FinalWin Prob.pScore
548%98
85
1252%99
101
ORTG#PossPace
LAL logo LAL
90.494109.4
MIA logo MIA
107.49482.4

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatLakersQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatLakersQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventLALMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0LAL85
0%
101
100%
Q4 - 0:06.0LALLakers Rebound85
0%
101
100%
Q4 - 0:07.0MIAMISS Quinn 25' 3PT Jump Shot85
0%
101
100%
Q4 - 0:30.0LALParker 24' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Evans 1 AST)85
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 0:38.0MIAQuinn Palming Turnover (P1.T17)82
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 0:57.0LALEvans Foul Turnover (P2.T15)82
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 1:05MIAKapono 24' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Wade 11 AST)82
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 1:21MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)82
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 1:23LALMISS Turiaf 8' Jump Shot82
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 1:29MIAPosey Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T16)82
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 1:34MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)82
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 1:36LALMISS Parker Layup82
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 1:44MIAKapono 24' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Wade 10 AST)82
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 1:53LALBryant Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)82
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 1:53LALMISS Bryant Free Throw 1 of 281
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 2:07MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (40 PTS)81
0.2%
95
99.8%
Q4 - 2:07MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (39 PTS)81
0.2%
94
99.8%
Q4 - 2:22MIAKapono REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)81
0.3%
93
99.7%
Q4 - 2:24LALMISS Bryant 19' Jump Shot81
0.3%
93
99.7%
Q4 - 2:34MIAPosey Layup (8 PTS) (Wade 9 AST)81
0.5%
93
99.5%
Q4 - 2:54LALBryant Free Throw 1 of 1 (15 PTS)81
1.0%
91
99.0%
Q4 - 3:02MIAKapono 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Posey 1 AST)78
0.5%
91
99.5%
Q4 - 3:19MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)78
1.0%
88
99.0%
Q4 - 3:21LALMISS Farmar 6' Running Jump Shot78
1.1%
88
98.9%
Q4 - 3:25LALWalton REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)78
1.7%
88
98.3%
Q4 - 3:27LALMISS Evans 15' Jump Shot78
1.1%
88
98.9%
Q4 - 3:45MIAMourning Foul Turnover (P3.T15)78
2.8%
88
97.2%
Q4 - 4:25LALFarmar Layup (6 PTS)78
1.8%
88
98.2%
Q4 - 4:28MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T14)76
1.3%
88
98.7%
Q4 - 4:43LALBrown Layup (7 PTS) (Vujacic 1 AST)76
0.8%
88
99.2%
Q4 - 5:02MIAPayton 9' Fadeaway Jumper (9 PTS)74
1.1%
88
98.9%
Q4 - 5:18MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)74
1.4%
86
98.6%
Q4 - 5:20LALMISS Farmar 25' 3PT Jump Shot74
1.6%
86
98.4%
Q4 - 5:38MIAPayton Layup (7 PTS) (Wade 8 AST)74
2.0%
86
98.0%
Q4 - 5:42LALWade STEAL (4 STL)74
2.7%
84
97.3%
Q4 - 5:52LALVujacic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)74
3.8%
84
96.2%
Q4 - 5:54LALMISS Bryant 26' 3PT Jump Shot74
3.0%
84
97.0%
Q4 - 6:17MIAMourning Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)74
5.2%
84
94.8%
Q4 - 6:17MIAMourning Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)74
