FinalWin Prob.pScore
2839%85
83
2261%89
86
ORTG#PossPace
NOK
98.88487.5
ORL logo ORL
97.78884.6

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

MagicHornetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

MagicHornetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventNOKORL
Q4 - 0:00.0ORL83
0%
86
100%
Q4 - 0:02.0NOKMISS Mason Layup83
0.7%
86
99.3%
Q4 - 0:03.0NOKMason REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)83
1.6%
86
98.4%
Q4 - 0:05.0NOKMISS Butler 27' 3PT Jump Shot83
0.7%
86
99.3%
Q4 - 0:11.0NOKPaul REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)83
6.3%
86
93.7%
Q4 - 0:13.0ORLMISS Arroyo Layup83
5.1%
86
94.9%
Q4 - 0:35.0ORLOutlaw REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)83
3.6%
86
96.4%
Q4 - 0:37.0NOKMISS Paul Free Throw 2 of 283
4.1%
86
95.9%
Q4 - 0:37.0NOKPaul Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)83
7.0%
86
93.0%
Q4 - 0:54.0NOKPaul REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)82
8.0%
86
92.0%
Q4 - 0:57.0ORLMISS Hill 10' Turnaround Jump Shot82
6.7%
86
93.3%
Q4 - 1:16NOKPargo Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P4.T20)82
5.3%
86
94.7%
Q4 - 1:28ORLHoward Traveling Turnover (P4.T19)82
10.7%
86
89.3%
Q4 - 1:48NOKButler Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)82
7.6%
86
92.4%
Q4 - 1:48NOKMISS Butler Free Throw 1 of 281
6.7%
86
93.3%
Q4 - 2:06NOKMason REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)81
9.0%
86
91.0%
Q4 - 2:08ORLMISS Diener 26' 3PT Jump Shot81
7.5%
86
92.5%
Q4 - 2:33NOKPaul Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)81
4.8%
86
95.2%
Q4 - 2:33NOKPaul Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)80
4.5%
86
95.5%
Q4 - 2:36NOKChandler REBOUND (Off:6 Def:5)79
3.9%
86
96.1%
Q4 - 2:38NOKMISS Pargo 12' Jump Shot79
2.4%
86
97.6%
Q4 - 2:51NOKChandler REBOUND (Off:5 Def:5)79
4.6%
86
95.4%
Q4 - 2:52NOKMISS Paul 15' Jump Shot79
3.1%
86
96.9%
Q4 - 3:12ORLHill 17' Jump Shot (21 PTS)79
4.6%
86
95.4%
Q4 - 3:25ORLMAGIC Rebound79
5.8%
84
94.2%
Q4 - 3:25ORLMISS Outlaw Layup79
8.7%
84
91.3%
Q4 - 3:47ORLHill REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)79
8.5%
84
91.5%
Q4 - 3:48NOKMISS Butler Free Throw 1 of 179
8.9%
84
91.1%
Q4 - 3:56NOKChandler REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)77
6.0%
84
94.0%
Q4 - 3:58ORLMISS Diener 26' 3PT Jump Shot77
5.4%
84
94.6%
Q4 - 4:14ORLOutlaw REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)77
4.1%
84
95.9%
Q4 - 4:16ORLMISS Dooling 25' 3PT Jump Shot77
5.3%
84
94.7%
Q4 - 4:18ORLOutlaw REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)77
4.1%
84
95.9%
Q4 - 4:22ORLMISS Milicic 6' Hook Shot77
5.2%
84
94.8%
Q4 - 4:40NOKPaul Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)77
4.0%
84
96.0%
Q4 - 4:40NOKPaul Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)76
3.8%
84
96.2%
Q4 - 4:46NOKHornets Rebound75
2.8%
84
97.2%
Q4 - 4:47NOKMason REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)75
2.8%
84
97.2%
Q4 - 4:47NOKMISS Mason Tip Shot75
2.2%
84
97.8%
Q4 - 4:49NOKMISS Paul 11' Jump Shot75
2.2%
84
97.8%
Q4 - 5:01ORLDiener 28' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Outlaw 1 AST)75
4.0%
84
96.0%
Q4 - 5:20ORLMAGIC Rebound75
7.3%
81
92.7%
Q4 - 5:21NOKMISS Pargo 19' Jump Shot75
8.1%
81
91.9%
Q4 - 5:49ORLHill 20' Jump Shot (19 PTS)75
10.0%
81
90.0%
Q4 - 6:13ORLMAGIC Rebound75
14.5%
79
85.5%
Q4 - 6:13NOKMilicic BLOCK (2 BLK)75
15.9%
79
84.1%
