FinalWin Prob.pScore
1438%99
92
1562%103
105
ORTG#PossPace
GSW logo GSW
92.0100103.4
MIA logo MIA
104.010197.8

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatWarriorsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatWarriorsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventGSWMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA92
0%
105
100%
Q4 - 0:06.0GSWMcLeod 15' Fadeaway Jumper (6 PTS)92
0%
105
100%
Q4 - 0:11.0MIAHEAT Turnover: Shot Clock (T#17)90
0%
105
100%
Q4 - 0:11.0MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)90
0%
105
100%
Q4 - 0:12.0MIAMISS Wright Layup90
0%
105
100%
Q4 - 0:35.0MIAWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)90
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 0:36.0GSWMISS Barnes Driving Layup90
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 0:37.0GSWBarnes REBOUND (Off:4 Def:8)90
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 0:41.0MIAMISS Quinn Driving Layup90
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 0:55.0MIABarron REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)90
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 0:58.0GSWMISS McLeod 20' Jump Shot90
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 1:07MIAQuinn 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Kapono 2 AST)90
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 1:29GSWWright STEAL (1 STL)90
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 1:36GSWDiogu REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)90
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 1:38MIAMISS Barron 19' Jump Shot90
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 2:02GSWDiogu Free Throw 1 of 1 (8 PTS)90
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 2:02GSWBarnes REBOUND (Off:4 Def:7)87
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 2:05MIAMISS Walker 25' 3PT Jump Shot87
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 2:27MIAWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)87
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 2:29GSWMISS O'Bryant 15' Jump Shot87
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 2:44GSWDiogu REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)87
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 2:46MIAMISS Kapono 19' Jump Shot87
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 3:02GSWDunleavy 26' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Barnes 5 AST)87
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 3:16MIAWright Traveling Turnover (P2.T16)84
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 3:26MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)84
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 3:28GSWMISS O'Bryant 20' Jump Shot84
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 3:37GSWDunleavy REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)84
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 3:39MIAMISS Doleac 15' Jump Shot84
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 3:57MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)84
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 3:59GSWMISS Barnes 21' Jump Shot84
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 4:11MIAKapono 16' Jump Shot (27 PTS)84
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 4:33GSWBarnes 22' Jump Shot (20 PTS) (McLeod 3 AST)84
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 4:38GSWMcLeod REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)82
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 4:40MIAMISS Wade Driving Layup82
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 4:54GSWDiogu Traveling Turnover (P2.T14)82
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 5:04GSWDunleavy REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)82
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 5:06MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 182