5.7%
83
94.3%
Q4 - 6:17MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)74
6.6%
82
93.4%
Q4 - 6:19MIAMISS Posey 4' Hook Shot74
8.2%
82
91.8%
Q4 - 6:30MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)74
6.6%
82
93.4%
Q4 - 6:32LALWade BLOCK (4 BLK)74
7.2%
82
92.8%
Q4 - 6:58LALEvans REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)74
9.0%
82
91.0%
Q4 - 7:00MIAMISS Wade 20' Jump Shot74
8.1%
82
91.9%
Q4 - 7:16LALVujacic 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Farmar 4 AST)74
8.3%
82
91.7%
Q4 - 7:37MIAWade Driving Layup (38 PTS)71
5.1%
82
94.9%
Q4 - 7:57LALVujacic Layup (6 PTS)71
6.3%
80
93.7%
Q4 - 7:58LALVujacic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)69
5.0%
80
95.0%
Q4 - 7:59LALMISS Evans 25' 3PT Jump Shot69
4.1%
80
95.9%
Q4 - 8:23MIADoleac Foul Turnover (P1.T13)69
6.1%
80
93.9%
Q4 - 8:40LALEvans 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Farmar 3 AST)69
4.8%
80
95.2%
Q4 - 8:57MIAWalker Traveling Turnover (P3.T12)66
2.9%
80
97.1%
Q4 - 9:12LALRadmanovic Foul Turnover (P2.T13)66
2.8%
80
97.2%
Q4 - 9:32LALRadmanovic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)66
3.6%
80
96.4%
Q4 - 9:33MIAMISS Posey 25' 3PT Jump Shot66
3.3%
80
96.7%
Q4 - 9:52MIAKapono REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)66
2.8%
80
97.2%
Q4 - 9:54LALMISS Turiaf 9' Jump Shot66
3.0%
80
97.0%
Q4 - 10:18MIAPosey Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)66
4.3%
80
95.7%
Q4 - 10:18MIAPosey Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)66
4.4%
79
95.6%
Q4 - 10:26MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)66
5.2%
78
94.8%
Q4 - 10:27LALMISS Turiaf 12' Turnaround Jump Shot66
5.6%
78
94.4%
Q4 - 10:45MIADoleac 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Payton 3 AST)66
6.5%
78
93.5%
Q4 - 10:56MIADoleac REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)66
7.9%
76
92.1%
Q4 - 10:57LALMISS Radmanovic 25' 3PT Jump Shot66
8.5%
76
91.5%
Q4 - 11:23MIAWade Driving Layup (36 PTS) (Payton 2 AST)66
10.7%
76
89.3%
Q4 - 11:40LALRadmanovic 10' Running Hook Shot (6 PTS)66
12.8%
74
87.2%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA64
10.7%
74
89.3%
Q3 - 0:00.0LALTuriaf Tip Shot (13 PTS)64
8.7%
74
91.3%
Q3 - 0:00.0LALTuriaf REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)62
7.2%
74
92.8%
Q3 - 0:01.0LALMISS Farmar Free Throw 2 of 262
7.0%
74
93.0%
Q3 - 0:01.0LALFarmar Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)62
7.8%
74
92.2%
Q3 - 0:01.0LALTuriaf REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)61
6.8%
74
93.2%
Q3 - 0:03.0MIAMISS Posey 25' 3PT Jump Shot61
6.4%
74
93.6%
Q3 - 0:17.0MIADoleac REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)61
5.6%
74
94.4%
Q3 - 0:19.0MIAMISS Haslem 11' Jump Shot61
6.3%
74
93.7%
Q3 - 0:23.0MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)61
5.5%
74
94.5%
Q3 - 0:24.0MIAMISS Posey 24' 3PT Jump Shot61
6.3%
74
93.7%
Q3 - 0:46.0LALFarmar 27' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS)61
5.5%
74
94.5%
Q3 - 1:04MIAWade 18' Jump Shot (34 PTS)58
4.4%
74
95.6%
Q3 - 1:21LALTuriaf Foul Turnover (P1.T12)58
5.2%
72
94.8%
Q3 - 1:39MIAWade Layup (32 PTS) (Payton 1 AST)58
6.3%
72
93.7%
Q3 - 1:47MIAPayton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)58
7.5%
70
92.5%
Q3 - 1:49LALPosey BLOCK (1 BLK)58
8.0%
70
92.0%
Q3 - 1:53LALRadmanovic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)58
9.1%
70
90.9%
Q3 - 1:55MIAMISS Wade 19' Jump Shot58
8.6%
70
91.4%
Q3 - 2:13LALTuriaf Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)58
