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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
December 20, 2006
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
12Heat47%9995
20Bucks53%100121
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 24.9
38.6
38.8
27
60%
1
8
2
2
0
3
0
1
6-8
75%
9-17
10-19
53%
51%
1-2
50%
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 26.5
27.1
28.6
8
58%
6
2
1
1
0
1
2
4
2-2
100%
3-6
4-8
50%
52%
0-0
-
Dorell Wright
F-G · 6'9" 205 · 21.0
22.3
26.6
14
72%
5
0
0
1
1
2
0
5
4-4
100%
5-8
3-7
63%
48%
0-0
-
Jason Williams
G · 6'1" 180 · 31.1
19.9
26.8
5
36%
1
4
2
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-4
2-4
25%
49%
1-3
33%
Alonzo Mourning
C · 6'10" 261 · 36.9
19.3
26.0
3
26%
3
1
0
0
3
1
1
2
1-2
50%
1-5
4-7
20%
57%
0-0
-
Antoine Walker
F · 6'9" 245 · 30.4
28.3
15.2
13
50%
8
2
0
0
0
2
2
6
1-2
50%
3-7
2-3
43%
49%
2-5
40%
Jason Kapono
F · 6'8" 215 · 25.9
25.5
20.3
11
69%
1
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
2-4
33%
44%
3-5
60%
James Posey
F · 6'8" 217 · 29.9
24.8
29.2
2
17%
4
1
1
1
1
0
0
4
0-0
-
1-3
1-2
33%
46%
0-3
0%
Michael Doleac
C · 6'11" 262 · 29.5
14.3
12.6
6
77%
3
0
0
0
0
0
1
2
2-2
100%
2-3
1-3
67%
45%
0-0
-
Gary Payton
G · 6'4" 190 · 38.4
12.5
11.4
2
35%
1
4
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-2
0%
1-2
1-2
50%
49%
0-0
-
Robert Hite
G · 6'2" 184 · 22.9
3.8
8.9
0
0%
0
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
45%
0-0
-
Earl Barron
F-C · 7'0" 250 · 25.3
3.8
2.0
4
106%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
1-1
0-1
100%
50%
0-0
-
Wayne Simien
F · 6'9" 250 · 23.8
Chris Quinn
G · 6'2" 175 · 23.2
Shaquille O'Neal
C · 7'1" 325 · 34.8
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Mo Williams
G · 6'1" 198 · 24.0
37.0
35.6
19
56%
11
10
0
1
0
5
1
10
1-2
50%
6-14
5-11
43%
48%
2-2
100%
Michael Redd
G · 6'6" 215 · 27.3
33.9
36.4
28
73%
4
2
1
1
0
3
1
3
7-7
100%
6-9
6-12
67%
49%
3-7
43%
Brian Skinner
F-C · 6'9" 255 · 30.6
28.6
16.9
4
50%
7
1
1
0
1
1
0
7
0-0
-
2-4
2-3
50%
50%
0-0
-
Andrew Bogut
C · 7'0" 260 · 22.1
27.8
31.5
17
88%
6
5
0
1
3
1
2
4
5-6
83%
6-7
4-8
86%
55%
0-0
-
Ruben Patterson
F · 6'5" 223 · 31.4
23.2
33.2
6
28%
2
4
2
1
0
0
1
1
4-6
67%
1-7
6-11
14%
54%
0-1
0%
Charlie Bell
G · 6'3" 200 · 27.8
25.3
29.6
16
80%
0
4
1
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
2-4
3-6
50%
47%
4-6
67%
Charlie Villanueva
F · 6'11" 232 · 22.3
21.0
26.8
16
82%
7
2
0
1
0
0
1
6
4-4
100%
3-6
5-9
50%
52%
2-2
100%
David Noel
F-G · 6'6" 230 · 22.8
14.5
7.8
2
50%
3
0
1
0
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
1-2
1-1
50%
49%
0-0
-
Steve Blake
G · 6'3" 172 · 26.8
12.4
12.9
6
60%
1
2
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-2
1-1
0%
45%
2-3
67%
Dan Gadzuric
C · 6'11" 240 · 28.9
8.6
13.0
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
0-2
2-4
0%
53%
0-0
-
Ersan Ilyasova
F · 6'9" 235 · 19.6
3.8
3.0
5
83%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
0-1
50%
47%
1-1
100%
Damir Markota
F · 6'10" 225 · 21.0
3.8
0.6
2
100%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
0-0
100%
50%
0-0
-
Lynn Greer
G · 6'2" 175 · 27.2
Bobby Simmons
F · 6'6" 235 · 26.5
Chris McCray
G · 6'5" 192 · 22.6
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.