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 5:24GSWBarnes Free Throw 1 of 1 (18 PTS)82
0.2%
99
99.8%
Q4 - 5:25GSWDunleavy REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)79
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 5:29MIAMISS Wade 13' Turnaround Jump Shot79
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 5:52GSWDiogu Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)79
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 5:52GSWMISS Diogu Free Throw 1 of 278
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 6:01MIAWade 9' Jump Shot (16 PTS)78
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 6:19GSWDiogu Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T13)78
0.2%
97
99.8%
Q4 - 6:21GSWDiogu REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)78
0.3%
97
99.7%
Q4 - 6:22MIAMISS Kapono 24' 3PT Jump Shot78
0.2%
97
99.8%
Q4 - 6:36MIAKapono REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)78
0.2%
97
99.8%
Q4 - 6:38GSWMISS Dunleavy 16' Jump Shot78
0.2%
97
99.8%
Q4 - 6:59MIADoleac Layup (4 PTS) (Williams 9 AST)78
0.2%
97
99.8%
Q4 - 7:22GSWMcLeod 22' Jump Shot (4 PTS)78
0.5%
95
99.5%
Q4 - 7:26GSWDiogu REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)76
0.4%
95
99.6%
Q4 - 7:26GSWMISS O'Bryant 6' Jump Shot76
0.3%
95
99.7%
Q4 - 7:44MIAWilliams 22' Jump Shot (10 PTS)76
0.4%
95
99.6%
Q4 - 7:51GSWKapono STEAL (2 STL)76
0.5%
93
99.5%
Q4 - 7:58GSWBarnes REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)76
0.7%
93
99.3%
Q4 - 8:00MIAMISS Doleac 18' Jump Shot76
0.6%
93
99.4%
Q4 - 8:11MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)76
0.8%
93
99.2%
Q4 - 8:13GSWMISS O'Bryant 12' Turnaround Jump Shot76
0.8%
93
99.2%
Q4 - 8:33MIAWilliams 21' Jump Shot (8 PTS)76
1.0%
93
99.0%
Q4 - 8:53GSWO'Bryant Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)76
1.2%
91
98.8%
Q4 - 8:53GSWMISS O'Bryant Free Throw 1 of 275
1.1%
91
98.9%
Q4 - 8:53GSWO'Bryant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)75
1.2%
91
98.8%
Q4 - 8:54GSWMISS Diogu 16' Turnaround Jump Shot75
1.0%
91
99.0%
Q4 - 9:03MIAWilliams Driving Layup (6 PTS)75
1.6%
91
98.4%
Q4 - 9:15GSWDiogu 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Barnes 4 AST)75
1.9%
89
98.1%
Q4 - 9:28MIAKapono 21' Jump Shot (25 PTS)73
1.5%
89
98.5%
Q4 - 9:46GSWDiogu Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)73
1.9%
87
98.1%
Q4 - 9:46GSWDiogu Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)72
1.8%
87
98.2%
Q4 - 10:01MIAKapono 19' Jump Shot (23 PTS) (Posey 2 AST)71
1.9%
87
98.1%
Q4 - 10:27GSWBarnes 24' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (McLeod 1 AST)71
2.3%
85
97.7%
Q4 - 10:42MIAPosey Reverse Layup (13 PTS)68
1.5%
85
98.5%
Q4 - 10:56MIADoleac REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)68
1.8%
83
98.2%
Q4 - 10:59GSWMISS Dunleavy 18' Jump Shot68
2.0%
83
98.0%
Q4 - 11:08GSWWarriors Rebound68
2.7%
83
97.3%
Q4 - 11:09MIAMISS Doleac 4' Hook Shot68
2.5%
83
97.5%
Q4 - 11:26GSWBarnes 25' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS)68
2.2%
83
97.8%
Q4 - 11:44MIADoleac 7' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Walker 3 AST)65
1.4%
83
98.6%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA65
1.7%
81
98.3%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAHEAT Rebound65
1.7%
81
98.3%
Q3 - 0:01.0MIAMISS Kapono 20' Jump Shot65
2.4%
81
97.6%
Q3 - 0:04.0MIADoleac REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)65
2.1%
81
97.9%
Q3 - 0:07.0GSWMISS McLeod 18' Jump Shot65
2.2%
81
97.8%
Q3 - 0:29.0MIAKapono Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS)65
2.5%
81
97.5%
Q3 - 0:29.0MIAKapono Free Throw 1 of 2 (20 PTS)65
2.6%
80
97.4%
Q3 - 0:52.0GSWDunleavy 22' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (O'Bryant 1 AST)65
3.1%
79
96.9%
Q3 - 1:05MIAWalker Traveling Turnover (P3.T15)63
3.0%
79
97.0%
Q3 - 1:10GSWDunleavy Layup (11 PTS) (Ellis 5 AST)63
2.4%
79
97.6%
Q3 - 1:13GSWEllis REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)61
2.0%
79
98.0%
Q3 - 1:17MIAMISS Williams 18' Running Jump Shot61
