FinalWin Prob.pScore
1247%99
95
2053%100
121
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
101.19490.7
MIL logo MIL
128.79497.6

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

BucksHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

BucksHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIAMIL
Q4 - 0:00.0MIL95
0%
121
100%
Q4 - 0:19.0MIAWright Layup (14 PTS)95
0%
121
100%
Q4 - 0:33.0MILMarkota 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Blake 2 AST)93
0%
121
100%
Q4 - 0:45.0MIAWright Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)93
0%
119
100%
Q4 - 0:45.0MIAWright Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)92
0%
119
100%
Q4 - 0:59.0MIABarron REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)91
0%
119
100%
Q4 - 1:00MILMISS Noel 22' Jump Shot91
0%
119
100%
Q4 - 1:20MIAWright Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)91
0%
119
100%
Q4 - 1:20MIAWright Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)90
0%
119
100%
Q4 - 1:21MIAWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)89
0%
119
100%
Q4 - 1:23MILMISS Ilyasova 17' Jump Shot89
0%
119
100%
Q4 - 1:46MIAKapono 28' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Hite 2 AST)89
0%
119
100%
Q4 - 2:12MILBell 26' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS)86
0%
119
100%
Q4 - 2:37MIABarron 21' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Hite 1 AST)86
0.1%
116
99.9%
Q4 - 2:53MILIlyasova 27' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Williams 10 AST)84
0.1%
116
99.9%
Q4 - 3:05MIAWalker Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)84
0.1%
113
99.9%
Q4 - 3:05MIAMISS Walker Free Throw 1 of 283
0.1%
113
99.9%
Q4 - 3:22MILIlyasova Layup (2 PTS)83
0.1%
113
99.9%
Q4 - 3:47MIABarron Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)83
0.1%
111
99.9%
Q4 - 3:47MIABarron Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)82
0.1%
111
99.9%
Q4 - 3:50MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)81
0.1%
111
99.9%
Q4 - 3:54MILMISS Redd 24' 3PT Jump Shot81
0.1%
111
99.9%
Q4 - 3:59MILSkinner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)81
0.1%
111
99.9%
Q4 - 4:02MIAMISS Posey 12' Jump Shot81
0.1%
111
99.9%
Q4 - 4:22MILBell 27' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Williams 9 AST)81
0.1%
111
99.9%
Q4 - 4:35MILVillanueva REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)81
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 4:37MIAMISS Kapono 17' Jump Shot81
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 4:51MILVillanueva 7' Hook Shot (16 PTS)81
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 5:07MIAWalker Layup (12 PTS)81
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 5:10MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)79
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 5:12MIAMISS Wade 16' Jump Shot79
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 5:25MILBell 25' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Williams 8 AST)79
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 5:39MILVillanueva REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)79
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 5:41MIAMISS Walker Layup79
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 5:44MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)79
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 5:46MIAMISS Walker 25' 3PT Jump Shot79
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 6:09MILBell 21' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Redd 2 AST)79
