FinalWin Prob.pScore
1834%97
111
866%102
112
ORTG#PossPace
ORL logo ORL
118.19495.9
WAS logo WAS
121.79290.2

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

WizardsMagicQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

WizardsMagicQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventORLWAS
Q4 - 0:00.0ORL111
0%
112
100%
Q4 - 0:00.0ORLMagic Rebound111
1.4%
112
98.6%
Q4 - 0:00.0ORLMISS Dooling 16' Jump Shot111
0.8%
112
99.2%
Q4 - 0:02.0ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:10)111
8.0%
112
92.0%
Q4 - 0:02.0WASMISS Butler Free Throw 2 of 2111
7.0%
112
93.0%
Q4 - 0:02.0WASMISS Butler Free Throw 1 of 2111
6.4%
112
93.6%
Q4 - 0:03.0ORLDooling 25' 3PT Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Turkoglu 6 AST)111
3.0%
112
97.0%
Q4 - 0:07.0ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)108
1.4%
112
98.6%
Q4 - 0:09.0ORLMISS Howard 3' Jump Shot108
0.8%
112
99.2%
Q4 - 0:12.0WASJamison Free Throw 2 of 2 (25 PTS)108
2.2%
112
97.8%
Q4 - 0:12.0WASJamison Free Throw 1 of 2 (24 PTS)108
2.7%
111
97.3%
Q4 - 0:22.0WASArenas REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)108
6.4%
110
93.6%
Q4 - 0:25.0ORLMISS Turkoglu 15' Jump Shot108
9.0%
110
91.0%
Q4 - 0:44.0WASButler 19' Jump Shot (20 PTS)108
20.3%
110
79.7%
Q4 - 0:56.0WASHaywood REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)108
32.7%
108
67.3%
Q4 - 0:58.0ORLMISS Dooling 28' 3PT Jump Shot108
37.4%
108
62.6%
Q4 - 1:08ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9)108
48.1%
108
51.9%
Q4 - 1:09WASMISS Arenas 2' Layup108
42.9%
108
57.1%
Q4 - 1:24WASJamison REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9)108
31.7%
108
68.3%
Q4 - 1:26ORLMISS Howard 5' Jump Shot108
36.0%
108
64.0%
Q4 - 1:47ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)108
45.2%
108
54.8%
Q4 - 1:48WASMISS Jamison Free Throw 2 of 2108
43.4%
108
56.6%
Q4 - 1:48WASJamison Free Throw 1 of 2 (23 PTS)108
35.9%
108
64.1%
Q4 - 1:48WASJamison REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)108
44.3%
107
55.7%
Q4 - 1:49ORLMISS Howard 1' Layup108
48.2%
107
51.8%
Q4 - 2:03WASJamison Foul Turnover (P5.T16)108
58.1%
107
41.9%
Q4 - 2:24ORLNelson 2' Driving Layup (15 PTS)108
41.5%
107
58.5%
Q4 - 2:31ORLNelson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)106
35.7%
107
64.3%
Q4 - 2:33WASMISS Arenas 19' Jump Shot106
30.9%
107
69.1%
Q4 - 2:58ORLHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)106
23.1%
107
76.9%
Q4 - 2:58ORLHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)105
20.9%
107
79.1%
Q4 - 3:14WASJamison Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T15)104
18.8%
107
81.2%
Q4 - 3:27ORLHoward Foul Turnover (P5.T14)104
11.0%
107
89.0%
Q4 - 3:42WASJamison Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS)104
19.6%
107
80.4%
Q4 - 3:42WASJamison Free Throw 1 of 2 (21 PTS)104
20.8%
106
79.2%
Q4 - 4:01ORLDooling 1' Driving Dunk (17 PTS) (Howard 4 AST)104
25.5%
105
74.5%
Q4 - 4:20ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)102
19.3%
105
80.7%
Q4 - 4:22WASMISS Jamison Free Throw 2 of 2102
18.5%
105
81.5%
Q4 - 4:22WASMISS Jamison Free Throw 1 of 2102
15.0%
105
85.0%
Q4 - 4:22WASWIZARDS Rebound102
13.8%
105
86.2%
Q4 - 4:22WASMISS Arenas 21' Jump Shot102
17.4%
105
82.6%
Q4 - 4:30WASArenas REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)102
13.8%
105
86.2%
Q4 - 4:31ORLMISS Ariza 4' Jump Shot102
15.3%
105
84.7%
Q4 - 4:48WASJamison 4' Jump Hook Shot (20 PTS) (Hayes 1 AST)102
19.2%
105
80.8%