Q4 - 6:36ORLDooling 14' Jump Shot (2 PTS)75
19.4%
79
80.6%
Q4 - 6:50ORLDiener Free Throw Technical (10 PTS)75
23.7%
77
76.3%
Q4 - 7:04NOKPaul Driving Layup (14 PTS)75
30.6%
76
69.4%
Q4 - 7:25ORLDiener 26' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Dooling 1 AST)73
25.7%
76
74.3%
Q4 - 7:42ORLOutlaw REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)73
36.7%
73
63.3%
Q4 - 7:43NOKMISS Jackson Free Throw 2 of 273
37.7%
73
62.3%
Q4 - 7:43NOKJackson Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)73
42.2%
73
57.8%
Q4 - 8:09ORLDiener REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)72
37.3%
73
62.7%
Q4 - 8:09ORLDiener Layup (6 PTS)72
37.3%
73
62.7%
Q4 - 8:11ORLMISS Ariza Layup72
47.8%
71
52.2%
Q4 - 8:14ORLAriza REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)72
43.3%
71
56.7%
Q4 - 8:16NOKOutlaw BLOCK (1 BLK)72
45.3%
71
54.7%
Q4 - 8:44ORLMilicic 7' Hook Shot (4 PTS)72
49.9%
71
50.1%
Q4 - 8:47ORLMAGIC Rebound72
56.1%
69
43.9%
Q4 - 8:47ORLMISS Milicic Layup72
60.5%
69
39.5%
Q4 - 8:58NOKJackson Foul Turnover (P2.T19)72
56.1%
69
43.9%
Q4 - 9:05ORLMilicic Foul Turnover (P3.T18)72
60.9%
69
39.1%
Q4 - 9:10ORLMilicic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)72
54.8%
69
45.2%
Q4 - 9:12NOKMISS Mason 5' Hook Shot72
56.7%
69
43.3%
Q4 - 9:33ORLHoward 7' Hook Shot (16 PTS) (Diener 1 AST)72
61.0%
69
39.0%
Q4 - 9:51NOKJackson 19' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Paul 10 AST)72
66.3%
67
33.7%
Q4 - 9:59NOKPaul REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)70
61.0%
67
39.0%
Q4 - 10:00NOKMISS Paul 15' Jump Shot70
56.8%
67
43.2%
Q4 - 10:10ORLDiener Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T17)70
59.7%
67
40.3%
Q4 - 10:33NOKPargo Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)70
53.7%
67
46.3%
Q4 - 10:33NOKPargo Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)69
52.9%
67
47.1%
Q4 - 10:57ORLHoward Slam Dunk (14 PTS)68
48.5%
67
51.5%
Q4 - 10:58ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:3 Def:9)68
53.7%
65
46.3%
Q4 - 11:00ORLMISS Dooling 24' 3PT Jump Shot68
57.9%
65
42.1%
Q4 - 11:15ORLDiener Free Throw Technical (4 PTS)68
53.0%
65
47.0%
Q4 - 11:32ORLMAGIC Rebound68
58.4%
64
41.6%
Q4 - 11:33NOKMISS Jackson 19' Jump Shot68
60.1%
64
39.9%
Q3 - 0:00.0ORL68
63.9%
64
36.1%
Q3 - 0:00.0ORLMAGIC Rebound68
58.4%
64
41.6%
Q3 - 0:00.0ORLMISS Ariza 30' 3PT Jump Shot68
62.2%
64
37.8%
Q3 - 0:02.0NOKPaul Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)68
57.4%
64
42.6%
Q3 - 0:02.0NOKMISS Paul Free Throw 1 of 267
56.7%
64
43.3%
Q3 - 0:06.0ORLMilicic Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T16)67
57.4%
64
42.6%
Q3 - 0:27.0NOKJackson 20' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Paul 9 AST)67
52.4%
64
47.6%
Q3 - 0:34.0ORLAriza Running Hook Shot (14 PTS)65
47.2%
64
52.8%
Q3 - 0:56.0NOKJackson 17' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Paul 8 AST)65
52.4%
62
47.6%
Q3 - 1:04ORLAriza Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T15)63
46.7%
62
53.3%
Q3 - 1:21NOKPaul 15' Jump Shot (11 PTS)63
41.7%
62
58.3%
Q3 - 1:31ORLHoward 3 Second Violation Turnover (P3.T14)61
37.2%
62
62.8%
Q3 - 1:47NOKHornets Turnover: Shot Clock (T#18)61
32.6%
62
67.4%
Q3 - 1:52NOKJackson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)61
37.2%
62
62.8%
Q3 - 1:54NOKHoward BLOCK (2 BLK)61
34.0%
62
66.0%
Q3 - 2:11ORLHoward Free Throw 1 of 1 (12 PTS)61
36.8%
62
63.2%
