FinalWin Prob.pScore
1139%92
103
761%96
109
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
110.89388.3
CHI logo CHI
119.89196.1

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

BullsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

BullsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIACHI
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA103
0%
109
100%
Q4 - 0:04.0CHIGordon Free Throw 2 of 2 (40 PTS)103
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 0:04.0CHIGordon Free Throw 1 of 2 (39 PTS)103
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 0:07.0MIAHaslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)103
0.5%
107
99.5%
Q4 - 0:07.0MIAMISS Haslem Free Throw 1 of 2102
0.4%
107
99.6%
Q4 - 0:11.0CHIGordon Free Throw 2 of 2 (38 PTS)102
0.9%
107
99.1%
Q4 - 0:11.0CHIGordon Free Throw 1 of 2 (37 PTS)102
1.0%
106
99.0%
Q4 - 0:12.0CHIBULLS Rebound102
2.2%
105
97.8%
Q4 - 0:14.0CHIMISS Gordon Free Throw 2 of 2102
6.2%
105
93.8%
Q4 - 0:14.0CHIGordon Free Throw 1 of 2 (36 PTS)102
3.2%
105
96.8%
Q4 - 0:17.0MIAHaslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)102
6.3%
104
93.7%
Q4 - 0:17.0MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)101
5.2%
104
94.8%
Q4 - 0:24.0CHIThomas Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)100
3.9%
104
96.1%
Q4 - 0:24.0CHIThomas Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)100
5.0%
103
95.0%
Q4 - 0:45.0CHIThomas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)100
11.7%
102
88.3%
Q4 - 0:48.0MIAMISS Kapono 26' 3PT Jump Shot100
15.0%
102
85.0%
Q4 - 1:10CHIGordon Free Throw 1 of 1 (35 PTS)100
24.1%
102
75.9%
Q4 - 1:26MIAWilliams 16' Jump Shot (28 PTS)100
47.8%
99
52.2%
Q4 - 1:38MIAWright REBOUND (Off:2 Def:12)98
37.0%
99
63.0%
Q4 - 1:40CHIMISS Gordon 19' Jump Shot98
33.1%
99
66.9%
Q4 - 1:54MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:8 Def:2)98
25.8%
99
74.2%
Q4 - 1:54MIAHaslem Layup (11 PTS)98
25.8%
99
74.2%
Q4 - 1:54MIAWright REBOUND (Off:2 Def:11)96
18.1%
99
81.9%
Q4 - 1:54MIAMISS Wright Tip Shot96
13.4%
99
86.6%
Q4 - 1:55MIAMISS Haslem Layup96
13.4%
99
86.6%
Q4 - 2:19CHIGordon Layup (32 PTS) (Wallace 4 AST)96
20.3%
99
79.7%
Q4 - 2:23MIAWallace STEAL (2 STL)96
24.6%
97
75.4%
Q4 - 2:34MIAHeat Rebound96
39.5%
97
60.5%
Q4 - 2:34CHIMISS Wallace Free Throw 2 of 296
37.3%
97
62.7%
Q4 - 2:34CHIMISS Wallace Free Throw 1 of 296
33.6%
97
66.4%
Q4 - 2:36MIAKapono Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T14)96
24.5%
97
75.5%
Q4 - 2:49CHIWallace Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)96
39.7%
97
60.3%
Q4 - 2:49CHIMISS Wallace Free Throw 1 of 296
44.8%
96
55.2%
Q4 - 3:09MIAWright REBOUND (Off:1 Def:11)94
29.3%
96
70.7%
Q4 - 3:10CHIMISS Hinrich 12' Jump Shot94
25.6%
96
74.4%
Q4 - 3:27MIAKapono Running Layup (16 PTS) (Williams 5 AST)94
18.2%
96
81.8%
Q4 - 3:51CHIGordon 12' Jump Shot (30 PTS) (Hinrich 5 AST)92
16.3%
96
83.7%
Q4 - 4:01MIAWright Backcourt Turnover (P2.T13)92
21.6%
94
78.4%
Q4 - 4:10CHIGordon 21' Jump Shot (28 PTS)92
29.0%
94
71.0%
Q4 - 4:25MIAHaslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)92
36.8%
92
63.2%
Q4 - 4:25MIAMISS Haslem Free Throw 1 of 291
35.0%
92
65.0%
Q4 - 4:39MIAWright REBOUND (Off:1 Def:10)91
37.3%
92
62.7%
Q4 - 4:41CHIMISS Deng 20' Jump Shot91
34.5%
92
65.5%
Q4 - 4:53MIAMourning Layup (6 PTS) (Williams 4 AST)91
28.4%
92
71.6%
Q4 - 5:01MIAHeat Rebound89
23.2%
92
76.8%
Q4 - 5:02MIAMISS Williams 26' 3PT Jump Shot89
19.2%
92
80.8%
Q4 - 5:25CHIGordon Traveling Turnover (P5.T14)89
23.2%
92
76.8%
Q4 - 5:32MIANocioni STEAL (1 STL)89
17.5%
92
82.5%
Q4 - 5:45CHIGordon Free Throw 2 of 2 (26 PTS)89
23.1%
92
76.9%
Q4 - 5:45CHIGordon Free Throw 1 of 2 (25 PTS)89
24.0%
91
76.0%