Q4 - 5:00WASStevenson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)102
25.3%
103
74.7%
Q4 - 5:01ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 1102
26.9%
103
73.1%
Q4 - 5:13WASArenas Free Throw 2 of 2 (36 PTS)100
20.3%
103
79.7%
Q4 - 5:13WASMISS Arenas Free Throw 1 of 2100
21.2%
102
78.8%
Q4 - 5:29ORLMilicic 4' Running Hook Shot (6 PTS)100
20.1%
102
79.9%
Q4 - 5:50WASArenas Driving Layup (35 PTS)98
15.4%
102
84.6%
Q4 - 6:08ORLArroyo Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)98
20.5%
100
79.5%
Q4 - 6:08ORLArroyo Free Throw 1 of 2 (2 PTS)97
19.7%
100
80.3%
Q4 - 6:20WASArenas 19' Jump Shot (33 PTS)96
16.6%
100
83.4%
Q4 - 6:36ORLMilicic 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Arroyo 3 AST)96
20.5%
98
79.5%
Q4 - 7:02WASArenas Free Throw 1 of 1 (31 PTS)94
17.7%
98
82.3%
Q4 - 7:22ORLAriza 19' Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Bogans 1 AST)94
26.5%
95
73.5%
Q4 - 7:29ORLAriza REBOUND (Off:4 Def:1)92
22.1%
95
77.9%
Q4 - 7:30WASMISS Jamison 2' Layup92
20.5%
95
79.5%
Q4 - 7:31WASJamison REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)92
17.2%
95
82.8%
Q4 - 7:32WASMISS Jamison 1' Layup92
20.5%
95
79.5%
Q4 - 7:34WASJamison REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)92
17.1%
95
82.9%
Q4 - 7:35WASMISS Arenas 19' Jump Shot92
20.5%
95
79.5%
Q4 - 7:58ORLAriza Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)92
17.1%
95
82.9%
Q4 - 7:58ORLAriza Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)91
15.8%
95
84.2%
Q4 - 8:23WASBooth 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Daniels 2 AST)90
14.9%
95
85.1%
Q4 - 8:35WASBooth REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)90
18.4%
93
81.6%
Q4 - 8:37WASMISS Arenas 26' 3PT Jump Shot90
21.2%
93
78.8%
Q4 - 8:50ORLAriza Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)90
18.3%
93
81.7%
Q4 - 8:50ORLAriza Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)89
17.1%
93
82.9%
Q4 - 9:09WASArenas Free Throw 2 of 2 (28 PTS)88
15.6%
93
84.4%
Q4 - 9:09WASArenas Free Throw 1 of 2 (27 PTS)88
16.1%
92
83.9%
Q4 - 9:19ORLDooling 22' Jump Shot (15 PTS)88
18.9%
91
81.1%
Q4 - 9:44WASArenas 1' Driving Layup (26 PTS)86
15.6%
91
84.4%
Q4 - 9:57ORLMagic Turnover: Shot Clock (T#13)86
18.9%
89
81.1%
Q4 - 10:34WASDaniels Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)86
23.5%
89
76.5%
Q4 - 10:34WASDaniels Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)86
24.1%
88
75.9%
Q4 - 10:37WASDaniels REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)86
27.5%
87
72.5%
Q4 - 10:39ORLMISS Arroyo 18' Jump Shot86
29.0%
87
71.0%
Q4 - 10:54WASArenas 20' Jump Shot (24 PTS)86
32.6%
87
67.4%
Q4 - 11:11ORLHoward 1' Slam Dunk (16 PTS)86
37.4%
85
62.6%
Q4 - 11:11ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)84
32.7%
85
67.3%
Q4 - 11:13ORLMISS Ariza 1' Layup84
29.3%
85
70.7%
Q4 - 11:17WASJamison Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T14)84
32.7%
85
67.3%
Q4 - 11:37ORLDooling 22' Jump Shot (13 PTS)84
27.9%
85
72.1%
Q3 - 0:00.0ORL82
23.9%
85
76.1%
Q3 - 0:01.0ORLNelson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)82
24.2%
85
75.8%
Q3 - 0:03.0WASMISS Stevenson 21' Jump Shot82
23.0%
85
77.0%
Q3 - 0:27.0ORLDooling 2' Layup (11 PTS) (Nelson 4 AST)82
20.6%
85
79.4%
Q3 - 0:29.0ORLNelson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)80
17.4%
85
82.6%
Q3 - 0:31.0ORLMISS Ariza Free Throw 1 of 180
15.0%
85
85.0%
Q3 - 0:34.0WASButler Bad Pass Turnover (P6.T13)78
12.2%
85
87.8%
Q3 - 0:53.0WASJamison REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)78