1.9%
79
98.1%
Q3 - 1:44GSWDunleavy Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)61
1.6%
79
98.4%
Q3 - 1:44GSWDunleavy Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)60
1.6%
79
98.4%
Q3 - 1:44GSWDunleavy REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)59
1.4%
79
98.6%
Q3 - 1:46GSWWalker BLOCK (1 BLK)59
1.2%
79
98.8%
Q3 - 2:01MIAPosey Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)59
1.6%
79
98.4%
Q3 - 2:01MIAPosey Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)59
1.7%
78
98.3%
Q3 - 2:01MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)59
1.9%
77
98.1%
Q3 - 2:03MIAMISS Posey 24' 3PT Jump Shot59
2.2%
77
97.8%
Q3 - 2:24GSWFoyle Dunk (2 PTS) (Davis 4 AST)59
1.9%
77
98.1%
Q3 - 2:28MIAMourning Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T14)57
1.6%
77
98.4%
Q3 - 2:30MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)57
1.3%
77
98.7%
Q3 - 2:35GSWMISS Davis 5' Jump Shot57
1.4%
77
98.6%
Q3 - 2:42GSWFoyle REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)57
1.6%
77
98.4%
Q3 - 2:45GSWMISS Foyle 9' Hook Shot57
1.4%
77
98.6%
Q3 - 2:57MIAMourning Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)57
1.6%
77
98.4%
Q3 - 2:57MIAMourning Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)57
1.7%
76
98.3%
Q3 - 3:03GSWWilliams STEAL (1 STL)57
2.2%
75
97.8%
Q3 - 3:06GSWRoberson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)57
2.6%
75
97.4%
Q3 - 3:07GSWMISS Richardson 25' 3PT Jump Shot57
2.3%
75
97.7%
Q3 - 3:22MIAPosey 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Kapono 1 AST)57
2.6%
75
97.4%
Q3 - 3:31MIAKapono REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)57
3.6%
72
96.4%
Q3 - 3:33GSWMISS Dunleavy 19' Jump Shot57
3.9%
72
96.1%
Q3 - 3:49MIAMourning Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)57
4.4%
72
95.6%
Q3 - 3:49MIAMISS Mourning Free Throw 1 of 257
4.6%
71
95.4%
Q3 - 4:13GSWDavis Driving Layup (10 PTS)57
4.6%
71
95.4%
Q3 - 4:33MIAMourning Dunk (11 PTS) (Wade 8 AST)55
4.0%
71
96.0%
Q3 - 4:35MIAWilliams REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)55
4.6%
69
95.4%
Q3 - 4:37MIAMISS Kapono 25' 3PT Jump Shot55
5.3%
69
94.7%
Q3 - 4:48MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)55
4.6%
69
95.4%
Q3 - 4:50GSWMISS Davis 24' 3PT Jump Shot55
4.9%
69
95.1%
Q3 - 5:12MIAWilliams 24' 3PT Jump Shot (4 PTS)55
6.0%
69
94.0%
Q3 - 5:25GSWDavis 14' Fadeaway Jumper (8 PTS)55
8.1%
66
91.9%
Q3 - 5:38MIAWade Foul Turnover (P3.T13)53
7.0%
66
93.0%
Q3 - 5:41MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)53
5.9%
66
94.1%
Q3 - 5:45GSWMISS Richardson 25' 3PT Jump Shot53
6.2%
66
93.8%
Q3 - 5:51GSWDunleavy REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)53
7.0%
66
93.0%
Q3 - 5:55GSWMISS Dunleavy 8' Running Jump Shot53
6.2%
66
93.8%
Q3 - 6:08MIAMourning Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)53
7.5%
66
92.5%
Q3 - 6:08MIAMourning Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)53
7.9%
65
92.1%
Q3 - 6:21GSWBiedrins Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)53
8.6%
64
91.4%
Q3 - 6:31MIAWright Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)50
6.4%
64
93.6%
Q3 - 6:31MIAWright Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)50
6.6%
63
93.4%
Q3 - 6:41GSWEllis Traveling Turnover (P1.T10)50
7.4%
62
92.6%
Q3 - 6:46GSWRichardson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)50
8.7%
62
91.3%
Q3 - 6:48MIAMISS Wade 20' Jump Shot50
8.3%
62
91.7%
Q3 - 6:58MIAWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)50
7.4%
62
92.6%
Q3 - 7:01MIAMISS Haslem 5' Hook Shot50
8.7%
62
91.3%
Q3 - 7:17GSWRichardson Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)50
7.7%
62
92.3%
Q3 - 7:17GSWMISS Richardson Free Throw 1 of 249
7.4%
62
92.6%
Q3 - 7:22MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T12)49
7.9%
62
92.1%
Q3 - 7:34MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)49
6.7%
62
93.3%
Q3 - 7:36GSWMISS Richardson 25' 3PT Jump Shot49
7.0%
62
93.0%
Q3 - 7:45GSWFoyle REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)49