8.2%
70
91.8%
Q3 - 2:13LALMISS Turiaf Free Throw 1 of 257
7.9%
70
92.1%
Q3 - 2:23MIAPayton Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)57
8.3%
70
91.7%
Q3 - 2:23MIAPayton Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)57
8.7%
69
91.3%
Q3 - 2:39LALTuriaf 15' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Radmanovic 1 AST)57
9.7%
68
90.3%
Q3 - 2:46MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T11)55
8.3%
68
91.7%
Q3 - 2:53LALPayton STEAL (2 STL)55
6.9%
68
93.1%
Q3 - 3:05MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (30 PTS)55
9.1%
68
90.9%
Q3 - 3:05MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (29 PTS)55
9.3%
67
90.7%
Q3 - 3:19LALBryant Reverse Layup (12 PTS)55
10.5%
66
89.5%
Q3 - 3:33MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (28 PTS)53
9.0%
66
91.0%
Q3 - 3:33MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (27 PTS)53
9.3%
65
90.7%
Q3 - 3:40MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)53
10.5%
64
89.5%
Q3 - 3:41LALMISS Bynum 6' Hook Shot53
11.1%
64
88.9%
Q3 - 3:59LALWalton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)53
12.4%
64
87.6%
Q3 - 4:00MIAMISS Williams 26' 3PT Jump Shot53
11.8%
64
88.2%
Q3 - 4:22MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)53
11.1%
64
88.9%
Q3 - 4:24LALMISS Bryant 24' 3PT Jump Shot53
11.7%
64
88.3%
Q3 - 4:29LALBynum REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)53
13.2%
64
86.8%
Q3 - 4:31LALMISS Walton Free Throw 2 of 253
11.4%
64
88.6%
Q3 - 4:31LALWalton Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)53
12.6%
64
87.4%
Q3 - 4:33MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T10)52
11.4%
64
88.6%
Q3 - 4:47MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)52
9.5%
64
90.5%
Q3 - 4:49LALMISS Cook 25' 3PT Jump Shot52
10.0%
64
90.0%
Q3 - 5:08MIAWade Driving Dunk (26 PTS)52
12.1%
64
87.9%
Q3 - 5:17LALWade STEAL (3 STL)52
13.8%
62
86.2%
Q3 - 5:33MIAPayton 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Wade 7 AST)52
16.1%
62
83.9%
Q3 - 5:53LALParker 4' Hook Shot (4 PTS) (Brown 2 AST)52
20.8%
59
79.2%
Q3 - 6:10MIAWade 19' Jump Shot (24 PTS) (Doleac 1 AST)50
19.2%
59
80.8%
Q3 - 6:32LALCook 13' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Brown 1 AST)50
21.6%
57
78.4%
Q3 - 6:41LALWalton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)48
19.2%
57
80.8%
Q3 - 6:43LALMISS Cook 20' Jump Shot48
17.4%
57
82.6%
Q3 - 6:59MIAHaslem 13' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Wade 6 AST)48
19.2%
57
80.8%
Q3 - 7:07MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)48
22.0%
55
78.0%
Q3 - 7:09LALMISS Cook 19' Jump Shot48
22.9%
55
77.1%
Q3 - 7:28MIAWade Driving Layup (22 PTS)48
25.1%
55
74.9%
Q3 - 7:42LALWalton 4' Jump Bank Shot (9 PTS)48
27.7%
53
72.3%
Q3 - 7:55LALLakers Rebound46
25.1%
53
74.9%
Q3 - 7:56MIAMISS Doleac 11' Jump Shot46
24.1%
53
75.9%
Q3 - 8:03MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)46
22.6%
53
77.4%
Q3 - 8:05LALMISS Cook 5' Jump Shot46
23.5%
53
76.5%
Q3 - 8:22LALBrown REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)46
25.7%
53
74.3%
Q3 - 8:24MIAMISS Wright 21' Jump Shot46
24.7%
53
75.3%
Q3 - 8:39LALBryant Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)46
22.5%
53
77.5%
Q3 - 8:39LALBryant Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)45
22.2%
53
77.8%
Q3 - 8:51LALBrown REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)44
20.3%
53
79.7%
Q3 - 8:53MIAMISS Wade 20' Jump Shot44
19.5%
53
80.5%
Q3 - 9:05LALBryant Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)44