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 6:21MIAWade 28' 3PT Jump Shot (27 PTS)79
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 6:30MILWilliams Bad Pass Turnover (P5.T10)76
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 6:35MILVillanueva REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)76
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 6:36MIAMISS Kapono Layup76
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 6:54MILWilliams 28' 3PT Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Bell 4 AST)76
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 7:12MIAWade Dunk (24 PTS) (Posey 1 AST)76
0.2%
98
99.8%
Q4 - 7:27MILRedd Free Throw 2 of 2 (28 PTS)74
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 7:27MILRedd Free Throw 1 of 2 (27 PTS)74
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 7:29MIARedd STEAL (1 STL)74
0.2%
96
99.8%
Q4 - 7:40MILVillanueva 28' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Williams 7 AST)74
0.2%
96
99.8%
Q4 - 7:57MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS)74
0.4%
93
99.6%
Q4 - 7:57MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 273
0.4%
93
99.6%
Q4 - 8:11MILBell 18' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Williams 6 AST)73
0.6%
93
99.4%
Q4 - 8:16MILWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:10)73
0.8%
91
99.2%
Q4 - 8:18MIAMISS Posey 26' 3PT Jump Shot73
0.9%
91
99.1%
Q4 - 8:30MILWilliams Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)73
1.0%
91
99.0%
Q4 - 8:30MILMISS Williams Free Throw 1 of 273
1.1%
90
98.9%
Q4 - 8:31MILSkinner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)73
1.0%
90
99.0%
Q4 - 8:34MIAMISS Haslem 18' Jump Shot73
1.1%
90
98.9%
Q4 - 9:11MILWilliams Layup (15 PTS)73
1.7%
90
98.3%
Q4 - 9:18MILVillanueva REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)73
2.2%
88
97.8%
Q4 - 9:23MIAMISS Posey 27' 3PT Jump Shot73
2.3%
88
97.7%
Q4 - 9:35MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)73
2.7%
88
97.3%
Q4 - 9:36MILMISS Williams Layup73
2.5%
88
97.5%
Q4 - 10:00MIAWalker Layup (10 PTS) (Kapono 1 AST)73
2.1%
88
97.9%
Q4 - 10:25MILWilliams 17' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Bell 3 AST)71
2.1%
88
97.9%
Q4 - 10:31MILNoel REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)71
2.6%
86
97.4%
Q4 - 10:33MIAMISS Wade 25' 3PT Jump Shot71
2.8%
86
97.2%
Q4 - 11:00MILVillanueva 26' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Williams 5 AST)71
3.3%
86
96.7%
Q4 - 11:10MILVillanueva REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)71
5.6%
83
94.4%
Q4 - 11:13MIAMISS Walker 4' Jump Shot71
6.0%
83
94.0%
Q4 - 11:24MIAKapono REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)71
7.0%
83
93.0%
Q4 - 11:26MILMISS Williams 19' Jump Shot71
6.5%
83
93.5%
Q4 - 11:34MILWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)71
5.6%
83
94.4%
Q4 - 11:35MIAMISS Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot71
6.0%
83
94.0%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIL71
6.9%
83
93.1%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAWalker Driving Layup (8 PTS)71
5.6%
83
94.4%
Q3 - 0:24.0MILVillanueva Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)69
5.3%
83
94.7%
Q3 - 0:24.0MILVillanueva Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)69
5.6%
82
94.4%
Q3 - 0:38.0MILNoel REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)69
6.5%
81
93.5%
Q3 - 0:40.0MIAMISS Wade 19' Jump Shot69
6.8%
81
93.2%
Q3 - 0:52.0MILVillanueva Driving Layup (6 PTS) (Williams 4 AST)69
7.8%
81
92.2%
Q3 - 1:01MIANoel STEAL (1 STL)69
10.4%
79
89.6%
Q3 - 1:03MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)69