10.2%
85
89.8%
Q3 - 0:57.0ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 178
10.4%
85
89.6%
Q3 - 1:03ORLNelson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)76
9.1%
85
90.9%
Q3 - 1:05ORLMISS Ariza 1' Layup76
8.0%
85
92.0%
Q3 - 1:07ORLAriza REBOUND (Off:4 Def:0)76
9.1%
85
90.9%
Q3 - 1:09ORLMISS Nelson Layup76
8.0%
85
92.0%
Q3 - 1:13ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)76
9.1%
85
90.9%
Q3 - 1:15ORLMISS Nelson 2' Layup76
8.0%
85
92.0%
Q3 - 1:30WASStevenson Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)76
9.1%
85
90.9%
Q3 - 1:30WASStevenson Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)76
9.5%
84
90.5%
Q3 - 1:41WASArenas REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)76
10.8%
83
89.2%
Q3 - 1:43ORLJamison BLOCK (1 BLK)76
11.4%
83
88.6%
Q3 - 2:01WASButler 19' Jump Shot (18 PTS)76
13.3%
83
86.7%
Q3 - 2:18ORLDooling 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Howard 3 AST)76
15.4%
81
84.6%
Q3 - 2:40WASStevenson Traveling Turnover (P2.T12)73
11.3%
81
88.7%
Q3 - 2:48WASHaywood REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)73
9.4%
81
90.6%
Q3 - 2:50ORLMISS Howard 4' Jump Shot73
9.9%
81
90.1%
Q3 - 3:16ORLHill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)73
11.8%
81
88.2%
Q3 - 3:18WASMISS Butler 19' Jump Shot73
11.2%
81
88.8%
Q3 - 3:30ORLHoward Foul Turnover (P4.T12)73
9.9%
81
90.1%
Q3 - 3:44WASStevenson 27' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Arenas 7 AST)73
11.8%
81
88.2%
Q3 - 4:08ORLNelson Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)73
16.0%
78
84.0%
Q3 - 4:08ORLNelson Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)72
15.5%
78
84.5%
Q3 - 4:11WASButler Lost Ball Turnover (P5.T11)71
14.1%
78
85.9%
Q3 - 4:19WASJamison REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)71
11.9%
78
88.1%
Q3 - 4:20ORLMISS Hill 17' Jump Shot71
12.5%
78
87.5%
Q3 - 4:39WASJamison 17' Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Arenas 6 AST)71
14.1%
78
85.9%
Q3 - 4:57ORLHoward 1' Slam Dunk (12 PTS)71
16.0%
76
84.0%
Q3 - 5:16ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)69
14.5%
76
85.5%
Q3 - 5:18WASMISS Arenas 25' 3PT Jump Shot69
13.9%
76
86.1%
Q3 - 5:23WASWIZARDS Rebound69
12.4%
76
87.6%
Q3 - 5:24ORLMISS Nelson 5' Jump Shot69
13.0%
76
87.0%
Q3 - 5:47WASButler 1' Layup (16 PTS)69
14.5%
76
85.5%
Q3 - 5:47WASButler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)69
16.5%
74
83.5%
Q3 - 5:49WASMISS Butler 3' Layup69
18.3%
74
81.7%
Q3 - 6:09ORLHill 5' Fadeaway Jumper (5 PTS)69
16.8%
74
83.2%
Q3 - 6:25WASArenas Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS)67
14.8%
74
85.2%
Q3 - 6:25WASArenas Free Throw 1 of 2 (21 PTS)67
15.2%
73
84.8%
Q3 - 6:29WASJamison REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)67
16.8%
72
83.2%
Q3 - 6:30ORLMISS Howard 5' Jump Shot67
17.6%
72
82.4%
Q3 - 6:49WASJamison Free Throw 1 of 1 (16 PTS)67
19.4%
72
80.6%
Q3 - 6:54WASArenas REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)67
24.7%
69
75.3%
Q3 - 6:55ORLMISS Turkoglu 1' Layup67
25.6%
69
74.4%
Q3 - 6:56ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)67
28.0%
69
72.0%
Q3 - 6:58ORLMISS Nelson 25' 3PT Jump Shot67
25.6%
69
74.4%
Q3 - 7:16WASButler 17' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Jamison 2 AST)67
27.9%
69
72.1%
Q3 - 7:22ORLStevenson STEAL (1 STL)67
30.7%
67
69.3%
Q3 - 7:27ORLNelson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)67
34.6%
67
65.4%
Q3 - 7:30WASMISS Jamison 24' 3PT Jump Shot67