18.4%
53
81.6%
Q3 - 9:05LALBryant Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)43
18.1%
53
81.9%
Q3 - 9:17MIAWade 19' Jump Shot (20 PTS)42
16.3%
53
83.7%
Q3 - 9:29MIAHEAT Rebound42
18.4%
51
81.6%
Q3 - 9:30MIAMISS Williams Layup42
20.0%
51
80.0%
Q3 - 9:33MIAWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)42
18.4%
51
81.6%
Q3 - 9:34LALWright BLOCK (2 BLK)42
19.1%
51
80.9%
Q3 - 9:53MIAWade 6' Jump Bank Shot (18 PTS)42
20.7%
51
79.3%
Q3 - 10:17LALBryant 16' Jump Shot (6 PTS)42
23.7%
49
76.3%
Q3 - 10:33MIAWright 15' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Haslem 1 AST)40
21.5%
49
78.5%
Q3 - 10:55MIAWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)40
23.7%
47
76.3%
Q3 - 10:57LALMISS Bryant 21' Jump Shot40
24.6%
47
75.4%
Q3 - 11:07LALCook REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)40
27.2%
47
72.8%
Q3 - 11:09MIAMISS Williams 15' Jump Shot40
26.4%
47
73.6%
Q3 - 11:23MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)40
24.5%
47
75.5%
Q3 - 11:25LALMISS Parker 19' Jump Shot40
25.3%
47
74.7%
Q3 - 11:38LALCook REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)40
27.2%
47
72.8%
Q3 - 11:40MIAMISS Wade 17' Jump Shot40
26.3%
47
73.7%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA40
24.4%
47
75.6%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)40
24.4%
47
75.6%
Q2 - 0:01.0LALMISS Parker 25' 3PT Jump Shot40
26.3%
47
73.7%
Q2 - 0:16.0MIAPosey Reverse Layup (4 PTS)40
27.6%
47
72.4%
Q2 - 0:34.0LALRadmanovic Driving Layup (4 PTS)40
31.1%
45
68.9%
Q2 - 0:44.0LALTuriaf REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)38
27.5%
45
72.5%
Q2 - 0:46.0MIAMISS Wright 14' Jump Shot38
27.0%
45
73.0%
Q2 - 1:00LALTuriaf 5' Jump Bank Shot (8 PTS)38
25.6%
45
74.4%
Q2 - 1:02LALTuriaf REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)36
23.0%
45
77.0%
Q2 - 1:03LALMISS Radmanovic 26' 3PT Jump Shot36
22.2%
45
77.8%
Q2 - 1:20MIAPosey Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)36
23.0%
45
77.0%
Q2 - 1:20MIAPosey Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)36
23.4%
44
76.6%
Q2 - 1:33MIAWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)36
26.5%
43
73.5%
Q2 - 1:35LALMISS Walton Free Throw 2 of 236
26.7%
43
73.3%
Q2 - 1:35LALWalton Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)36
28.5%
43
71.5%
Q2 - 1:48MIAWade Driving Layup (16 PTS)35
25.3%
43
74.7%
Q2 - 1:53LALWade STEAL (2 STL)35
29.1%
41
70.9%
Q2 - 1:59LALRadmanovic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)35
30.5%
41
69.5%
Q2 - 2:01MIAMISS Wade Layup35
30.8%
41
69.2%
Q2 - 2:13LALParker Foul Turnover (P1.T8)35
29.1%
41
70.9%
Q2 - 2:24LALBryant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)35
31.5%
41
68.5%
Q2 - 2:26MIAMISS Wright 16' Jump Shot35
30.7%
41
69.3%
Q2 - 2:39MIAPayton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)35
29.1%
41
70.9%
Q2 - 2:41LALMISS Radmanovic 10' Jump Bank Shot35
29.8%
41
70.2%
Q2 - 2:54LALLakers Rebound35
31.4%
41
68.6%
Q2 - 2:55MIAMISS Haslem 17' Jump Shot35
30.7%
41
69.3%
Q2 - 3:14LALTuriaf Dunk (6 PTS) (Bryant 4 AST)35
29.5%
41
70.5%
Q2 - 3:20MIAWade Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T9)33
27.4%
41
72.6%
Q2 - 3:33LALWalton Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)33
24.8%
41
75.2%
Q2 - 3:33LALWalton Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)32
24.3%
41
75.7%
Q2 - 3:45MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)31
22.8%
41
77.2%
Q2 - 3:45MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)31
23.2%
40
76.8%
