Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)72
43.4%
68
56.6%
Q3 - 4:46NOKChandler Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)71
41.8%
68
58.2%
Q3 - 4:54MIAHaslem Layup (14 PTS) (Wade 7 AST)70
39.8%
68
60.2%
Q3 - 5:19NOKPargo 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Paul 4 AST)70
42.8%
66
57.2%
Q3 - 5:33MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T8)67
35.2%
66
64.8%
Q3 - 5:37MIAWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)67
31.2%
66
68.8%
Q3 - 5:39NOKMISS Butler 24' 3PT Jump Shot67
32.4%
66
67.6%
Q3 - 6:01MIAWilliams Layup (13 PTS) (Wright 3 AST)67
34.5%
66
65.5%
Q3 - 6:06NOKWade STEAL (3 STL)67
37.9%
64
62.1%
Q3 - 6:29MIAWade 18' Jump Shot (14 PTS)67
42.1%
64
57.9%
Q3 - 6:35MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)67
45.8%
62
54.2%
Q3 - 6:37NOKMourning BLOCK (5 BLK)67
47.1%
62
52.9%
Q3 - 6:57NOKHornets Rebound67
50.1%
62
49.9%
Q3 - 6:57MIAMISS Wright 3PT Jump Shot67
48.8%
62
51.2%
Q3 - 7:06MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)67
44.6%
62
55.4%
Q3 - 7:08NOKHaslem BLOCK (1 BLK)67
46.0%
62
54.0%
Q3 - 7:30NOKHornets Rebound67
49.1%
62
50.9%
Q3 - 7:33NOKMISS Butler 17' Jump Shot67
46.0%
62
54.0%
Q3 - 7:46MIAWilliams 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Wade 6 AST)67
49.1%
62
50.9%
Q3 - 8:01NOKMason Foul Turnover (P1.T8)67
55.4%
59
44.6%
Q3 - 8:11NOKMason REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)67
59.6%
59
40.4%
Q3 - 8:12NOKMISS Paul Layup67
56.7%
59
43.3%
Q3 - 8:22MIAMourning Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)67
59.6%
59
40.4%
Q3 - 8:22MIAMISS Mourning Free Throw 1 of 267
60.9%
58
39.1%
Q3 - 8:26MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)67
59.1%
58
40.9%
Q3 - 8:28MIAMISS Mourning 8' Hook Shot67
62.0%
58
38.0%
Q3 - 8:43NOKArmstrong Dunk (2 PTS) (Paul 3 AST)67
59.1%
58
40.9%
Q3 - 8:53NOKButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)65
56.0%
58
44.0%
Q3 - 8:55MIAMISS Wade 16' Fadeaway Jumper65
54.7%
58
45.3%
Q3 - 9:09NOKButler Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7)65
50.3%
58
49.7%
Q3 - 9:33MIAWade 19' Jump Shot (12 PTS)65
54.2%
58
45.8%
Q3 - 9:51NOKPaul Traveling Turnover (P1.T6)65
57.7%
56
42.3%
Q3 - 9:52NOKButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)65
61.4%
56
38.6%
Q3 - 9:54MIAMISS Haslem 8' Jump Shot65
60.3%
56
39.7%
Q3 - 10:18NOKArmstrong Traveling Turnover (P2.T5)65
56.0%
56
44.0%
Q3 - 10:32NOKHornets Rebound65
59.9%
56
40.1%
Q3 - 10:33MIAMISS Wade Layup65
58.7%
56
41.3%
Q3 - 10:55NOKChandler 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T4)65
56.1%
56
43.9%
Q3 - 11:17MIAWright 18' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Williams 3 AST)65
58.3%
56
41.7%
Q3 - 11:40NOKButler 22' Jump Shot (15 PTS)65
61.5%
54
38.5%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA63
58.4%
54
41.6%
Q2 - 0:00.0NOKPaul 26' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS)63
54.9%
54
45.1%
Q2 - 0:01.0NOKChandler REBOUND (Off:5 Def:1)60
46.5%
54
53.5%
Q2 - 0:02.0NOKMISS Mason Free Throw 2 of 260
44.6%
54