33.4%
67
66.6%
Q3 - 7:48ORLBattie Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)67
30.7%
67
69.3%
Q3 - 7:48ORLBattie Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)66
29.7%
67
70.3%
Q3 - 7:49WASButler Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T10)65
27.9%
67
72.1%
Q3 - 7:57ORLButler STEAL (2 STL)65
24.5%
67
75.5%
Q3 - 8:10WASButler Foul Turnover (P3.T9)65
28.0%
67
72.0%
Q3 - 8:14WASJamison REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)65
24.6%
67
75.4%
Q3 - 8:15ORLMISS Turkoglu 10' Jump Shot65
25.6%
67
74.4%
Q3 - 8:33ORLMagic Rebound65
28.0%
67
72.0%
Q3 - 8:34WASMISS Arenas 26' 3PT Jump Shot65
26.9%
67
73.1%
Q3 - 8:39WASStevenson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)65
24.6%
67
75.4%
Q3 - 8:41ORLMISS Turkoglu 26' 3PT Jump Shot65
25.6%
67
74.4%
Q3 - 8:59WASStevenson 20' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Haywood 1 AST)65
28.0%
67
72.0%
Q3 - 9:11ORLTurkoglu Traveling Turnover (P4.T9)65
30.3%
65
69.7%
Q3 - 9:15WASJamison Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T8)65
33.6%
65
66.4%
Q3 - 9:31ORLHaywood STEAL (1 STL)65
30.4%
65
69.6%
Q3 - 9:40WASHaywood 1' Follow Up Dunk (6 PTS)65
33.7%
65
66.3%
Q3 - 9:42WASHaywood REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)65
36.9%
63
63.1%
Q3 - 9:43WASMISS Arenas 4' Jump Shot65
39.4%
63
60.6%
Q3 - 10:00ORLBattie 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Turkoglu 3 AST)65
36.9%
63
63.1%
Q3 - 10:02ORLMagic Rebound63
33.4%
63
66.6%
Q3 - 10:02ORLMISS Turkoglu 17' Jump Shot63
30.9%
63
69.1%
Q3 - 10:17ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)63
33.4%
63
66.6%
Q3 - 10:19WASMISS Arenas 20' Jump Shot63
32.3%
63
67.7%
Q3 - 10:35WASWIZARDS Rebound63
29.9%
63
70.1%
Q3 - 10:35ORLMISS Hill 13' Jump Shot63
31.0%
63
69.0%
Q3 - 10:56WASJamison 5' Running Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Butler 4 AST)63
33.4%
63
66.6%
Q3 - 11:00WASButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)63
36.3%
61
63.7%
Q3 - 11:01ORLMISS Nelson 17' Jump Shot63
36.8%
61
63.2%
Q3 - 11:21WASStevenson 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Arenas 5 AST)63
39.2%
61
60.8%
Q3 - 11:28ORLArenas STEAL (2 STL)63
42.4%
59
57.6%
Q3 - 11:39ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)63
46.0%
59
54.0%
Q3 - 11:41WASMISS Jamison 6' Jump Shot63
44.9%
59
55.1%
Q2 - 0:00.0WAS63
42.5%
59
57.5%
Q2 - 0:00.0ORLNelson 2' Driving Layup (11 PTS)63
42.5%
59
57.5%
Q2 - 0:15.0WASBlatche Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)61
38.4%
59
61.6%
Q2 - 0:20.0WASBlatche REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)61
45.8%
56
54.2%
Q2 - 0:22.0ORLMISS Howard 4' Jump Shot61
46.5%
56
53.5%
Q2 - 0:36.0ORLAriza REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)61
48.1%
56
51.9%
Q2 - 0:38.0ORLMISS Nelson 14' Jump Shot61
46.5%
56
53.5%
Q2 - 0:49.0WASJamison 23' Jump Shot (11 PTS)61
48.2%
56
51.8%
Q2 - 1:11ORLTurkoglu 24' 3PT Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Howard 2 AST)61
52.1%
54
47.9%
Q2 - 1:36WASJamison 1' Layup (9 PTS)58
44.2%
54
55.8%
Q2 - 1:52ORLTurkoglu Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)58
48.9%
52
51.1%
Q2 - 1:52ORLMISS Turkoglu Free Throw 1 of 257
48.4%
52
51.6%
Q2 - 2:13WASJamison Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)57
47.3%
52
52.7%
Q2 - 2:13WASJamison Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)57
48.0%
51
52.0%
Q2 - 2:21ORLAriza 1' Slam Dunk (10 PTS)57
50.7%
50
49.3%