Q2 - 3:58LALCook 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Walton 1 AST)31
24.7%
39
75.3%
Q2 - 4:02LALLakers Rebound29
23.4%
39
76.6%
Q2 - 4:03LALWright BLOCK (1 BLK)29
22.1%
39
77.9%
Q2 - 4:08LALBryant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)29
23.4%
39
76.6%
Q2 - 4:10MIAMISS Williams 17' Jump Shot29
22.8%
39
77.2%
Q2 - 4:23MIAWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)29
21.4%
39
78.6%
Q2 - 4:25LALMISS Bryant 13' Running Jump Shot29
22.0%
39
78.0%
Q2 - 4:48LALCook REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)29
23.4%
39
76.6%
Q2 - 4:49MIAMISS Walker Free Throw 2 of 229
23.1%
39
76.9%
Q2 - 4:49MIAMISS Walker Free Throw 1 of 229
22.1%
39
77.9%
Q2 - 5:02LALWalker STEAL (2 STL)29
21.8%
39
78.2%
Q2 - 5:13LALBynum REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)29
23.9%
39
76.1%
Q2 - 5:15MIAMISS Wade 21' Jump Shot29
23.2%
39
76.8%
Q2 - 5:21MIADoleac REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)29
21.7%
39
78.3%
Q2 - 5:23MIAMISS Walker 25' 3PT Jump Shot29
23.2%
39
76.8%
Q2 - 5:51LALBryant 22' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Farmar 2 AST)29
21.7%
39
78.3%
Q2 - 5:57LALLakers Rebound27
20.0%
39
80.0%
Q2 - 5:58LALMISS Radmanovic 25' 3PT Jump Shot27
18.7%
39
81.3%
Q2 - 6:12MIAWalker Foul Turnover (P2.T8)27
20.8%
39
79.2%
Q2 - 6:21MIADoleac REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)27
18.7%
39
81.3%
Q2 - 6:23LALMISS Vujacic 24' 3PT Jump Shot27
19.3%
39
80.7%
Q2 - 6:36LALVujacic Free Throw Technical (4 PTS)27
20.8%
39
79.2%
Q2 - 6:47MIAMourning Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)26
19.0%
39
81.0%
Q2 - 6:47MIAMISS Mourning Free Throw 1 of 226
19.6%
38
80.4%
Q2 - 7:03MIAHEAT Rebound26
19.8%
38
80.2%
Q2 - 7:03LALMISS Vujacic 25' 3PT Jump Shot26
20.4%
38
79.6%
Q2 - 7:18LALRadmanovic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)26
21.6%
38
78.4%
Q2 - 7:20MIAMISS Mourning 5' Jump Hook Shot26
21.0%
38
79.0%
Q2 - 7:23MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)26
19.7%
38
80.3%
Q2 - 7:24MIAMISS Mourning Free Throw 2 of 226
21.3%
38
78.7%
Q2 - 7:24MIAMourning Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)26
20.4%
38
79.6%
Q2 - 7:35MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)26
21.4%
37
78.6%
Q2 - 7:37LALMISS Vujacic 25' 3PT Jump Shot26
22.0%
37
78.0%
Q2 - 7:55MIAWalker 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Williams 3 AST)26
23.4%
37
76.6%
Q2 - 8:14LALVujacic 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Farmar 1 AST)26
27.4%
34
72.6%
Q2 - 8:24MIAKapono Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T7)23
23.7%
34
76.3%
Q2 - 8:39MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)23
21.6%
34
78.4%
Q2 - 8:40LALMourning BLOCK (3 BLK)23
22.3%
34
77.7%
Q2 - 8:54MIAKapono 11' Jump Shot (2 PTS)23
23.7%
34
76.3%
Q2 - 9:07LALRadmanovic Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)23
25.8%
32
74.2%
Q2 - 9:07LALRadmanovic Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)22
25.4%
32
74.6%
Q2 - 9:28MIAMourning 5' Jump Hook Shot (5 PTS) (Williams 2 AST)21
24.1%
32
75.9%
Q2 - 9:35MIAWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)21
25.8%
30
74.2%
Q2 - 9:36LALMISS Vujacic 24' 3PT Jump Shot21
26.4%
30
73.6%
Q2 - 9:48LALLakers Rebound21
28.0%
30
72.0%
Q2 - 9:48MIAMISS Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot21
27.3%
30
72.7%
Q2 - 10:15LALBrown Layup (5 PTS)21
26.0%
30
74.0%
Q2 - 10:17MIAMourning Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T6)19
24.4%
30
75.6%