12.5%
79
87.5%
Q3 - 1:05MIABogut BLOCK (3 BLK)69
11.0%
79
89.0%
Q3 - 1:21MIADoleac REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)69
12.4%
79
87.6%
Q3 - 1:22MILMISS Williams Layup69
11.8%
79
88.2%
Q3 - 1:34MILNoel REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)69
10.4%
79
89.6%
Q3 - 1:36MILMISS Bell Layup69
11.7%
79
88.3%
Q3 - 1:41MILWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)69
10.4%
79
89.6%
Q3 - 1:43MIAMISS Payton Layup69
10.9%
79
89.1%
Q3 - 2:02MILVillanueva Running Layup (4 PTS) (Bell 2 AST)69
13.3%
79
86.7%
Q3 - 2:14MILWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)69
15.3%
77
84.7%
Q3 - 2:16MIAMISS Walker 25' 3PT Jump Shot69
16.1%
77
83.9%
Q3 - 2:33MILBogut Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)69
18.1%
77
81.9%
Q3 - 2:33MILBogut Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)69
19.0%
76
81.0%
Q3 - 2:44MIAWalker 26' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Payton 4 AST)69
20.8%
75
79.2%
Q3 - 3:19MILVillanueva Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)66
16.4%
75
83.6%
Q3 - 3:19MILVillanueva Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)66
16.9%
74
83.1%
Q3 - 3:30MIADoleac Layup (6 PTS)66
18.8%
73
81.2%
Q3 - 3:31MIADoleac REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)64
16.3%
73
83.7%
Q3 - 3:33MIAMISS Walker Layup64
14.6%
73
85.4%
Q3 - 3:54MILRedd Free Throw 1 of 1 (26 PTS)64
16.3%
73
83.7%
Q3 - 3:58MIAPatterson STEAL (2 STL)64
21.6%
70
78.4%
Q3 - 4:19MILRedd Layup (23 PTS)64
25.8%
70
74.2%
Q3 - 4:22MILRedd REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)64
28.7%
68
71.3%
Q3 - 4:23MILMISS Patterson Layup64
31.6%
68
68.4%
Q3 - 4:26MIAPatterson STEAL (1 STL)64
28.7%
68
71.3%
Q3 - 4:31MIAWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)64
32.9%
68
67.1%
Q3 - 4:35MILMISS Redd 3PT Jump Shot64
31.6%
68
68.4%
Q3 - 4:42MILSkinner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)64
28.7%
68
71.3%
Q3 - 4:45MIAMISS Wade 15' Jump Bank Shot64
29.9%
68
70.1%
Q3 - 4:50MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)64
32.9%
68
67.1%
Q3 - 4:52MILMISS Redd 6' Jump Shot64
31.6%
68
68.4%
Q3 - 5:15MIADoleac 15' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Wade 8 AST)64
29.4%
68
70.6%
Q3 - 5:33MIAHeat Rebound62
26.3%
68
73.7%
Q3 - 5:34MILMISS Patterson Layup62
25.3%
68
74.7%
Q3 - 5:40MILWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)62
23.0%
68
77.0%
Q3 - 5:41MIAMISS Wade 16' Jump Shot62
23.9%
68
76.1%
Q3 - 5:54MIAHeat Rebound62
26.3%
68
73.7%
Q3 - 5:54MILMISS Bogut 15' Jump Shot62
25.2%
68
74.8%
Q3 - 6:26MIAWade 20' Jump Shot (21 PTS)62
23.7%
68
76.3%
Q3 - 6:42MILWilliams Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T9)60
21.1%
68
78.9%
Q3 - 6:51MIAMourning Foul Turnover (P1.T7)60
18.3%
68
81.7%
Q3 - 7:12MILBogut Layup (15 PTS)60
21.6%
68
78.4%
Q3 - 7:14MILBogut REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)60
23.9%
66
76.1%
Q3 - 7:15MILMISS Patterson Layup60
26.2%
66
73.8%
Q3 - 7:21MILWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)60
23.9%
66
76.1%
Q3 - 7:23MIAMISS Williams Layup60
24.9%
66
75.1%
Q3 - 7:27MILSkinner Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T8)60
27.3%
66
72.7%
Q3 - 7:39MIAWright 11' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Wade 7 AST)60
23.9%
66
76.1%
Q3 - 8:02MILWilliams Driving Layup (11 PTS) (Bogut 5 AST)58
22.2%
66
77.8%
Q3 - 8:13MILWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)58
24.5%
64
75.5%
Q3 - 8:15MIAMISS Wade 15' Jump Shot58
25.5%
64
74.5%
Q3 - 8:29MILWilliams Layup (9 PTS)58
27.8%
64
72.2%
Q3 - 8:33MIASkinner STEAL (1 STL)58
