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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
December 27, 2006
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
13Bucks47%99112
22Grizzlies53%10096
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Charlie Bell
G · 6'3" 200 · 27.8
41.0
35.7
11
56%
4
6
3
1
0
0
1
3
2-2
100%
0-5
3-7
0%
48%
3-4
75%
Mo Williams
G · 6'1" 198 · 24.0
38.6
35.8
18
68%
1
6
2
1
0
2
0
1
2-3
67%
5-10
6-12
50%
48%
2-2
100%
Michael Redd
G · 6'6" 215 · 27.3
31.7
37.6
20
51%
5
4
1
1
0
1
2
3
5-6
83%
3-10
6-13
30%
49%
3-7
43%
Andrew Bogut
C · 7'0" 260 · 22.1
29.4
35.0
20
72%
7
3
0
1
0
2
4
3
0-2
0%
10-13
5-9
77%
54%
0-0
-
Brian Skinner
F-C · 6'9" 255 · 30.6
29.1
23.0
2
20%
11
0
0
1
2
2
4
7
2-2
100%
0-4
2-4
0%
49%
0-0
-
Ruben Patterson
F · 6'5" 223 · 31.4
21.5
25.1
19
71%
6
5
0
1
0
1
3
3
3-3
100%
8-11
4-8
73%
53%
0-1
0%
Charlie Villanueva
F · 6'11" 232 · 22.3
21.5
21.9
6
38%
7
1
1
1
0
2
1
6
0-0
-
3-7
4-7
43%
51%
0-1
0%
David Noel
F-G · 6'6" 230 · 22.8
8.6
6.0
5
83%
1
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
0-1
50%
46%
1-1
100%
Dan Gadzuric
C · 6'11" 240 · 28.9
6.5
10.2
4
40%
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
2-5
1-3
40%
52%
0-0
-
Chris McCray
G · 6'5" 192 · 22.6
5.3
0.8
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
0-0
0%
47%
0-0
-
Ersan Ilyasova
F · 6'9" 235 · 19.6
3.9
2.7
3
61%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1-1
100%
1-2
0-1
50%
45%
0-0
-
Damir Markota
F · 6'10" 225 · 21.0
2.9
0.9
4
67%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
2-3
0-0
67%
48%
0-0
-
Steve Blake
G · 6'3" 172 · 26.8
Lynn Greer
G · 6'2" 175 · 27.2
Bobby Simmons
F · 6'6" 235 · 26.6
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Mike Miller
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 26.9
32.5
36.5
18
53%
4
3
1
1
0
2
2
2
0-0
-
3-7
3-6
43%
51%
4-10
40%
Dahntay Jones
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 26.0
32.4
30.2
13
57%
3
1
0
1
1
2
2
1
3-3
100%
5-10
4-7
50%
48%
0-0
-
Pau Gasol
C · 7'0" 250 · 26.5
28.9
23.6
29
73%
7
3
0
0
2
3
3
4
5-9
56%
12-16
5-10
75%
51%
0-0
-
Alexander Johnson
F · 6'9" 240 · 23.9
27.7
22.3
8
52%
6
0
0
1
2
0
1
5
2-4
50%
3-6
3-5
50%
54%
0-0
-
Damon Stoudamire
G · 5'10" 171 · 33.3
23.4
25.0
0
0%
4
8
0
1
0
2
1
3
0-0
-
0-0
2-5
-
43%
0-3
0%
Chucky Atkins
G · 5'11" 185 · 32.4
24.6
20.9
1
6%
5
7
0
1
0
1
0
5
1-2
50%
0-3
2-5
0%
46%
0-4
0%
Hakim Warrick
F · 6'9" 219 · 24.5
21.6
24.9
11
65%
6
1
0
1
0
1
2
4
1-1
100%
5-8
4-8
63%
50%
0-0
-
Eddie Jones
G-F · 6'6" 200 · 35.2
17.4
11.0
2
20%
2
3
0
0
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
46%
0-3
0%
Rudy Gay
F · 6'8" 230 · 20.4
17.3
19.9
4
42%
2
0
2
1
0
1
0
2
2-4
50%
1-3
3-6
33%
47%
0-0
-
Tarence Kinsey
G · 6'6" 189 · 22.8
9.1
7.2
8
68%
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-2
0%
4-4
1-1
100%
48%
0-1
0%
Brian Cardinal
F · 6'8" 240 · 29.7
5.0
6.1
2
100%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
44%
0-0
-
Jake Tsakalidis
C · 7'2" 290 · 27.5
10.9
0
1-2
52%
Lawrence Roberts
F · 6'9" 240 · 24.2
Kyle Lowry
G · 6'0" 205 · 20.8
Stromile Swift
F-C · 6'10" 220 · 27.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.