Q2 - 10:20MIAWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)19
22.4%
30
77.6%
Q2 - 10:22LALMISS Farmar 25' 3PT Jump Shot19
23.0%
30
77.0%
Q2 - 10:34MIAWalker Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)19
24.4%
30
75.6%
Q2 - 10:57LALEvans 10' Fadeaway Jumper (2 PTS)19
22.4%
30
77.6%
Q2 - 11:11MIAKapono Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)17
21.1%
30
78.9%
Q2 - 11:23MIAKapono REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
19.6%
30
80.4%
Q2 - 11:25LALMISS Brown Free Throw 2 of 217
19.8%
30
80.2%
Q2 - 11:25LALBrown Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)17
20.6%
30
79.4%
Q2 - 11:46LALRadmanovic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)16
19.5%
30
80.5%
Q2 - 11:47MIAMISS Kapono 26' 3PT Jump Shot16
19.1%
30
80.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA16
18.0%
30
82.0%
Q1 - 0:01.0LALKapono STEAL (1 STL)16
18.6%
30
81.4%
Q1 - 0:25.0MIAWalker Layup (2 PTS) (Wade 5 AST)16
19.7%
30
80.3%
Q1 - 0:29.0LALPayton STEAL (1 STL)16
21.6%
28
78.4%
Q1 - 0:39.0MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)16
22.9%
28
77.1%
Q1 - 0:39.0MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)16
23.2%
27
76.8%
Q1 - 0:42.0LALWalker STEAL (1 STL)16
25.0%
26
75.0%
Q1 - 0:59.0MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)16
26.4%
26
73.6%
Q1 - 0:59.0MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)16
26.8%
25
73.2%
Q1 - 1:17LALTuriaf 8' Turnaround Jump Shot (4 PTS)16
28.9%
24
71.1%
Q1 - 1:24LALLakers Rebound14
26.6%
24
73.4%
Q1 - 1:24LALWade BLOCK (3 BLK)14
25.6%
24
74.4%
Q1 - 1:30LALRadmanovic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
26.6%
24
73.4%
Q1 - 1:32MIAMISS Wade Layup14
26.1%
24
73.9%
Q1 - 1:38MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)14
25.2%
24
74.8%
Q1 - 1:40LALMISS Parker 25' 3PT Jump Shot14
25.6%
24
74.4%
Q1 - 1:50LALTuriaf REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)14
26.6%
24
73.4%
Q1 - 1:52MIAMISS Kapono 18' Jump Shot14
26.1%
24
73.9%
Q1 - 2:05MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
25.4%
24
74.6%
Q1 - 2:07LALMISS Bryant 14' Jump Shot14
25.9%
24
74.1%
Q1 - 2:27LALTuriaf REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)14
27.0%
24
73.0%
Q1 - 2:29MIAMISS Kapono 18' Jump Shot14
26.5%
24
73.5%
Q1 - 2:32LALWade STEAL (1 STL)14
25.3%
24
74.7%
Q1 - 2:34LALWalton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
27.0%
24
73.0%
Q1 - 2:36MIAMISS Wade 21' Jump Shot14
26.5%
24
73.5%
Q1 - 2:48MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)14
25.3%
24
74.7%
Q1 - 2:49LALMISS Radmanovic 24' 3PT Jump Shot14
25.8%
24
74.2%
Q1 - 3:02MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)14
27.8%
24
72.2%
Q1 - 3:02MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)14
28.1%
23
71.9%
Q1 - 3:16LALTuriaf Layup (2 PTS) (Bryant 3 AST)14
29.4%
22
70.6%
Q1 - 3:29MIAWade 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Wright 2 AST)12
27.8%
22
72.2%
Q1 - 3:43LALParker Dunk (2 PTS) (Bryant 2 AST)12
31.3%
19
68.7%
Q1 - 3:48MIAWilliams Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T3)10
29.6%
19
70.4%
Q1 - 3:52MIAWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)10
27.5%
19
72.5%
Q1 - 3:54LALMISS Bryant 26' 3PT Jump Shot10
28.1%
19
71.9%
Q1 - 4:00LALTuriaf REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)10
29.6%
19
70.4%
Q1 - 4:02LALWade BLOCK (2 BLK)10
28.5%
19
71.5%
Q1 - 4:21MIAWilliams Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)10
30.0%
19
70.0%
Q1 - 4:27MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)10