Q4 - 5:57MIAMourning Layup (4 PTS) (Wright 4 AST)89
29.3%
90
70.7%
Q4 - 6:18MIAHeat Rebound87
24.4%
90
75.6%
Q4 - 6:18CHIMISS Hinrich Layup87
22.5%
90
77.5%
Q4 - 6:22MIAHinrich STEAL (2 STL)87
18.5%
90
81.5%
Q4 - 6:31CHIHinrich Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T13)87
24.4%
90
75.6%
Q4 - 6:33CHIHinrich REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)87
18.5%
90
81.5%
Q4 - 6:35MIANocioni BLOCK (1 BLK)87
20.2%
90
79.8%
Q4 - 6:42MIAHeat Rebound87
24.3%
90
75.7%
Q4 - 6:42MIAWallace BLOCK (3 BLK)87
20.2%
90
79.8%
Q4 - 7:07CHIWallace Dunk (8 PTS) (Gordon 5 AST)87
25.5%
90
74.5%
Q4 - 7:16CHIDeng Free Throw Flagrant 2 of 2 (8 PTS)87
30.3%
88
69.7%
Q4 - 7:16CHIMISS Deng Free Throw Flagrant 1 of 287
31.9%
87
68.1%
Q4 - 7:22CHIDeng REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)87
36.5%
87
63.5%
Q4 - 7:24MIAMISS Quinn 16' Jump Shot87
38.7%
87
61.3%
Q4 - 7:41CHIGordon 19' Jump Shot (24 PTS)87
44.0%
87
56.0%
Q4 - 7:54MIAWilliams 26' 3PT Jump Shot (26 PTS)87
50.0%
85
50.0%
Q4 - 7:58MIAWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)84
37.3%
85
62.7%
Q4 - 8:00CHIMISS Deng Layup84
35.1%
85
64.9%
Q4 - 8:04CHIDeng REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)84
31.2%
85
68.8%
Q4 - 8:06MIAWallace BLOCK (2 BLK)84
33.0%
85
67.0%
Q4 - 8:08MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:7 Def:2)84
37.0%
85
63.0%
Q4 - 8:11MIAWallace BLOCK (1 BLK)84
32.9%
85
67.1%
Q4 - 8:12MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:6 Def:2)84
37.0%
85
63.0%
Q4 - 8:14MIAMISS Posey Layup84
32.9%
85
67.1%
Q4 - 8:30CHIHinrich 29' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Gordon 4 AST)84
37.1%
85
62.9%
Q4 - 8:47MIAWilliams 28' 3PT Jump Shot (23 PTS) (Haslem 3 AST)84
49.4%
82
50.6%
Q4 - 9:12CHIWallace Dunk (6 PTS) (Deng 3 AST)81
37.1%
82
62.9%
Q4 - 9:25MIAWilliams 24' 3PT Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Wright 3 AST)81
42.6%
80
57.4%
Q4 - 9:43CHIGordon Foul Turnover (P4.T12)78
31.6%
80
68.4%
Q4 - 9:54MIAQuinn 27' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Posey 5 AST)78
26.5%
80
73.5%
Q4 - 10:14MIAWright REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)75
19.2%
80
80.8%
Q4 - 10:17CHIMISS Duhon 25' 3PT Jump Shot75
18.0%
80
82.0%
Q4 - 10:26CHIDeng REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)75
15.6%
80
84.4%
Q4 - 10:29MIAMISS Quinn 28' 3PT Jump Shot75
16.6%
80
83.4%
Q4 - 10:43CHIWallace Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T11)75
19.1%
80
80.9%
Q4 - 10:59MIAWright 18' Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Kapono 3 AST)75
15.6%
80
84.4%
Q4 - 11:16CHIWallace Layup (4 PTS) (Duhon 3 AST)73
13.8%
80
86.2%
Q4 - 11:42MIAHaslem Layup (8 PTS) (Posey 4 AST)73
16.4%
78
83.6%
Q3 - 0:00.0CHI71
13.8%
78
86.2%
Q3 - 0:00.0CHIBULLS Rebound71
11.3%
78
88.7%
Q3 - 0:00.0CHIMISS Sefolosha 16' Jump Shot71
13.0%
78
87.0%
Q3 - 0:04.0CHIDeng REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)71
12.2%
78
87.8%
Q3 - 0:06.0MIAMISS Wright Free Throw 2 of 271
12.5%
78
87.5%
Q3 - 0:06.0MIAMISS Wright Free Throw 1 of 271
14.2%
78
85.8%
Q3 - 0:23.0CHIWallace 9' Jump Shot (2 PTS)71
14.5%
78
85.5%
Q3 - 0:31.0CHIDeng REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)71
17.3%
76
82.7%
Q3 - 0:34.0MIAMISS Posey 27' 3PT Jump Shot71
18.2%
76
81.8%
Q3 - 0:46.0CHIWallace Foul Turnover (P1.T10)71
20.4%
76
79.6%
Q3 - 0:54.0CHIDeng REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)71
17.3%
76
82.7%
Q3 - 0:56.0MIAMISS Quinn 20' Jump Shot71
18.2%
76
81.8%
Q3 - 1:07CHISefolosha Traveling Turnover (P1.T9)71
21.1%
76
78.9%
Q3 - 1:19MIAKapono 20' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Quinn 3 AST)71
17.9%
76
82.1%
Q3 - 1:39CHINocioni Reverse Layup (16 PTS) (Gordon 3 AST)69
