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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
December 27, 2006
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
6Pistons58%96145
27Knicks42%94151
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Richard Hamilton
G · 6'7" 193 · 28.9
55.0
32.7
51
60%
2
2
0
1
0
1
0
2
12-12
100%
18-36
6-13
50%
47%
1-1
100%
Chauncey Billups
G · 6'3" 210 · 30.3
51.1
35.5
17
48%
4
10
1
1
1
2
0
4
9-11
82%
1-4
3-7
25%
45%
2-9
22%
Tayshaun Prince
F · 6'9" 212 · 26.8
49.4
36.2
13
35%
8
5
1
1
0
1
3
5
4-6
67%
3-9
5-10
33%
49%
1-7
14%
Rasheed Wallace
F-C · 6'11" 230 · 32.3
36.4
31.6
9
31%
9
1
1
1
0
1
6
3
1-1
100%
4-10
3-7
40%
48%
0-4
0%
Nazr Mohammed
C · 6'10" 250 · 29.3
30.3
22.0
18
53%
14
0
1
1
2
1
8
6
2-2
100%
8-16
3-6
50%
51%
0-0
-
Antonio McDyess
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 32.3
31.6
14.5
15
58%
10
2
0
0
1
1
6
4
1-2
50%
7-12
2-4
58%
49%
0-0
-
Carlos Delfino
G-F · 6'6" 230 · 24.3
30.4
12.6
16
90%
3
0
2
0
1
0
1
2
1-2
50%
3-4
1-2
75%
44%
3-4
75%
Will Blalock
G · 6'0" 205 · 23.3
11.8
11.8
2
100%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
43%
0-0
-
Dale Davis
C-F · 6'11" 252 · 37.8
11.7
12.3
4
50%
4
1
0
0
1
0
2
2
0-0
-
2-4
1-2
50%
46%
0-0
-
Flip Murray
G · 6'3" 200 · 27.4
4.2
14.4
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
3
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
2-4
0%
44%
0-0
-
Jason Maxiell
F · 6'7" 260 · 23.9
2.9
15.7
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-1
2-5
0%
49%
0-0
-
Ronald Dupree
F · 6'7" 209 · 25.9
0.2
2.2
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
46%
0-0
-
Amir Johnson
C-F · 6'9" 240 · 19.7
Lindsey Hunter
G · 6'2" 195 · 36.1
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Eddy Curry
C · 7'0" 295 · 24.1
53.8
31.2
33
76%
7
1
0
0
1
4
4
3
11-15
73%
11-15
6-11
73%
55%
0-0
-
Jamal Crawford
G · 6'5" 185 · 26.8
53.4
39.6
29
72%
4
11
0
1
0
5
0
4
11-12
92%
6-10
5-10
60%
45%
2-5
40%
Stephon Marbury
G · 6'2" 205 · 29.8
50.6
33.5
41
69%
5
8
1
1
0
2
0
5
12-15
80%
10-14
4-8
71%
48%
3-9
33%
Jared Jeffries
F · 6'11" 240 · 25.1
42.9
10.6
4
38%
6
0
0
0
0
3
3
3
0-3
0%
2-4
1-2
50%
47%
0-0
-
Channing Frye
F · 6'11" 255 · 23.6
36.4
31.0
26
63%
7
1
0
1
1
2
0
7
6-6
100%
10-17
5-12
59%
47%
0-1
0%
David Lee
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 23.7
45.9
33.8
11
65%
13
2
1
1
1
1
4
9
5-8
63%
3-5
5-8
60%
60%
0-0
-
Renaldo Balkman
F · 6'8" 225 · 22.5
16.7
23.1
5
43%
2
0
1
1
2
0
0
2
1-2
50%
2-4
2-5
50%
48%
0-1
0%
Steve Francis
G · 6'3" 210 · 29.8
14.9
17.5
2
35%
3
1
1
1
0
0
0
3
2-2
100%
0-1
2-4
0%
45%
0-1
0%
Malik Rose
F · 6'7" 255 · 32.1
0.4
13.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
42%
0-0
-
Nate Robinson
G · 5'9" 180 · 22.6
7.8
0
1-2
46%
Jerome James
C · 7'1" 285 · 31.1
7.6
0
1-2
48%
Mardy Collins
G · 6'6" 220 · 22.4
1.8
0
0-1
47%
Kelvin Cato
C · 6'11" 275 · 32.3
Quentin Richardson
F · 6'6" 228 · 26.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.