55.4%
Q2 - 0:02.0NOKMason Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)60
46.7%
54
53.3%
Q2 - 0:25.0NOKButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)59
43.3%
54
56.7%
Q2 - 0:27.0MIAMISS Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot59
42.6%
54
57.4%
Q2 - 0:42.0NOKPaul Dunk (14 PTS)59
41.0%
54
59.0%
Q2 - 0:45.0MIAHaslem Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T7)57
36.9%
54
63.1%
Q2 - 1:04NOKPargo 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Paul 2 AST)57
34.8%
54
65.2%
Q2 - 1:22NOKPaul REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)55
30.6%
54
69.4%
Q2 - 1:24MIAMISS Wade 19' Jump Bank Shot55
30.2%
54
69.8%
Q2 - 1:36MIAWilliams Free Throw Technical (8 PTS)55
29.2%
54
70.8%
Q2 - 1:54NOKChandler Dunk (8 PTS) (Butler 1 AST)55
32.0%
53
68.0%
Q2 - 2:16MIAHaslem 17' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Wade 5 AST)53
28.3%
53
71.7%
Q2 - 2:24MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)53
31.1%
51
68.9%
Q2 - 2:26NOKMISS Butler 17' Jump Shot53
31.9%
51
68.1%
Q2 - 2:44MIAWright 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Williams 2 AST)53
33.6%
51
66.4%
Q2 - 2:57NOKPaul Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)53
36.8%
49
63.2%
Q2 - 2:57NOKMISS Paul Free Throw 1 of 252
36.4%
49
63.6%
Q2 - 3:00NOKPaul REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)52
36.5%
49
63.5%
Q2 - 3:01MIAMISS Posey 25' 3PT Jump Shot52
34.9%
49
65.1%
Q2 - 3:26NOKButler 24' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Pargo 6 AST)52
32.9%
49
67.1%
Q2 - 3:30NOKChandler REBOUND (Off:4 Def:1)49
28.2%
49
71.8%
Q2 - 3:32NOKMourning BLOCK (4 BLK)49
26.3%
49
73.7%
Q2 - 3:50NOKButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)49
28.2%
49
71.8%
Q2 - 3:52MIAMISS Wright 19' Jump Shot49
27.4%
49
72.6%
Q2 - 4:19NOKButler 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Paul 1 AST)49
25.4%
49
74.6%
Q2 - 4:32MIAWade Foul Turnover (P2.T6)46
21.2%
49
78.8%
Q2 - 4:51MIAHEAT Rebound46
19.4%
49
80.6%
Q2 - 4:52NOKMourning BLOCK (3 BLK)46
19.9%
49
80.1%
Q2 - 4:56NOKChandler REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)46
21.2%
49
78.8%
Q2 - 4:58MIAMISS Wade 20' Jump Shot46
20.7%
49
79.3%
Q2 - 5:11NOKChandler Slam Dunk (6 PTS)46
19.3%
49
80.7%
Q2 - 5:14NOKChandler REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)44
17.7%
49
82.3%
Q2 - 5:16NOKMISS Paul 8' Running Jump Shot44
16.5%
49
83.5%
Q2 - 5:40MIAMourning Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)44
17.7%
49
82.3%
Q2 - 5:40MIAMourning Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)44
18.3%
48
81.7%
Q2 - 5:40MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)44
19.3%
47
80.7%
Q2 - 5:41MIAMISS Williams 24' 3PT Jump Shot44
20.6%
47
79.4%
Q2 - 5:56MIAHEAT Rebound44
19.3%
47
80.7%
Q2 - 5:58MIAMISS Williams Layup44
20.6%
47
79.4%
Q2 - 6:09NOKPaul 17' Jump Shot (11 PTS)44
19.2%
47
80.8%
Q2 - 6:32MIAWalker Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)42
17.9%
47
82.1%
Q2 - 6:32MIAMISS Walker Free Throw 1 of 242
18.5%
46
81.5%
Q2 - 6:46NOKWalker STEAL (1 STL)42