15.3%
76
84.7%
Q3 - 1:52MIAKapono 25' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Quinn 2 AST)69
17.9%
74
82.1%
Q3 - 2:10CHISefolosha 17' Jump Shot (7 PTS)66
13.5%
74
86.5%
Q3 - 2:19CHIWallace REBOUND (Off:5 Def:6)66
15.6%
72
84.4%
Q3 - 2:22MIAMISS Kapono 18' Jump Shot66
16.5%
72
83.5%
Q3 - 2:44CHIGordon Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS)66
18.5%
72
81.5%
Q3 - 2:44CHIGordon Free Throw 1 of 2 (21 PTS)66
18.9%
71
81.1%
Q3 - 2:53MIAKapono 27' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Doleac 2 AST)66
21.2%
70
78.8%
Q3 - 3:11CHIGordon Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T8)63
16.5%
70
83.5%
Q3 - 3:26MIADoleac 20' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Quinn 1 AST)63
14.0%
70
86.0%
Q3 - 3:44CHIHinrich Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T7)61
12.1%
70
87.9%
Q3 - 3:59MIAQuinn Discontinue Dribble Turnover (P1.T10)61
10.2%
70
89.8%
Q3 - 4:13CHIGordon Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T6)61
12.6%
70
87.4%
Q3 - 4:28MIAKapono Traveling Turnover (P2.T9)61
10.6%
70
89.4%
Q3 - 4:30MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:5 Def:2)61
12.6%
70
87.4%
Q3 - 4:33MIAMISS Quinn Layup61
11.1%
70
88.9%
Q3 - 4:43CHIGordon Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)61
12.6%
70
87.4%
Q3 - 4:43CHIMISS Gordon Free Throw 1 of 261
12.8%
69
87.2%
Q3 - 4:50MIAWright Driving Layup (15 PTS) (Doleac 1 AST)61
12.3%
69
87.7%
Q3 - 5:13CHIHinrich 20' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Wallace 3 AST)59
11.3%
69
88.7%
Q3 - 5:33MIAQuinn 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Haslem 2 AST)59
12.9%
67
87.1%
Q3 - 5:41MIAWright REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)56
9.7%
67
90.3%
Q3 - 5:43CHIWallace REBOUND (Off:5 Def:5)56
8.3%
67
91.7%
Q3 - 5:43CHIMISS Wallace Tip Shot56
9.3%
67
90.7%
Q3 - 5:44CHIMISS Nocioni Layup56
9.3%
67
90.7%
Q3 - 5:46CHINocioni REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)56
8.3%
67
91.7%
Q3 - 5:48CHIMISS Gordon 18' Jump Shot56
9.3%
67
90.7%
Q3 - 5:54CHIThomas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)56
8.2%
67
91.8%
Q3 - 5:55MIAMISS Haslem Layup56
8.7%
67
91.3%
Q3 - 6:10CHINocioni 25' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Gordon 2 AST)56
10.3%
67
89.7%
Q3 - 6:30MIAHaslem Layup (6 PTS)56
13.5%
64
86.5%
Q3 - 6:31MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)54
11.8%
64
88.2%
Q3 - 6:33MIAMISS Wright Layup54
10.6%
64
89.4%
Q3 - 6:37MIAWright REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)54
11.8%
64
88.2%
Q3 - 6:39CHIMISS Hinrich 28' 3PT Jump Shot54
11.3%
64
88.7%
Q3 - 6:51CHIWallace REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)54
10.1%
64
89.9%
Q3 - 6:52MIAMISS Wright Free Throw 2 of 254
10.3%
64
89.7%
Q3 - 6:52MIAWright Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)54
11.4%
64
88.6%
Q3 - 7:07MIADoleac REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)53
10.7%
64
89.3%
Q3 - 7:08CHIDeng REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)53
9.1%
64
90.9%
Q3 - 7:08CHIMISS Deng Tip Shot53
10.2%
64
89.8%
Q3 - 7:11CHIMISS Hinrich 26' 3PT Jump Shot53
10.2%
64
89.8%
Q3 - 7:30MIAKapono 14' Jump Shot (6 PTS)53
9.1%
64
90.9%
Q3 - 7:32MIAKapono REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)51
8.0%
64
92.0%
Q3 - 7:37MIAMISS Kapono 24' 3PT Jump Shot51
7.2%
64
92.8%
Q3 - 7:39MIADoleac REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)51
8.0%
64
92.0%
Q3 - 7:42MIAMISS Doleac 19' Jump Shot51
7.2%
64
92.8%
Q3 - 7:54CHIDuhon Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)51
8.0%
64
92.0%
Q3 - 7:54CHIMISS Duhon Free Throw 1 of 251
8.2%
63
91.8%
Q3 - 8:09CHIJump Ball Wallace vs. Haslem: Tip to Duhon51
8.2%
