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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
December 29, 2006
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
7Lakers65%100124
29Bobcats35%95133
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kobe Bryant
F-G · 6'6" 212 · 28.4
54.5
36.5
58
58%
5
4
0
1
0
4
0
5
10-12
83%
18-34
7-14
53%
49%
4-11
36%
Luke Walton
F · 6'8" 235 · 26.8
49.8
30.0
14
60%
11
5
5
1
1
2
7
4
4-4
100%
5-10
3-6
50%
49%
0-0
-
Smush Parker
G · 6'4" 190 · 25.6
46.5
27.9
12
55%
2
3
1
1
1
2
0
2
2-2
100%
5-8
3-6
63%
50%
0-2
0%
Kwame Brown
C · 6'11" 290 · 24.8
45.0
27.9
11
41%
15
1
1
1
5
4
3
12
3-8
38%
4-10
3-7
40%
51%
0-0
-
Brian Cook
C-F · 6'9" 250 · 26.1
22.6
19.4
9
64%
6
2
0
1
1
1
1
5
0-0
-
3-6
3-6
50%
50%
1-1
100%
Maurice Evans
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 28.1
38.2
21.8
8
46%
5
0
0
1
1
0
1
4
4-6
67%
2-4
2-5
50%
49%
0-2
0%
Vladimir Radmanovic
F · 6'10" 235 · 26.1
19.1
21.1
2
17%
3
0
0
1
0
2
0
3
2-2
100%
0-3
2-4
0%
47%
0-2
0%
Andrew Bynum
C · 7'0" 285 · 19.2
17.6
14.0
4
69%
6
1
1
0
2
2
0
6
2-2
100%
1-2
2-4
50%
53%
0-0
-
Sasha Vujacic
G · 6'7" 195 · 22.8
13.3
15.4
4
67%
2
0
0
1
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
2-3
1-2
67%
38%
0-0
-
Jordan Farmar
G · 6'2" 180 · 20.1
6.4
16.3
2
50%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
50%
0-0
-
Ronny Turiaf
C · 6'10" 249 · 24.0
2.1
6.8
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
52%
0-0
-
Shammond Williams
G · 6'1" 201 · 31.7
1.3
0
0-0
39%
Chris Mihm
C · 7'0" 265 · 27.5
Lamar Odom
F · 6'10" 230 · 27.1
Aaron McKie
G · 6'5" 209 · 34.2
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Raymond Felton
G · 6'1" 205 · 22.5
57.0
35.1
22
40%
4
15
2
1
0
3
1
3
6-8
75%
5-15
4-9
33%
42%
2-9
22%
Emeka Okafor
C · 6'10" 255 · 24.3
51.5
32.2
22
69%
25
0
0
1
4
1
6
19
2-2
100%
10-15
5-10
67%
47%
0-0
-
Gerald Wallace
F · 6'7" 220 · 24.4
46.5
35.8
28
60%
8
2
2
2
1
3
4
4
6-8
75%
11-20
6-11
55%
52%
0-0
-
Adam Morrison
F · 6'8" 205 · 22.4
27.7
29.9
5
15%
5
2
0
0
0
3
2
3
3-3
100%
1-10
4-10
10%
43%
0-5
0%
Primoz Brezec
C · 7'1" 255 · 27.2
11.9
14.0
5
56%
1
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1-1
100%
2-4
3-5
50%
50%
0-0
-
Matt Carroll
G · 6'6" 212 · 26.3
40.5
21.8
27
71%
8
1
0
1
0
2
1
7
7-7
100%
4-9
2-5
44%
45%
4-7
57%
Derek Anderson
G · 6'5" 195 · 32.4
30.3
15.6
5
78%
0
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
5-5
100%
0-1
1-2
0%
41%
0-0
-
Jake Voskuhl
C · 6'11" 255 · 29.2
19.1
15.5
8
67%
6
0
0
0
0
1
1
5
0-0
-
4-6
2-4
67%
47%
0-0
-
Melvin Ely
C-F · 6'10" 260 · 28.7
15.3
11.0
5
53%
3
1
0
0
0
1
1
2
3-4
75%
1-3
2-3
33%
47%
0-0
-
Bernard Robinson
G-F · 6'6" 210 · 26.0
10.8
9.1
6
43%
3
1
2
0
0
1
3
0
0-0
-
3-7
1-2
43%
44%
0-0
-
Walter Herrmann
F · 6'9" 225 · 27.5
4.5
11.4
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
47%
0-1
0%
Othella Harrington
F-C · 6'9" 235 · 32.9
4.2
0
1-1
48%
Sean May
C-F · 6'9" 266 · 22.7
Brevin Knight
G · 5'10" 166 · 31.1
Ryan Hollins
C · 7'0" 240 · 22.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.