Q3 - 2:33NOKMason Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)61
45.5%
59
54.5%
Q3 - 2:33NOKMason Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)60
44.4%
59
55.6%
Q3 - 2:49NOKPargo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)59
41.3%
59
58.7%
Q3 - 2:51ORLMISS Milicic 18' Jump Shot59
39.8%
59
60.2%
Q3 - 3:08ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9)59
36.7%
59
63.3%
Q3 - 3:09NOKMISS Paul 18' Jump Shot59
38.1%
59
61.9%
Q3 - 3:27ORLHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)59
41.2%
59
58.8%
Q3 - 3:27ORLHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)59
42.6%
58
57.4%
Q3 - 3:44NOKPaul Free Throw 1 of 1 (9 PTS)59
45.4%
57
54.6%
Q3 - 4:02ORLDiener 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Ariza 2 AST)56
36.8%
57
63.2%
Q3 - 4:25NOKButler 26' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Paul 7 AST)56
44.5%
54
55.5%
Q3 - 4:41ORLHill Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)53
36.8%
54
63.2%
Q3 - 4:41ORLHill Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)53
37.5%
53
62.5%
Q3 - 4:57NOKButler 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Pargo 1 AST)53
40.4%
52
59.6%
Q3 - 5:11NOKMason REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)50
32.9%
52
67.1%
Q3 - 5:14NOKMISS Paul 18' Jump Shot50
30.2%
52
69.8%
Q3 - 5:33ORLHill Layup (15 PTS) (Ariza 1 AST)50
32.9%
52
67.1%
Q3 - 5:37ORLBattie REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)50
36.4%
50
63.6%
Q3 - 5:39NOKHoward BLOCK (1 BLK)50
37.6%
50
62.4%
Q3 - 6:01ORLArroyo 18' Jump Shot (8 PTS)50
40.2%
50
59.8%
Q3 - 6:11ORLHill REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)50
43.9%
48
56.1%
Q3 - 6:15ORLMISS Ariza 18' Jump Shot50
46.8%
48
53.2%
Q3 - 6:38NOKMason 3 Second Violation Turnover (P4.T17)50
43.9%
48
56.1%
Q3 - 6:55ORLHoward 3 Second Violation Turnover (P2.T13)50
48.2%
48
51.8%
Q3 - 7:10NOKMason 5' Hook Shot (12 PTS)50
43.2%
48
56.8%
Q3 - 7:25NOKButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)48
40.0%
48
60.0%
Q3 - 7:28ORLMISS Howard 4' Hook Shot48
38.7%
48
61.3%
Q3 - 7:49NOKMason Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)48
35.8%
48
64.2%
Q3 - 7:49NOKMason Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)47
35.0%
48
65.0%
Q3 - 8:08ORLAriza Layup (12 PTS) (Howard 3 AST)46
32.9%
48
67.1%
Q3 - 8:29NOKChandler Foul Turnover (P4.T16)46
35.9%
46
64.1%
Q3 - 8:32NOKPaul Free Throw Technical (6 PTS)46
39.9%
46
60.1%
Q3 - 8:50NOKButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)45
36.4%
46
63.6%
Q3 - 8:51ORLMISS Battie 4' Jump Shot45
35.1%
46
64.9%
Q3 - 9:02ORLHill Free Throw Technical (13 PTS)45
32.4%
46
67.6%
Q3 - 9:17NOKMason Layup (8 PTS) (Paul 6 AST)45
35.7%
45
64.3%
Q3 - 9:24ORLHoward Layup (7 PTS) (Arroyo 6 AST)43
32.5%
45
67.5%
Q3 - 9:36NOKPaul Foul Turnover (P2.T15)43
35.7%
43
64.3%
Q3 - 9:48ORLHill Traveling Turnover (P3.T12)43
39.3%
43
60.7%
Q3 - 9:59ORLMAGIC Rebound43
35.7%
43
64.3%
Q3 - 10:01ORLMISS Hill Driving Layup43
37.9%
43
62.1%
Q3 - 10:15ORLBattie REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)43
35.4%
43
64.6%
Q3 - 10:17NOKMISS Mason Free Throw 2 of 243
35.9%
43
64.1%
Q3 - 10:17NOKMISS Mason Free Throw 1 of 243
37.9%
43
62.1%
Q3 - 10:19ORLBattie Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T11)43
39.1%
43
60.9%
Q3 - 10:30NOKMason Driving Layup (6 PTS) (Paul 5 AST)43
35.4%
43
64.6%
Q3 - 10:36NOKArmstrong REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)41