63
91.8%
Q3 - 8:26MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)51
9.6%
63
90.4%
Q3 - 8:28CHIMISS Deng Layup51
9.2%
63
90.8%
Q3 - 8:39CHIBULLS Rebound51
8.2%
63
91.8%
Q3 - 8:39CHIMISS Deng Layup51
9.2%
63
90.8%
Q3 - 8:43CHIHinrich REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)51
8.2%
63
91.8%
Q3 - 8:45MIAMISS Williams 26' 3PT Jump Shot51
8.6%
63
91.4%
Q3 - 9:02CHINocioni 19' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Hinrich 4 AST)51
9.9%
63
90.1%
Q3 - 9:18MIAWright Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)51
11.2%
61
88.8%
Q3 - 9:18MIAMISS Wright Free Throw 1 of 250
11.0%
61
89.0%
Q3 - 9:41CHIDeng Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)50
11.3%
61
88.7%
Q3 - 9:41CHIDeng Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)50
11.6%
60
88.4%
Q3 - 9:51MIAWilliams Layup (17 PTS) (Haslem 1 AST)50
12.7%
59
87.3%
Q3 - 9:56CHIHinrich Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T5)48
11.2%
59
88.8%
Q3 - 10:09CHIDeng REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)48
10.2%
59
89.8%
Q3 - 10:12CHIMISS Nocioni 27' 3PT Jump Shot48
11.2%
59
88.8%
Q3 - 10:19CHIWallace REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)48
10.2%
59
89.8%
Q3 - 10:21MIAMISS Williams 27' 3PT Jump Shot48
10.6%
59
89.4%
Q3 - 10:31MIAWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)48
11.7%
59
88.3%
Q3 - 10:33CHIMISS Hinrich 27' 3PT Jump Shot48
11.2%
59
88.8%
Q3 - 10:43MIAWilliams 28' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Kapono 2 AST)48
10.1%
59
89.9%
Q3 - 10:55MIAKapono REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)45
7.9%
59
92.1%
Q3 - 10:56CHIMISS Deng 18' Jump Shot45
7.6%
59
92.4%
Q3 - 11:10MIADuhon STEAL (1 STL)45
7.2%
59
92.8%
Q3 - 11:14MIAWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)45
8.3%
59
91.7%
Q3 - 11:16CHIMISS Nocioni 16' Jump Shot45
7.9%
59
92.1%
Q3 - 11:36CHIBULLS Rebound45
7.2%
59
92.8%
Q3 - 11:36MIAMISS Wright Layup45
7.5%
59
92.5%
Q3 - 11:52CHIHinrich 19' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Wallace 2 AST)45
8.2%
59
91.8%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA45
9.3%
57
90.7%
Q2 - 0:00.0CHIThomas Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)45
10.6%
57
89.4%
Q2 - 0:01.0MIAWright 17' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Williams 3 AST)45
10.2%
57
89.8%
Q2 - 0:07.0CHIGordon 17' Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Nocioni 1 AST)43
8.7%
57
91.3%
Q2 - 0:30.0MIAPosey 26' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Wright 2 AST)43
10.1%
55
89.9%
Q2 - 0:36.0MIAWright REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)40
7.6%
55
92.4%
Q2 - 0:38.0CHIMISS Wallace Layup40
7.4%
55
92.6%
Q2 - 1:04CHIBULLS Rebound40
7.5%
55
92.5%
Q2 - 1:06MIAMISS Walker 25' 3PT Jump Shot40
7.7%
55
92.3%
Q2 - 1:29CHIGordon Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)40
8.0%
55
92.0%
Q2 - 1:29CHIGordon Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)40
8.1%
54
91.9%
Q2 - 1:39MIAWilliams 26' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS)40
9.5%
53
90.5%
Q2 - 1:49MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)37
7.1%
53
92.9%
Q2 - 1:52CHIMISS Gordon 20' Jump Shot37
6.9%
53
93.1%
Q2 - 2:05MIADoleac 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Posey 3 AST)37
6.9%
53
93.1%
Q2 - 2:23CHIGordon 20' Jump Shot (15 PTS)35
6.1%
53
93.9%
Q2 - 2:27CHIThomas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)35
6.9%
51
93.1%
Q2 - 2:32MIAThomas BLOCK (1 BLK)35
7.1%
51
92.9%
Q2 - 2:49CHIGordon Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)35
7.6%
51
92.4%
Q2 - 2:49CHIGordon Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)35
7.8%
50
92.2%
Q2 - 3:17MIAWilliams Layup (9 PTS) (Wright 1 AST)35
