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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
December 26, 2006
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
16Bucks30%93114
5Spurs70%100107
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Michael Redd
G · 6'6" 215 · 27.3
39.5
36.5
36
71%
7
2
2
1
0
0
1
6
8-8
100%
14-19
6-12
74%
46%
0-3
0%
Charlie Bell
G · 6'3" 200 · 27.8
39.2
33.9
10
50%
4
4
0
1
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
5-7
3-7
71%
45%
0-3
0%
Andrew Bogut
C · 7'0" 260 · 22.1
38.9
32.6
14
64%
11
3
0
1
1
5
3
8
0-0
-
7-11
4-8
64%
52%
0-0
-
Mo Williams
G · 6'1" 198 · 24.0
37.8
34.8
23
61%
5
4
3
1
1
3
0
5
2-2
100%
9-14
5-11
64%
46%
1-4
25%
Brian Skinner
F-C · 6'9" 255 · 30.6
23.5
23.0
10
48%
2
1
0
1
1
0
0
2
0-1
0%
5-10
2-4
50%
47%
0-0
-
Ruben Patterson
F · 6'5" 223 · 31.4
27.3
23.0
13
87%
5
3
0
1
0
1
3
2
1-1
100%
6-7
4-7
86%
51%
0-0
-
Charlie Villanueva
F · 6'11" 232 · 22.3
20.8
22.6
8
58%
4
1
1
1
2
1
0
4
2-2
100%
3-5
4-7
60%
49%
0-1
0%
Steve Blake
G · 6'3" 172 · 26.8
6.9
14.6
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
42%
0-0
-
Dan Gadzuric
C · 6'11" 240 · 28.9
6.0
12.9
0
0%
2
0
1
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
0-2
2-4
0%
51%
0-0
-
David Noel
F-G · 6'6" 230 · 22.8
8.8
0
1-1
43%
Ersan Ilyasova
F · 6'9" 235 · 19.6
2.7
0
0-1
42%
Damir Markota
F · 6'10" 225 · 21.0
1.0
0
0-0
46%
Chris McCray
G · 6'5" 192 · 22.6
Lynn Greer
G · 6'2" 175 · 27.2
Bobby Simmons
F · 6'6" 235 · 26.6
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Bruce Bowen
F · 6'7" 200 · 35.5
40.1
26.4
9
56%
1
2
1
1
1
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
46%
3-7
43%
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 24.6
39.9
32.3
24
54%
7
10
0
1
0
1
2
5
5-5
100%
8-17
8-14
47%
55%
1-3
33%
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 30.7
39.7
31.5
25
59%
12
0
0
1
2
3
4
8
11-14
79%
7-15
7-12
47%
54%
0-0
-
Michael Finley
G-F · 6'7" 225 · 33.8
34.6
18.8
15
47%
3
4
0
0
0
1
1
2
1-2
50%
4-7
2-4
57%
46%
2-8
25%
Francisco Elson
C-F · 7'0" 240 · 30.8
16.4
22.2
8
84%
6
0
0
1
1
1
2
4
4-4
100%
2-3
2-5
67%
53%
0-0
-
Fabricio Oberto
C · 6'10" 245 · 31.8
18.2
15.1
8
100%
4
1
0
0
0
0
3
1
0-0
-
4-4
2-3
100%
55%
0-0
-
Eric Williams
G-F · 6'8" 220 · 34.4
17.6
5.5
14
67%
3
2
1
0
0
2
0
3
0-1
0%
1-1
0-1
100%
44%
4-9
44%
Robert Horry
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 36.3
15.5
17.4
4
50%
3
1
0
1
1
2
2
1
0-0
-
2-2
1-2
100%
43%
0-2
0%
Beno Udrih
G · 6'3" 205 · 24.5
12.9
9.1
0
0%
1
2
1
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-3
1-2
0%
49%
0-0
-
Jacque Vaughn
G · 6'1" 190 · 31.9
5.0
11.5
0
0%
0
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-2
0%
0-2
1-2
0%
45%
0-0
-
James White
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 24.2
14.2
0
2-3
52%
Jackie Butler
C · 6'10" 260 · 21.8
7.0
0
1-2
54%
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 29.4
Matt Bonner
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 26.7
Brent Barry
G · 6'7" 210 · 35.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.