32.5%
43
67.5%
Q3 - 10:38ORLMISS Battie 9' Jump Shot41
31.5%
43
68.5%
Q3 - 11:02ORLBattie REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)41
29.3%
43
70.7%
Q3 - 11:03ORLMISS Ariza Free Throw 2 of 241
32.0%
43
68.0%
Q3 - 11:03ORLMISS Ariza Free Throw 1 of 241
30.4%
43
69.6%
Q3 - 11:24NOKHoward STEAL (1 STL)41
29.3%
43
70.7%
Q3 - 11:43ORLBattie 7' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Howard 2 AST)41
32.4%
43
67.6%
Q2 - 0:00.0ORL41
35.4%
41
64.6%
Q2 - 0:03.0NOKJackson Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)41
36.0%
41
64.0%
Q2 - 0:03.0NOKJackson Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)40
35.5%
41
64.5%
Q2 - 0:05.0ORLArroyo Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T10)39
32.1%
41
67.9%
Q2 - 0:14.0ORLMISS Arroyo Free Throw Technical39
30.1%
41
69.9%
Q2 - 0:31.0NOKButler 27' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Paul 4 AST)39
30.1%
41
69.9%
Q2 - 0:41.0ORLArroyo 15' Jump Shot (6 PTS)36
24.1%
41
75.9%
Q2 - 0:57.0ORLHill REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)36
27.3%
39
72.7%
Q2 - 0:58.0NOKMISS Pargo 27' 3PT Jump Shot36
27.9%
39
72.1%
Q2 - 1:16NOKHornets Rebound36
29.3%
39
70.7%
Q2 - 1:16NOKMISS Jackson 18' Jump Shot36
28.3%
39
71.7%
Q2 - 1:24ORLArroyo 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS)36
29.3%
39
70.7%
Q2 - 1:37NOKButler 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Paul 3 AST)36
33.4%
37
66.6%
Q2 - 1:54ORLHill Free Throw 1 of 1 (12 PTS)33
26.7%
37
73.3%
Q2 - 1:59ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)33
33.4%
34
66.6%
Q2 - 2:01NOKMISS Mason 6' Hook Shot33
33.6%
34
66.4%
Q2 - 2:14NOKBass REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)33
35.4%
34
64.6%
Q2 - 2:15ORLMISS Arroyo 15' Jump Shot33
34.6%
34
65.4%
Q2 - 2:31NOKChandler 3 Second Violation Turnover (P2.T13)33
32.9%
34
67.1%
Q2 - 3:00ORLHoward Layup (5 PTS)33
35.4%
34
64.6%
Q2 - 3:02ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)33
38.0%
32
62.0%
Q2 - 3:03ORLMISS Battie 6' Hook Shot33
40.2%
32
59.8%
Q2 - 3:26NOKChandler REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)33
38.0%
32
62.0%
Q2 - 3:26NOKChandler Tip Shot (2 PTS)33
38.0%
32
62.0%
Q2 - 3:28NOKMISS Pargo Layup31
33.5%
32
66.5%
Q2 - 3:45ORLHoward Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T9)31
35.6%
32
64.4%
Q2 - 4:00NOKMason Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)31
32.6%
32
67.4%
Q2 - 4:00NOKMason Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)30
31.9%
32
68.1%
Q2 - 4:04ORLHill Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T8)29
30.1%
32
69.9%
Q2 - 4:07NOKBattie STEAL (1 STL)29
27.8%
32
72.2%
Q2 - 4:11ORLHill Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T7)29
30.1%
32
69.9%
Q2 - 4:15NOKDiener STEAL (1 STL)29
27.8%
32
72.2%
Q2 - 4:17NOKChandler REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)29
30.1%
32
69.9%
Q2 - 4:19NOKMISS Pargo 17' Jump Shot29
28.5%
32
71.5%
Q2 - 4:35ORLHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)29
30.1%
32
69.9%
Q2 - 4:35ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 229
30.9%
31
69.1%
Q2 - 4:35ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)29
30.1%
31
69.9%
Q2 - 4:35NOKMISS Paul 19' Jump Shot29
30.9%
31
69.1%
Q2 - 4:53NOKBass REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)29
32.6%
31
67.4%
Q2 - 4:55ORLMISS Arroyo 16' Jump Shot29
31.9%
31
68.1%
Q2 - 5:17NOKBass Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)29