9.1%
49
90.9%
Q2 - 3:21CHIGordon Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)33
8.3%
49
91.7%
Q2 - 3:26CHIBrown REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)33
7.3%
49
92.7%
Q2 - 3:26CHIMISS Gordon 26' 3PT Jump Shot33
8.0%
49
92.0%
Q2 - 3:39MIAPosey Driving Layup (4 PTS)33
7.3%
49
92.7%
Q2 - 3:58CHINocioni 27' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Deng 2 AST)31
6.6%
49
93.4%
Q2 - 4:12MIADoleac 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Posey 2 AST)31
8.7%
46
91.3%
Q2 - 4:28MIAWright REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)29
7.8%
46
92.2%
Q2 - 4:31CHIMISS Hinrich Free Throw 2 of 229
7.7%
46
92.3%
Q2 - 4:31CHIMISS Hinrich Free Throw 1 of 229
7.1%
46
92.9%
Q2 - 4:31CHIHinrich REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)29
7.0%
46
93.0%
Q2 - 4:33CHIMISS Hinrich 19' Jump Shot29
7.5%
46
92.5%
Q2 - 4:52MIAWilliams 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Posey 1 AST)29
7.0%
46
93.0%
Q2 - 5:04MIAWright REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)26
5.9%
46
94.1%
Q2 - 5:07CHIMISS Hinrich 25' 3PT Jump Shot26
5.7%
46
94.3%
Q2 - 5:22CHIGordon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)26
5.2%
46
94.8%
Q2 - 5:24MIAMISS Kapono 25' 3PT Jump Shot26
5.4%
46
94.6%
Q2 - 5:28MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)26
5.9%
46
94.1%
Q2 - 5:32MIAMISS Wright 21' Jump Shot26
5.4%
46
94.6%
Q2 - 5:53CHIDeng REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)26
5.9%
46
94.1%
Q2 - 5:53CHIDeng Layup (5 PTS)26
5.9%
46
94.1%
Q2 - 5:56CHIMISS Brown Layup26
7.0%
44
93.0%
Q2 - 6:18CHIBrown REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)26
6.8%
44
93.2%
Q2 - 6:21MIAMISS Williams 8' Jump Shot26
7.0%
44
93.0%
Q2 - 6:31MIAWilliams Free Throw Technical (4 PTS)26
7.7%
44
92.3%
Q2 - 6:43CHIGordon 26' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS)25
6.9%
44
93.1%
Q2 - 6:52MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)25
8.3%
41
91.7%
Q2 - 6:52MIAPosey Tip Shot (2 PTS)25
8.3%
41
91.7%
Q2 - 6:53MIAMISS Williams Layup23
7.0%
41
93.0%
Q2 - 7:10CHIHinrich 28' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Deng 1 AST)23
8.2%
41
91.8%
Q2 - 7:18MIAKapono Foul Turnover (P1.T6)23
9.9%
38
90.1%
Q2 - 7:31CHIThomas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)23
10.9%
38
89.1%
Q2 - 7:31CHIThomas Tip Shot (8 PTS)23
10.9%
38
89.1%
Q2 - 7:32CHIMISS Deng Layup23
12.8%
36
87.2%
Q2 - 7:37CHIGordon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)23
11.9%
36
88.1%
Q2 - 7:40MIAMISS Kapono 14' Jump Shot23
12.3%
36
87.7%
Q2 - 8:03CHIBrown 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Sefolosha 1 AST)23
13.4%
36
86.6%
Q2 - 8:13CHIBrown REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)23
14.4%
34
85.6%
Q2 - 8:15MIAMISS Kapono 12' Jump Shot23
14.9%
34
85.1%
Q2 - 8:32CHIThomas Dunk (6 PTS)23
16.0%
34
84.0%
Q2 - 8:44CHIBrown REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)23
17.2%
32
82.8%
Q2 - 8:47MIAMISS Payton 26' 3PT Jump Shot23
17.7%
32
82.3%
Q2 - 8:58MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)23
18.9%
32
81.1%
Q2 - 9:01MIAMISS Payton 14' Jump Shot23
18.0%
32
82.0%
Q2 - 9:05MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)23
19.2%
32
80.8%
Q2 - 9:07CHIMISS Gordon 20' Jump Shot23
18.6%
32
81.4%
Q2 - 9:25MIAKapono 10' Jump Shot (4 PTS)23
17.5%
32
82.5%
Q2 - 9:38CHIThomas Alley Oop Dunk (4 PTS) (Hinrich 3 AST)21
16.2%
32
83.8%
Q2 - 9:47CHIGordon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
17.4%
30
82.6%
Q2 - 9:51MIAMISS Walker 26' 3PT Jump Shot21
17.9%
30
82.1%
Q2 - 10:15CHIGordon Driving Layup (8 PTS)21
19.4%
30
80.6%
Q2 - 10:32MIAHinrich STEAL (1 STL)21
20.7%
28
