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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Thursday
December 28, 2006
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
5Jazz30%9383
3Spurs70%100106
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Andrei Kirilenko
F · 6'9" 235 · 25.9
27.5
25.3
6
44%
6
1
2
1
1
1
1
5
1-2
50%
1-3
2-4
33%
49%
1-3
33%
Carlos Boozer
F · 6'9" 258 · 25.1
26.9
37.3
9
34%
7
1
2
1
0
4
1
6
5-7
71%
2-10
8-16
20%
52%
0-0
-
Deron Williams
G · 6'3" 200 · 22.5
25.6
35.5
11
61%
2
2
0
1
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
4-8
5-10
50%
47%
1-1
100%
Derek Fisher
G · 6'1" 210 · 32.4
23.6
30.6
5
36%
0
1
0
1
0
2
0
0
2-2
100%
0-4
3-7
0%
41%
1-2
50%
Mehmet Okur
C · 6'11" 260 · 27.6
15.1
34.0
10
63%
1
3
0
0
0
1
0
1
2-2
100%
4-5
4-8
80%
47%
0-2
0%
Dee Brown
G · 6'0" 185 · 22.4
22.9
5.5
8
58%
3
4
2
0
1
0
0
3
0-2
0%
4-5
0-1
80%
38%
0-1
0%
Paul Millsap
F · 6'8" 246 · 21.9
22.1
13.1
10
53%
5
0
1
0
2
2
2
3
4-8
50%
3-6
2-3
50%
48%
0-0
-
Gordan Giricek
G · 6'6" 220 · 29.5
18.7
13.7
11
56%
4
0
1
0
0
0
2
2
2-4
50%
3-5
2-4
60%
44%
1-3
33%
Ronnie Brewer
F · 6'7" 235 · 21.8
18.4
14.6
3
26%
1
0
1
1
0
2
0
1
1-2
50%
1-5
2-4
20%
47%
0-0
-
Rafael Araujo
C · 6'11" 270 · 26.4
15.8
0.8
4
38%
6
1
0
0
0
1
1
5
2-3
67%
1-4
0-0
25%
40%
0-0
-
Jarron Collins
C · 6'11" 249 · 28.1
12.6
9.1
2
50%
3
4
1
0
0
0
2
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
45%
0-0
-
CJ Miles
G · 6'6" 220 · 19.8
10.8
4.2
4
100%
1
1
0
0
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
2-2
0-1
100%
41%
0-0
-
Roger Powell
F · 6'6" 220 · 24.0
Matt Harpring
F · 6'7" 230 · 30.6
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Bruce Bowen
F · 6'7" 200 · 35.5
27.1
32.2
2
50%
4
2
0
1
1
1
0
4
0-0
-
1-1
1-3
100%
44%
0-1
0%
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 30.7
26.1
34.8
20
62%
9
0
2
1
3
1
2
7
4-7
57%
8-12
7-14
67%
52%
0-1
0%
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 24.6
25.1
35.4
22
61%
2
3
1
1
0
1
0
2
4-7
57%
9-14
8-15
64%
53%
0-1
0%
Robert Horry
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 36.3
18.8
16.6
7
79%
7
2
3
1
1
1
4
3
0-1
0%
2-2
1-2
100%
42%
1-2
50%
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 29.4
17.9
26.6
12
45%
4
3
1
1
1
2
2
2
3-3
100%
3-8
3-7
38%
50%
1-4
25%
Michael Finley
G-F · 6'7" 225 · 33.8
23.7
25.6
3
30%
1
2
0
0
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
0-4
2-5
0%
45%
1-1
100%
Brent Barry
G · 6'7" 210 · 35.0
22.0
18.7
7
67%
3
2
0
1
1
0
0
3
5-5
100%
1-2
1-1
50%
56%
0-1
0%
Fabricio Oberto
C · 6'10" 245 · 31.8
21.3
16.4
4
40%
6
0
1
0
1
1
1
5
0-0
-
2-5
2-4
40%
53%
0-0
-
Matt Bonner
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 26.7
19.5
12.7
12
67%
5
1
0
0
0
1
1
4
0-0
-
3-5
1-2
60%
50%
2-4
50%
Jacque Vaughn
G · 6'1" 190 · 31.9
18.8
8.3
7
81%
1
3
0
0
0
1
1
0
3-3
100%
2-3
1-2
67%
43%
0-0
-
Eric Williams
G-F · 6'8" 220 · 34.4
10.3
10.9
5
64%
4
0
1
0
0
0
1
3
1-2
50%
2-2
1-2
100%
43%
0-1
0%
Beno Udrih
G · 6'3" 205 · 24.5
9.3
11.2
5
42%
1
1
0
0
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
1-4
1-3
25%
47%
1-2
50%
Francisco Elson
C-F · 7'0" 240 · 30.8
James White
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 24.2
Jackie Butler
C · 6'10" 260 · 21.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.