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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
December 29, 2006
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
20SuperSonics28%9282
15Timberwolves72%100101
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Ray Allen
G · 6'5" 205 · 31.4
33.0
25.2
14
38%
5
4
1
1
0
2
1
4
6-6
100%
4-9
3-7
44%
48%
0-7
0%
Earl Watson
G · 6'1" 199 · 27.5
30.5
31.5
9
38%
2
2
1
1
1
2
0
2
2-2
100%
2-7
3-8
29%
44%
1-4
25%
Luke Ridnour
G · 6'2" 175 · 25.9
28.6
38.7
6
31%
3
4
2
1
0
1
1
2
4-4
100%
1-7
5-12
14%
45%
0-1
0%
Chris Wilcox
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 24.3
27.6
29.8
6
30%
7
1
0
1
0
2
4
3
0-0
-
3-10
5-10
30%
53%
0-0
-
Mouhamed Sene
C · 6'11" 230 · 20.6
7.6
4.8
4
50%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
2-4
0-1
50%
46%
0-0
-
Damien Wilkins
· 6'6" 225 · 27.0
33.5
29.9
8
37%
5
3
1
1
0
1
1
4
0-2
0%
4-8
4-8
50%
46%
0-2
0%
Nick Collison
F · 6'10" 255 · 26.2
26.6
21.1
8
46%
7
0
2
0
1
2
1
6
4-6
67%
2-6
3-6
33%
48%
0-0
-
Johan Petro
C · 7'0" 247 · 20.9
22.1
23.7
12
67%
4
1
1
1
1
2
1
3
0-0
-
6-9
3-6
67%
52%
0-0
-
Mike Wilks
G · 5'10" 180 · 27.6
14.1
9.4
7
50%
2
2
0
0
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
2-5
1-2
40%
40%
1-2
50%
Mickael Gelabale
F · 6'7" 215 · 23.6
10.0
15.7
0
0%
1
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-3
1-3
0%
47%
0-0
-
Desmon Farmer
G · 6'5" 220 · 25.2
6.3
2.6
8
90%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1-1
100%
2-3
0-1
67%
43%
1-1
100%
Andreas Glyniadakis
C · 7'1" 280 · 25.3
5.3
0
1-1
48%
Robert Swift
C · 7'1" 270 · 21.1
Rashard Lewis
F · 6'10" 235 · 27.4
Danny Fortson
C-F · 6'8" 260 · 30.8
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Ricky Davis
G · 6'7" 195 · 27.3
31.7
33.0
24
64%
6
2
1
1
0
3
1
5
3-4
75%
9-15
4-9
60%
50%
1-2
50%
Kevin Garnett
F · 6'11" 240 · 30.6
31.6
37.4
10
31%
13
5
0
1
5
2
2
11
2-3
67%
4-15
9-16
27%
53%
0-0
-
Mark Blount
C-F · 7'0" 250 · 31.1
29.6
33.3
18
65%
9
1
1
1
1
0
2
7
2-4
50%
8-12
5-10
67%
54%
0-0
-
Trenton Hassell
F-G · 6'5" 227 · 27.8
27.3
26.6
4
50%
2
6
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
2-4
2-5
50%
50%
0-0
-
Mike James
G · 6'2" 188 · 31.5
21.9
30.1
5
43%
6
1
0
1
0
2
1
5
1-2
50%
2-5
4-7
40%
50%
0-0
-
Randy Foye
G · 6'4" 218 · 23.3
26.1
21.6
12
77%
7
5
1
1
1
4
1
6
3-4
75%
3-5
3-7
60%
49%
1-1
100%
Craig Smith
F · 6'7" 265 · 23.1
21.0
15.6
10
63%
5
0
3
1
0
0
2
3
2-2
100%
4-7
2-4
57%
53%
0-0
-
Marko Jaric
G · 6'7" 224 · 28.1
20.4
28.8
13
82%
1
3
2
1
1
4
0
1
2-2
100%
4-5
2-5
80%
47%
1-2
50%
Troy Hudson
G · 6'1" 178 · 30.8
13.6
6.6
0
0%
3
3
0
0
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
43%
0-2
0%
Mark Madsen
F · 6'9" 255 · 30.9
7.5
4.1
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-2
0-0
0%
49%
0-0
-
Justin Reed
F · 6'8" 240 · 24.9
6.3
4.7
3
44%
2
0
0
0
0
2
2
0
1-1
100%
1-3
1-1
33%
45%
0-0
-
Bracey Wright
G · 6'3" 201 · 22.5
2.9
0.5
2
50%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
0-0
100%
50%
0-1
0%
Eddie Griffin
F · 6'9" 222 · 24.6
Rashad McCants
G · 6'4" 215 · 22.3
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.