7.9%
62
92.1%
Q3 - 7:51MIAMISS Williams 27' 3PT Jump Shot49
7.5%
62
92.5%
Q3 - 8:03GSWBarnes 22' Jump Shot (9 PTS)49
7.0%
62
93.0%
Q3 - 8:23MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 1 (13 PTS)47
6.2%
62
93.8%
Q3 - 8:23MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)47
8.1%
59
91.9%
Q3 - 8:23GSWMISS Ellis 25' 3PT Jump Shot47
8.5%
59
91.5%
Q3 - 8:39MIAWilliams Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T11)47
9.4%
59
90.6%
Q3 - 8:56MIAMISS Williams Free Throw Technical47
8.0%
59
92.0%
Q3 - 8:56GSWDavis Discontinue Dribble Turnover (P3.T9)47
8.0%
59
92.0%
Q3 - 9:08MIAHaslem Layup (10 PTS) (Williams 8 AST)47
9.7%
59
90.3%
Q3 - 9:23GSWDavis 6' Hook Shot (6 PTS)47
11.0%
57
89.0%
Q3 - 9:26GSWDavis REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)45
9.7%
57
90.3%
Q3 - 9:29MIAMISS Wade Driving Layup45
9.3%
57
90.7%
Q3 - 9:38MIAWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)45
8.4%
57
91.6%
Q3 - 9:40GSWWade BLOCK (4 BLK)45
8.8%
57
91.2%
Q3 - 9:49MIAHaslem Reverse Layup (8 PTS) (Williams 7 AST)45
9.7%
57
90.3%
Q3 - 9:56MIAWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)45
11.0%
55
89.0%
Q3 - 9:58GSWMISS Richardson 12' Jump Bank Shot45
11.4%
55
88.6%
Q3 - 10:09GSWRichardson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)45
13.0%
55
87.0%
Q3 - 10:11MIAMISS Wright 22' Jump Shot45
12.4%
55
87.6%
Q3 - 10:26MIAWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)45
11.3%
55
88.7%
Q3 - 10:30GSWWade BLOCK (3 BLK)45
11.8%
55
88.2%
Q3 - 10:32GSWDavis REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)45
13.0%
55
87.0%
Q3 - 10:36MIAMISS Wright Reverse Layup45
12.4%
55
87.6%
Q3 - 10:59GSWEllis Reverse Layup (4 PTS)45
11.3%
55
88.7%
Q3 - 11:01GSWEllis REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)43
10.4%
55
89.6%
Q3 - 11:03GSWMISS Ellis 24' 3PT Jump Shot43
9.5%
55
90.5%
Q3 - 11:29MIAMourning 6' Hook Shot (7 PTS)43
10.4%
55
89.6%
Q3 - 11:43MIAHEAT Rebound43
11.6%
53
88.4%
Q3 - 11:43GSWMISS Davis 6' Running Hook Shot43
12.1%
53
87.9%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA43
13.2%
53
86.8%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)43
11.6%
53
88.4%
Q2 - 0:01.0GSWMISS Richardson 20' Fadeaway Jumper43
12.9%
53
87.1%
Q2 - 0:24.0MIAWalker Layup (2 PTS) (Wade 6 AST)43
13.6%
53
86.4%
Q2 - 0:38.0MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)43
15.7%
51
84.3%
Q2 - 0:39.0GSWMISS Roberson 24' 3PT Jump Shot43
16.1%
51
83.9%
Q2 - 0:52.0MIAWalker Foul Turnover (P2.T10)43
17.0%
51
83.0%
Q2 - 0:58.0MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)43
15.7%
51
84.3%
Q2 - 1:01GSWMISS Roberson 8' Running Jump Shot43
16.6%
51
83.4%
Q2 - 1:06MIAWright Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T9)43
17.3%
51
82.7%
Q2 - 1:21MIAWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)43
16.3%
51
83.7%
Q2 - 1:22GSWHaslem BLOCK (1 BLK)43
16.6%
51
83.4%
Q2 - 1:24GSWRichardson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)43
17.3%
51
82.7%
Q2 - 1:25GSWMISS Barnes 26' 3PT Jump Shot43
16.6%
51
83.4%
Q2 - 1:40MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)43
17.3%
51
82.7%
Q2 - 1:40MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)43
17.6%
50
82.4%
Q2 - 1:53MIAWilliams Free Throw Technical (1 PTS)43
20.1%
49
79.9%
Q2 - 2:03MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)43
22.2%
48
77.8%
Q2 - 2:04GSWMISS Davis Free Throw 1 of 143
22.4%
48
77.6%
Q2 - 2:23MIAKapono 25' 3PT Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Wade 5 AST)41
19.9%
48
80.1%
Q2 - 2:44GSWDunleavy 22' Jump Shot (7 PTS)41
24.4%
45
75.6%
Q2 - 3:08GSWDunleavy REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)39
22.6%
45
77.4%
Q2 - 3:10MIAMISS Kapono 24' 3PT Jump Shot39
21.9%
45
78.1%
Q2 - 3:16GSWKapono STEAL (1 STL)39
20.3%
45
79.7%
Q2 - 3:26MIAJump Ball Williams vs. Roberson: Tip to Davis39
22.6%
45
77.4%
Q2 - 3:28GSWPosey STEAL (2 STL)39
20.3%
45
79.7%
Q2 - 3:32MIAKapono 24' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)39