17.6%
46
82.4%
Q2 - 7:03MIAMourning 4' Running Hook Shot (6 PTS)42
19.7%
46
80.3%
Q2 - 7:20NOKButler 21' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Pargo 5 AST)42
21.3%
44
78.7%
Q2 - 7:38MIAKapono 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Posey 1 AST)40
19.7%
44
80.3%
Q2 - 7:56NOKMason Layup (6 PTS)40
23.1%
41
76.9%
Q2 - 7:59NOKMason REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)38
21.4%
41
78.6%
Q2 - 8:00NOKMISS Simmons Layup38
20.1%
41
79.9%
Q2 - 8:01NOKSimmons REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)38
21.4%
41
78.6%
Q2 - 8:03NOKMourning BLOCK (2 BLK)38
20.1%
41
79.9%
Q2 - 8:21MIAWalker Layup (2 PTS)38
21.4%
41
78.6%
Q2 - 8:23MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)38
23.0%
39
77.0%
Q2 - 8:25MIAMISS Kapono 18' Jump Shot38
24.4%
39
75.6%
Q2 - 8:41NOKPargo 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS)38
23.0%
39
77.0%
Q2 - 8:47NOKButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)36
21.4%
39
78.6%
Q2 - 8:49MIAMISS Williams 24' 3PT Jump Shot36
20.8%
39
79.2%
Q2 - 9:03NOKJackson Driving Layup (6 PTS)36
19.5%
39
80.5%
Q2 - 9:24MIAKapono Foul Turnover (P1.T5)34
18.1%
39
81.9%
Q2 - 9:34NOKButler 19' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Pargo 4 AST)34
16.5%
39
83.5%
Q2 - 9:49MIAWilliams 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Kapono 1 AST)32
15.3%
39
84.7%
Q2 - 10:04NOKPargo 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS)32
18.1%
36
81.9%
Q2 - 10:09NOKPargo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)30
16.8%
36
83.2%
Q2 - 10:11MIAMISS Kapono 19' Jump Shot30
16.4%
36
83.6%
Q2 - 10:21MIADoleac REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)30
15.3%
36
84.7%
Q2 - 10:22NOKMISS Butler Layup30
15.8%
36
84.2%
Q2 - 10:38MIAPosey 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)30
16.8%
36
83.2%
Q2 - 10:58NOKSimmons 4' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Pargo 3 AST)30
19.6%
33
80.4%
Q2 - 11:04NOKButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)28
18.0%
33
82.0%
Q2 - 11:06MIAMISS Wade 18' Fadeaway Jumper28
17.6%
33
82.4%
Q2 - 11:17MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)28
16.6%
33
83.4%
Q2 - 11:19MIAMISS Wade Layup28
17.6%
33
82.4%
Q2 - 11:35MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)28
16.6%
33
83.4%
Q2 - 11:36NOKMISS Johnson Free Throw 1 of 128
16.8%
33
83.2%
Q2 - 11:43NOKHornets Rebound26
15.3%
33
84.7%
Q2 - 11:44NOKMISS Jackson 20' Jump Shot26
14.5%
33
85.5%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA26
15.3%
33
84.7%
Q1 - 0:02.0NOKPaul 8' Jump Bank Shot (9 PTS)26
14.3%
33
85.7%
Q1 - 0:12.0MIAPosey 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)24
12.9%
33
87.1%
Q1 - 0:29.0NOKPaul Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)24
15.5%
30
84.5%
Q1 - 0:29.0NOKPaul Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)23
15.3%
30
84.7%
Q1 - 0:43.0MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)22
14.0%
30
86.0%
Q1 - 0:43.0MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)22
