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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
December 20, 2006
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
1Mavericks71%101103
21SuperSonics29%9495
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Josh Howard
F-G · 6'7" 210 · 26.6
38.8
35.6
15
47%
6
4
2
1
2
3
0
6
2-2
100%
5-11
5-11
45%
49%
1-4
25%
Jason Terry
G · 6'2" 185 · 29.3
38.5
34.6
17
56%
3
6
1
1
0
2
2
1
6-7
86%
4-8
4-9
50%
50%
1-4
25%
Erick Dampier
C · 6'11" 265 · 31.4
35.2
28.3
22
74%
16
0
0
0
1
2
9
7
8-9
89%
7-11
3-6
64%
56%
0-0
-
Devin Harris
G · 6'3" 185 · 23.8
34.6
27.8
13
68%
3
5
0
1
1
3
1
2
7-8
88%
3-6
4-7
50%
50%
0-0
-
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 28.5
9.9
37.5
6
44%
3
2
0
1
0
1
0
3
2-2
100%
2-5
7-14
40%
50%
0-1
0%
Devean George
F · 6'8" 235 · 29.3
25.3
15.7
13
94%
2
0
0
1
2
2
0
2
2-2
100%
4-5
1-2
80%
42%
1-1
100%
Jerry Stackhouse
F · 6'6" 218 · 32.1
20.4
20.9
7
35%
4
4
2
1
0
3
2
2
1-2
50%
3-8
3-6
38%
45%
0-1
0%
Greg Buckner
G · 6'4" 210 · 30.3
13.5
18.1
3
50%
1
1
1
1
1
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-2
1-3
0%
53%
1-1
100%
DeSagana Diop
C · 7'0" 280 · 24.9
12.8
15.6
3
80%
1
0
0
0
1
1
0
1
1-2
50%
1-1
1-2
100%
46%
0-0
-
Austin Croshere
F · 6'10" 240 · 31.6
5.4
2.9
2
50%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
0-0
100%
44%
0-1
0%
Anthony Johnson
G · 6'3" 195 · 32.2
5.0
7.4
2
50%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
47%
0-1
0%
DJ Mbenga
C · 7'0" 255 · 26.0
0.6
2.6
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
51%
0-0
-
Pops Mensah-Bonsu
F · 6'9" 235 · 23.3
Maurice Ager
F-G · 6'5" 202 · 22.9
J.J. Barea
G · 6'0" 185 · 22.5
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Luke Ridnour
G · 6'2" 175 · 25.8
41.5
31.4
21
59%
3
9
1
1
1
2
0
3
1-2
50%
7-14
4-9
50%
46%
2-3
67%
Chris Wilcox
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 24.3
31.8
31.7
18
50%
9
1
0
1
0
3
4
5
0-0
-
9-18
5-9
50%
54%
0-0
-
Damien Wilkins
· 6'6" 225 · 26.9
29.0
30.0
11
56%
2
3
2
1
0
2
1
1
2-2
100%
3-7
4-8
43%
47%
1-2
50%
Andreas Glyniadakis
C · 7'1" 280 · 25.3
4.5
7.9
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
50%
0-0
-
Rashard Lewis
F · 6'10" 235 · 27.4
1.1
38.2
0
0%
0
0
0
1
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
5-10
-
50%
0-0
-
Mickael Gelabale
F · 6'7" 215 · 23.6
41.7
19.1
10
56%
2
1
0
0
1
0
1
1
0-0
-
5-8
1-3
63%
48%
0-1
0%
Earl Watson
G · 6'1" 199 · 27.5
36.4
22.5
18
50%
6
5
4
1
0
2
2
4
1-2
50%
7-14
2-5
50%
44%
1-3
33%
Johan Petro
C · 7'0" 247 · 20.9
25.7
25.3
7
54%
1
0
1
1
0
3
0
1
1-1
100%
3-6
3-7
50%
52%
0-0
-
Nick Collison
F · 6'10" 255 · 26.1
19.3
22.0
7
60%
4
1
0
0
0
1
2
2
1-2
50%
3-5
3-6
60%
49%
0-0
-
Mike Wilks
G · 5'10" 180 · 27.6
5.9
3.8
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
40%
0-0
-
Desmon Farmer
G · 6'5" 220 · 25.2
2.1
2.1
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
44%
0-0
-
Mouhamed Sene
C · 6'11" 230 · 20.6
1.0
1.0
3
104%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1-1
100%
1-1
0-0
100%
45%
0-0
-
Robert Swift
C · 7'1" 270 · 21.0
Danny Fortson
C-F · 6'8" 260 · 30.7
Ray Allen
G · 6'5" 205 · 31.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.