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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
December 26, 2006
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
6Bulls53%9398
17Timberwolves47%92100
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Luol Deng
F · 6'9" 220 · 21.7
41.6
32.5
16
50%
8
3
2
1
0
0
1
7
6-7
86%
5-13
6-12
38%
50%
0-0
-
Kirk Hinrich
G · 6'4" 190 · 26.0
37.1
31.0
19
57%
3
6
1
1
1
1
0
3
3-4
75%
5-9
3-7
56%
45%
2-6
33%
Andres Nocioni
· 6'7" 225 · 27.1
35.8
24.7
18
48%
8
1
2
0
0
0
1
7
6-6
100%
6-11
3-7
55%
50%
0-5
0%
Ben Wallace
F-C · 6'9" 240 · 32.3
28.8
32.6
3
31%
5
1
1
2
1
0
3
2
1-2
50%
1-4
3-5
25%
48%
0-0
-
Chris Duhon
G · 6'1" 190 · 24.3
25.0
29.2
5
36%
2
1
2
1
0
4
0
2
0-2
0%
1-4
1-3
25%
45%
1-2
50%
Ben Gordon
G · 6'3" 205 · 23.7
27.7
26.6
27
66%
3
2
1
1
0
4
0
3
10-10
100%
7-13
4-9
54%
44%
1-3
33%
Thabo Sefolosha
F · 6'7" 220 · 22.7
23.2
15.7
6
60%
2
3
1
1
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
3-5
2-4
60%
47%
0-0
-
P.J. Brown
F-C · 6'11" 239 · 37.2
6.9
14.3
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
0-1
2-4
0%
44%
0-0
-
Michael Sweetney
F · 6'8" 270 · 24.2
4.9
9.1
4
100%
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
2-2
1-3
100%
46%
0-0
-
Tyrus Thomas
F · 6'10" 225 · 20.4
4.8
11.6
0
0%
1
0
0
0
1
1
1
0
0-2
0%
0-0
2-3
-
47%
0-0
-
Malik Allen
F · 6'10" 255 · 28.5
4.3
7.2
0
0%
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
46%
0-0
-
Adrian Griffin
G-F · 6'5" 230 · 32.5
7.2
0
1-1
47%
Martynas Andriuskevicius
C · 7'2" 240 · 20.8
Andre Barrett
G · 5'10" 173 · 24.8
Viktor Khryapa
· 6'9" 210 · 24.4
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kevin Garnett
F · 6'11" 240 · 30.6
35.9
38.2
26
54%
14
8
0
1
0
2
4
10
8-12
67%
9-19
8-16
47%
51%
0-0
-
Trenton Hassell
F-G · 6'5" 227 · 27.8
35.5
30.7
1
13%
4
3
0
0
0
1
3
1
1-2
50%
0-3
3-6
0%
48%
0-0
-
Mike James
G · 6'2" 188 · 31.5
33.5
27.8
8
41%
3
5
0
1
0
3
0
3
4-4
100%
2-5
3-7
40%
47%
0-3
0%
Mark Blount
C-F · 7'0" 250 · 31.1
29.4
30.4
18
82%
7
0
1
1
0
2
0
7
0-0
-
9-11
5-9
82%
51%
0-0
-
Ricky Davis
G · 6'7" 195 · 27.3
28.6
34.3
15
83%
5
4
2
1
0
3
0
5
0-0
-
6-8
4-9
75%
48%
1-1
100%
Marko Jaric
G · 6'7" 224 · 28.0
28.4
22.6
4
27%
7
4
2
1
0
3
3
4
0-3
0%
2-4
2-4
50%
44%
0-2
0%
Randy Foye
G · 6'4" 218 · 23.3
25.9
17.4
25
62%
0
1
1
1
0
3
0
0
7-7
100%
6-13
2-5
46%
45%
2-4
50%
Craig Smith
F · 6'7" 265 · 23.1
15.5
17.4
3
52%
6
1
0
1
0
3
2
4
1-2
50%
1-2
3-5
50%
48%
0-0
-
Mark Madsen
F · 6'9" 255 · 30.9
4.7
6.6
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
48%
0-0
-
Justin Reed
F · 6'8" 240 · 24.9
2.7
9.9
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
42%
0-0
-
Troy Hudson
G · 6'1" 178 · 30.8
12.9
0
1-3
41%
Eddie Griffin
F · 6'9" 222 · 24.6
1.3
0
0-0
38%
Rashad McCants
G · 6'4" 215 · 22.3
Bracey Wright
G · 6'3" 201 · 22.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.