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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
December 29, 2006
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
17Nets53%9491
24Heat47%9381
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Vince Carter
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 29.9
39.8
36.5
23
58%
6
9
2
1
0
4
1
5
4-4
100%
5-10
6-12
50%
48%
3-8
38%
Richard Jefferson
F · 6'7" 233 · 26.5
38.4
33.8
22
70%
5
2
2
1
0
4
2
3
4-4
100%
9-13
5-10
69%
51%
0-1
0%
Jason Kidd
G · 6'4" 210 · 33.8
38.2
35.7
17
78%
10
7
2
2
1
2
2
8
2-2
100%
3-6
3-8
50%
45%
3-4
75%
Jason Collins
C · 7'0" 255 · 28.1
23.7
25.6
4
50%
4
0
0
1
1
2
2
2
0-0
-
2-4
1-3
50%
42%
0-0
-
Mikki Moore
F-C · 7'0" 225 · 31.2
21.9
24.5
1
13%
3
0
0
0
1
1
1
2
1-2
50%
0-3
2-4
0%
53%
0-0
-
Bostjan Nachbar
F · 6'9" 221 · 26.5
28.9
11.5
8
46%
3
2
0
0
0
0
1
2
3-4
75%
1-4
1-2
25%
43%
1-3
33%
Josh Boone
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 22.1
17.6
16.7
4
40%
5
0
0
0
0
0
1
4
0-0
-
2-5
1-3
40%
48%
0-0
-
Marcus Williams
G · 6'3" 205 · 21.1
13.6
11.0
8
90%
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
1-1
100%
2-2
1-3
100%
45%
1-2
50%
Eddie House
G · 6'1" 190 · 28.6
8.3
13.4
2
25%
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-3
100%
42%
0-3
0%
Hassan Adams
F · 6'4" 220 · 22.5
5.1
15.4
2
33%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
2-5
33%
48%
0-0
-
Antoine Wright
F-G · 6'7" 215 · 22.9
4.5
6.1
0
0%
2
1
0
0
0
2
1
1
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
45%
0-0
-
Mile Ilic
C · 7'1" 255 · 22.6
0.5
0
0-0
50%
Jeff McInnis
G · 6'4" 190 · 32.2
Nenad Krstic
C · 7'0" 240 · 23.4
Clifford Robinson
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 40.0
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dorell Wright
F-G · 6'9" 205 · 21.1
41.5
29.9
21
55%
7
4
4
1
6
1
3
4
7-9
78%
7-15
4-8
47%
48%
0-0
-
Jason Williams
G · 6'1" 180 · 31.1
38.4
28.4
17
54%
4
1
0
1
0
2
0
4
2-2
100%
3-6
2-4
50%
48%
3-9
33%
Jason Kapono
F · 6'8" 215 · 25.9
29.7
27.0
8
50%
2
1
1
1
1
2
0
2
0-0
-
4-7
3-6
57%
45%
0-1
0%
Alonzo Mourning
C · 6'10" 261 · 36.9
28.9
21.6
12
66%
9
0
0
0
2
3
2
7
4-7
57%
4-6
3-5
67%
57%
0-0
-
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 26.6
28.5
31.5
10
40%
6
0
1
1
0
1
3
3
0-1
0%
5-12
4-9
42%
52%
0-0
-
Antoine Walker
F · 6'9" 245 · 30.4
34.7
14.9
7
51%
8
5
3
0
0
6
4
4
1-2
50%
3-4
1-3
75%
49%
0-2
0%
Gary Payton
G · 6'4" 190 · 38.4
22.7
12.1
4
40%
2
1
1
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
2-3
1-2
67%
49%
0-2
0%
Michael Doleac
C · 6'11" 262 · 29.5
14.2
15.3
2
33%
3
2
0
0
1
1
1
2
0-0
-
1-3
2-4
33%
45%
0-0
-
Chris Quinn
G · 6'2" 175 · 23.3
0.7
9.7
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
43%
0-2
0%
Robert Hite
G · 6'2" 184 · 23.0
0.7
7.2
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
43%
0-0
-
James Posey
F · 6'8" 217 · 30.0
22.5
1
1-2
47%
Earl Barron
F-C · 7'0" 250 · 25.4
2.0
0
0-1
49%
Shaquille O'Neal
C · 7'1" 325 · 34.8
Wayne Simien
F · 6'9" 250 · 23.8
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 24.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.