Q2 - 2:24WASArenas Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T7)55
47.3%
50
52.7%
Q2 - 2:38ORLTurkoglu Foul Turnover (P2.T6)55
44.5%
50
55.5%
Q2 - 2:51WASArenas 26' 3PT Jump Shot (20 PTS)55
47.3%
50
52.7%
Q2 - 3:10ORLAriza 1' Layup (8 PTS)55
52.1%
47
47.9%
Q2 - 3:35WASHayes Reverse Layup (2 PTS) (Arenas 4 AST)53
49.5%
47
50.5%
Q2 - 3:49ORLNelson 26' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Howard 1 AST)53
52.2%
45
47.8%
Q2 - 4:09ORLMagic Rebound50
45.3%
45
54.7%
Q2 - 4:09WASMISS Hayes 10' Jump Shot50
44.5%
45
55.5%
Q2 - 4:26WASHaywood REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)50
42.6%
45
57.4%
Q2 - 4:28ORLHaywood BLOCK (1 BLK)50
43.4%
45
56.6%
Q2 - 4:38WASArenas Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)50
45.4%
45
54.6%
Q2 - 4:38WASArenas Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)50
45.9%
44
54.1%
Q2 - 4:51ORLHoward Slam Dunk (10 PTS) (Ariza 1 AST)50
48.3%
43
51.7%
Q2 - 4:59WASArenas Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)48
45.4%
43
54.6%
Q2 - 4:59WASArenas Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)48
45.9%
42
54.1%
Q2 - 5:13WASDaniels Free Throw Technical (3 PTS)48
47.6%
41
52.4%
Q2 - 5:27ORLHoward 1' Dunk (8 PTS) (Turkoglu 2 AST)48
50.4%
40
49.6%
Q2 - 5:45WASDaniels 1' Driving Layup (2 PTS)46
47.8%
40
52.2%
Q2 - 6:04ORLTurkoglu 10' Turnaround Jump Shot (16 PTS)46
49.5%
38
50.5%
Q2 - 6:19ORLMagic Rebound44
47.4%
38
52.6%
Q2 - 6:19WASMISS Arenas 19' Jump Shot44
46.4%
38
53.6%
Q2 - 6:32WASArenas REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)44
44.1%
38
55.9%
Q2 - 6:33WASMISS Arenas 13' Jump Shot44
46.4%
38
53.6%
Q2 - 6:45ORLDooling 5' Fadeaway Jumper (6 PTS)44
44.1%
38
55.9%
Q2 - 6:49ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)42
42.0%
38
58.0%
Q2 - 6:51WASMISS Butler 24' 3PT Jump Shot42
41.0%
38
59.0%
Q2 - 7:01WASWIZARDS Rebound42
38.5%
38
61.5%
Q2 - 7:01WASMISS Hayes 13' Jump Shot42
40.4%
38
59.6%
Q2 - 7:11WASJamison REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)42
38.5%
38
61.5%
Q2 - 7:12ORLMISS Dooling 5' Jump Shot42
39.3%
38
60.7%
Q2 - 7:27WASJamison Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)42
41.2%
38
58.8%
Q2 - 7:27WASJamison Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)42
41.8%
37
58.2%
Q2 - 7:40ORLArenas STEAL (1 STL)42
43.6%
36
56.4%
Q2 - 7:59WASArenas 1' Layup (13 PTS) (Butler 3 AST)42
46.5%
36
53.5%
Q2 - 8:12ORLAriza 2' Layup (6 PTS)42
48.3%
34
51.7%
Q2 - 8:13ORLAriza REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)40
46.0%
34
54.0%
Q2 - 8:14ORLMISS Bogans 6' Jump Shot40
44.0%
34
56.0%
Q2 - 8:20WASJamison Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)40
46.0%
34
54.0%
Q2 - 8:28WASHayes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)40
43.1%
34
56.9%
Q2 - 8:30ORLMISS Arroyo 17' Jump Shot40
44.0%
34
56.0%
Q2 - 8:39ORLMISS Arroyo Free Throw Technical40
46.0%
34
54.0%
Q2 - 8:54WASButler Driving Layup (12 PTS)40
46.0%
34
54.0%
Q2 - 9:09ORLAriza Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)40
47.5%
32
52.5%
Q2 - 9:09ORLAriza Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)39
46.7%
32
53.3%
Q2 - 9:13ORLArroyo Free Throw Technical (1 PTS)38
45.3%
32
54.7%
Q2 - 9:28WASButler Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T5)37
42.8%
32
57.2%
Q2 - 9:46ORLAriza Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)37
40.1%
32
59.9%
Q2 - 9:46ORLAriza Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)36
39.3%
32
60.7%
Q2 - 9:46ORLAriza REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)35