27.8%
19
72.2%
Q1 - 4:29LALMISS Parker 11' Jump Shot10
28.4%
19
71.6%
Q1 - 4:42MIAWright 20' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)10
30.0%
19
70.0%
Q1 - 5:00LALWalton 5' Turnaround Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Cook 2 AST)10
31.5%
17
68.5%
Q1 - 5:09LALCook REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
30.5%
17
69.5%
Q1 - 5:11MIAMISS Mourning Free Throw 2 of 28
30.3%
17
69.7%
Q1 - 5:11MIAMISS Mourning Free Throw 1 of 28
29.4%
17
70.6%
Q1 - 5:24LALCook Traveling Turnover (P1.T2)8
28.6%
17
71.4%
Q1 - 5:43LALLakers Rebound8
30.5%
17
69.5%
Q1 - 5:44MIAMISS Williams 26' 3PT Jump Shot8
29.9%
17
70.1%
Q1 - 5:49MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)8
28.5%
17
71.5%
Q1 - 5:51LALMISS Bryant Layup8
29.1%
17
70.9%
Q1 - 6:02MIAWright 15' Jump Shot (6 PTS)8
31.0%
17
69.0%
Q1 - 6:12MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
32.6%
15
67.4%
Q1 - 6:14LALMISS Bryant 26' 3PT Jump Shot8
33.2%
15
66.8%
Q1 - 6:31MIAWright Dunk (4 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)8
34.5%
15
65.5%
Q1 - 6:40LALWilliams STEAL (1 STL)8
36.3%
13
63.7%
Q1 - 6:57MIAWright Dunk (2 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)8
38.2%
13
61.8%
Q1 - 7:00MIAWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
40.1%
11
59.9%
Q1 - 7:02LALMourning BLOCK (2 BLK)8
41.0%
11
59.0%
Q1 - 7:19MIAMourning 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T1)8
42.4%
11
57.6%
Q1 - 7:36LALBynum Layup (2 PTS)8
40.4%
11
59.6%
Q1 - 7:38LALBynum REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)6
38.8%
11
61.2%
Q1 - 7:40LALMourning BLOCK (1 BLK)6
37.4%
11
62.6%
Q1 - 7:57MIAMourning Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)6
38.7%
11
61.3%
Q1 - 8:24LALBrown Dunk (2 PTS) (Bryant 1 AST)6
42.5%
8
57.5%
Q1 - 8:44MIAWade Driving Dunk (3 PTS) (Wright 1 AST)4
40.9%
8
59.1%
Q1 - 8:56LALBryant Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)4
42.5%
6
57.5%
Q1 - 8:56LALBryant Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)3
42.2%
6
57.8%
Q1 - 9:14MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)2
40.8%
6
59.2%
Q1 - 9:14MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 22
41.1%
5
58.9%
Q1 - 9:32MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
40.3%
5
59.7%
Q1 - 9:34LALWade BLOCK (1 BLK)2
41.1%
5
58.9%
Q1 - 9:50LALLakers Rebound2
42.7%
5
57.3%
Q1 - 9:50MIAMISS Mourning 7' Jump Shot2
42.0%
5
58.0%
Q1 - 9:52MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)2
40.4%
5
59.6%
Q1 - 9:54MIAMISS Wright 15' Jump Shot2
42.0%
5
58.0%
Q1 - 10:10MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)2
40.5%
5
59.5%
Q1 - 10:12LALMISS Brown 5' Jump Shot2
41.1%
5
58.9%
Q1 - 10:29MIAHaslem 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)2
42.5%
5
57.5%
Q1 - 10:50LALWalton Reverse Layup (2 PTS) (Cook 1 AST)2
44.1%
3
55.9%
Q1 - 11:17MIAWilliams 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)0
42.4%
3
57.6%
Q1 - 11:35MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
46.2%
0
53.8%
Q1 - 11:37LALMISS Bryant Layup0
46.7%
0
53.3%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball Mourning vs. Brown: Tip to Cook0
47.9%
0
52.1%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

LAL
0.93 46.7%
MIA
1.19 59.4%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
LAL
18
27
67%
MIA
15
20
75%
Midrange
LAL
8
29
28%
MIA
12
30
40%
3PT | Effective 3PT
LAL
5
7.5
23
22%
33%
MIA
7
10.5
16
44%
66%
Free Throws
LAL
18
24
75%
MIA
26
33
79%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