79.3%
Q2 - 10:47MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
22.6%
28
77.4%
Q2 - 10:49CHIMISS Brown 15' Jump Shot21
22.0%
28
78.0%
Q2 - 11:01CHIBrown REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
20.9%
28
79.1%
Q2 - 11:03MIAMISS Payton 14' Jump Shot21
21.4%
28
78.6%
Q2 - 11:30CHIThomas Dunk (2 PTS)21
22.5%
28
77.5%
Q2 - 11:33MIAThomas STEAL (1 STL)21
24.3%
26
75.7%
Q2 - 11:46CHIGordon 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS)21
26.1%
26
73.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0CHI21
28.0%
24
72.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
30.1%
24
69.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0CHISefolosha REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)21
28.0%
24
72.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0CHIMISS Sefolosha Layup21
29.4%
24
70.6%
Q1 - 0:02.0CHIMISS Wallace 7' Jump Shot21
29.3%
24
70.7%
Q1 - 0:10.0CHIWallace REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)21
28.3%
24
71.7%
Q1 - 0:13.0MIAMISS Walker Free Throw 2 of 221
28.4%
24
71.6%
Q1 - 0:13.0MIAWalker Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)21
29.4%
24
70.6%
Q1 - 0:29.0CHIGordon Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)20
27.8%
24
72.2%
Q1 - 0:29.0CHIGordon Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)20
28.1%
23
71.9%
Q1 - 0:34.0CHIWallace REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)20
30.2%
22
69.8%
Q1 - 0:37.0MIAMISS Kapono 19' Jump Shot20
30.7%
22
69.3%
Q1 - 0:53.0CHISefolosha Dunk (5 PTS) (Gordon 1 AST)20
31.8%
22
68.2%
Q1 - 0:56.0MIADeng STEAL (1 STL)20
34.4%
20
65.6%
Q1 - 1:10CHISefolosha Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)20
36.1%
20
63.9%
Q1 - 1:10CHIMISS Sefolosha Free Throw 1 of 220
36.6%
19
63.4%
Q1 - 1:11CHIHinrich REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)20
36.5%
19
63.5%
Q1 - 1:14MIADeng BLOCK (2 BLK)20
37.1%
19
62.9%
Q1 - 1:24MIADoleac REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)20
38.3%
19
61.7%
Q1 - 1:26CHIMISS Hinrich 27' 3PT Jump Shot20
37.7%
19
62.3%
Q1 - 1:29CHIWallace REBOUND (Off:4 Def:1)20
36.5%
19
63.5%
Q1 - 1:32CHIMISS Gordon 25' 3PT Jump Shot20
37.7%
19
62.3%
Q1 - 2:00MIAKapono 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Walker 1 AST)20
36.6%
19
63.4%
Q1 - 2:17CHIGordon 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS)18
34.2%
19
65.8%
Q1 - 2:24CHIDeng REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)18
36.4%
17
63.6%
Q1 - 2:26MIAMISS Doleac 18' Jump Shot18
37.1%
17
62.9%
Q1 - 2:53CHIHinrich 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS)18
38.5%
17
61.5%
Q1 - 3:10MIAWilliams 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Kapono 1 AST)18
40.2%
15
59.8%
Q1 - 3:28MIAWright REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)15
36.3%
15
63.7%
Q1 - 3:29CHIMISS Sefolosha 6' Jump Shot15
35.6%
15
64.4%
Q1 - 3:45MIAWright Alley Oop Dunk (9 PTS) (Williams 2 AST)15
34.0%
15
66.0%
Q1 - 3:57CHISefolosha 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Duhon 2 AST)13
32.2%
15
67.8%
Q1 - 4:16CHIWallace REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)13
33.7%
13
66.3%
Q1 - 4:18MIAMISS Wright Free Throw 2 of 213
34.0%
13
66.0%
Q1 - 4:18MIAWright Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)13
35.4%
13
64.6%
Q1 - 4:30CHIDeng Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)12
34.1%
13
65.9%
Q1 - 4:40MIAWright Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)12
37.7%
10
62.3%
Q1 - 4:40MIAWright Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)11
37.4%
10
62.6%
Q1 - 4:54CHIBULLS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#2)10
36.1%
10
63.9%
Q1 - 4:54CHIBULLS Rebound10
33.7%
10
66.3%