30.5%
62
69.5%
Q3 - 8:57MILBogut Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)58
34.2%
62
65.8%
Q3 - 8:57MILBogut Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)58
35.3%
61
64.7%
Q3 - 9:10MIAHaslem Foul Turnover (P1.T5)58
37.5%
60
62.5%
Q3 - 9:31MILRedd Layup (21 PTS) (Bogut 4 AST)58
41.1%
60
58.9%
Q3 - 9:44MIAWilliams Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T4)58
44.6%
58
55.4%
Q3 - 9:50MILWilliams Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T7)58
48.4%
58
51.6%
Q3 - 9:56MILSkinner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)58
44.6%
58
55.4%
Q3 - 9:58MIAMISS Mourning 13' Jump Shot58
45.7%
58
54.3%
Q3 - 10:12MIAWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)58
48.5%
58
51.5%
Q3 - 10:14MILMISS Williams 14' Jump Shot58
47.3%
58
52.7%
Q3 - 10:19MILBogut REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)58
44.5%
58
55.5%
Q3 - 10:21MIAMISS Wright 16' Jump Shot58
45.7%
58
54.3%
Q3 - 10:41MILRedd 3PT Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Williams 2 AST)58
48.4%
58
51.6%
Q3 - 10:51MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)58
55.1%
55
44.9%
Q3 - 10:51MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)57
54.5%
55
45.5%
Q3 - 11:08MILBogut 5' Hook Shot (11 PTS)56
51.8%
55
48.2%
Q3 - 11:24MILRedd REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)56
55.1%
53
44.9%
Q3 - 11:25MIAMISS Williams 26' 3PT Jump Shot56
56.2%
53
43.8%
Q3 - 11:44MIAWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)56
58.7%
53
41.3%
Q3 - 11:46MILMISS Redd 26' 3PT Jump Shot56
57.6%
53
42.4%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIL56
55.1%
53
44.9%
Q2 - 0:00.0MILBUCKS Rebound56
55.1%
53
44.9%
Q2 - 0:00.0MILMISS Patterson 40' 3PT Jump Shot56
57.6%
53
42.4%
Q2 - 0:02.0MIAPosey Alley Oop Dunk (2 PTS) (Wade 6 AST)56
55.4%
53
44.6%
Q2 - 0:11.0MILBlake 27' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Patterson 4 AST)54
51.1%
53
48.9%
Q2 - 0:29.0MIAKapono 15' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Payton 3 AST)54
58.7%
50
41.3%
Q2 - 0:43.0MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)52
54.5%
50
45.5%
Q2 - 0:45.0MILMISS Blake 22' Jump Shot52
53.8%
50
46.2%
Q2 - 1:04MIAHaslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)52
52.3%
50
47.7%
Q2 - 1:04MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)51
51.6%
50
48.4%
Q2 - 1:08MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)50
47.5%
50
52.5%
Q2 - 1:09MILMISS Redd Reverse Layup50
47.0%
50
53.0%
Q2 - 1:18MILBogut REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)50
45.8%
50
54.2%
Q2 - 1:20MIABogut BLOCK (2 BLK)50
46.4%
50
53.6%
Q2 - 1:44MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)50
47.5%
50
52.5%
Q2 - 1:45MILMISS Bogut Free Throw 2 of 250
47.3%
50
52.7%
Q2 - 1:45MILBogut Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)50
45.4%
50
54.6%
Q2 - 2:03MIAHaslem Dunk (6 PTS) (Wade 5 AST)50
48.3%
49
51.7%
Q2 - 2:11MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)48
45.0%
49
55.0%
Q2 - 2:13MILMISS Blake 3PT Jump Shot48
44.1%
49
55.9%
Q2 - 2:22MILSkinner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)48
42.1%
49
57.9%
Q2 - 2:24MIAMISS Kapono 24' 3PT Jump Shot48
43.0%
49
57.0%
Q2 - 2:39MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)48
44.9%
49
55.1%
Q2 - 2:40MILMISS Patterson Free Throw 2 of 248
44.5%
49
55.5%
Q2 - 2:40MILPatterson Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)48
42.9%
49
57.1%
Q2 - 3:03MIAHaslem 14' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Williams 4 AST)48
44.9%
48
55.1%
Q2 - 3:19MILPatterson Layup (5 PTS)46
42.3%
48
57.7%
