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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
December 23, 2006
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
2Spurs75%94112
29Hornets25%8577
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 24.6
28.2
35.0
19
77%
5
9
1
1
0
4
1
4
2-3
67%
7-10
8-15
70%
52%
1-1
100%
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 30.7
27.2
34.4
11
56%
4
1
0
1
3
0
0
4
3-4
75%
4-8
7-13
50%
51%
0-0
-
Bruce Bowen
F · 6'7" 200 · 35.5
26.1
26.8
15
101%
1
3
1
1
1
0
0
1
0-1
0%
3-4
1-2
75%
44%
3-3
100%
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 29.4
25.9
27.3
17
67%
3
4
3
1
0
1
0
3
3-4
75%
4-7
3-7
57%
50%
2-4
50%
Francisco Elson
C-F · 7'0" 240 · 30.8
23.9
21.6
8
93%
4
0
1
1
1
1
0
4
2-3
67%
3-3
2-4
100%
50%
0-0
-
Fabricio Oberto
C · 6'10" 245 · 31.8
22.9
10.6
4
50%
4
1
2
0
2
3
0
4
0-0
-
2-4
1-2
50%
51%
0-0
-
Matt Bonner
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 26.7
20.3
8.7
14
88%
4
0
0
0
0
0
0
4
0-0
-
4-6
1-1
67%
49%
2-2
100%
Jacque Vaughn
G · 6'1" 190 · 31.9
19.0
7.7
4
52%
3
11
2
0
0
1
0
3
2-2
100%
1-3
1-1
33%
42%
0-0
-
Michael Finley
G-F · 6'7" 225 · 33.8
18.4
19.3
12
86%
2
2
0
0
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
3-5
2-4
60%
44%
2-2
100%
Brent Barry
G · 6'7" 210 · 35.0
13.6
22.2
6
75%
1
2
0
1
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
55%
2-4
50%
Beno Udrih
G · 6'3" 205 · 24.5
8.1
9.3
2
50%
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
46%
0-0
-
Eric Williams
G-F · 6'8" 220 · 34.4
6.4
5.1
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
0-1
0%
43%
0-0
-
Jackie Butler
C · 6'10" 260 · 21.8
James White
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 24.2
Robert Horry
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 36.3
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Desmond Mason
G · 6'5" 222 · 29.2
31.7
38.0
10
63%
7
1
0
1
0
3
0
7
2-2
100%
4-7
5-11
57%
43%
0-0
-
Chris Paul
G · 6'0" 175 · 21.6
30.2
41.2
20
53%
1
3
1
2
0
2
0
1
2-2
100%
9-15
6-13
60%
47%
0-3
0%
Rasual Butler
F · 6'7" 215 · 27.6
29.3
35.5
16
90%
2
0
2
1
0
1
0
2
2-2
100%
4-5
3-7
80%
42%
2-3
67%
Tyson Chandler
C · 7'1" 240 · 24.2
24.6
27.7
2
33%
9
0
1
1
0
1
4
5
0-0
-
1-3
2-3
33%
54%
0-0
-
Hilton Armstrong
F-C · 6'11" 235 · 22.1
21.8
17.9
4
33%
4
1
1
0
0
1
3
1
0-0
-
2-6
2-5
33%
48%
0-0
-
Jannero Pargo
G · 6'1" 185 · 27.2
30.1
28.8
11
32%
3
1
0
1
0
1
2
1
0-0
-
1-13
3-8
8%
40%
3-4
75%
Devin Brown
G · 6'5" 210 · 28.0
20.2
10.5
4
25%
3
3
1
0
0
1
0
3
2-2
100%
1-6
1-2
17%
41%
0-1
0%
Cedric Simmons
F · 6'9" 235 · 21.0
19.0
6.9
2
17%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-6
1-2
17%
44%
0-0
-
Marc Jackson
F · 6'10" 253 · 31.9
16.8
21.9
6
43%
4
1
0
0
0
5
2
2
0-0
-
3-7
4-9
43%
43%
0-0
-
Brandon Bass
F · 6'8" 250 · 21.6
16.3
4.1
2
20%
7
0
1
0
1
1
4
3
2-2
100%
0-4
0-1
0%
44%
0-0
-
Linton Johnson
F · 6'8" 205 · 26.5
10.0
0
1-2
43%
Marcus Vinicius
F · 6'8" 225 · 22.6
1.9
0
0-0
43%
Bobby Jackson
G · 6'1" 185 · 33.8
David West
F · 6'9" 250 · 26.3
Peja Stojakovic
F · 6'10" 229 · 29.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.