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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
December 20, 2006
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
29Bobcats41%95109
26Knicks59%98111
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Raymond Felton
G · 6'1" 205 · 22.5
51.1
36.4
13
39%
6
16
1
1
1
3
0
6
1-2
50%
6-15
4-8
40%
43%
0-1
0%
Emeka Okafor
C · 6'10" 255 · 24.2
50.2
36.2
11
41%
13
2
1
1
3
1
4
9
1-1
100%
5-13
6-12
38%
47%
0-0
-
Gerald Wallace
F · 6'7" 220 · 24.4
48.7
35.5
28
60%
6
2
5
2
1
3
1
5
4-5
80%
9-16
5-9
56%
51%
2-5
40%
Derek Anderson
G · 6'5" 195 · 32.4
29.3
18.3
5
42%
3
3
0
1
0
2
2
1
0-0
-
1-3
1-2
33%
42%
1-3
33%
Primoz Brezec
C · 7'1" 255 · 27.2
28.7
18.0
21
65%
6
1
0
0
0
0
4
2
5-5
100%
8-14
3-7
57%
50%
0-0
-
Adam Morrison
F · 6'8" 205 · 22.4
29.1
31.1
14
39%
2
3
0
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
4-12
4-9
33%
44%
2-6
33%
Matt Carroll
G · 6'6" 212 · 26.3
25.4
14.0
15
58%
0
0
1
1
0
2
0
0
2-2
100%
5-7
2-3
71%
45%
1-5
20%
Melvin Ely
C-F · 6'10" 260 · 28.6
11.7
2.7
2
25%
3
0
0
0
0
0
2
1
0-0
-
1-4
0-1
25%
47%
0-0
-
Othella Harrington
F-C · 6'9" 235 · 32.9
9.7
3.2
0
0%
4
0
1
0
0
1
1
3
0-0
-
0-2
0-1
0%
48%
0-0
-
Jake Voskuhl
C · 6'11" 255 · 29.1
6.1
5.3
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
47%
0-0
-
Walter Herrmann
F · 6'9" 225 · 27.5
13.1
0
1-3
47%
Bernard Robinson
G-F · 6'6" 210 · 26.0
4.8
0
0-1
44%
Sean May
C-F · 6'9" 266 · 22.7
Brevin Knight
G · 5'10" 166 · 31.1
Ryan Hollins
C · 7'0" 240 · 22.2
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jamal Crawford
G · 6'5" 185 · 26.8
54.1
34.6
25
51%
6
9
1
1
0
2
2
4
3-3
100%
5-14
4-9
36%
46%
4-9
44%
Stephon Marbury
G · 6'2" 205 · 29.8
52.9
34.9
10
33%
5
9
1
1
0
1
0
5
6-7
86%
2-9
4-9
22%
48%
0-3
0%
Channing Frye
F · 6'11" 255 · 23.6
50.4
29.6
30
56%
6
1
1
1
2
1
0
6
2-2
100%
14-26
5-11
54%
48%
0-0
-
David Lee
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 23.6
49.2
34.7
10
56%
19
3
0
1
0
5
4
15
2-2
100%
4-8
5-9
50%
61%
0-0
-
Eddy Curry
C · 7'0" 295 · 24.0
46.9
26.2
29
72%
9
1
0
0
0
3
6
3
7-12
58%
11-15
6-10
73%
55%
0-0
-
Renaldo Balkman
F · 6'8" 225 · 22.4
22.5
16.7
3
26%
3
1
1
1
3
1
1
2
1-4
25%
1-3
2-3
33%
49%
0-1
0%
Kelvin Cato
C · 6'11" 275 · 32.3
8.3
7.4
3
52%
2
0
1
0
1
1
1
1
1-2
50%
1-2
1-2
50%
50%
0-0
-
Malik Rose
F · 6'7" 255 · 32.1
5.8
10.4
1
57%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
1-2
50%
0-0
1-2
-
43%
0-0
-
Jared Jeffries
F · 6'11" 240 · 25.1
20.8
1
2-4
48%
Nate Robinson
G · 5'9" 180 · 22.6
16.2
1
2-4
47%
Mardy Collins
G · 6'6" 220 · 22.4
4.0
0
1-1
47%
Jerome James
C · 7'1" 285 · 31.1
3.2
0
0-1
49%
Quentin Richardson
F · 6'6" 228 · 26.7
Steve Francis
G · 6'3" 210 · 29.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.