Q2 - 3:40MIAKapono Foul Turnover (P1.T3)46
44.9%
46
55.1%
Q2 - 4:02MILBlake 27' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Bogut 3 AST)46
47.9%
46
52.1%
Q2 - 4:20MIAKapono 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)46
53.7%
43
46.3%
Q2 - 4:38MILPatterson Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)43
47.9%
43
52.1%
Q2 - 4:38MILMISS Patterson Free Throw 1 of 243
48.9%
42
51.1%
Q2 - 4:39MILPatterson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)43
47.9%
42
52.1%
Q2 - 4:41MILMISS Blake 20' Jump Shot43
49.9%
42
50.1%
Q2 - 4:55MIAWade 16' Jump Shot (17 PTS)43
47.9%
42
52.1%
Q2 - 5:10MILPatterson Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)41
45.2%
42
54.8%
Q2 - 5:10MILPatterson Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)41
46.2%
41
53.8%
Q2 - 5:25MIAMourning 5' Hook Shot (3 PTS)41
47.8%
40
52.2%
Q2 - 5:28MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)39
45.2%
40
54.8%
Q2 - 5:31MIAMISS Kapono 24' 3PT Jump Shot39
43.1%
40
56.9%
Q2 - 5:50MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)39
45.2%
40
54.8%
Q2 - 5:52MILMISS Patterson 13' Jump Shot39
44.3%
40
55.7%
Q2 - 6:06MIAWade 16' Jump Bank Shot (15 PTS) (Walker 2 AST)39
42.2%
40
57.8%
Q2 - 6:14MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)37
40.1%
40
59.9%
Q2 - 6:16MILMISS Bell 27' 3PT Jump Shot37
39.1%
40
60.9%
Q2 - 6:45MIAKapono 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)37
36.9%
40
63.1%
Q2 - 6:50MILRedd Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T6)34
32.5%
40
67.5%
Q2 - 7:00MILGadzuric REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)34
29.6%
40
70.4%
Q2 - 7:02MIAMISS Walker 27' 3PT Jump Shot34
31.3%
40
68.7%
Q2 - 7:24MILRedd 24' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Blake 1 AST)34
32.9%
40
67.1%
Q2 - 7:27MILBlake REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)34
37.6%
37
62.4%
Q2 - 7:29MILGadzuric REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)34
37.6%
37
62.4%
Q2 - 7:29MILMISS Gadzuric Tip Shot34
39.4%
37
60.6%
Q2 - 7:30MILMISS Villanueva Layup34
39.4%
37
60.6%
Q2 - 7:31MILVillanueva REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)34
37.6%
37
62.4%
Q2 - 7:33MILMISS Gadzuric 4' Jump Shot34
39.4%
37
60.6%
Q2 - 7:48MIAWade Layup (13 PTS)34
37.6%
37
62.4%
Q2 - 7:57MIADoleac REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)32
35.3%
37
64.7%
Q2 - 7:59MILMISS Bell 27' 3PT Jump Shot32
34.5%
37
65.5%
Q2 - 8:12MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)32
32.8%
37
67.2%
Q2 - 8:12MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 231
32.4%
37
67.6%
Q2 - 8:25MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)31
33.1%
37
66.9%
Q2 - 8:28MILMISS Redd 25' 3PT Jump Shot31
32.3%
37
67.7%
Q2 - 8:40MILWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)31
30.5%
37
69.5%
Q2 - 8:42MILMISS Williams 22' Jump Shot31
32.3%
37
67.7%
Q2 - 9:00MIAWade Layup (10 PTS)31
30.6%
37
69.4%
Q2 - 9:14MILNoel 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS)29
29.0%
37
71.0%
Q2 - 9:33MIABell STEAL (1 STL)29
30.8%
35
69.2%
Q2 - 9:35MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)29
33.3%
35
66.7%
Q2 - 9:36MILMISS Bell 17' Jump Shot29
32.5%
35
67.5%
Q2 - 9:50MILBUCKS Rebound29
30.8%
35
69.2%
Q2 - 9:52MIAMISS Doleac 17' Jump Shot29
31.6%
35
68.4%
Q2 - 10:11MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)29
33.4%
35
66.6%
Q2 - 10:13MILMISS Villanueva 18' Jump Shot29
32.7%
35
67.3%
Q2 - 10:33MIAWalker 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Payton 2 AST)29
31.0%
35
69.0%
Q2 - 10:43MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)26