22.5%
45
77.5%
Q2 - 3:42MIAWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)39
26.7%
42
73.3%
Q2 - 3:44GSWMISS Roberson 24' 3PT Jump Shot39
27.5%
42
72.5%
Q2 - 4:00MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 1 (12 PTS)39
29.4%
42
70.6%
Q2 - 4:12GSWWade STEAL (1 STL)39
34.3%
39
65.7%
Q2 - 4:18GSWBarnes REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)39
36.9%
39
63.1%
Q2 - 4:21MIAMISS Haslem 16' Jump Shot39
36.1%
39
63.9%
Q2 - 4:36MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)39
34.3%
39
65.7%
Q2 - 4:37GSWMISS Ellis 26' 3PT Jump Shot39
35.1%
39
64.9%
Q2 - 4:51MIAHEAT Turnover: Shot Clock (T#7)39
36.9%
39
63.1%
Q2 - 5:21MIAWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)39
34.1%
39
65.9%
Q2 - 5:22GSWMISS Richardson 25' 3PT Jump Shot39
34.9%
39
65.1%
Q2 - 5:31GSWDunleavy REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)39
36.9%
39
63.1%
Q2 - 5:33MIAMISS Williams 26' 3PT Jump Shot39
36.0%
39
64.0%
Q2 - 5:56MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)39
34.1%
39
65.9%
Q2 - 5:58GSWMISS Barnes 25' 3PT Jump Shot39
34.9%
39
65.1%
Q2 - 6:24MIAKapono 24' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Walker 2 AST)39
36.9%
39
63.1%
Q2 - 6:35GSWRichardson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Ellis 4 AST)39
41.7%
36
58.3%
Q2 - 6:46MIAKapono 22' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Williams 6 AST)36
36.9%
36
63.1%
Q2 - 6:51GSWBarnes Traveling Turnover (P2.T5)36
39.0%
34
61.0%
Q2 - 7:07MIAKapono Foul Turnover (P1.T6)36
41.7%
34
58.3%
Q2 - 7:15MIAKapono REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)36
39.0%
34
61.0%
Q2 - 7:16GSWMISS Foyle Driving Layup36
39.9%
34
60.1%
Q2 - 7:28MIAPosey 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Williams 5 AST)36
41.8%
34
58.2%
Q2 - 7:54GSWRichardson 23' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Ellis 3 AST)36
46.8%
31
53.2%
Q2 - 8:15GSWBarnes REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)34
44.1%
31
55.9%
Q2 - 8:16MIAMISS Posey 24' 3PT Jump Shot34
43.2%
31
56.8%
Q2 - 8:24MIAHEAT Rebound34
41.2%
31
58.8%
Q2 - 8:25MIAMISS Kapono 24' 3PT Jump Shot34
43.2%
31
56.8%
Q2 - 8:37GSWBarnes Layup (7 PTS)34
41.2%
31
58.8%
Q2 - 8:39MIAWalker Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)32
39.1%
31
60.9%
Q2 - 8:47GSWRichardson Dunk (12 PTS) (Ellis 2 AST)32
36.3%
31
63.7%
Q2 - 8:49GSWBiedrins REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)30
34.2%
31
65.8%
Q2 - 8:53MIAMISS Wade Driving Layup30
33.5%
31
66.5%
Q2 - 9:00MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)30
31.7%
31
68.3%
Q2 - 9:02GSWMISS Barnes 20' Jump Shot30
32.3%
31
67.7%
Q2 - 9:12GSWBiedrins REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)30
34.1%
31
65.9%
Q2 - 9:15GSWMISS Ellis 6' Jump Shot30
32.3%
31
67.7%
Q2 - 9:25GSWBiedrins REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)30
34.1%
31
65.9%
Q2 - 9:26MIAMISS Mourning 16' Jump Shot30
33.3%
31
66.7%
Q2 - 9:47GSWEllis 6' Jump Shot (2 PTS)30
31.6%
31
68.4%
Q2 - 9:49GSWEllis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)28
29.7%
31
70.3%
Q2 - 9:52GSWMISS Richardson 21' Jump Shot28
28.1%
31
71.9%
Q2 - 9:54MIAKapono Layup (8 PTS)28
29.7%
31
70.3%
Q2 - 9:57MIAKapono REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)28
31.6%
29
68.4%
Q2 - 10:01MIAMISS Mourning 4' Hook Shot28
33.3%
29
66.7%
Q2 - 10:16MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)28
31.6%
29
68.4%
Q2 - 10:19GSWMISS McLeod 18' Jump Shot28
32.4%
29
67.6%
Q2 - 10:35MIAMourning Layup (5 PTS) (Posey 1 AST)28
34.1%
29
65.9%
Q2 - 11:00GSWMcLeod 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Ellis 1 AST)28
36.1%
27
63.9%
Q2 - 11:13MIAMourning Slam Dunk (3 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)26
33.6%
27
66.4%
Q2 - 11:26GSWMcLeod Traveling Turnover (P1.T4)26
35.8%
25
64.2%
Q2 - 11:34MIAKapono 20' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)26
38.1%
25
61.9%
Q2 - 11:49GSWBiedrins Alley Oop Layup (4 PTS) (Barnes 3 AST)26