Q1 - 4:54CHIMISS Duhon 15' Jump Shot10
35.4%
10
64.6%
Q1 - 5:22MIAHaslem Layup (4 PTS)10
33.6%
10
66.4%
Q1 - 5:24MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)8
31.9%
10
68.1%
Q1 - 5:26MIAMISS Kapono Layup8
30.5%
10
69.5%
Q1 - 5:35MIADoleac REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
31.9%
10
68.1%
Q1 - 5:40CHIMISS Wallace Free Throw 2 of 28
31.6%
10
68.4%
Q1 - 5:40CHIMISS Wallace Free Throw 1 of 28
31.0%
10
69.0%
Q1 - 5:53MIAMourning Offensive Foul Turnover (P1.T2)8
29.9%
10
70.1%
Q1 - 6:19CHINocioni 17' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Hinrich 2 AST)8
31.8%
10
68.2%
Q1 - 6:30MIAHaslem Layup (2 PTS)8
33.5%
8
66.5%
Q1 - 6:32MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)6
31.8%
8
68.2%
Q1 - 6:35MIAMISS Wade 25' 3PT Jump Shot6
30.5%
8
69.5%
Q1 - 6:38MIAWright REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)6
31.8%
8
68.2%
Q1 - 6:44MIAMISS Haslem 15' Jump Shot6
30.5%
8
69.5%
Q1 - 6:59CHINocioni 12' Hook Shot (4 PTS) (Hinrich 1 AST)6
31.8%
8
68.2%
Q1 - 7:04CHIWallace REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)6
33.3%
6
66.7%
Q1 - 7:07CHIMISS Hinrich Layup6
34.6%
6
65.4%
Q1 - 7:26MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)6
33.3%
6
66.7%
Q1 - 7:42MIAHeat Rebound6
35.2%
6
64.8%
Q1 - 7:42CHIMISS Wallace Layup6
34.6%
6
65.4%
Q1 - 8:00MIAMourning Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)6
33.3%
6
66.7%
Q1 - 8:00MIAMourning Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)5
32.7%
6
67.3%
Q1 - 8:12MIAWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)4
31.8%
6
68.2%
Q1 - 8:15CHIMISS Hinrich 20' Jump Shot4
31.3%
6
68.7%
Q1 - 8:21CHIDeng REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
30.0%
6
70.0%
Q1 - 8:25MIADeng BLOCK (1 BLK)4
30.6%
6
69.4%
Q1 - 8:30MIAWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
31.8%
6
68.2%
Q1 - 8:31CHIMISS Nocioni Layup4
31.3%
6
68.7%
Q1 - 8:43CHIDuhon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)4
30.0%
6
70.0%
Q1 - 8:45MIAMISS Wright 16' Jump Shot4
30.6%
6
69.4%
Q1 - 9:06CHIHinrich Layup (2 PTS) (Wallace 1 AST)4
31.8%
6
68.2%
Q1 - 9:16MIAWright 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)4
33.0%
4
67.0%
Q1 - 9:32CHINocioni REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)2
31.8%
4
68.2%
Q1 - 9:32CHINocioni Tip Shot (2 PTS)2
31.8%
4
68.2%
Q1 - 9:35CHIMISS Duhon 25' 3PT Jump Shot2
34.5%
2
65.5%
Q1 - 9:51MIAWright Layup (2 PTS)2
33.0%
2
67.0%
Q1 - 9:58CHIDeng Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)0
31.8%
2
68.2%
Q1 - 10:02CHINocioni REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
29.8%
2
70.2%
Q1 - 10:04MIAMISS Wright 14' Jump Shot0
30.4%
2
69.6%
Q1 - 10:24MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
31.6%
2
68.4%
Q1 - 10:26CHIWallace REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)0
29.8%
2
70.2%
Q1 - 10:26CHIMISS Wallace Tip Shot0
31.1%
2
68.9%
Q1 - 10:28CHIMISS Deng 18' Jump Shot0
31.1%
2
68.9%
Q1 - 10:37CHIDuhon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
29.8%
2
70.2%
Q1 - 10:39MIAMISS Haslem 15' Jump Shot0
30.3%
2
69.7%
Q1 - 10:59CHIDuhon Layup (2 PTS)0
31.6%
2
68.4%
Q1 - 11:05CHIWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
33.2%
0
66.8%
Q1 - 11:07CHIMISS Hinrich 19' Jump Shot0
34.2%
0
65.8%
Q1 - 11:35CHIHinrich REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
33.2%
0
66.8%
Q1 - 11:38MIAMISS Wade 19' Jump Shot0
33.6%
0
66.4%
Q1 - 12:00CHIJump Ball Wallace vs. Mourning: Tip to Wade0
34.7%
0
65.3%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.07 53.6%
CHI
1.08 54.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
16
33
48%
CHI
17
32
53%
Midrange
MIA
11
28
39%
CHI
17
34
50%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