27.1%
35
72.9%
Q2 - 10:45MILMISS Williams 19' Jump Shot26
26.5%
35
73.5%
Q2 - 10:56MIADoleac Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)26
25.0%
35
75.0%
Q2 - 10:56MIADoleac Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)25
24.6%
35
75.4%
Q2 - 11:12MILBell 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Villanueva 2 AST)24
23.6%
35
76.4%
Q2 - 11:26MIAPayton 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Walker 1 AST)24
27.2%
32
72.8%
Q2 - 11:47MILWilliams 15' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Bell 1 AST)22
25.3%
32
74.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA22
27.2%
30
72.8%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAHeat Rebound22
29.2%
30
70.8%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Wright 16' Jump Shot22
27.8%
30
72.2%
Q1 - 0:04.0MILRedd Foul Turnover (P2.T5)22
29.1%
30
70.9%
Q1 - 0:25.0MILRedd REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)22
27.7%
30
72.3%
Q1 - 0:26.0MIAMISS Payton Free Throw 2 of 222
27.9%
30
72.1%
Q1 - 0:26.0MIAMISS Payton Free Throw 1 of 222
29.2%
30
70.8%
Q1 - 0:30.0MILWilliams Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T4)22
29.1%
30
70.9%
Q1 - 0:46.0MIAWade Palming Turnover (P1.T1)22
27.7%
30
72.3%
Q1 - 0:55.0MILRedd Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T3)22
29.2%
30
70.8%
Q1 - 1:16MILVillanueva REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
27.8%
30
72.2%
Q1 - 1:18MIAMISS Posey 25' 3PT Jump Shot22
28.2%
30
71.8%
Q1 - 1:24MIAPayton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
29.3%
30
70.7%
Q1 - 1:26MILMISS Villanueva 19' Jump Shot22
28.8%
30
71.2%
Q1 - 1:49MIAWade Layup (8 PTS) (Haslem 2 AST)22
27.8%
30
72.2%
Q1 - 1:58MILRedd Free Throw 1 of 1 (13 PTS)20
25.5%
30
74.5%
Q1 - 2:12MIAWade 3' Hook Shot (6 PTS) (Payton 1 AST)20
29.9%
27
70.1%
Q1 - 2:30MILWilliams 26' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Bogut 2 AST)18
27.8%
27
72.2%
Q1 - 2:42MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)18
31.8%
24
68.2%
Q1 - 2:42MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)17
31.5%
24
68.5%
Q1 - 2:57MILRedd Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)16
29.7%
24
70.3%
Q1 - 2:57MILRedd Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)16
29.9%
23
70.1%
Q1 - 3:19MIAWright 15' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Williams 3 AST)16
32.0%
22
68.0%
Q1 - 3:34MILBogut 14' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Redd 1 AST)14
30.3%
22
69.7%
Q1 - 3:48MIAWright Reverse Layup (4 PTS) (Mourning 1 AST)14
32.0%
20
68.0%
Q1 - 4:06MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)12
30.7%
20
69.3%
Q1 - 4:08MILMISS Redd 4' Layup12
30.0%
20
70.0%
Q1 - 4:15MILRedd REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
28.4%
20
71.6%
Q1 - 4:16MIAMISS Haslem 12' Jump Shot12
29.1%
20
70.9%
Q1 - 4:33MILWilliams 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Bogut 1 AST)12
30.7%
20
69.3%
Q1 - 4:50MIAWright 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Haslem 1 AST)12
32.2%
18
67.8%
Q1 - 5:11MILRedd 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)10
31.1%
18
68.9%
Q1 - 5:15MILWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)10
34.6%
15
65.4%
Q1 - 5:17MIABogut BLOCK (1 BLK)10
35.3%
15
64.7%
Q1 - 5:23MIAWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
36.7%
15
63.3%
Q1 - 5:26MILMISS Patterson Layup10
36.1%
15
63.9%
Q1 - 5:32MILSkinner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)10
34.6%
15
65.4%
Q1 - 5:34MIAMISS Wade Reverse Layup10
35.3%
15
64.7%
Q1 - 5:42MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)10