30.1%
31
69.9%
Q2 - 5:17NOKBass Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)28
29.5%
31
70.5%
Q2 - 5:29ORLBattie REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)27
27.9%
31
72.1%
Q2 - 5:29ORLMISS Battie Tip Shot27
27.2%
31
72.8%
Q2 - 5:29ORLBattie Offensive Goaltending Turnover (P3.T6)27
27.9%
31
72.1%
Q2 - 5:29ORLBattie REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)27
25.5%
31
74.5%
Q2 - 5:29ORLMISS Dooling Layup27
27.2%
31
72.8%
Q2 - 5:54NOKPargo 27' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Paul 2 AST)27
25.5%
31
74.5%
Q2 - 6:00NOKBass REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)24
21.6%
31
78.4%
Q2 - 6:02ORLMISS Dooling 18' Jump Shot24
21.4%
31
78.6%
Q2 - 6:23NOKPargo Discontinue Dribble Turnover (P2.T10)24
19.9%
31
80.1%
Q2 - 6:33NOKChandler REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)24
22.0%
31
78.0%
Q2 - 6:34ORLMISS Arroyo 9' Running Jump Shot24
21.4%
31
78.6%
Q2 - 6:49NOKPargo 25' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Mason 1 AST)24
19.8%
31
80.2%
Q2 - 7:01ORLMilicic Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)21
17.5%
31
82.5%
Q2 - 7:01ORLMISS Milicic Free Throw 1 of 221
18.0%
30
82.0%
Q2 - 7:05ORLHill REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)21
17.4%
30
82.6%
Q2 - 7:08NOKMilicic BLOCK (1 BLK)21
17.8%
30
82.2%
Q2 - 7:13NOKBass REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)21
19.0%
30
81.0%
Q2 - 7:15ORLMISS Hill 18' Jump Shot21
18.5%
30
81.5%
Q2 - 7:29NOKButler Discontinue Dribble Turnover (P1.T9)21
17.3%
30
82.7%
Q2 - 7:45ORLBattie Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T5)21
19.0%
30
81.0%
Q2 - 8:10NOKPargo 16' Running Jump Shot (8 PTS)21
17.4%
30
82.6%
Q2 - 8:14NOKPargo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
16.2%
30
83.8%
Q2 - 8:18ORLMISS Battie Layup19
15.7%
30
84.3%
Q2 - 8:31NOKPargo Layup (6 PTS)19
14.6%
30
85.4%
Q2 - 8:45ORLHill REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)17
13.5%
30
86.5%
Q2 - 8:45ORLHill Layup (9 PTS)17
13.5%
30
86.5%
Q2 - 8:47ORLMISS Milicic Layup17
15.7%
28
84.3%
Q2 - 8:51NOKMilicic STEAL (2 STL)17
14.6%
28
85.4%
Q2 - 8:59NOKBass REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
16.2%
28
83.8%
Q2 - 9:02ORLMISS Milicic Free Throw 2 of 217
16.2%
28
83.8%
Q2 - 9:02ORLMISS Milicic Free Throw 1 of 217
15.5%
28
84.5%
Q2 - 9:14NOKPargo 21' Jump Shot (4 PTS)17
15.0%
28
85.0%
Q2 - 9:28ORLHill Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)15
13.8%
28
86.2%
Q2 - 9:28ORLHill Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)15
14.0%
27
86.0%
Q2 - 9:36NOKMilicic STEAL (1 STL)15
14.9%
26
85.1%
Q2 - 9:56ORLDooling Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T4)15
16.4%
26
83.6%
Q2 - 10:13NOKArmstrong Layup (2 PTS)15
15.1%
26
84.9%
Q2 - 10:14NOKArmstrong REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)13
14.1%
26
85.9%
Q2 - 10:17NOKMISS Butler 13' Jump Shot13
13.2%
26
86.8%
Q2 - 10:28NOKJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)13
14.1%
26
85.9%
Q2 - 10:31NOKMISS Butler 19' Jump Shot13
13.1%
26
86.9%
Q2 - 10:47ORLMilicic Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)13
14.1%
26
85.9%
Q2 - 11:03NOKArmstrong Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T6)13
13.0%
26
87.0%
Q2 - 11:07NOKJackson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)13
14.2%
26
85.8%
Q2 - 11:09ORLMISS Dooling 6' Jump Shot13
