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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
December 18, 2006
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
3Mavericks60%98109
13Kings40%9591
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 28.5
36.9
38.4
29
76%
13
2
1
1
1
2
1
12
4-5
80%
11-14
7-15
79%
49%
1-3
33%
Josh Howard
F-G · 6'7" 210 · 26.6
34.8
36.7
28
85%
5
1
3
1
2
0
0
5
1-1
100%
9-11
5-11
82%
48%
3-5
60%
Jason Terry
G · 6'2" 185 · 29.3
33.5
35.8
22
70%
2
6
1
1
0
2
0
2
4-4
100%
3-7
4-9
43%
49%
4-7
57%
Erick Dampier
C · 6'11" 265 · 31.4
31.7
26.8
1
13%
7
1
0
0
0
1
2
5
1-2
50%
0-3
3-6
0%
55%
0-0
-
Devin Harris
G · 6'3" 185 · 23.8
27.7
28.0
7
48%
5
6
3
1
0
0
1
4
3-3
100%
2-6
4-7
33%
49%
0-0
-
Jerry Stackhouse
F · 6'6" 218 · 32.1
23.1
19.6
2
20%
0
2
0
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-4
3-6
25%
43%
0-1
0%
Greg Buckner
G · 6'4" 210 · 30.3
20.5
16.9
14
65%
2
1
0
1
0
2
0
2
3-4
75%
4-6
1-2
67%
52%
1-3
33%
DeSagana Diop
C · 7'0" 280 · 24.9
13.5
16.8
0
0%
2
0
0
1
1
1
1
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
45%
0-1
0%
Devean George
F · 6'8" 235 · 29.3
9.9
19.2
4
29%
1
0
0
1
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
2-5
1-3
40%
41%
0-2
0%
J.J. Barea
G · 6'0" 185 · 22.5
2.8
3.7
2
100%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
42%
0-0
-
Austin Croshere
F · 6'10" 240 · 31.6
2.8
2.6
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
44%
0-0
-
DJ Mbenga
C · 7'0" 255 · 26.0
2.8
2.2
0
0%
1
2
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
50%
0-0
-
Anthony Johnson
G · 6'3" 195 · 32.2
Maurice Ager
F-G · 6'5" 202 · 22.9
Pops Mensah-Bonsu
F · 6'9" 235 · 23.3
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
John Salmons
F · 6'6" 210 · 27.0
38.1
32.7
7
38%
3
1
1
1
2
1
1
2
3-3
100%
2-6
3-7
33%
47%
0-2
0%
Metta World Peace
F · 6'7" 260 · 27.1
37.4
32.0
14
51%
4
2
0
2
0
1
2
2
3-4
75%
4-9
4-9
44%
45%
1-3
33%
Mike Bibby
G · 6'2" 195 · 28.6
35.3
35.2
10
35%
2
6
1
1
0
3
0
2
4-5
80%
3-11
4-10
27%
46%
0-1
0%
Kenny Thomas
C-F · 6'7" 245 · 29.4
34.0
22.8
15
54%
15
0
0
1
0
3
8
7
1-2
50%
7-13
2-4
54%
50%
0-0
-
Brad Miller
C-F · 7'0" 261 · 30.7
32.7
20.5
19
57%
6
3
0
0
0
4
4
2
3-4
75%
8-15
3-5
53%
50%
0-0
-
Shareef Abdur-Rahim
F · 6'9" 245 · 30.0
24.9
25.5
15
52%
3
0
0
1
0
0
0
3
5-8
63%
5-11
4-8
45%
51%
0-0
-
Francisco Garcia
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 25.0
14.2
16.0
2
35%
3
1
1
0
0
1
0
3
2-2
100%
0-1
1-2
0%
49%
0-1
0%
Corliss Williamson
F · 6'7" 245 · 33.0
6.1
10.5
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
0-2
2-3
0%
48%
0-0
-
Jason Hart
G · 6'3" 180 · 28.6
6.0
7.9
0
0%
2
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
44%
0-0
-
Ronnie Price
G · 6'2" 190 · 23.5
4.3
9.5
4
67%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-3
1-2
67%
46%
0-0
-
Quincy Douby
G · 6'3" 175 · 22.6
4.3
2.3
3
39%
1
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1-2
50%
1-2
0-1
50%
45%
0-1
0%
Maurice Taylor
F-C · 6'9" 265 · 30.1
2.7
1.5
2
114%
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
0-0
0-0
-
45%
0-0
-
Kevin Martin
G · 6'7" 199 · 23.9
Vitaly Potapenko
C-F · 6'10" 285 · 31.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.