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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
December 20, 2006
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
5Jazz63%99112
24Hawks37%94106
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Deron Williams
G · 6'3" 200 · 22.5
36.1
34.2
13
57%
2
9
0
1
0
6
0
2
1-1
100%
3-5
5-9
60%
49%
2-6
33%
Mehmet Okur
C · 6'11" 260 · 27.6
35.7
33.4
30
78%
10
3
3
1
1
4
2
8
4-5
80%
7-12
4-8
58%
49%
4-5
80%
Andrei Kirilenko
F · 6'9" 235 · 25.8
34.8
33.1
12
65%
5
5
2
1
1
3
2
3
4-5
80%
4-7
3-5
57%
51%
0-0
-
Carlos Boozer
F · 6'9" 258 · 25.1
31.4
37.0
13
53%
5
4
1
1
0
3
2
3
3-5
60%
5-10
9-16
50%
54%
0-0
-
Derek Fisher
G · 6'1" 210 · 32.4
27.3
28.1
18
78%
2
1
1
1
0
2
0
2
4-8
50%
4-5
3-6
80%
44%
2-3
67%
Matt Harpring
F · 6'7" 230 · 30.6
20.3
21.5
11
50%
5
0
1
1
1
1
1
4
3-7
43%
4-8
3-7
50%
50%
0-0
-
Paul Millsap
F · 6'8" 246 · 21.9
16.6
12.6
2
26%
2
0
2
0
0
0
1
1
0-2
0%
1-3
2-4
33%
52%
0-0
-
Jarron Collins
C · 6'11" 249 · 28.0
12.3
11.8
0
0%
1
1
0
0
0
2
1
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
48%
0-0
-
Ronnie Brewer
F · 6'7" 235 · 21.8
12.1
2.9
8
72%
3
2
2
0
1
0
2
1
6-8
75%
1-2
0-1
50%
50%
0-0
-
Gordan Giricek
G · 6'6" 220 · 29.5
9.1
10.6
5
73%
0
2
0
0
0
1
0
0
1-1
100%
2-2
2-3
100%
46%
0-1
0%
Dee Brown
G · 6'0" 185 · 22.3
4.3
11.2
0
0%
0
1
1
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
42%
0-0
-
Rafael Araujo
C · 6'11" 270 · 26.4
1.1
0
0-0
41%
CJ Miles
G · 6'6" 220 · 19.8
Roger Powell
F · 6'6" 220 · 23.9
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Speedy Claxton
G · 5'11" 170 · 28.6
42.8
31.7
12
56%
4
8
4
2
0
2
3
1
2-4
50%
5-9
4-9
56%
43%
0-0
-
Josh Smith
· 6'9" 225 · 21.0
41.9
36.1
23
60%
12
4
3
1
4
3
3
9
5-7
71%
9-15
4-8
60%
47%
0-1
0%
Joe Johnson
G-F · 6'7" 240 · 25.5
41.0
40.3
27
57%
4
5
2
1
0
3
1
3
8-13
62%
8-15
7-14
53%
50%
1-3
33%
Marvin Williams
F · 6'9" 237 · 20.5
38.8
33.1
9
33%
1
2
3
1
1
4
1
0
5-6
83%
2-9
4-10
22%
46%
0-2
0%
Zaza Pachulia
C · 6'11" 270 · 22.9
23.4
29.0
9
69%
5
3
1
1
0
2
2
3
7-8
88%
1-3
4-9
33%
47%
0-0
-
Shelden Williams
C-F · 6'9" 250 · 23.2
25.5
13.9
14
73%
6
0
1
0
0
3
2
4
6-6
100%
4-7
2-3
57%
47%
0-0
-
Salim Stoudamire
G · 6'1" 175 · 24.2
15.2
18.9
8
50%
3
1
1
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
1-4
2-4
25%
43%
2-4
50%
Lorenzen Wright
F-C · 6'11" 255 · 31.1
8.6
12.8
4
67%
1
0
0
0
1
2
1
0
0-0
-
2-3
1-3
67%
48%
0-0
-
Solomon Jones
F · 6'10" 235 · 22.4
2.7
6.0
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
49%
0-0
-
Royal Ivey
G · 6'4" 200 · 25.0
0.3
12.4
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
44%
0-0
-
Cedric Bozeman
G · 6'6" 207 · 23.8
4.8
0
0-1
45%
Matt Freije
F · 6'9" 249 · 25.2
3.5
0
0-1
43%
Josh Childress
F-G · 6'8" 210 · 23.5
Tyronn Lue
G · 6'0" 175 · 29.6
Esteban Batista
F-C · 6'10" 268 · 23.3
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.