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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
December 23, 2006
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
14Warriors38%9992
15Heat62%103105
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Matt Barnes
F · 6'7" 226 · 26.8
40.0
29.3
20
49%
12
5
2
1
1
3
4
8
1-1
100%
5-12
2-5
42%
50%
3-8
38%
Mike Dunleavy
G-F · 6'9" 230 · 26.3
36.8
29.6
16
47%
11
1
1
1
0
0
3
8
2-2
100%
4-12
4-7
33%
49%
2-4
50%
Jason Richardson
G · 6'6" 225 · 25.9
32.6
22.0
18
43%
6
0
1
1
0
1
2
4
2-4
50%
5-12
3-6
42%
47%
2-7
29%
Baron Davis
G · 6'3" 212 · 27.7
25.5
40.8
10
34%
5
4
1
2
0
3
2
3
0-2
0%
5-11
6-14
45%
45%
0-3
0%
Adonal Foyle
C · 6'10" 270 · 31.8
18.9
15.4
2
33%
4
0
0
0
1
1
2
2
0-0
-
1-3
1-3
33%
51%
0-0
-
Keith McLeod
G · 6'2" 190 · 27.1
20.6
6.2
6
50%
1
4
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
3-6
1-1
50%
38%
0-0
-
Monta Ellis
G · 6'3" 185 · 21.2
20.0
30.2
4
29%
4
5
0
1
0
1
2
2
0-0
-
2-4
4-9
50%
50%
0-3
0%
Ike Diogu
F · 6'9" 250 · 23.3
14.0
7.5
8
65%
4
0
0
0
1
2
1
3
4-5
80%
2-4
1-3
50%
51%
0-0
-
Andris Biedrins
C · 7'0" 250 · 20.7
13.4
25.7
7
102%
4
0
0
1
1
1
1
3
1-1
100%
3-3
4-7
100%
60%
0-0
-
Patrick O'Bryant
C · 7'0" 250 · 20.5
13.1
2.6
1
10%
1
1
0
0
2
1
1
0
1-2
50%
0-4
0-1
0%
49%
0-0
-
Anthony Roberson
G · 6'2" 180 · 23.9
5.1
4.6
0
0%
1
0
2
0
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
46%
0-2
0%
Mickael Pietrus
F · 6'6" 215 · 24.9
31.7
1
3-6
51%
Troy Murphy
F-C · 6'11" 245 · 26.6
Zarko Cabarkapa
F-C · 6'11" 230 · 25.6
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jason Williams
G · 6'1" 180 · 31.1
37.0
24.0
10
51%
6
9
1
1
0
2
2
4
1-2
50%
3-4
2-4
75%
49%
1-5
20%
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 24.9
35.6
38.3
18
54%
1
8
1
2
4
3
0
1
3-4
75%
6-14
10-19
43%
52%
1-1
100%
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 26.5
25.3
28.0
13
63%
10
0
1
1
1
2
1
9
1-3
33%
6-9
4-8
67%
52%
0-0
-
Alonzo Mourning
C · 6'10" 261 · 36.9
19.8
23.1
14
67%
6
0
0
0
3
2
1
5
6-8
75%
4-7
4-6
57%
57%
0-0
-
Dorell Wright
F-G · 6'9" 205 · 21.1
17.8
24.8
2
13%
8
1
1
1
0
2
0
8
2-2
100%
0-7
3-7
0%
49%
0-0
-
Jason Kapono
F · 6'8" 215 · 25.9
34.3
22.3
27
72%
5
2
2
0
0
1
1
4
2-2
100%
8-10
2-4
80%
44%
3-8
38%
Antoine Walker
F · 6'9" 245 · 30.4
26.6
20.3
2
50%
7
3
0
1
1
3
2
5
0-0
-
1-1
2-5
100%
49%
0-1
0%
James Posey
F · 6'8" 217 · 29.9
26.3
27.2
13
82%
3
2
2
1
0
0
1
2
2-2
100%
1-1
1-2
100%
47%
3-6
50%
Michael Doleac
C · 6'11" 262 · 29.5
10.8
13.3
4
40%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
2-5
1-3
40%
45%
0-0
-
Chris Quinn
G · 6'2" 175 · 23.2
3.3
14.5
2
50%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
45%
0-0
-
Earl Barron
F-C · 7'0" 250 · 25.4
3.3
2.9
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
51%
0-0
-
Gary Payton
G · 6'4" 190 · 38.4
12.0
0
1-2
49%
Wayne Simien
F · 6'9" 250 · 23.8
Shaquille O'Neal
C · 7'1" 325 · 34.8
Robert Hite
G · 6'2" 184 · 22.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.