13.8%
26
86.2%
Q2 - 11:29NOKArmstrong Traveling Turnover (P1.T5)13
13.0%
26
87.0%
Q2 - 11:41NOKJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)13
14.2%
26
85.8%
Q2 - 11:42ORLMISS Diener 26' 3PT Jump Shot13
13.8%
26
86.2%
Q1 - 0:00.0ORL13
13.0%
26
87.0%
Q1 - 0:01.0NOKOutlaw STEAL (1 STL)13
13.4%
26
86.6%
Q1 - 0:18.0NOKPaul REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)13
14.2%
26
85.8%
Q1 - 0:20.0ORLMISS Milicic 20' Jump Shot13
14.0%
26
86.0%
Q1 - 0:31.0NOKJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)13
13.4%
26
86.6%
Q1 - 0:31.0NOKJohnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)12
13.1%
26
86.9%
Q1 - 0:31.0NOKHornets Rebound11
12.1%
26
87.9%
Q1 - 0:31.0ORLMISS Diener 27' 3PT Jump Shot11
11.8%
26
88.2%
Q1 - 0:39.0ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)11
11.3%
26
88.7%
Q1 - 0:42.0NOKMISS Pargo 24' 3PT Jump Shot11
11.5%
26
88.5%
Q1 - 0:54.0ORLOutlaw Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)11
12.1%
26
87.9%
Q1 - 0:54.0ORLOutlaw Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)11
12.5%
25
87.5%
Q1 - 1:11NOKPargo 10' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Paul 1 AST)11
13.5%
24
86.5%
Q1 - 1:15NOKJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)9
12.2%
24
87.8%
Q1 - 1:17ORLMISS Dooling 20' Jump Shot9
11.9%
24
88.1%
Q1 - 1:34ORLDooling REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)9
11.4%
24
88.6%
Q1 - 1:36NOKMISS Paul 9' Jump Shot9
11.6%
24
88.4%
Q1 - 1:50ORLMilicic Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)9
12.2%
24
87.8%
Q1 - 1:50ORLMISS Milicic Free Throw 1 of 29
12.5%
23
87.5%
Q1 - 2:12NOKPaul Driving Layup (5 PTS)9
12.5%
23
87.5%
Q1 - 2:25ORLDooling Traveling Turnover (P1.T2)7
11.5%
23
88.5%
Q1 - 2:42NOKPaul Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)7
10.6%
23
89.4%
Q1 - 2:47NOKPaul REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
8.9%
23
91.1%
Q1 - 2:49ORLMISS Ariza 20' Jump Shot4
8.7%
23
91.3%
Q1 - 2:58ORLBattie REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)4
8.2%
23
91.8%
Q1 - 3:01NOKMISS Jackson 9' Fadeaway Jumper4
8.9%
23
91.1%
Q1 - 3:18NOKMason REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
9.5%
23
90.5%
Q1 - 3:20ORLMISS Battie 14' Jump Shot4
9.2%
23
90.8%
Q1 - 3:32ORLBattie REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)4
8.6%
23
91.4%
Q1 - 3:33ORLMISS Dooling 20' Jump Shot4
9.2%
23
90.8%
Q1 - 3:57NOKMason Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)4
8.6%
23
91.4%
Q1 - 3:57NOKMISS Mason Free Throw 1 of 23
8.4%
23
91.6%
Q1 - 4:18ORLArroyo 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS)3
8.9%
23
91.1%
Q1 - 4:28ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)3
9.5%
21
90.5%
Q1 - 4:30NOKMISS Pargo 17' Jump Shot3
9.8%
21
90.2%
Q1 - 4:43ORLJump Ball Battie vs. Chandler: Tip to Paul3
10.5%
21
89.5%
Q1 - 4:45NOKHill STEAL (1 STL)3
9.5%
21
90.5%
Q1 - 5:01ORLBattie Slam Dunk (4 PTS) (Arroyo 5 AST)3
11.1%
21
88.9%
Q1 - 5:05ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)3
11.8%
19
88.2%
Q1 - 5:06NOKChandler REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)3
12.8%
19
87.2%
Q1 - 5:06NOKMISS Chandler Tip Shot3
12.1%
19
87.9%
Q1 - 5:08NOKMISS Paul Layup3
12.1%
19
87.9%
Q1 - 5:24ORLAriza 20' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Arroyo 4 AST)3
12.8%
19
87.2%
Q1 - 5:38ORLHill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)3
13.6%
17
86.4%