14.3%
29
85.7%
Q1 - 0:53.0NOKPaul 7' Running Jump Shot (5 PTS)22
15.5%
28
84.5%
Q1 - 1:12MIAHaslem 16' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)20
14.1%
28
85.9%
Q1 - 1:26NOKJackson Layup (4 PTS) (Pargo 1 AST)20
15.6%
26
84.4%
Q1 - 1:46MIAWade Dunk (8 PTS) (Haslem 1 AST)18
14.1%
26
85.9%
Q1 - 1:49NOKWade STEAL (2 STL)18
15.6%
24
84.4%
Q1 - 2:09MIAHaslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)18
16.7%
24
83.3%
Q1 - 2:09MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)18
17.0%
23
83.0%
Q1 - 2:21NOKJackson Tip Shot (2 PTS)18
18.2%
22
81.8%
Q1 - 2:23NOKJackson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)16
16.7%
22
83.3%
Q1 - 2:25NOKMISS Chandler 6' Turnaround Jump Shot16
15.9%
22
84.1%
Q1 - 2:40MIAWade Palming Turnover (P1.T4)16
16.7%
22
83.3%
Q1 - 2:56NOKJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)16
15.5%
22
84.5%
Q1 - 2:56NOKJohnson Tip Shot (2 PTS)16
15.5%
22
84.5%
Q1 - 2:57NOKMISS Chandler Layup14
13.5%
22
86.5%
Q1 - 3:13MIAMourning Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)14
14.6%
22
85.4%
Q1 - 3:13MIAMourning Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)14
14.9%
21
85.1%
Q1 - 3:23MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)14
15.6%
20
84.4%
Q1 - 3:26NOKMISS Johnson 17' Turnaround Jump Shot14
16.0%
20
84.0%
Q1 - 3:39NOKPaul REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)14
16.9%
20
83.1%
Q1 - 3:41MIAMISS Haslem Dunk14
16.5%
20
83.5%
Q1 - 3:51MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
15.6%
20
84.4%
Q1 - 3:53NOKMISS Jackson 18' Jump Shot14
16.0%
20
84.0%
Q1 - 4:04NOKPaul Free Throw Technical (3 PTS)14
16.9%
20
83.1%
Q1 - 4:17MIAHaslem 14' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Wright 2 AST)13
15.7%
20
84.3%
Q1 - 4:32NOKButler Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)13
16.6%
18
83.4%
Q1 - 4:53MIAWade 18' Jump Shot (6 PTS)10
14.6%
18
85.4%
Q1 - 5:11NOKPaul Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)10
15.6%
16
84.4%
Q1 - 5:11NOKPaul Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)9
15.4%
16
84.6%
Q1 - 5:38MIAHaslem Slam Dunk (4 PTS) (Wright 1 AST)8
14.6%
16
85.4%
Q1 - 5:41MIAWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)8
15.6%
14
84.4%
Q1 - 5:43NOKMourning BLOCK (1 BLK)8
16.0%
14
84.0%
Q1 - 6:04MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)8
16.9%
14
83.1%
Q1 - 6:04MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)8
17.1%
13
82.9%
Q1 - 6:11MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)8
18.0%
12
82.0%
Q1 - 6:13NOKMISS Butler 24' 3PT Jump Shot8
18.4%
12
81.6%
Q1 - 6:24NOKHornets Rebound8
19.3%
12
80.7%
Q1 - 6:25MIAMISS Williams 19' Jump Shot8
18.9%
12
81.1%
Q1 - 6:35MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)8
18.0%
12
82.0%
Q1 - 6:37NOKMISS Armstrong 8' Jump Shot8
18.4%
12
81.6%
Q1 - 6:56MIAWright Alley Oop Dunk (2 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)8
19.3%
12
80.7%
Q1 - 7:00NOKWade STEAL (1 STL)8
20.6%
10
79.4%
Q1 - 7:06NOKPaul REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
21.9%
10
78.1%
