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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
December 20, 2006
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
9Cavaliers46%94111
14Nets54%96113
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Larry Hughes
G · 6'5" 185 · 27.9
40.5
32.7
19
50%
5
3
1
2
0
2
1
4
0-0
-
5-13
4-9
38%
44%
3-6
50%
LeBron James
F · 6'9" 250 · 22.0
40.2
37.6
37
59%
1
8
2
1
1
3
0
1
16-21
76%
9-19
7-15
47%
51%
1-3
33%
Zydrunas Ilgauskas
C · 7'3" 260 · 31.5
34.6
26.4
18
57%
11
4
1
1
0
2
5
6
4-4
100%
7-14
5-10
50%
48%
0-0
-
Drew Gooden
F · 6'10" 250 · 25.2
27.3
26.0
10
51%
9
0
1
1
0
2
6
3
2-2
100%
4-9
5-9
44%
49%
0-0
-
Eric Snow
G · 6'3" 205 · 33.7
26.7
27.7
4
34%
4
6
1
1
0
2
0
4
2-2
100%
1-5
2-5
20%
43%
0-0
-
Damon Jones
G · 6'3" 195 · 30.3
22.6
22.9
14
84%
0
0
2
0
0
0
0
0
3-3
100%
1-3
1-2
33%
47%
3-4
75%
Anderson Varejao
F · 6'11" 260 · 24.2
20.5
27.5
4
55%
5
0
1
1
0
1
3
2
4-6
67%
0-1
3-7
0%
52%
0-0
-
Donyell Marshall
F · 6'9" 245 · 33.6
16.5
15.0
3
39%
7
1
0
0
0
1
1
6
1-2
50%
1-1
1-3
100%
48%
0-2
0%
Daniel Gibson
G · 6'2" 200 · 20.8
9.3
15.9
2
35%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
2-2
100%
0-2
1-2
0%
45%
0-0
-
Sasha Pavlovic
G-F · 6'7" 235 · 23.1
1.8
5.3
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
43%
0-1
0%
Shannon Brown
G · 6'3" 215 · 21.1
6.8
0
1-2
43%
David Wesley
G · 6'1" 203 · 36.1
2.8
0
0-0
42%
Scot Pollard
C-F · 6'11" 278 · 31.9
Ira Newble
G-F · 6'7" 220 · 31.9
Dwayne Jones
F-C · 6'11" 248 · 23.5
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Vince Carter
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 29.9
39.1
38.1
38
73%
6
5
0
1
0
3
0
6
14-18
78%
6-13
6-12
46%
48%
4-5
80%
Richard Jefferson
F · 6'7" 233 · 26.5
38.4
31.9
14
73%
5
3
0
1
0
6
1
4
6-6
100%
4-6
4-8
67%
51%
0-1
0%
Jason Kidd
G · 6'4" 210 · 33.7
37.7
36.3
9
46%
8
10
3
2
1
1
1
7
1-2
50%
4-7
3-8
57%
44%
0-2
0%
Jason Collins
C · 7'0" 255 · 28.0
32.1
13.5
9
68%
1
0
0
0
0
2
0
1
3-6
50%
3-4
1-1
75%
41%
0-0
-
Nenad Krstic
C · 7'0" 240 · 23.4
31.6
32.5
18
80%
3
2
0
0
1
2
1
2
2-3
67%
8-10
7-13
80%
52%
0-0
-
Mikki Moore
F-C · 7'0" 225 · 31.1
17.5
16.3
2
53%
5
1
0
0
2
1
2
3
2-2
100%
0-1
2-3
0%
53%
0-0
-
Hassan Adams
F · 6'4" 220 · 22.5
14.4
15.4
6
75%
3
1
0
1
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
3-4
2-5
75%
47%
0-0
-
Marcus Williams
G · 6'3" 205 · 21.0
10.3
14.7
5
63%
1
2
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
46%
1-2
50%
Eddie House
G · 6'1" 190 · 28.6
8.7
9.6
5
42%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-4
1-2
25%
43%
1-2
50%
Bostjan Nachbar
F · 6'9" 221 · 26.5
8.3
11.1
7
70%
1
0
1
0
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
2-2
1-2
100%
42%
1-3
33%
Josh Boone
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 22.1
1.9
1.4
0
0%
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
48%
0-0
-
Antoine Wright
F-G · 6'7" 215 · 22.9
0.1
20.3
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
2-3
-
46%
0-0
-
Mile Ilic
C · 7'1" 255 · 22.5
Jeff McInnis
G · 6'4" 190 · 32.2
Clifford Robinson
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 40.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.