40.4%
23
59.6%
Q1 - 0:00.0GSW24
38.1%
23
61.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0GSWWarriors Rebound24
38.1%
23
61.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0GSWMISS Dunleavy 44' 3PT Jump Shot24
36.6%
23
63.4%
Q1 - 0:01.0MIAWade 20' Jump Shot (9 PTS)24
37.6%
23
62.4%
Q1 - 0:18.0GSWDunleavy 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Barnes 2 AST)24
40.4%
21
59.6%
Q1 - 0:31.0MIAPosey 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Walker 1 AST)21
35.4%
21
64.6%
Q1 - 0:45.0MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)21
40.4%
18
59.6%
Q1 - 0:46.0GSWMISS Barnes 25' 3PT Jump Shot21
40.9%
18
59.1%
Q1 - 0:55.0GSWEllis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
42.2%
18
57.8%
Q1 - 0:58.0MIAMISS Wade 21' Jump Shot21
41.6%
18
58.4%
Q1 - 1:20GSWDunleavy Layup (2 PTS) (Barnes 1 AST)21
40.4%
18
59.6%
Q1 - 1:22GSWWarriors Rebound19
37.6%
18
62.4%
Q1 - 1:22GSWWade BLOCK (2 BLK)19
36.4%
18
63.6%
Q1 - 1:35GSWBiedrins REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
37.6%
18
62.4%
Q1 - 1:37MIAMISS Haslem Free Throw 2 of 219
37.4%
18
62.6%
Q1 - 1:37MIAMISS Haslem Free Throw 1 of 219
35.9%
18
64.1%
Q1 - 1:47MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)19
35.9%
18
64.1%
Q1 - 1:48MIAMISS Posey 25' 3PT Jump Shot19
37.1%
18
62.9%
Q1 - 2:16GSWBiedrins 7' Hook Shot (2 PTS)19
35.8%
18
64.2%
Q1 - 2:34MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)17
33.5%
18
66.5%
Q1 - 2:40MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)17
31.6%
18
68.4%
Q1 - 2:41GSWMISS Davis 25' 3PT Jump Shot17
32.2%
18
67.8%
Q1 - 2:47GSWRichardson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)17
33.5%
18
66.5%
Q1 - 2:49MIAMISS Kapono 26' 3PT Jump Shot17
32.9%
18
67.1%
Q1 - 3:02GSWRichardson Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)17
31.3%
18
68.7%
Q1 - 3:02GSWMISS Richardson Free Throw 1 of 216
30.8%
18
69.2%
Q1 - 3:04MIAHaslem Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T3)16
31.6%
18
68.4%
Q1 - 3:04MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)16
29.4%
18
70.6%
Q1 - 3:07GSWMISS Richardson 4' Hook Shot16
30.1%
18
69.9%
Q1 - 3:11GSWBarnes REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)16
31.6%
18
68.4%
Q1 - 3:14GSWMISS Richardson 18' Jump Shot16
30.1%
18
69.9%
Q1 - 3:20MIAKapono 22' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Williams 4 AST)16
31.6%
18
68.4%
Q1 - 3:32MIAKapono REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)16
33.3%
16
66.7%
Q1 - 3:34GSWMISS Dunleavy 12' Turnaround Jump Shot16
34.0%
16
66.0%
Q1 - 3:43GSWFoyle REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)16
35.6%
16
64.4%
Q1 - 3:43GSWMISS Dunleavy 24' 3PT Jump Shot16
34.0%
16
66.0%
Q1 - 3:58MIAWade 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Williams 3 AST)16
35.6%
16
64.4%
Q1 - 4:16GSWRichardson 20' Jump Shot (9 PTS)16
39.1%
13
60.9%
Q1 - 4:25MIAKapono 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)14
37.5%
13
62.5%
Q1 - 4:39GSWBarnes 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Davis 2 AST)14
39.1%
11
60.9%
Q1 - 4:57MIAWade Driving Finger Roll (4 PTS) (Williams 2 AST)11
35.5%
11
64.5%
Q1 - 5:01GSWPosey STEAL (1 STL)11
36.7%
9
63.3%
Q1 - 5:10MIAHaslem Layup (6 PTS)11
38.9%
9
61.1%
Q1 - 5:12MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)11
40.7%
7
59.3%
Q1 - 5:14MIAMISS Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot11
42.3%
7
57.7%
Q1 - 5:34MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)11
40.7%
7
59.3%
Q1 - 5:35GSWMISS Davis Free Throw 1 of 111
41.0%
7
59.0%
Q1 - 5:35GSWBarnes REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)9
38.9%
7
61.1%
Q1 - 5:37GSWMISS Richardson 3PT Jump Shot9
37.4%
7
62.6%
Q1 - 5:52GSWDunleavy REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)9
39.0%
7
61.0%
Q1 - 5:55MIAMISS Wright Driving Layup9
38.3%
7
61.7%
Q1 - 5:58MIAWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)9
36.8%
7
63.2%
Q1 - 5:59GSWMISS Davis 25' 3PT Jump Shot9
37.4%
7
62.6%
