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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
December 27, 2006
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
10Cavaliers64%9689
29Hawks36%9276
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
LeBron James
F · 6'9" 250 · 22.0
39.5
40.4
27
47%
9
3
1
2
2
1
1
8
6-8
75%
9-23
8-16
39%
52%
1-2
50%
Larry Hughes
G · 6'5" 185 · 27.9
39.2
34.2
17
50%
4
4
4
2
0
5
0
4
6-7
86%
4-12
4-10
33%
45%
1-2
50%
Zydrunas Ilgauskas
C · 7'3" 260 · 31.6
35.1
32.8
16
60%
10
0
2
1
2
2
4
6
0-1
0%
8-13
6-12
62%
49%
0-0
-
Eric Snow
G · 6'3" 205 · 33.7
33.5
23.6
2
53%
2
3
2
1
0
2
0
2
2-2
100%
0-1
2-4
0%
43%
0-0
-
Drew Gooden
F · 6'10" 250 · 25.3
30.9
26.2
12
61%
7
2
2
1
3
3
1
6
2-4
50%
5-8
5-9
63%
50%
0-0
-
Damon Jones
G · 6'3" 195 · 30.3
20.1
20.6
5
63%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-3
1-2
33%
47%
1-1
100%
Donyell Marshall
F · 6'9" 245 · 33.6
15.9
14.6
4
29%
9
0
1
0
1
2
4
5
0-0
-
2-6
1-2
33%
49%
0-1
0%
Anderson Varejao
F · 6'11" 260 · 24.2
15.2
20.8
4
52%
3
0
1
1
0
1
2
1
2-2
100%
1-3
3-5
33%
52%
0-0
-
Daniel Gibson
G · 6'2" 200 · 20.8
10.6
19.4
2
33%
1
1
0
1
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
1-3
33%
46%
0-0
-
Shannon Brown
G · 6'3" 215 · 21.1
5.2
0
1-1
46%
Sasha Pavlovic
G-F · 6'7" 235 · 23.1
3.0
0
0-1
44%
David Wesley
G · 6'1" 203 · 36.1
1.5
0
0-0
41%
Ira Newble
G-F · 6'7" 220 · 31.9
Dwayne Jones
F-C · 6'11" 248 · 23.6
Scot Pollard
C-F · 6'11" 278 · 31.9
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Joe Johnson
G-F · 6'7" 240 · 25.5
47.1
37.4
10
28%
3
5
0
1
0
5
1
2
2-2
100%
4-12
7-13
33%
50%
0-5
0%
Speedy Claxton
G · 5'11" 170 · 28.6
38.6
27.5
11
40%
1
7
8
2
0
2
0
1
1-2
50%
2-10
3-7
20%
43%
2-3
67%
Zaza Pachulia
C · 6'11" 270 · 22.9
36.7
19.5
22
64%
7
2
3
1
0
8
4
3
4-7
57%
9-14
3-6
64%
47%
0-0
-
Shelden Williams
C-F · 6'9" 250 · 23.2
29.5
21.4
6
38%
12
1
2
1
0
1
0
12
2-2
100%
2-7
2-5
29%
47%
0-0
-
Marvin Williams
F · 6'9" 237 · 20.5
20.1
33.4
5
50%
4
1
0
1
0
4
2
2
0-0
-
1-1
5-10
100%
47%
1-4
25%
Josh Childress
F-G · 6'8" 210 · 23.5
35.2
35.6
12
46%
5
0
2
1
2
1
2
3
0-0
-
6-11
4-7
55%
54%
0-2
0%
Lorenzen Wright
F-C · 6'11" 255 · 31.1
17.2
19.2
8
68%
6
0
1
1
2
0
3
3
2-2
100%
3-5
2-4
60%
48%
0-0
-
Salim Stoudamire
G · 6'1" 175 · 24.2
13.8
27.0
2
20%
1
0
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
3-6
50%
43%
0-3
0%
Cedric Bozeman
G · 6'6" 207 · 23.8
1.8
8.3
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
44%
0-0
-
Royal Ivey
G · 6'4" 200 · 25.0
16.9
1
2-4
44%
Solomon Jones
F · 6'10" 235 · 22.4
10.4
0
1-2
48%
Esteban Batista
F-C · 6'10" 268 · 23.3
0.9
0
0-0
46%
Tyronn Lue
G · 6'0" 175 · 29.7
Josh Smith
· 6'9" 225 · 21.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.