Q1 - 7:07MIAMISS Wright 18' Jump Shot8
21.5%
10
78.5%
Q1 - 7:35MIAWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
20.5%
10
79.5%
Q1 - 7:37NOKMISS Paul 18' Jump Shot8
20.9%
10
79.1%
Q1 - 7:45NOKHornets Rebound8
21.9%
10
78.1%
Q1 - 7:46NOKWright BLOCK (2 BLK)8
20.9%
10
79.1%
Q1 - 7:56MIAHaslem Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T3)8
21.9%
10
78.1%
Q1 - 8:00MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)8
20.5%
10
79.5%
Q1 - 8:02NOKWade BLOCK (1 BLK)8
20.8%
10
79.2%
Q1 - 8:16MIAHaslem Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)8
21.8%
10
78.2%
Q1 - 8:21NOKChandler Alley Oop Dunk (4 PTS) (Mason 1 AST)8
20.4%
10
79.6%
Q1 - 8:40MIAHaslem 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)6
19.3%
10
80.7%
Q1 - 8:45MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)6
20.4%
8
79.6%
Q1 - 8:47NOKMISS Paul 20' Jump Shot6
20.8%
8
79.2%
Q1 - 8:57MIAWilliams 23' Jump Shot (4 PTS)6
21.8%
8
78.2%
Q1 - 9:08MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)6
22.7%
6
77.3%
Q1 - 9:10NOKMISS Armstrong 12' Jump Bank Shot6
23.2%
6
76.8%
Q1 - 9:15NOKButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
24.4%
6
75.6%
Q1 - 9:17MIAMISS Haslem 18' Jump Shot6
23.9%
6
76.1%
Q1 - 9:32NOKMason Driving Finger Roll (4 PTS)6
22.7%
6
77.3%
Q1 - 9:55MIAWade Driving Layup (2 PTS)4
21.7%
6
78.3%
Q1 - 10:03MIAHEAT Rebound4
22.7%
4
77.3%
Q1 - 10:04MIAMISS Wright Layup4
23.7%
4
76.3%
Q1 - 10:09MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
22.7%
4
77.3%
Q1 - 10:11NOKMISS Chandler 8' Jump Shot4
23.1%
4
76.9%
Q1 - 10:14NOKChandler REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)4
24.2%
4
75.8%
Q1 - 10:16NOKWright BLOCK (1 BLK)4
23.1%
4
76.9%
Q1 - 10:38MIAWilliams 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS)4
24.2%
4
75.8%
Q1 - 10:56NOKMason 10' Hook Shot (2 PTS)4
25.4%
2
74.6%
Q1 - 11:18MIAMourning 8' Hook Shot (2 PTS)2
24.0%
2
76.0%
Q1 - 11:20MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)2
25.4%
0
74.6%
Q1 - 11:22MIAMISS Haslem 18' Jump Shot2
26.4%
0
73.6%
Q1 - 11:41NOKChandler Follow Up Dunk (2 PTS)2
25.4%
0
74.6%
Q1 - 11:42NOKChandler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
24.0%
0
76.0%
Q1 - 11:43NOKMISS Mason Layup0
23.1%
0
76.9%
Q1 - 11:48MIAMourning Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)0
24.0%
0
76.0%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball Mourning vs. Chandler: Tip to Wade0
22.8%
0
77.2%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

NOK
1.09 54.4%
MIA
1.13 56.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
NOK
16
28
57%
MIA
11
18
61%
Midrange
NOK
16
37
43%
MIA
19
37
51%
3PT | Effective 3PT
NOK
7
10.5
14
50%
75%
MIA
8
12.0
22
36%
55%
Free Throws
NOK
14
19
74%
MIA
17
22
77%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
Hornets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
C. Paul2665%13.0 / 20
R. Butler2158%10.5 / 18
J. Pargo1458%7.0 / 12
T. Chandler1056%5.0 / 9
D. Mason1045%5.0 / 11
L. Johnson880%4.0 / 5
M. Jackson660%3.0 / 5
H. Armstrong233%1.0 / 3