Q1 - 6:15MIAWade 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Wright 1 AST)9
38.4%
7
61.6%
Q1 - 6:20MIAWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)9
40.3%
5
59.7%
Q1 - 6:22GSWMISS Barnes 24' 3PT Jump Shot9
40.9%
5
59.1%
Q1 - 6:53GSWBarnes REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)9
42.4%
5
57.6%
Q1 - 6:54MIAMISS Wright 19' Jump Shot9
41.7%
5
58.3%
Q1 - 6:54GSWBarnes Layup (2 PTS) (Davis 1 AST)9
40.3%
5
59.7%
Q1 - 6:58GSWFoyle REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
38.5%
5
61.5%
Q1 - 7:02MIAMISS Wade Driving Layup7
37.4%
5
62.6%
Q1 - 7:09MIAWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)7
36.0%
5
64.0%
Q1 - 7:11GSWMISS Davis 4' Jump Shot7
36.6%
5
63.4%
Q1 - 7:13GSWDavis REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)7
38.0%
5
62.0%
Q1 - 7:17GSWMourning BLOCK (3 BLK)7
36.6%
5
63.4%
Q1 - 7:19GSWBarnes REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)7
38.0%
5
62.0%
Q1 - 7:23GSWMourning BLOCK (2 BLK)7
36.7%
5
63.3%
Q1 - 7:28GSWDunleavy REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)7
38.0%
5
62.0%
Q1 - 7:31GSWMISS Barnes 24' 3PT Jump Shot7
36.7%
5
63.3%
Q1 - 7:47MIAMourning Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)7
38.0%
5
62.0%
Q1 - 8:00GSWFoyle Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)7
36.1%
5
63.9%
Q1 - 8:04MIAHaslem 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)7
38.0%
5
62.0%
Q1 - 8:23MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)7
39.6%
3
60.4%
Q1 - 8:26GSWMISS Dunleavy Layup7
40.2%
3
59.8%
Q1 - 8:31MIAHaslem Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)7
41.6%
3
58.4%
Q1 - 8:35GSWHaslem STEAL (1 STL)7
39.6%
3
60.4%
Q1 - 8:47GSWRichardson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)7
41.6%
3
58.4%
Q1 - 8:51MIAMISS Mourning Free Throw 2 of 27
41.4%
3
58.6%
Q1 - 8:51MIAMourning Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)7
40.4%
3
59.6%
Q1 - 8:52MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)7
41.4%
2
58.6%
Q1 - 8:53MIAMISS Mourning 7' Hook Shot7
42.8%
2
57.2%
Q1 - 9:12MIAHEAT Rebound7
41.1%
2
58.9%
Q1 - 9:13GSWWade BLOCK (1 BLK)7
41.8%
2
58.2%
Q1 - 9:18GSWBarnes REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)7
43.4%
2
56.6%
Q1 - 9:19MIAMISS Wright 5' Jump Shot7
42.7%
2
57.3%
Q1 - 9:36GSWRichardson 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Dunleavy 1 AST)7
41.1%
2
58.9%
Q1 - 9:41GSWDunleavy REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)4
38.0%
2
62.0%
Q1 - 9:43MIAMISS Wright 20' Jump Shot4
37.3%
2
62.7%
Q1 - 9:48MIAWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
35.7%
2
64.3%
Q1 - 9:49GSWMISS Richardson Layup4
36.4%
2
63.6%
Q1 - 9:53GSWRichardson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)4
38.0%
2
62.0%
Q1 - 9:55GSWMISS Dunleavy 15' Jump Shot4
36.4%
2
63.6%
Q1 - 9:57GSWDavis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)4
38.0%
2
62.0%
Q1 - 10:00GSWMISS Dunleavy Driving Layup4
36.4%
2
63.6%
Q1 - 10:05GSWDunleavy REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
37.7%
2
62.3%
Q1 - 10:08MIAMISS Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot4
37.1%
2
62.9%
Q1 - 10:27GSWRichardson 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS)4
35.7%
2
64.3%
Q1 - 10:38MIAHaslem 14' Jump Shot (2 PTS)2
34.3%
2
65.7%
Q1 - 10:58GSWRichardson 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS)2
35.7%
0
64.3%
Q1 - 11:05GSWBarnes REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)0
34.0%
0
66.0%
Q1 - 11:06MIAMISS Haslem 6' Jump Shot0
33.5%
0
66.5%
Q1 - 11:14MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
32.5%
0
67.5%
Q1 - 11:17GSWMISS Barnes 17' Jump Shot0
32.9%
0
67.1%
Q1 - 11:19GSWBarnes REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
34.0%
0
66.0%
Q1 - 11:23GSWMourning BLOCK (1 BLK)0
32.9%
0
67.1%
Q1 - 11:32GSWDavis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
34.0%
0
66.0%
Q1 - 11:34MIAMISS Wade 21' Jump Shot0
33.5%
0
66.5%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball Mourning vs. Foyle: Tip to Haslem0
