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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
December 20, 2006
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
4Rockets70%9487
27Trail Blazers30%8789
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Rafer Alston
G · 6'2" 175 · 30.4
44.9
35.4
20
55%
3
8
2
1
0
5
0
3
3-3
100%
4-10
3-6
40%
45%
3-7
43%
Yao Ming
C · 7'6" 310 · 26.3
40.0
37.1
34
66%
9
0
1
1
5
5
3
6
10-11
91%
12-21
10-19
57%
54%
0-0
-
Luther Head
G · 6'3" 185 · 24.1
38.3
36.1
17
50%
5
4
1
1
0
1
1
4
2-2
100%
3-10
2-5
30%
46%
3-6
50%
Shane Battier
F · 6'8" 220 · 28.3
37.3
37.0
2
25%
6
3
3
1
0
2
1
5
0-0
-
1-2
2-3
50%
53%
0-2
0%
Chuck Hayes
F-C · 6'6" 240 · 23.5
19.1
21.3
0
0%
4
0
0
1
1
0
3
1
0-0
-
0-1
2-4
0%
53%
0-0
-
Juwan Howard
F · 6'9" 250 · 33.9
26.9
25.0
8
82%
2
0
1
0
0
1
0
2
2-2
100%
3-4
3-7
75%
47%
0-0
-
Bonzi Wells
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 30.2
23.5
19.5
6
28%
6
1
2
1
0
0
3
3
2-2
100%
2-10
3-6
20%
48%
0-0
-
Scott Padgett
F · 6'9" 240 · 30.7
5.7
3.5
0
0%
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
43%
0-1
0%
Dikembe Mutombo
C · 7'2" 260 · 40.5
4.1
6.2
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
49%
0-0
-
Steve Novak
F · 6'10" 225 · 23.5
0.3
2.9
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
53%
0-0
-
Vassilis Spanoulis
G · 6'4" 195 · 24.4
7.1
0
1-1
47%
John Lucas III
G · 5'11" 166 · 24.1
4.1
0
0-1
46%
Bob Sura
G · 6'5" 200 · 33.7
Tracy McGrady
G-F · 6'8" 225 · 27.6
Kirk Snyder
F-G · 6'6" 225 · 23.5
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jarrett Jack
G · 6'3" 200 · 23.1
39.7
35.2
13
50%
2
6
2
1
0
1
0
2
2-2
100%
4-11
4-8
36%
49%
1-1
100%
Zach Randolph
F · 6'9" 250 · 25.4
36.4
33.3
24
50%
13
1
0
1
0
3
3
10
8-9
89%
8-18
8-17
44%
45%
0-2
0%
Joel Przybilla
C · 7'1" 245 · 27.2
24.8
19.5
4
50%
5
1
2
0
4
2
2
3
0-0
-
2-4
1-3
50%
52%
0-0
-
Ime Udoka
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 29.4
23.6
33.4
7
58%
7
2
4
1
0
2
2
5
0-0
-
2-4
2-4
50%
45%
1-2
50%
Martell Webster
F-G · 6'7" 230 · 20.0
23.5
22.8
7
48%
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
2-3
67%
1-3
1-3
33%
42%
1-3
33%
Brandon Roy
G · 6'6" 211 · 22.4
23.9
6.1
9
70%
3
2
0
0
0
2
1
2
1-1
100%
4-6
1-2
67%
42%
0-0
-
Travis Outlaw
F · 6'9" 207 · 22.3
22.6
21.0
12
61%
4
0
0
1
4
2
3
1
2-2
100%
5-9
3-6
56%
47%
0-0
-
Juan Dixon
G · 6'3" 165 · 28.2
21.8
27.0
4
25%
0
1
1
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
2-7
3-7
29%
44%
0-1
0%
Jamaal Magloire
C · 6'11" 265 · 28.6
20.3
21.3
9
51%
6
0
0
0
0
1
2
4
3-4
75%
3-7
2-5
43%
46%
0-0
-
LaMarcus Aldridge
F · 6'11" 260 · 21.4
3.4
9.2
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
47%
0-0
-
Sergio Rodriguez
G · 6'3" 176 · 20.5
0.1
7.6
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
41%
0-0
-
Raef LaFrentz
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 30.6
2.4
0
0-0
46%
Dan Dickau
G · 6'0" 180 · 28.3
Stephen Graham
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 24.5
Darius Miles
F · 6'9" 235 · 25.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.