36.7%
15
63.3%
Q1 - 5:44MILMISS Skinner Layup10
36.1%
15
63.9%
Q1 - 5:52MILBogut REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)10
34.6%
15
65.4%
Q1 - 5:53MIAMISS Mourning Layup10
35.2%
15
64.8%
Q1 - 6:01MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)10
36.9%
15
63.1%
Q1 - 6:03MIAMISS Wright 18' Jump Shot10
35.5%
15
64.5%
Q1 - 6:21MILSkinner 7' Hook Shot (4 PTS)10
36.9%
15
63.1%
Q1 - 6:32MILBogut REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)10
38.7%
13
61.3%
Q1 - 6:34MIAMISS Williams 14' Jump Shot10
39.3%
13
60.7%
Q1 - 6:47MILWilliams Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)10
40.7%
13
59.3%
Q1 - 6:54MILSkinner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
38.7%
13
61.3%
Q1 - 6:55MIAMISS Wade 14' Jump Shot10
39.3%
13
60.7%
Q1 - 7:12MILBogut 21' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Patterson 3 AST)10
41.0%
13
59.0%
Q1 - 7:32MIAHaslem 14' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Williams 2 AST)10
42.7%
11
57.3%
Q1 - 7:40MIAWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
41.0%
11
59.0%
Q1 - 7:42MILMISS Williams 16' Jump Shot8
40.4%
11
59.6%
Q1 - 7:52MILRedd Free Throw Technical (5 PTS)8
39.0%
11
61.0%
Q1 - 8:06MILWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)8
41.1%
10
58.9%
Q1 - 8:07MIAMISS Mourning 14' Jump Shot8
41.7%
10
58.3%
Q1 - 8:28MILBogut Dunk (4 PTS) (Patterson 2 AST)8
43.1%
10
56.9%
Q1 - 8:40MILBUCKS Rebound8
44.8%
8
55.2%
Q1 - 8:41MIAMISS Haslem 15' Jump Shot8
45.4%
8
54.6%
Q1 - 8:53MILRedd 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS)8
46.9%
8
53.1%
Q1 - 9:09MIAMourning Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)8
48.2%
6
51.8%
Q1 - 9:09MIAMISS Mourning Free Throw 1 of 27
47.6%
6
52.4%
Q1 - 9:22MILBogut Foul Turnover (P1.T1)7
48.7%
6
51.3%
Q1 - 9:35MIAWade Alley Oop Dunk (2 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)7
46.3%
6
53.7%
Q1 - 9:50MILBogut 5' Hook Shot (2 PTS)5
45.0%
6
55.0%
Q1 - 9:51MILBogut REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)5
46.3%
4
53.7%
Q1 - 9:53MILMISS Patterson Layup5
48.0%
4
52.0%
Q1 - 9:56MILPatterson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
46.3%
4
53.7%
Q1 - 9:59MIASkinner BLOCK (1 BLK)5
47.1%
4
52.9%
Q1 - 10:14MILSkinner Layup (2 PTS) (Patterson 1 AST)5
48.5%
4
51.5%
Q1 - 10:17MILBUCKS Rebound5
50.1%
2
49.9%
Q1 - 10:17MILMISS Skinner Hook Shot5
51.6%
2
48.4%
Q1 - 10:41MIAWilliams Layup (5 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)5
50.1%
2
49.9%
Q1 - 10:47MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)3
48.5%
2
51.5%
Q1 - 10:49MILMISS Williams Layup3
47.8%
2
52.2%
Q1 - 10:54MILWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)3
46.3%
2
53.7%
Q1 - 10:55MIAMISS Mourning Hook Shot3
47.0%
2
53.0%
Q1 - 11:14MILRedd 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Skinner 1 AST)3
48.2%
2
51.8%
Q1 - 11:37MIAWilliams 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)3
50.2%
0
49.8%
Q1 - 12:00MILJump Ball Bogut vs. Mourning: Tip to Williams0
46.4%
0
53.6%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.06 52.8%
MIL
1.26 63.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
16
29
55%
MIL
15
31
48%
Midrange
MIA
12
30
40%
MIL
14
29
48%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
7
10.5
18
39%
58%
MIL
14
21.0
22
64%
95%
Free Throws
MIA
18
24
75%
MIL
21
25
84%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Wade2759%13.5 / 23
D. Wright1470%7.0 / 10
A. Walker1350%6.5 / 13
J. Kapono1169%5.5 / 8
U. Haslem857%4.0 / 7
M. Doleac675%3.0 / 4
J. Williams536%2.5 / 7
E. Barron4100%2.0 / 2
A. Mourning325%1.5 / 6