38.0%
32
62.0%
Q2 - 9:47ORLButler BLOCK (1 BLK)35
36.2%
32
63.8%
Q2 - 10:07WASArenas Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)35
37.9%
32
62.1%
Q2 - 10:07WASArenas Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)35
38.3%
31
61.7%
Q2 - 10:14WASJamison REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)35
39.9%
30
60.1%
Q2 - 10:15ORLMISS Dooling 14' Jump Shot35
40.8%
30
59.2%
Q2 - 10:30WASBooth Dunk (2 PTS) (Daniels 1 AST)35
42.7%
30
57.3%
Q2 - 10:45ORLDooling 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS)35
44.8%
28
55.2%
Q2 - 10:59WASButler 1' Driving Layup (10 PTS)33
42.7%
28
57.3%
Q2 - 11:24ORLDooling 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS)33
44.1%
26
55.9%
Q2 - 11:41ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)31
41.8%
26
58.2%
Q2 - 11:43WASMISS Arenas 27' 3PT Jump Shot31
41.1%
26
58.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0ORL31
39.5%
26
60.5%
Q1 - 0:00.0ORLMagic Rebound31
41.8%
26
58.2%
Q1 - 0:00.0ORLMISS Milicic 38' 3PT Jump Shot31
40.2%
26
59.8%
Q1 - 0:04.0WASButler Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)31
41.0%
26
59.0%
Q1 - 0:04.0WASButler Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)31
41.3%
25
58.7%
Q1 - 0:05.0ORLButler STEAL (1 STL)31
43.9%
24
56.1%
Q1 - 0:21.0WASButler 20' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Arenas 3 AST)31
45.7%
24
54.3%
Q1 - 0:41.0ORLTurkoglu Driving Layup (14 PTS) (Arroyo 2 AST)31
48.6%
22
51.4%
Q1 - 0:45.0ORLDooling REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)29
45.7%
22
54.3%
Q1 - 0:46.0WASMISS Jamison 25' 3PT Jump Shot29
45.2%
22
54.8%
Q1 - 1:06ORLTurkoglu 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Arroyo 1 AST)29
43.8%
22
56.2%
Q1 - 1:27WASArenas Free Throw 1 of 1 (9 PTS)26
38.7%
22
61.3%
Q1 - 1:41ORLNelson 14' Jump Shot (6 PTS)26
43.8%
19
56.2%
Q1 - 1:57WASHaywood 1' Follow Up Dunk (4 PTS)24
41.0%
19
59.0%
Q1 - 1:58WASHaywood REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)24
43.8%
17
56.2%
Q1 - 1:59WASMISS Stevenson 2' Layup24
45.1%
17
54.9%
Q1 - 2:13ORLHoward Layup (6 PTS) (Hill 3 AST)24
43.5%
17
56.5%
Q1 - 2:31WASStevenson 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Butler 1 AST)22
41.1%
17
58.9%
Q1 - 2:42WASArenas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)22
43.5%
15
56.5%
Q1 - 2:46ORLStevenson BLOCK (1 BLK)22
44.2%
15
55.8%
Q1 - 2:55WASArenas Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T4)22
45.7%
15
54.3%
Q1 - 3:14ORLHill 13' Turnaround Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Nelson 3 AST)22
42.5%
15
57.5%
Q1 - 3:26WASHaywood Foul Turnover (P1.T3)20
40.6%
15
59.4%
Q1 - 3:35WASJamison REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
38.2%
15
61.8%
Q1 - 3:36ORLMISS Milicic Free Throw 1 of 120
38.5%
15
61.5%
Q1 - 3:52WASHaywood 4' Fadeaway Jumper (2 PTS) (Arenas 2 AST)18
36.3%
15
63.7%
Q1 - 4:07ORLHoward Foul Turnover (P2.T3)18
37.5%
13
62.5%
Q1 - 4:23WASArenas 21' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Jamison 1 AST)18
40.1%
13
59.9%
Q1 - 4:36ORLHoward 1' Dunk (4 PTS) (Turkoglu 1 AST)18
41.8%
11
58.2%
Q1 - 4:53WASArenas 1' Layup (4 PTS)16
40.1%
11
59.9%
Q1 - 5:03ORLNelson 16' Fadeaway Jumper (4 PTS)16
40.8%
9
59.2%
Q1 - 5:12ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
39.0%
9
61.0%
Q1 - 5:14WASMISS Butler 18' Jump Shot14
38.3%
9
61.7%
Q1 - 5:20WASArenas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)14
36.8%
9
63.2%
Q1 - 5:23WASMISS Arenas 5' Jump Shot14
38.4%
9
61.6%
