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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
December 29, 2006
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
11Bucks39%9799
9Cavaliers61%101109
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Mo Williams
G · 6'1" 198 · 24.0
44.9
36.3
21
55%
9
7
1
1
0
6
1
8
3-5
60%
6-10
6-12
60%
47%
2-7
29%
Michael Redd
G · 6'6" 215 · 27.3
37.5
35.1
24
54%
1
2
0
1
0
2
0
1
14-14
100%
5-13
6-12
38%
48%
0-3
0%
Andrew Bogut
C · 7'0" 260 · 22.1
33.3
32.5
12
40%
12
0
1
1
0
2
5
7
2-2
100%
5-14
5-9
36%
54%
0-0
-
Charlie Bell
G · 6'3" 200 · 27.8
33.0
36.9
2
14%
0
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-4
3-7
25%
46%
0-3
0%
Brian Skinner
F-C · 6'9" 255 · 30.6
9.0
24.6
4
106%
0
0
0
1
1
0
0
0
2-2
100%
1-1
2-5
100%
48%
0-0
-
Ruben Patterson
F · 6'5" 223 · 31.4
36.5
23.5
17
49%
10
4
1
1
0
4
8
2
5-10
50%
6-13
4-7
46%
53%
0-0
-
Charlie Villanueva
F · 6'11" 232 · 22.3
28.6
21.5
15
60%
9
0
0
1
0
4
4
5
1-1
100%
7-12
3-7
58%
50%
0-0
-
Dan Gadzuric
C · 6'11" 240 · 28.9
13.2
8.9
2
53%
2
0
2
0
0
1
0
2
2-2
100%
0-1
1-3
0%
51%
0-0
-
David Noel
F-G · 6'6" 230 · 22.8
1.0
7.0
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
45%
0-0
-
Ersan Ilyasova
F · 6'9" 235 · 19.6
1.0
3.3
2
50%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
1-2
0-1
50%
44%
0-0
-
Chris McCray
G · 6'5" 192 · 22.6
1.0
2.6
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
43%
0-0
-
Damir Markota
F · 6'10" 225 · 21.0
1.0
1.6
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
45%
0-1
0%
Lynn Greer
G · 6'2" 175 · 27.2
Steve Blake
G · 6'3" 172 · 26.8
Bobby Simmons
F · 6'6" 235 · 26.6
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
LeBron James
F · 6'9" 250 · 22.0
44.0
39.3
32
60%
4
5
1
1
1
3
1
3
8-13
62%
9-15
9-16
60%
53%
2-6
33%
Eric Snow
G · 6'3" 205 · 33.7
39.3
28.6
0
0%
3
10
1
1
2
3
1
2
0-0
-
0-2
2-5
0%
44%
0-0
-
Larry Hughes
G · 6'5" 185 · 27.9
34.9
36.2
26
65%
3
4
0
2
0
3
1
2
4-7
57%
8-14
5-10
57%
45%
2-3
67%
Drew Gooden
F · 6'10" 250 · 25.3
30.3
28.4
14
39%
10
0
1
1
1
1
4
6
0-0
-
7-18
5-10
39%
51%
0-0
-
Zydrunas Ilgauskas
C · 7'3" 260 · 31.6
22.1
33.5
8
69%
7
3
0
1
2
1
2
5
2-4
50%
3-4
6-13
75%
50%
0-0
-
Donyell Marshall
F · 6'9" 245 · 33.6
37.5
15.3
29
94%
10
2
3
0
1
3
4
6
0-1
0%
4-5
1-3
80%
50%
7-10
70%
Damon Jones
G · 6'3" 195 · 30.3
13.1
20.2
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
47%
0-3
0%
Daniel Gibson
G · 6'2" 200 · 20.8
12.7
14.6
0
0%
2
1
2
0
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
48%
0-0
-
Dwayne Jones
F-C · 6'11" 248 · 23.6
6.2
3.6
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-2
0%
0-0
0-1
-
51%
0-0
-
Ira Newble
G-F · 6'7" 220 · 31.9
2.9
0
0-0
44%
Sasha Pavlovic
G-F · 6'7" 235 · 23.1
2.5
0
0-0
46%
David Wesley
G · 6'1" 203 · 36.1
1.2
0
0-0
43%
Scot Pollard
C-F · 6'11" 278 · 31.9
Shannon Brown
G · 6'3" 215 · 21.1
Anderson Varejao
F · 6'11" 260 · 24.3
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.