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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
December 27, 2006
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
8Lakers51%96106
19Magic49%9593
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kobe Bryant
F-G · 6'6" 212 · 28.3
36.4
37.1
27
49%
3
7
2
1
1
3
0
3
11-12
92%
8-19
7-13
42%
49%
0-3
0%
Kwame Brown
C · 6'11" 290 · 24.8
34.6
23.2
10
63%
6
1
2
1
2
5
3
3
2-2
100%
4-7
3-5
57%
51%
0-0
-
Luke Walton
F · 6'8" 235 · 26.7
29.7
30.2
10
63%
2
4
0
1
1
1
1
1
1-2
50%
3-5
3-6
60%
48%
1-2
50%
Smush Parker
G · 6'4" 190 · 25.6
28.5
27.9
20
78%
3
3
3
1
0
1
0
3
2-2
100%
6-9
3-6
67%
50%
2-3
67%
Brian Cook
C-F · 6'9" 250 · 26.1
21.4
17.9
9
92%
6
0
0
0
0
0
0
6
2-2
100%
2-2
3-5
100%
49%
1-2
50%
Maurice Evans
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 28.1
23.1
21.3
3
30%
4
1
1
1
0
1
1
3
0-0
-
0-3
2-5
0%
49%
1-2
50%
Vladimir Radmanovic
F · 6'10" 235 · 26.1
21.8
21.0
7
61%
1
0
0
1
0
0
1
0
3-4
75%
2-4
2-4
50%
46%
0-0
-
Sasha Vujacic
G · 6'7" 195 · 22.8
17.4
14.0
7
51%
3
2
2
0
0
1
0
3
2-2
100%
1-2
1-2
50%
38%
1-4
25%
Jordan Farmar
G · 6'2" 180 · 20.1
13.7
18.5
0
0%
2
2
0
1
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
50%
0-0
-
Andrew Bynum
C · 7'0" 285 · 19.2
13.4
14.2
13
77%
4
2
0
0
1
1
1
3
1-1
100%
6-8
2-4
75%
52%
0-0
-
Ronny Turiaf
C · 6'10" 249 · 24.0
10.7
0
1-3
52%
Shammond Williams
G · 6'1" 201 · 31.7
1.2
0
0-0
38%
Chris Mihm
C · 7'0" 265 · 27.4
Lamar Odom
F · 6'10" 230 · 27.1
Aaron McKie
G · 6'5" 209 · 34.2
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dwight Howard
C · 6'11" 265 · 21.1
37.6
34.0
12
49%
8
1
1
1
1
3
2
6
4-5
80%
4-10
6-10
40%
55%
0-0
-
Hedo Turkoglu
F · 6'10" 220 · 27.8
33.4
21.0
12
46%
0
5
2
1
1
2
0
0
0-0
-
6-9
2-5
67%
46%
0-4
0%
Jameer Nelson
G · 6'0" 190 · 24.9
32.7
26.4
15
58%
3
7
1
1
0
3
1
2
2-2
100%
5-11
4-8
45%
51%
1-1
100%
Grant Hill
F · 6'8" 225 · 34.2
27.3
30.6
20
55%
2
0
0
1
2
2
0
2
10-14
71%
5-12
5-11
42%
51%
0-0
-
Tony Battie
C · 6'11" 240 · 30.9
18.2
22.6
4
50%
5
1
0
0
0
0
2
3
0-0
-
2-4
2-5
50%
49%
0-0
-
Trevor Ariza
F-G · 6'8" 215 · 21.5
31.4
32.1
11
62%
6
0
2
2
0
1
3
3
1-2
50%
5-8
4-9
63%
49%
0-0
-
Keyon Dooling
G · 6'3" 195 · 26.6
20.7
22.2
0
0%
1
0
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
3-6
0%
45%
0-1
0%
Darko Milicic
C · 7'0" 275 · 21.5
19.1
22.4
13
53%
8
0
1
1
2
1
4
4
3-5
60%
5-10
3-6
50%
47%
0-0
-
Carlos Arroyo
G · 6'2" 200 · 27.4
15.3
20.1
6
41%
3
4
1
1
0
3
2
1
2-3
67%
2-6
3-7
33%
45%
0-0
-
Keith Bogans
G-F · 6'5" 215 · 26.6
4.3
7.1
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
44%
0-0
-
Bo Outlaw
F · 6'8" 220 · 35.7
8.4
0
1-1
52%
Pat Garrity
F · 6'9" 238 · 30.3
5.3
0
0-1
46%
Travis Diener
G · 6'1" 175 · 24.8
JJ Redick
G-F · 6'4" 200 · 22.5
James Augustine
F · 6'10" 235 · 22.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.