Q1 - 5:29WASWIZARDS Rebound14
36.9%
9
63.1%
Q1 - 5:30WASMISS Arenas 26' 3PT Jump Shot14
38.4%
9
61.6%
Q1 - 5:49ORLNelson 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Hill 2 AST)14
36.9%
9
63.1%
Q1 - 5:59ORLHill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)12
35.2%
9
64.8%
Q1 - 5:59WASMISS Jamison 6' Jump Shot12
34.5%
9
65.5%
Q1 - 5:59WASHaywood REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)12
33.0%
9
67.0%
Q1 - 6:02ORLMISS Hill 27' 3PT Jump Shot12
33.2%
9
66.8%
Q1 - 6:13ORLHill Free Throw Technical (1 PTS)12
34.5%
9
65.5%
Q1 - 6:34WASButler Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)11
32.7%
9
67.3%
Q1 - 6:34WASButler Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)11
33.0%
8
67.0%
Q1 - 6:39WASArenas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)11
34.5%
7
65.5%
Q1 - 6:41ORLMISS Turkoglu 21' Jump Shot11
35.1%
7
64.9%
Q1 - 7:01ORLBattie REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)11
35.6%
7
64.4%
Q1 - 7:03WASMISS Haywood 3' Jump Shot11
35.1%
7
64.9%
Q1 - 7:07WASHaywood REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)11
33.8%
7
66.2%
Q1 - 7:08WASMISS Stevenson 17' Jump Shot11
35.1%
7
64.9%
Q1 - 7:31ORLTurkoglu 26' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Hill 1 AST)11
33.8%
7
66.2%
Q1 - 7:50WASJamison 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Arenas 1 AST)8
30.7%
7
69.3%
Q1 - 8:00WASArenas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
33.8%
4
66.2%
Q1 - 8:02ORLMISS Hill 12' Jump Shot8
34.3%
4
65.7%
Q1 - 8:18ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)8
35.6%
4
64.4%
Q1 - 8:20WASMISS Jamison Free Throw 2 of 28
35.3%
4
64.7%
Q1 - 8:20WASMISS Jamison Free Throw 1 of 28
34.2%
4
65.8%
Q1 - 8:39ORLTurkoglu 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Nelson 2 AST)8
33.7%
4
66.3%
Q1 - 8:51WASStevenson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)5
30.6%
4
69.4%
Q1 - 9:03ORLTurkoglu Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)5
28.5%
4
71.5%
Q1 - 9:10ORLHill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
30.5%
4
69.5%
Q1 - 9:11WASMISS Arenas 21' Jump Shot5
29.9%
4
70.1%
Q1 - 9:26ORLTurkoglu 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Nelson 1 AST)5
28.5%
4
71.5%
Q1 - 9:40WASButler Discontinue Dribble Turnover (P1.T1)2
25.9%
4
74.1%
Q1 - 9:46WASButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)2
24.1%
4
75.9%
Q1 - 9:47ORLMISS Howard 5' Jump Shot2
24.6%
4
75.4%
Q1 - 10:16WASButler 19' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS)2
25.7%
4
74.3%
Q1 - 10:27WASButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
27.0%
2
73.0%
Q1 - 10:28ORLMISS Battie 7' Jump Shot2
27.5%
2
72.5%
Q1 - 10:47ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
28.7%
2
71.3%
Q1 - 10:49WASMISS Stevenson 20' Jump Shot2
28.2%
2
71.8%
Q1 - 11:01ORLHoward Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)2
27.1%
2
72.9%
Q1 - 11:23WASArenas 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS)2
28.5%
2
71.5%
Q1 - 11:43ORLHoward 8' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS)2
30.1%
0
69.9%
Q1 - 12:00WASJump Ball Haywood vs. Howard: Tip to Turkoglu0
28.5%
0
71.5%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

ORL
1.18 59.0%
WAS
1.26 62.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
ORL
22
39
56%
WAS
19
27
70%
Midrange
ORL
12
29
41%
WAS
16
32
50%
3PT | Effective 3PT
ORL
8
12.0
13
62%
92%
WAS
3
4.5
11
27%
41%
Free Throws
ORL
19
25
76%
WAS
33
41
80%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