Q1 - 5:40NOKMISS Jackson 19' Jump Shot3
13.9%
17
86.1%
Q1 - 5:57ORLBattie 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Arroyo 3 AST)3
14.7%
17
85.3%
Q1 - 6:06ORLBattie REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)3
16.2%
15
83.8%
Q1 - 6:08NOKChandler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)3
17.4%
15
82.6%
Q1 - 6:08NOKMISS Chandler Tip Shot3
16.6%
15
83.4%
Q1 - 6:11NOKMISS Mason 7' Jump Shot3
16.6%
15
83.4%
Q1 - 6:23ORLAriza Driving Layup (8 PTS)3
17.4%
15
82.6%
Q1 - 6:36NOKJackson Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)3
18.5%
13
81.5%
Q1 - 6:36NOKJackson Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)2
18.3%
13
81.7%
Q1 - 6:37NOKJackson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)1
17.4%
13
82.6%
Q1 - 6:39NOKMISS Butler Layup1
16.6%
13
83.4%
Q1 - 6:57ORLAriza Tip Shot (6 PTS)1
17.4%
13
82.6%
Q1 - 6:58ORLAriza REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)1
18.5%
11
81.5%
Q1 - 6:59ORLMISS Hill Layup1
19.4%
11
80.6%
Q1 - 7:18ORLHill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)1
19.2%
11
80.8%
Q1 - 7:20NOKMISS Jackson 21' Jump Shot1
19.6%
11
80.4%
Q1 - 7:36ORLAriza 5' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Arroyo 2 AST)1
20.5%
11
79.5%
Q1 - 7:41ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)1
21.6%
9
78.4%
Q1 - 7:43NOKMISS Paul 19' Jump Shot1
22.0%
9
78.0%
Q1 - 8:03ORLHill Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)1
23.2%
9
76.8%
Q1 - 8:17ORLArroyo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)1
25.8%
6
74.2%
Q1 - 8:19NOKMISS Armstrong 18' Jump Shot1
26.3%
6
73.7%
Q1 - 8:40ORLHoward 5' Hook Shot (2 PTS)1
27.5%
6
72.5%
Q1 - 9:02NOKMason Foul Turnover (P2.T2)1
28.5%
4
71.5%
Q1 - 9:21ORLHill Layup (2 PTS) (Arroyo 1 AST)1
30.5%
4
69.5%
Q1 - 9:26ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)1
31.7%
2
68.3%
Q1 - 9:28NOKMISS Mason Driving Layup1
32.3%
2
67.7%
Q1 - 9:51ORLAriza Slam Dunk (2 PTS) (Hill 1 AST)1
33.8%
2
66.2%
Q1 - 9:54ORLArroyo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)1
35.1%
0
64.9%
Q1 - 9:56NOKMISS Butler 17' Jump Shot1
35.8%
0
64.2%
Q1 - 10:02NOKChandler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)1
37.0%
0
63.0%
Q1 - 10:04ORLMISS Hill 9' Running Hook Shot1
36.4%
0
63.6%
Q1 - 10:15ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)1
35.1%
0
64.9%
Q1 - 10:17NOKMISS Armstrong 18' Jump Shot1
35.7%
0
64.3%
Q1 - 10:28NOKChandler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)1
37.0%
0
63.0%
Q1 - 10:29ORLMISS Battie Layup1
36.4%
0
63.6%
Q1 - 10:46NOKMason Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)1
35.1%
0
64.9%
Q1 - 10:46NOKMISS Mason Free Throw 1 of 20
34.7%
0
65.3%
Q1 - 11:00NOKChandler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
35.3%
0
64.7%
Q1 - 11:01ORLMISS Hill 18' Jump Shot0
34.6%
0
65.4%
Q1 - 11:08ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
33.5%
0
66.5%
Q1 - 11:11ORLMISS Ariza 6' Hook Shot0
34.6%
0
65.4%
Q1 - 11:37NOKAriza STEAL (1 STL)0
33.5%
0
66.5%
Q1 - 12:00ORLJump Ball Howard vs. Chandler: Tip to Armstrong0
35.1%
0
64.9%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

NOK
1.00 50.0%
ORL
1.00 50.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
NOK
11
22
50%
ORL
18
31
58%
Midrange
NOK
7
34
21%
ORL
12
32
38%
3PT | Effective 3PT
NOK
6
9.0
9
67%
100%
ORL
3
4.5
10
30%
45%
Free Throws
NOK
29
38
76%
ORL
17
25
68%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