C. Simmons233%1.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Wade2954%14.5 / 27
U. Haslem1662%8.0 / 13
J. Williams1554%7.5 / 14
J. Posey1594%7.5 / 8
A. Mourning1169%5.5 / 8
D. Wright643%3.0 / 7
J. Kapono643%3.0 / 7
A. Walker375%1.5 / 2
G. Payton0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

NOK
72
+18
-15
90
MIA
74
+14
-13
88
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

NOK
1.09 54.4%
MIA
1.13 56.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
104.6
104.2
NOK 113.8
MIA 116.1 +2.3
Pace
90.4
90.1
NOK 93.9 +12.8
MIA 81.1
Avg. Poss. Time
16.1
16.5
NOK 15.3 +2.4
MIA 17.7
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
47.9%
50.6%
NOK 53.8%
MIA 54.5% +0.7%
TO %
14.9%
15.3%
NOK 17.1%
MIA 13.0% +4.1%
ORB %
29.2%
24.9%
NOK 31.4%
MIA 33.3% +1.9%
FTrt
29.1
32.1
NOK 24.1
MIA 28.6 +4.5
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
51.7%
57.6%
NOK 41.0%
MIA 55.3% +14.3%
STL %
7.0%
7.6%
NOK 6.9% +1.2%
MIA 5.7%
BLK %
6.9%
8.8%
NOK 7.3%
MIA 16.9% +9.6%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
50.7%
52.4%
NOK 54.4%
MIA 56.7% +2.3%
Rim FG%
56.2%
61.8%
NOK 57.1%
MIA 61.1% +4.0%
Mid FG%
38.2%
40.5%
NOK 43.2%
MIA 51.4% +8.2%
3P %
36.2%
34.3%
NOK 50.0% +13.6%
MIA 36.4%
FT %
74.0%
69.0%
NOK 73.7%
MIA 77.3% +3.6%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
37.2%
34.9%
NOK 35.4% +12.1%
MIA 23.4%
Mid Att. %
44.0%
40.7%
NOK 46.8% +1.2%
MIA 48.1%
3P Att. %
18.8%
24.5%
NOK 17.7%
MIA 28.6% +10.8%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.05 and 2.05.
Game TotalsNOKMIA
Possessions8787
Possession Minutes22.225.7
Points99101
Rebounds3335
Assists1621
Steals65
Blocks411
Turnovers (Team)15 (3)13 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)11 (7)11 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)22 (5)24 (1)
Field Goals39-7938-77
At-the-Rim FG16-2811-18
Midrange FG16-3719-37
2-Point FG32-6530-55
3-Point FG7-148-22
Free Throws14-1917-22
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'0" 175 · 22
42.5
26
65%
6
8
3
0
4
3
0
6
9-12
75%
7-14
50%
1-1
100%
F · 6'7" 215 · 28
40.4
21
58%
8
1
0
0
4
1
0
8
1-1
100%
4-8
50%
4-10
40%
C · 7'1" 240 · 24
38.3
10
56%
8
0
2
3
2
4
6
2
2-2
100%
4-8
50%
0-0
-
G · 6'5" 222 · 29
30.5
10
45%
2
1
0
0
1
5
2
0
2-3
67%
4-10
40%
0-0
-
F · 6'11" 235 · 22
15.1
2
33%
0
0
0
1
2
2
0
0
0-0
-
1-3
33%
0-0
-
G · 6'1" 185 · 27
32.8
14
58%
4
6
0
0
1
2
0
4
0-0
-
4-9
44%
2-3
67%
F · 6'8" 205 · 27
18.6
8
80%
3
0
1
0
1
3
1
2
0-1
0%
4-5
80%
0-0
-
F · 6'10" 253 · 32
16.4
6
60%
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
3-5
60%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 235 · 21
5.5
2
33%
1
0
0
0
0
2
1
0
0-0
-
1-3
33%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 250 · 22
F · 6'8" 225 · 23
#8 · G · 6'1" 185 · 34
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#16 · F · 6'10" 229 · 30
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#30 · F · 6'9" 250 · 26
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
99
54%
33
16
6
4
15
0
11
22
14-19
74%
32-65
49%
7-14
50%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.