32.5%
0
67.5%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

GSW
0.87 43.4%
MIA
1.09 54.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
GSW
14
30
47%
MIA
15
27
56%
Midrange
GSW
16
42
38%
MIA
17
34
50%
3PT | Effective 3PT
GSW
7
10.5
27
26%
39%
MIA
8
12.0
21
38%
57%
Free Throws
GSW
11
17
65%
MIA
17
23
74%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
GSW logo Warriors
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
M. Barnes2050%10.0 / 20
J. Richardson1843%9.0 / 21
M. Dunleavy1647%8.0 / 17
B. Davis1036%5.0 / 14
I. Diogu867%4.0 / 6
A. Biedrins7117%3.5 / 3
K. McLeod650%3.0 / 6
M. Ellis429%2.0 / 7
A. Foyle233%1.0 / 3
P. O'Bryant110%0.5 / 5
A. Roberson0-0.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Kapono2771%13.5 / 19
D. Wade1856%9.0 / 16
A. Mourning1470%7.0 / 10
U. Haslem1365%6.5 / 10
J. Posey1381%6.5 / 8
J. Williams1056%5.0 / 9
M. Doleac440%2.0 / 5
D. Wright213%1.0 / 8
A. Walker250%1.0 / 2
C. Quinn250%1.0 / 2
E. Barron0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

GSW
85
+21
-15
106
MIA
86
+10
-15
96
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

GSW
0.87 43.4%
MIA
1.09 54.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
107.2
104.2
GSW 92.0 +12.0
MIA 104.0
Pace
99.1
90.1
GSW 103.4 +5.6
MIA 97.8
Avg. Poss. Time
14.0
16.5
GSW 13.9 +0.8
MIA 14.7
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
51.2%
50.6%
GSW 40.9%
MIA 53.7% +12.8%
TO %
15.8%
15.3%
GSW 12.3% +3.3%
MIA 15.6%
ORB %
25.7%
24.9%
GSW 31.7% +12.7%
MIA 19.0%
FTrt
30.0
32.1
GSW 17.2
MIA 28.0 +10.8
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
59.8%
57.6%
GSW 54.1%
MIA 62.5% +8.4%
STL %
9.2%
7.6%
GSW 7.0%
MIA 7.9% +0.9%
BLK %
9.0%
8.8%
GSW 9.8%
MIA 12.5% +2.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.82 and 2.82.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
53.8%
52.4%
GSW 43.4%
MIA 54.7% +11.3%
Rim FG%
59.4%
61.8%
GSW 46.7%
MIA 55.6% +8.9%
Mid FG%
38.2%
40.5%
GSW 38.1%
MIA 50.0% +11.9%
3P %
35.6%
34.3%
GSW 25.9%
MIA 38.1% +12.2%
FT %
71.7%
69.0%
GSW 64.7%
MIA 73.9% +9.2%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
41.5%
34.9%
GSW 30.3%
MIA 32.9% +2.6%
Mid Att. %
30.6%
40.7%
GSW 42.4%
MIA 41.5% +1.0%
3P Att. %
27.9%
24.5%
GSW 27.3% +1.7%
MIA 25.6%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.31 and 2.31.
Game TotalsGSWMIA
Possessions100101
Possession Minutes23.224.8
Points92105
Rebounds5349
Assists2025
Steals78
Blocks69
Turnovers (Team)15 (0)15 (2)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)19 (2)8 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)34 (1)41 (2)
Field Goals37-9940-82
At-the-Rim FG14-3015-27
Midrange FG16-4217-34
2-Point FG30-7232-61
3-Point FG7-278-21
Free Throws11-1717-23
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'7" 226 · 27
40.0
20
50%
12
5
2
1
3
1
4
8
1-1
100%
5-12
42%
3-8
38%
F · 6'9" 230 · 26
36.8
16
47%
11
1
1
0
0
1
3
8
2-2
100%
4-12
33%
2-4
50%
G · 6'6" 225 · 26
32.6
18
43%
6
0
1
0
1
1
2
4
2-4
50%
5-12
42%
2-7
29%
G · 6'3" 212 · 28
25.5
10
36%
5
4
1
0
3
2
2
3
0-2
0%
5-11
45%
0-3
0%
C · 6'10" 270 · 32
18.9
2
33%
4
0
0
1
1
4
2
2
0-0
-
1-3
33%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 190 · 27
20.6
6
50%
1
4
0
0
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
3-6
50%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 185 · 21
20.0
4
29%
4
5
0
0
1
1
2
2
0-0
-
2-4
50%
0-3
0%
F · 6'9" 250 · 23
14.0
8
67%
4
0
0
1
2
1
1
3
4-5
80%
2-4
50%
0-0
-
C · 7'0" 250 · 21
13.4
7
117%
4
0
0
1
1
4
1
3
1-1
100%
3-3
100%
0-0
-
C · 7'0" 250 · 21
13.1
1
10%
1
1
0
2
1
3
1
0
1-2
50%
0-4
0%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 180 · 24
5.1
0
0%
1
0
2
0
1
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-2
0%
F · 6'6" 215 · 25
#1 · F-C · 6'11" 245 · 27
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#11 · F-C · 6'11" 230 · 26
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
92
43%
53
20
7
6
15
0
19
34
11-17
65%
30-72
42%
7-27
26%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.