LAL logo Lakers
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
K. Bryant1638%8.0 / 21
R. Turiaf1359%6.5 / 11
L. Walton1063%5.0 / 8
S. Vujacic964%4.5 / 7
S. Parker739%3.5 / 9
K. Brown770%3.5 / 5
V. Radmanovic638%3.0 / 8
J. Farmar643%3.0 / 7
M. Evans550%2.5 / 5
B. Cook433%2.0 / 6
A. Bynum233%1.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Wade4071%20.0 / 28
J. Kapono1179%5.5 / 7
D. Wright1056%5.0 / 9
A. Mourning956%4.5 / 8
G. Payton9113%4.5 / 4
J. Posey850%4.0 / 8
A. Walker563%2.5 / 4
U. Haslem450%2.0 / 4
J. Williams321%1.5 / 7
M. Doleac250%1.0 / 2
C. Quinn0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

LAL
79
+12
-15
91
MIA
77
+7
-17
84
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

LAL
0.93 46.7%
MIA
1.19 59.4%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
108.2
104.2
LAL 90.4 +17.0
MIA 107.4
Pace
93.9
90.1
LAL 109.4 +27.0
MIA 82.4
Avg. Poss. Time
15.6
16.5
LAL 13.2 +4.3
MIA 17.5
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
51.1%
50.6%
LAL 42.4%
MIA 56.8% +14.4%
TO %
15.7%
15.3%
LAL 14.3% +3.1%
MIA 17.4%
ORB %
26.1%
24.9%
LAL 18.8%
MIA 21.4% +2.6%
FTrt
33.3
32.1
LAL 30.4
MIA 50.0 +19.6
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
59.6%
57.6%
LAL 51.6%
MIA 64.7% +13.1%
STL %
7.7%
7.6%
LAL 7.4%
MIA 10.6% +3.2%
BLK %
8.0%
8.8%
LAL 4.0%
MIA 17.9% +13.9%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
54.0%
52.4%
LAL 46.7%
MIA 59.4% +12.7%
Rim FG%
59.4%
61.8%
LAL 66.7%
MIA 75.0% +8.3%
Mid FG%
41.8%
40.5%
LAL 27.6%
MIA 40.0% +12.4%
3P %
35.3%
34.3%
LAL 21.7%
MIA 43.8% +22.1%
FT %
74.7%
69.0%
LAL 75.0%
MIA 78.8% +3.8%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
36.7%
34.9%
LAL 34.2% +3.9%
MIA 30.3%
Mid Att. %
37.4%
40.7%
LAL 36.7% +8.7%
MIA 45.5%
3P Att. %
25.9%
24.5%
LAL 29.1% +4.9%
MIA 24.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.05 and 2.05.
Game TotalsLALMIA
Possessions9494
Possession Minutes20.627.4
Points85101
Rebounds3145
Assists1622
Steals710
Blocks210
Turnovers (Team)15 (0)17 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)9 (3)6 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)22 (6)39 (1)
Field Goals31-7934-66
At-the-Rim FG18-2715-20
Midrange FG8-2912-30
2-Point FG26-5627-50
3-Point FG5-237-16
Free Throws18-2426-33
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'6" 212 · 28
37.9
16
38%
2
4
1
0
3
4
0
2
8-9
89%
4-13
31%
0-4
0%
F · 6'8" 235 · 27
29.8
10
63%
4
1
1
0
2
0
2
2
4-6
67%
3-5
60%
0-0
-
G · 6'4" 190 · 26
27.9
7
39%
0
0
0
0
1
4
0
0
0-0
-
2-6
33%
1-3
33%
C · 6'11" 290 · 25
21.5
7
70%
2
2
1
0
1
3
0
2
1-2
50%
3-4
75%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 250 · 26
18.9
4
33%
4
2
1
1
1
1
0
4
0-0
-
2-5
40%
0-1
0%
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 28
22.2
5
50%
1
1
0
0
2
2
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
33%
1-2
50%
F · 6'10" 235 · 26
20.2
6
38%
6
1
0
0
2
3
0
6
2-2
100%
2-3
67%
0-4
0%
G · 6'2" 180 · 20
20.1
6
43%
0
4
1
0
1
0
0
0
1-2
50%
1-3
33%
1-3
33%
C · 6'10" 249 · 24
19.5
13
59%
7
0
1
1
1
4
3
4
1-2
50%
6-10
60%
0-0
-
G · 6'7" 195 · 23
15.0
9
64%
2
1
1
0
0
2
2
0
1-1
100%
1-1
100%
2-6
33%
C · 7'0" 285 · 19
7.0
2
33%
3
0
0
0
1
5
2
1
0-0
-
1-3
33%
0-0
-
G · 6'1" 201 · 32
#2 · G · 6'5" 209 · 34
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#31 · C · 7'0" 265 · 27
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#7 · F · 6'10" 230 · 27
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
85
47%
31
16
7
2
15
0
9
22
18-24
75%
26-56
46%
5-23
22%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.