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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
December 23, 2006
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
23Raptors35%9697
22SuperSonics65%101110
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jorge Garbajosa
F · 6'9" 245 · 29.0
43.4
26.1
18
53%
7
2
0
1
0
2
2
5
0-0
-
9-15
3-6
60%
50%
0-2
0%
T.J. Ford
G · 6'0" 165 · 23.8
38.0
31.8
24
66%
2
9
3
1
0
5
0
2
4-5
80%
7-14
6-12
50%
45%
2-2
100%
Rasho Nesterovic
C · 7'0" 255 · 30.6
27.9
28.3
12
60%
7
1
0
1
3
1
3
4
0-0
-
6-10
4-7
60%
49%
0-0
-
Anthony Parker
G · 6'6" 210 · 31.5
22.4
32.4
4
29%
2
0
1
1
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
2-6
3-7
33%
48%
0-1
0%
Joey Graham
F · 6'7" 230 · 24.5
12.9
17.0
4
41%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
1-3
2-5
33%
49%
0-1
0%
Fred Jones
G · 6'2" 225 · 27.8
35.4
24.0
19
65%
2
2
3
1
0
2
0
2
5-6
83%
4-7
2-5
57%
45%
2-5
40%
Jose Calderon
G · 6'3" 200 · 25.2
23.4
16.1
6
50%
6
10
0
0
0
2
1
5
0-0
-
3-6
2-4
50%
49%
0-0
-
Andrea Bargnani
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 21.2
17.1
26.6
3
19%
3
0
0
0
2
0
0
3
1-2
50%
1-4
4-7
25%
50%
0-3
0%
Morris Peterson
G · 6'7" 220 · 29.3
10.0
21.4
2
25%
4
0
0
1
0
0
0
4
0-0
-
1-4
2-4
25%
47%
0-0
-
Kris Humphries
F · 6'9" 235 · 21.9
6.9
6.7
5
102%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1-1
100%
2-2
1-2
100%
42%
0-0
-
PJ Tucker
F · 6'6" 245 · 21.6
1.8
7.1
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
46%
0-0
-
Darrick Martin
G · 5'11" 170 · 35.8
1.0
8.4
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
39%
0-1
0%
Pape Sow
F · 6'10" 250 · 25.1
Uros Slokar
F · 6'10" 238 · 23.6
Chris Bosh
F · 6'11" 235 · 22.7
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Ray Allen
G · 6'5" 205 · 31.4
40.9
39.2
28
79%
6
5
0
1
0
4
0
6
5-6
83%
4-9
6-12
44%
50%
5-6
83%
Luke Ridnour
G · 6'2" 175 · 25.9
36.7
34.7
18
48%
2
6
2
1
0
3
0
2
2-2
100%
8-16
5-10
50%
48%
0-2
0%
Chris Wilcox
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 24.3
34.4
31.3
12
44%
5
2
1
1
0
1
1
4
4-4
100%
4-12
5-10
33%
55%
0-0
-
Earl Watson
G · 6'1" 199 · 27.5
26.4
27.3
12
75%
3
2
0
1
0
2
1
2
0-0
-
3-5
3-7
60%
46%
2-3
67%
Danny Fortson
C-F · 6'8" 260 · 30.7
14.6
8.5
4
50%
9
0
0
0
0
2
1
8
0-0
-
2-4
1-2
50%
49%
0-0
-
Mickael Gelabale
F · 6'7" 215 · 23.6
27.9
27.0
6
43%
9
2
1
1
1
1
2
7
0-0
-
3-6
2-4
50%
50%
0-1
0%
Nick Collison
F · 6'10" 255 · 26.2
23.6
21.0
15
67%
8
0
1
0
0
1
5
3
5-5
100%
5-9
3-6
56%
51%
0-0
-
Johan Petro
C · 7'0" 247 · 20.9
22.9
25.1
10
68%
2
1
0
1
1
1
1
1
2-3
67%
4-6
4-7
67%
54%
0-0
-
Damien Wilkins
· 6'6" 225 · 26.9
12.7
29.4
5
73%
1
2
0
1
0
1
0
1
1-1
100%
2-3
4-8
67%
48%
0-0
-
Andreas Glyniadakis
C · 7'1" 280 · 25.3
6.6
0
1-2
52%
Mike Wilks
G · 5'10" 180 · 27.6
4.7
0
0-1
41%
Mouhamed Sene
C · 6'11" 230 · 20.6
1.1
0
0-0
48%
Rashard Lewis
F · 6'10" 235 · 27.4
Desmon Farmer
G · 6'5" 220 · 25.2
Robert Swift
C · 7'1" 270 · 21.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.