ORL logo Magic
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Howard2056%10.0 / 18
H. Turkoglu2071%10.0 / 14
K. Dooling2077%10.0 / 13
T. Ariza1875%9.0 / 12
J. Nelson1550%7.5 / 15
D. Milicic660%3.0 / 5
G. Hill542%2.5 / 6
T. Battie467%2.0 / 3
C. Arroyo350%1.5 / 3
K. Bogans0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
WAS logo Wizards
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
G. Arenas3656%18.0 / 32
A. Jamison2563%12.5 / 20
C. Butler2067%10.0 / 15
D. Stevenson1161%5.5 / 9
B. Haywood675%3.0 / 4
A. Daniels5125%2.5 / 2
C. Booth4100%2.0 / 2
A. Blatche3150%1.5 / 1
J. Hayes233%1.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

ORL
81
+13
-13
94
WAS
76
+12
-16
88
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

ORL
1.18 59.0%
WAS
1.26 62.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
105.1
109.6
ORL 118.1
WAS 121.7 +3.7
Pace
89.8
94.6
ORL 95.9 +5.7
WAS 90.2
Avg. Poss. Time
16.2
14.9
ORL 15.0 +1.0
WAS 16.0
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
50.0%
49.1%
ORL 56.8% +0.4%
WAS 56.4%
TO %
18.0%
13.9%
ORL 13.2% +2.2%
WAS 15.4%
ORB %
29.3%
28.1%
ORL 26.3%
WAS 30.0% +3.7%
FTrt
39.3
35.6
ORL 30.9
WAS 58.6 +27.7
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
53.0%
54.1%
ORL 54.8% +7.4%
WAS 47.4%
STL %
7.6%
8.1%
ORL 9.6% +3.1%
WAS 6.5%
BLK %
8.5%
7.3%
ORL 1.7%
WAS 5.9% +4.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.16 and 2.16.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
53.0%
53.1%
ORL 59.0%
WAS 62.9% +3.9%
Rim FG%
61.6%
57.8%
ORL 56.4%
WAS 70.4% +14.0%
Mid FG%
38.3%
39.9%
ORL 41.4%
WAS 50.0% +8.6%
3P %
35.6%
34.8%
ORL 61.5% +34.2%
WAS 27.3%
FT %
70.2%
76.5%
ORL 76.0%
WAS 80.5% +4.5%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
40.1%
35.3%
ORL 48.1% +9.6%
WAS 38.6%
Mid Att. %
44.1%
41.0%
ORL 35.8% +9.9%
WAS 45.7%
3P Att. %
15.8%
23.7%
ORL 16.0% +0.3%
WAS 15.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsORLWAS
Possessions9492
Possession Minutes23.524.5
Points111112
Rebounds3137
Assists2318
Steals96
Blocks14
Turnovers (Team)13 (1)16 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)10 (3)9 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)21 (3)28 (2)
Field Goals42-8138-70
At-the-Rim FG22-3919-27
Midrange FG12-2916-32
2-Point FG34-6835-59
3-Point FG8-133-11
Free Throws19-2533-41
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
C · 6'11" 265 · 21
40.1
20
56%
12
4
1
0
5
5
2
10
2-4
50%
9-17
53%
0-0
-
F · 6'10" 220 · 28
39.4
20
71%
4
6
2
0
5
6
2
2
1-2
50%
2-7
29%
5-6
83%
G · 6'0" 190 · 25
34.8
15
50%
5
5
1
0
0
3
2
3
2-2
100%
5-12
42%
1-2
50%
G · 6'8" 225 · 34
23.2
5
42%
3
3
1
0
1
2
0
3
1-1
100%
2-5
40%
0-1
0%
F · 6'11" 240 · 31
14.8
4
67%
1
0
0
0
0
3
0
1
2-2
100%
1-2
50%
0-0
-
F-G · 6'8" 215 · 21
25.3
18
75%
5
1
3
0
0
5
4
1
8-9
89%
5-8
63%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 195 · 27
23.9
20
77%
1
0
0
0
0
4
0
1
0-0
-
7-10
70%
2-3
67%
C · 7'0" 275 · 22
16.3
6
60%
0
0
1
1
1
2
0
0
0-1
0%
3-4
75%
0-1
0%
G · 6'2" 200 · 27
13.2
3
50%
0
3
0
0
1
0
0
0
3-4
75%
0-2
0%
0-0
-
G-F · 6'5" 215 · 27
9.1
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 220 · 36
F · 6'9" 238 · 30
#40 · F · 6'10" 235 · 23
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#7 · G-F · 6'4" 200 · 23
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#34 · G · 6'1" 175 · 25
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
111
59%
31
23
9
1
13
0
10
21
19-25
76%
34-68
50%
8-13
62%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.