J. Posey217%1.0 / 6
G. Payton233%1.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIL logo Bucks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
M. Redd2878%14.0 / 18
M. Williams1956%9.5 / 17
A. Bogut1785%8.5 / 10
C. Bell1680%8.0 / 10
C. Villanueva1680%8.0 / 10
R. Patterson627%3.0 / 11
S. Blake660%3.0 / 5
E. Ilyasova583%2.5 / 3
B. Skinner450%2.0 / 4
D. Noel250%1.0 / 2
D. Markota2100%1.0 / 1
D. Gadzuric0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
83
+7
-11
90
MIL
84
+11
-10
95
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.06 52.8%
MIL
1.26 63.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
104.2
107.1
MIA 101.1
MIL 128.7 +27.7
Pace
90.1
92.3
MIA 90.7
MIL 97.6 +6.9
Avg. Poss. Time
16.5
15.1
MIA 15.9
MIL 14.8 +1.1
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
50.6%
50.4%
MIA 50.0%
MIL 61.0% +11.0%
TO %
15.3%
15.7%
MIA 11.2%
MIL 9.7% +1.5%
ORB %
24.9%
27.8%
MIA 15.0%
MIL 24.3% +9.3%
FTrt
32.1
28.6
MIA 31.2 +0.7
MIL 30.5
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
57.6%
56.7%
MIA 71.4% +1.6%
MIL 69.8%
STL %
7.6%
7.7%
MIA 6.4%
MIL 6.4%
BLK %
8.8%
4.4%
MIA 8.3% +1.5%
MIL 6.8%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.31 and 2.31.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.4%
52.9%
MIA 52.8%
MIL 63.0% +10.2%
Rim FG%
61.8%
58.1%
MIA 55.2% +6.8%
MIL 48.4%
Mid FG%
40.5%
40.0%
MIA 40.0%
MIL 48.3% +8.3%
3P %
34.3%
35.6%
MIA 38.9%
MIL 63.6% +24.7%
FT %
69.0%
73.3%
MIA 75.0%
MIL 84.0% +9.0%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
34.9%
41.1%
MIA 37.7%
MIL 37.8% +0.1%
Mid Att. %
40.7%
37.0%
MIA 39.0%
MIL 35.4% +3.6%
3P Att. %
24.5%
21.9%
MIA 23.4%
MIL 26.8% +3.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.05 and 2.05.
Game TotalsMIAMIL
Possessions9494
Possession Minutes24.923.1
Points95121
Rebounds3443
Assists2530
Steals66
Blocks54
Turnovers (Team)11 (0)10 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)6 (1)9 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)28 (2)34 (2)
Field Goals35-7743-82
At-the-Rim FG16-2915-31
Midrange FG12-3014-29
2-Point FG28-5929-60
3-Point FG7-1814-22
Free Throws18-2421-25
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'4" 220 · 25
38.6
27
59%
1
8
2
0
3
4
0
1
6-8
75%
9-17
53%
1-2
50%
F · 6'8" 235 · 27
27.1
8
57%
6
2
1
0
1
4
2
4
2-2
100%
3-6
50%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 205 · 21
22.3
14
70%
5
0
0
1
2
0
0
5
4-4
100%
5-8
63%
0-0
-
G · 6'1" 180 · 31
19.9
5
36%
1
4
2
0
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-4
25%
1-3
33%
C · 6'10" 261 · 37
19.3
3
25%
3
1
0
3
1
4
1
2
1-2
50%
1-5
20%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 245 · 30
28.3
13
50%
8
2
0
0
2
3
2
6
1-2
50%
3-7
43%
2-5
40%
F · 6'8" 215 · 26
25.5
11
69%
1
1
0
0
1
4
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
33%
3-5
60%
F · 6'8" 217 · 30
24.8
2
17%
4
1
1
1
0
0
0
4
0-0
-
1-3
33%
0-3
0%
C · 6'11" 262 · 30
14.3
6
75%
3
0
0
0
0
2
1
2
2-2
100%
2-3
67%
0-0
-
G · 6'4" 190 · 38
12.5
2
33%
1
4
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-2
0%
1-2
50%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 184 · 23
3.8
0
0%
0
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
F-C · 7'0" 250 · 25
3.8
4
100%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
1-1
100%
0-0
-
#25 · F · 6'9" 250 · 24
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#11 · G · 6'2" 175 · 23
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#32 · C · 7'1" 325 · 35
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
95
53%
34
25
6
5
11
0
6
28
18-24
75%
28-59
47%
7-18
39%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.