12
18.0
24
50%
75%
CHI
5
7.5
15
33%
50%
Free Throws
MIA
13
21
62%
CHI
26
38
68%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Williams2882%14.0 / 17
J. Kapono1853%9.0 / 17
D. Wright1750%8.5 / 17
U. Haslem1450%7.0 / 14
J. Posey770%3.5 / 5
A. Mourning6100%3.0 / 3
M. Doleac650%3.0 / 6
C. Quinn643%3.0 / 7
A. Walker117%0.5 / 3
D. Wade0-0.0 / 2
G. Payton0-0.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
CHI logo Bulls
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
B. Gordon4077%20.0 / 26
A. Nocioni1673%8.0 / 11
K. Hinrich1439%7.0 / 18
T. Thomas10100%5.0 / 5
B. Wallace938%4.5 / 12
L. Deng836%4.0 / 11
T. Sefolosha750%3.5 / 7
C. Duhon330%1.5 / 5
P. Brown233%1.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
78
+17
-15
95
CHI
78
+18
-13
96
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.07 53.6%
CHI
1.08 54.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
104.2
104.8
MIA 110.8
CHI 119.8 +9.0
Pace
90.1
93.8
MIA 88.3
CHI 96.1 +7.9
Avg. Poss. Time
16.5
14.9
MIA 16.3
CHI 15.0 +1.3
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
50.6%
49.3%
MIA 52.9% +1.7%
CHI 51.2%
TO %
15.3%
16.3%
MIA 13.7%
CHI 12.5% +1.2%
ORB %
24.9%
28.7%
MIA 31.1%
CHI 35.9% +4.8%
FTrt
32.1
31.3
MIA 24.7
CHI 46.9 +22.2
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
57.6%
60.1%
MIA 69.2% +10.2%
CHI 59.0%
STL %
7.6%
8.3%
MIA 7.5%
CHI 8.8% +1.3%
BLK %
8.8%
8.8%
MIA 6.1%
CHI 11.5% +5.4%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.4%
51.9%
MIA 53.6%
CHI 54.0% +0.4%
Rim FG%
61.8%
55.2%
MIA 48.5%
CHI 53.1% +4.6%
Mid FG%
40.5%
42.1%
MIA 39.3%
CHI 50.0% +10.7%
3P %
34.3%
38.8%
MIA 50.0% +16.7%
CHI 33.3%
FT %
69.0%
73.4%
MIA 61.9%
CHI 68.4% +6.5%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
34.9%
32.3%
MIA 38.8%
CHI 39.5% +0.7%
Mid Att. %
40.7%
49.1%
MIA 32.9% +9.0%
CHI 42.0%
3P Att. %
24.5%
18.6%
MIA 28.2% +9.7%
CHI 18.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.05 and 2.05.
Game TotalsMIACHI
Possessions9391
Possession Minutes25.322.7
Points103109
Rebounds3945
Assists2723
Steals78
Blocks47
Turnovers (Team)15 (0)13 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)14 (3)14 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)25 (3)31 (2)
Field Goals39-8539-81
At-the-Rim FG16-3317-32
Midrange FG11-2817-34
2-Point FG27-6134-66
3-Point FG12-245-15
Free Throws13-2126-38
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'9" 205 · 21
43.5
17
50%
14
4
1
1
2
2
2
12
5-10
50%
6-12
50%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 235 · 27
37.3
14
50%
10
3
1
2
1
4
8
2
4-6
67%
5-11
45%
0-0
-
G · 6'1" 180 · 31
31.2
28
82%
3
6
0
0
3
3
0
3
1-1
100%
3-7
43%
7-10
70%
C · 6'10" 261 · 37
21.3
6
100%
1
0
0
1
1
5
1
0
2-2
100%
2-2
100%
0-0
-
G · 6'4" 220 · 25
6.3
0
0%
0
0
1
0
1
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-1
0%
F · 6'8" 215 · 26
32.6
18
53%
2
3
2
0
3
4
1
1
0-0
-
6-13
46%
2-5
40%
F · 6'8" 217 · 30
18.7
7
70%
3
5
0
0
0
2
1
2
0-0
-
2-3
67%
1-2
50%
C · 6'11" 262 · 30
16.3
6
50%
4
2
1
0
0
3
1
3
0-0
-
3-6
50%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 175 · 23
14.3
6
43%
0
3
0
0
1
6
0
0
0-0
-
0-4
0%
2-3
67%
F · 6'9" 245 · 30
10.0
1
17%
2
1
0
0
1
2
0
2
1-2
50%
0-0
-
0-2
0%
G · 6'4" 190 · 38
7.0
0
0%
0
0
0
0
2
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
0%
0-1
0%
F-C · 7'0" 250 · 25
1.5
0
0%
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
#25 · F · 6'9" 250 · 24
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#32 · C · 7'1" 325 · 35
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#22 · G · 6'2" 184 · 23
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
103
54%
39
27
7
4
15
0
14
25
13-21
62%
27-61
44%
12-24
50%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.