Hornets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
C. Paul1953%9.5 / 18
J. Pargo1653%8.0 / 15
R. Butler1568%7.5 / 11
D. Mason1439%7.0 / 18
M. Jackson1146%5.5 / 12
T. Chandler233%1.0 / 3
H. Armstrong233%1.0 / 3
B. Bass2100%1.0 / 1
L. Johnson2100%1.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
ORL logo Magic
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
G. Hill2170%10.5 / 15
D. Howard1689%8.0 / 9
T. Ariza1454%7.0 / 13
T. Diener1381%6.5 / 8
C. Arroyo850%4.0 / 8
T. Battie630%3.0 / 10
D. Milicic422%2.0 / 9
K. Dooling213%1.0 / 8
B. Outlaw250%1.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

NOK
65
+16
-19
81
ORL
69
+17
-19
86
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

NOK
1.00 50.0%
ORL
1.00 50.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
104.6
105.1
NOK 98.8 +1.1
ORL 97.7
Pace
90.4
89.8
NOK 87.5 +2.9
ORL 84.6
Avg. Poss. Time
16.1
16.2
NOK 16.5 +0.6
ORL 17.0
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
47.9%
50.0%
NOK 41.5%
ORL 47.3% +5.8%
TO %
14.9%
18.0%
NOK 19.7%
ORL 18.4% +1.3%
ORB %
29.2%
29.3%
NOK 35.0%
ORL 35.1% +0.1%
FTrt
29.1
39.3
NOK 58.5 +24.3
ORL 34.2
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
51.7%
53.0%
NOK 50.0% +1.5%
ORL 48.5%
STL %
7.0%
7.6%
NOK 11.9% +2.8%
ORL 9.1%
BLK %
6.9%
8.5%
NOK 7.9%
ORL 8.9% +1.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.16 and 2.16.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
50.7%
53.0%
NOK 50.0%
ORL 50.0%
Rim FG%
56.2%
61.6%
NOK 50.0%
ORL 58.1% +8.1%
Mid FG%
38.2%
38.3%
NOK 20.6%
ORL 37.5% +16.9%
3P %
36.2%
35.6%
NOK 66.7% +36.7%
ORL 30.0%
FT %
74.0%
70.2%
NOK 76.3% +8.3%
ORL 68.0%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
37.2%
40.1%
NOK 33.8%
ORL 42.5% +8.6%
Mid Att. %
44.0%
44.1%
NOK 52.3%
ORL 43.8% +8.5%
3P Att. %
18.8%
15.8%
NOK 13.8% +0.1%
ORL 13.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsNOKORL
Possessions8488
Possession Minutes23.025.0
Points8386
Rebounds3839
Assists1216
Steals108
Blocks55
Turnovers (Team)19 (1)19 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)14 (2)13 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)24 (1)26 (3)
Field Goals24-6533-73
At-the-Rim FG11-2218-31
Midrange FG7-3412-32
2-Point FG18-5630-63
3-Point FG6-93-10
Free Throws29-3817-25
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'5" 222 · 29
43.6
14
39%
5
1
4
0
4
3
3
2
8-12
67%
3-12
25%
0-0
-
G · 6'0" 175 · 22
43.0
19
53%
5
10
1
0
2
3
1
4
9-11
82%
5-14
36%
0-0
-
G · 6'7" 215 · 28
38.0
15
68%
2
0
0
0
1
2
0
2
1-3
33%
1-5
20%
4-5
80%
C · 7'1" 240 · 24
29.1
2
33%
11
0
2
4
4
5
6
5
0-0
-
1-3
33%
0-0
-
F · 6'11" 235 · 22
14.1
2
33%
2
0
1
0
2
3
1
1
0-0
-
1-3
33%
0-0
-
G · 6'1" 185 · 27
34.3
16
53%
2
1
1
1
4
1
0
2
2-2
100%
4-10
40%
2-4
50%
F · 6'10" 253 · 32
22.5
11
46%
3
0
1
0
2
4
2
1
5-6
83%
3-9
33%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 250 · 22
9.0
2
100%
5
0
0
0
0
0
0
5
2-2
100%
0-0
-
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 205 · 27
6.5
2
100%
3
0
0
0
0
3
1
2
2-2
100%
0-0
-
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 235 · 21
F · 6'8" 225 · 23
#8 · G · 6'1" 185 · 34
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#30 · F · 6'9" 250 · 26
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#16 · F · 6'10" 229 · 30
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
83
50%
38
12
10
5
19
0
14
24
29-38
76%
18-56
32%
6-9
67%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.