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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
December 20, 2006
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
28Hornets40%8683
22Magic60%8986
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Desmond Mason
G · 6'5" 222 · 29.2
43.6
33.1
14
41%
5
1
4
1
0
4
3
2
8-12
67%
3-12
4-10
25%
43%
0-0
-
Chris Paul
G · 6'0" 175 · 21.6
43.0
40.9
19
50%
5
10
1
2
0
2
1
4
9-11
82%
5-14
7-14
36%
48%
0-0
-
Rasual Butler
F · 6'7" 215 · 27.6
38.0
35.9
15
66%
2
0
0
1
0
1
0
2
1-3
33%
1-5
3-8
20%
43%
4-5
80%
Tyson Chandler
C · 7'1" 240 · 24.2
29.1
31.0
2
33%
11
0
2
1
4
4
6
5
0-0
-
1-3
2-4
33%
55%
0-0
-
Hilton Armstrong
F-C · 6'11" 235 · 22.1
14.1
12.9
2
33%
2
0
1
0
0
2
1
1
0-0
-
1-3
2-3
33%
49%
0-0
-
Jannero Pargo
G · 6'1" 185 · 27.2
34.3
30.8
16
54%
2
1
1
1
1
4
0
2
2-2
100%
4-10
3-8
40%
40%
2-4
50%
Marc Jackson
F · 6'10" 253 · 31.9
22.5
18.1
11
47%
3
0
1
0
0
2
2
1
5-6
83%
3-9
3-7
33%
44%
0-0
-
Brandon Bass
F · 6'8" 250 · 21.6
9.0
3.0
2
114%
5
0
0
0
0
0
0
5
2-2
100%
0-0
0-1
-
45%
0-0
-
Linton Johnson
F · 6'8" 205 · 26.5
6.5
15.3
2
114%
3
0
0
1
0
0
1
2
2-2
100%
0-0
1-3
-
44%
0-0
-
Cedric Simmons
F · 6'9" 235 · 21.0
12.4
0
1-3
45%
Marcus Vinicius
F · 6'8" 225 · 22.6
2.4
0
0-0
43%
Bobby Jackson
G · 6'1" 185 · 33.8
David West
F · 6'9" 250 · 26.3
Peja Stojakovic
F · 6'10" 229 · 29.5
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Grant Hill
F · 6'8" 225 · 34.2
36.0
24.3
21
65%
7
1
1
1
0
3
2
5
7-7
100%
7-13
4-8
54%
51%
0-0
-
Dwight Howard
C · 6'11" 265 · 21.0
34.7
35.1
16
87%
13
3
1
1
2
4
3
10
4-5
80%
6-7
6-10
86%
55%
0-0
-
Trevor Ariza
F-G · 6'8" 215 · 21.5
27.7
25.1
14
54%
2
3
1
1
0
1
1
1
0-2
0%
7-11
3-7
64%
48%
0-1
0%
Tony Battie
C · 6'11" 240 · 30.9
23.6
21.3
6
30%
8
0
1
0
0
4
4
4
0-0
-
3-10
2-5
30%
50%
0-0
-
Carlos Arroyo
G · 6'2" 200 · 27.4
23.5
21.5
8
47%
2
6
0
1
0
1
0
2
0-1
0%
4-8
3-8
50%
45%
0-0
-
Travis Diener
G · 6'1" 175 · 24.8
30.4
20.9
13
73%
1
1
1
1
0
1
1
0
2-2
100%
1-1
1-1
100%
44%
3-7
43%
Keyon Dooling
G · 6'3" 195 · 26.6
24.1
27.2
2
13%
1
1
0
1
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
1-6
3-7
17%
46%
0-2
0%
Darko Milicic
C · 7'0" 275 · 21.5
23.1
26.7
4
23%
1
0
2
1
2
3
0
1
2-6
33%
1-6
4-8
17%
48%
0-0
-
Bo Outlaw
F · 6'8" 220 · 35.7
13.3
6.7
2
53%
4
1
1
0
1
0
2
2
2-2
100%
0-1
1-1
0%
53%
0-0
-
Pat Garrity
F · 6'9" 238 · 30.3
3.6
5.8
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
46%
0-0
-
JJ Redick
G-F · 6'4" 200 · 22.5
13.4
0
1-3
44%
Keith Bogans
G-F · 6'5" 215 · 26.6
10.1
0
1-1
44%
Jameer Nelson
G · 6'0" 190 · 24.9
Hedo Turkoglu
F · 6'10" 220 · 27.8
James Augustine
F · 6'10" 235 · 22.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.